Americas Women-Owned Hardware International (AWHOi): Capacity Plan of Logistics and Distribution Centers Report prepared for the AWOHi Corporation by Orange Advanced Logistics Consulting, S.A., Santiago, Chile August 16, 2013 Oi Shop more AWH stores now in the US and Expanding boutique hardware and concierge services for the modern home and garden Mexico! Utilizing premium artisan materials in the traditions of centuries of american and european design and quality. “…hooks, bobs, gadgets, hinges, rivets, racks, pins, polishes, and the rest. Elegant boutique hardware accessorizing the modern home and garden.” Presentation Outline • • • • Background Purpose and scope Methods and results Recommendations Background Background Purpose and Scope Purpose and Scope Revise an existing capacity plan for the network of AWOHi distribution centers in each of the US region, Mexico region, and US-Mexico combined region: • Locations and capacities of existing and new DCs • Implications for existing and new DCs in throughput, inventories, storage, and service regions • Transit times • Costs • Network inventories • Returns on investment from capacity expansions Methods How Can We Improve the Supply Chain Management? Goal: To deliver the right product to the right place at the right time for the right price, while minimizing system-wide costs and satisfying service requirements. (Source: Ron Askin, PASI, 2013) Can the US Dist. Network Handle Growth? • Capacity: 6,190 Stores YES! – 2012 Store Count: 4,617 – 2018 Store Count: 5,661 Current Sourcing Tested Scenarios Scenario: 2018 OR FL NC KS OR-FL OR-NC FL-NC OR-NC-FL1 OR-NC-FL2 California X X X X X X X X X X Georgia X X X X X X X X Pennsylvania X X X X X X X X X X Tennessee X X X X X X X X X X Illinois X X X X X X X X X X Texas X X X X X X X X X X Arizona X X X X X X X X X X Ohio X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 10 10 10 11 Oregon (Portland) X Florida (Ocala) X North Carolina (Durham) X X Kansas (Olathe) DCs Opened: X X 8 9 9 9 9 10 Methodology • A Optimization/Heuristic Algorithm to allocate DCs to Stores and determine tour lengths – Assign stores to DCs • Assignment Optimization Problem (solved with CPLEX) – Generate vehicle routing tours • 4 Stops/Tour • Nearest neighbor heuristic – Local search algorithm • Use dual values of Assignment Problem Assignment/Tour Results 11 DCs 10 DCs Euclidean Results Rectilinear Results 9 DCs Store Assignments • Opening DCs in Oregon & Florida Store Assignments • Opening Oregon, Florida, North Carolina and closing Georgia DC Distance to Store Distribution Average Distance: 197.02 miles St. Dev: 167.81 miles DC-to-Store Distances Average Distance: 197 miles Standard Deviation: 167 miles Upon Initial Analysis: Open DCs in Oregon & Florida by 2018 How Should Imports be Handled? • 2012 – Each DC receives ~371 import truckloads per year in full FEUs • 2018 – Number of stores expected to increase by 22% – Fraction of imports will increase from 5% to 12% – Each DC will receive ~1,085 import truckloads per year in full FEUs Almost 3-fold increase in volume of imports by 2018 Should we add one or more Import DCs? Import DCs • Operations – Unload shipping containers – Often re-palletize products – Ship pallets to DCs • Location – Usually near container ports or inland ports • “Lumpy” demand – Shipments are large and relatively infrequent • Layout/Design – Large pallet storage areas – Large drop yards for container storage • One Import DC may serve many DCs • Can be combined with order fulfillment in one facility (current situation in case study) Importers Serviced by Port of Savannah 20+ Savannah-area import DCs, 200+ more within 5 hours Source: Georgia Port Authority Presentation, Curtis Foltz, Oct 1, 2007 21 Sq. Ft. Academy Sports 1,000,000 Advance Auto Parts 380,000 Bass Pro Shops 600,000 Best Buy 748,000 Citi Trends Fashion 155,000 Dollar Tree 800,000 Farmer’s Furniture 250,000 Fred’s 600,000 Hugo Boss 165,000 Icon H & F 600,000 IKEA 1,700,000 Kmart-Sears 2,200,000 Kohl’s 600,000 Lowe’s 1,250,000 Midwest Air Technologies 150,000 Noritake 105,000 Oneida 500,000 Paper Tigers 115,000 Pier 1 Imports 783,000 Target 2,100,000 The Home Depot 1,400,000 Tire Rack 250,000 Wal-Mart (2) 3,300,000 Large Retail Distribution Network Should we have Import DCs? • Advantages – Reduced overseas transportation costs – More efficient management of inventory and product flow – Lower overall inventory levels – Reduced operating costs, space usage at DCs • Disadvantages – Capital investment and fixed costs of opening a new facility – Increased transportation/handling cost to supply DCs Should we have Import DCs? • Do we have sufficient volume to justify a dedicated facility? – Almost 3-fold increase in import volume, avg = 3 containers/day – 10 DCs • Benchmarking – Target: 1,788 US stores, ~30 DCs, 4 Import DCs* – Walmart: 4,500+ stores, 158 DCs (42 regional DCs), 5 Import DCs** • How many Import DCs? – One: West Coast – Two: West and East Coast – Four: West, Gulf and East Coasts, Mexico – Impact of multiple Import DCs • Reduced transportation costs to supply DCs • Reduced risk from natural disasters, labor strikes, etc. Consolidate Import Routes How to Improve Warehouse Operations? • “SKU proliferation causing issues within the DC in terms of slotting and inventory carrying” • Investigation needed – Review of inventory management system to eliminate wasted storage capacity and obsolete SKUs – Address WH layout and operations – particularly for new DCs • DC-to-Store – Pallets – Cases – Pieces Warehouse Layout and Operations • Reserve area – High storage density • Forward area – Fast-moving items (0, 1 or all rule) • Picking activities – Pick-to-light – Pick-to-voice – Bucket-brigades • Technology exploration – Person-to-goods – Goods-to-person How to Respond to Growth in Mexico? • • • • 330 retail stores US and imported products enter Mexico through Laredo, TX DC in Monterrey, with capacity of 360 stores Crossdocks located in Mexicali, Mexico City (transfer operation) and serviced from Monterrey 1 2012 Current Sourcing Expected Growth in Mexico • Growth of 196 stores – 150 in Mexico (113 in Mexico City) – 46 in Central America Mexico/CA Growth 600 500 Stores 400 300 200 100 0 FY12 FY13 FY14 CA Mexico 330 370 410 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 7 11 15 46 440 460 480 480 Estimated Increase in Transp Costs Assuming $1.23/kilometer and current network Throughput Laredo to Monterrey Monterrey to Mexicali Monterrey to Mexico City 2012 2018 330 524 Distance (km) 220 Annual total Cost to Monterrey $427,500 $678,818 Throughput 40 46 Distance (km) 2173 Annual Cost $713,900 $841,721 Throughput 70 228 Distance (km) 914 Annual Cost $538,760 $1,754,792 Total Costs $1,680,160 $3,157,632 Is Current Capacity Sufficient? • No! • Either increase capacity of current system or add DC Capacity at Monterrey DC 2012 2018 Stores Served 330 524 Current Capacity 360 360 Is Current Capacity Sufficient? • Currently the crossdock has very limited storage capacity • Locating a DC in Mexico City seems desirable 1 2012 Current Sourcing +113 Stores +46 Stores Recommendations • Open a DC in Mexico City – – • Increase responsiveness to stores Closer to Central America to service 46 new stores Reallocate Southern Mexican stores from Monterrey to DC in Mexico City 1 2012 Current Sourcing Changes to Monterrey DC • Continue to serve 40 stores via Mexicali crossdock • Re-evaluate the stores served directly and allocate to Mexico City DC • Incur a net reduction in capacity and size Integration of US/Mexico Supply Chains? • Slow-downs at border crossings – Although there are 3PL companies who provide distribution services for cross-border replenishment – – http://www.joc.com/exel-builds-new-distribution-center-support-usmexico-cross-border-supply-chains-laredo-texas http://www.inboundlogistics.com/cms/article/us-mexico-trade-two-way-traffic/ What is the Return on Investment for Adding DCs Goals Typical Savings Example savings with Plan A DC-to-store efficiency gains 20% for affected stores $8M annual recurring transportation savings Inventory savings 10% inventory reduction $100,000 annual carrying cost reduction; $500,000 one-time capital savings Improve customer satisfaction 1% customer retention in affected stores $1M annual recurring benefits Improve net fixed asset utilization 5% savings by shrinking other distribution centers $1.5M one-time reduction in unneeded capacities at existing distribution centers ⁞ ⁞ ⁞ Return on Investment (cont.) Bottom-Line for Expansion Plan: An investment of $11 million over one year in an additional DC would deliver net present value of over $29 million in cumulative net benefits, an ROI (calculated as net benefits/total costs) of 280% (for every dollar spent on the new DC, the AWOHi will receive their original $1 back, and an additional $2.80 in incremental benefits), with five-year horizon (including 12 months of development, construction, systems integration and deployment). Payback period is approximately one year after the 12-month construction phase. Risk Management What are the effects of uncertainties on the performance objectives of the DCs network, and what can be done? Risk Management Sources of uncertainty Impacts Mitigations • Demand for throughput rises or falls from market forces Utilization, customer satisfaction Monitoring and replanning the DC capacities and routes • Transportation DC-tostore costs rise or fall Costs and efficiencies Monitoring and replanning the DC-tostore routes • Inventory carrying costs rise or fall Costs and efficiencies Monitoring and replanning the warehouse efficiencies • Loss of a DC or other inventory or capacity to natural hazards Reduced Update emergency response planning, network capacity reconfiguration of DCs • Supply is interrupted Costs and efficiencies Monitoring and replanning to address customer satisfaction … Risk Management (cont.) … Sources of uncertainty Impacts Mitigations • Seasonal variances of demand and supply Utilization, customer satisfaction, costs Monitoring and replanning • DC-to-store route efficiencies Route lengths Adapt the route lengths from 4 to 8 to others • Vendor-to-DC costs rise Transportation costs Monitoring and replanning of international transportation • Mexico and US border regulations Costs and efficiencies Monitoring and replanning the transborder shipments • Seasonality induces variances of cost Costs and efficiencies Monitoring and replanning with attention to cash flow and route adaptation Recommendations Recommendations • Proceed with the construction of a new Florida DC in one year with 400,000 sf • Proceed with construction of a new pacific northwest DC in two years with 300,000 sf • Monitor to assure DC-to-store travel times by 5% overall • Re-integrate the import DCs to realize 20% savings on transoceanic transportation • Reconfigure the DC-to-store network including to double the tour lengths from four to eight stores and gain 10% savings in transportation • Continue to realize DC network efficiency gains through advanced technologies including RFID and warehousescience efficiencies, “shrinking the distribution chain” Recommendations (cont.) • Adapt the DC network continuously with attention to reducing transportation, inventory, labor, and facility costs toward growing customer value and ROI on incremental investments • Track the actual growths, throughputs, inventories, etc., relative to the forecasts of 22% growth to 2018 • Realize additional savings through lease agreements and laborsharing agreements with other shippers • Continue to emphasize a quality metrics program for the DC-tostore network to identify anomalies and reduce variance through adjusting tour lengths, DC-to-store relationships, etc. • Continue to realize efficiencies through integrating the Mexico and US networks in vendor-to-DC transportation with import DCs, freight forwarders etc. • Add 50% capacity to the existing Mexico DC to address the new 46 stores, and monitor the situation for additional DCs into the future past the 2018 horizon Acknowledgments • Dave Wheeler, Principal, Supply Chain Strategy, St. Onge Company, York, PA • Participants of the PanAmerican Advanced Studies Institute on Logistics on Simulation and Optimization of Globalized Physical Distribution Systems • Pontificia Universidad Catolica, Santiago, Chile Orange Advanced Logistics Team Pres. Osvaldo de la Fuente of1969@gmail.com Ing. Brittany Green brg73@pitt.edu Ing. James Lambert lambert@virginia.edu Ing. Tish Pohl lpohl@uark.edu Ing. Christopher Wishon cwishon@asu.edu AWOHi gets bigger-Network of distribution centers addresses 22% growth to 2018 i H W AO Questions? Issues we need to address • Growth in number of stores, allocation of stores to DCs • SKU proliferation causing issues within the DC in terms of slotting and inventory carrying – Address with WH layout and operations – Highly skewed demand implies a need for both reserve and forward areas – Technology be employed to increase throughput • Growth in imported products • “Competition migrating to highly responsive supply chain” – Implies more DCs, not fewer? – More frequent trips to retail stores? Investigate routes with > 4 stores per route, but more frequent? How would this impact configuration of network? – Develop online sales and start doing order fulfillment at DCs? • Increasing fuel costs Make sure these issues are addressed… • Given the migration to incremental import product – How will inventory be impacted if current direct to DC approach is continued – What alternative import methodologies should be considered – For each methodology considered, determine the: • impact to inventory • impact to facility costs • impact to freight • impact to store service Make sure these issues are addressed… • Determine if the current DC network is appropriate given the future store growth, DC capacities, increasing fuel costs • If additional DCs are needed, determine the: – appropriate location and relative size of each additional DC – impact on the current DCs throughput, inventory, and service area – impact to DC to store freight – impact to transit time to stores – impact to DC costs (fixed and variable) – the impact to network inventory – if the changes to the network financially justified based on a reasonable return-on-investment (ROI)