Learning from Leaders: Gartner’s Top 25 Global Supply Chains Kevin Sterneckert Janet Suleski January 15, 2013 0 Gartner delivers the technology-related insight necessary for our clients to make the right decisions, every day. How Today's Shoppers Shape Demand-Driven Requirements Economic Uncertainty Empowered Consumers Volatility Evolving Supply Chains Key Issues for Becoming a Demand-Driven Retailer 1. How do you create a demand-driven foundation? 2. What types of initiatives enable demand-driven retailing? 3. What's the business value of creating a demanddriven retail supply chain? Demand-Driven Value Network (DDVN) and Demand-Driven Retailing Strategies Fulfill CrossChannel Demand Demand Supply Understand and Build Value Respond to Networks Demand Deliver Signals Consumer-Centric Retailing Product Use the Supply Chain to Support Products and Services Innovation Tomorrow's Profitability and Innovation Are Built On the Right Foundation Cost to Serve End-to-End Visibility Predictive Analysis Talent Management Resiliency Integrated PLM Align to Customer Value Sustainability Services Risk Management Demand Management Global Network Management Outside-In View End-to-End SC Process Technology Segmentation Downstream Data Management Profitable Trade-Offs Cost Optimized Aligned X-Functional Objectives Supply Chain Excellence: Value Through Operations and Innovation Balance Leader Demand Supply Product Operational Excellence 1. How does the supply chain enable my business strategy? 2. What role does the supply chain play in creating differentiation? (On-Shelf Availability, Total Supply Chain Cost) D S Laggard Higher Cash Flow, Profits and P/E P Innovation Excellence (Time to Value, Return on R&D) 3. What is my technology adoption preference? Leader Span of Control for Retail Supply Chains Maturity High Low DC Transportation DC Transportation DC Transportation DC Transportation Procurement Procurement Procurement Forecasting/Replenishment NPDI Sourcing Forecasting/Replenishment NPDI Sourcing Store Operations Forecasting/Replenishment Procurement Medium Span of Control High Hierarchy of Retail Supply Chain Metrics What It Tells You Forecast Accuracy Customer Fulfillment Effectiveness Product Availability Customer Performance Trade-Offs SCM Cost Inventory Financial Effectiveness Revenue WriteOffs DOS DC Perfect Order Supplier Perfect Order Operational Effectiveness Supplier On Time Supplier Quality Customer vs. Supplier Balance Accounts Payable On-Time to Store DC Service Level Store Effectiveness Product Availability Detail Backroom/Sales Floor Efficiency SCM Cost Detail Stability of Processes Driving Value Think of the Different Layers Your Organization Needs … New Ideas Better Ideas Systems of Innovation Systems of Differentiation Systems of Record Common Ideas Retail Supply Chain Top 15 10 Key Issues for Becoming a Demand-Driven Retailer 1. How do you create a demand-driven foundation? 2. What types of initiatives enable demand-driven retailing? 3. What's the business value of creating a demanddriven retail supply chain? Demand-Driven Retailing Strategies Strategy Description Understanding and responding to the demand signals Sensing, shaping and responding to the consumer demand signal across sales channels Delivering a consumer-centric supply chain Creating a supply chain that supports and responds to the key merchandising planning and execution activities Fulfilling cross-channel demand Creating effective and efficient fulfillment strategies that support cross-channel and multichannel demands of the shopper Building value networks Aligning the people, processes and technology that drive pullbased replenishment models and joint value creation Using the supply chain to support products and services innovation Creating an agile and responsive supply chain that enables and supports innovation across an organization Demand-Driven Retailing Initiatives Strategy Description Understanding and responding to • Demand forecasting the demand signals • Demand signal repository • Shopper segmentation Delivering consumer-centric retailing • Merchandising • Space management • Life cycle pricing • Insights and segmentation (shopper/channel) Fulfilling cross-channel demand • Customer, order, inventory management and visibility • Execution enablement Building value networks • Demand management • Merchandising, inventory and operations execution (MIOE) • Supply chain segmentation • Network design • Inventory optimization Using the supply chain to support products and services innovation • PLM • Cycle time reduction • Item management • Innovation/inspiration capture and evaluation Demand-Driven Retailing Priorities Strategy Grocery Specialty Retailers Understand and respond to demand signal H L/M H H H M L/M H M L M H Deliver consumercentric retailing H H M M H H Drive innovation into products and services M/H H M L H H M H M L/M M/H H Fulfill crosschannel demand Build value networks Note: Priorities — Low, Medium, High Mass Merchant Convenience Store Chain Drug Department Stores Demand-Driven Initiatives Priorities Strategy Initiatives North America U.K./ Europe Understanding and responding to the demand signals • Demand forecasting • Demand signal repository • Shopper segmentation H M Delivering a consumer-centric supply chain • Merchandising • Space management • Life cycle pricing • Insights and segmentation (shopper/channel) M H Fulfilling cross-channel demand • Customer, order, inventory management and visibility • Execution enablement H H Building value networks • Demand management • MIOE • Supply chain segmentation • Network design • Inventory optimization M M Using the supply chain to support product and service innovation • PLM • Cycle time reduction • Item management L L Geographic Demand-Driven Maturity Comparison Retail Segment and Geography Maturity Comparison Key Issues for Becoming a Demand-Driven Retailer 1. How do you create a demand-driven foundation? 2. What types of initiatives enable demand-driven retailing? 3. What's the business value of creating a demanddriven retail supply chain? Why Becoming Demand-Driven Matters Based on Supply Chain Top 25 Metrics: • Return on Assets (ROA) • Inventory Turns • Revenue Growth Demand-Driven Leaders Compared With Peers Difference (2009) Difference (2010) Difference (2011) Difference (2012) ROA 73.8% 2X 27.3% ~3X Inventory Turns 19.1% 4% 23.7% 54% Revenue Growth 55.0% 3X 26.7% ~2X Metric Demand-Driven Maturity Value Proposition Reacting Anticipating Collaborating Orchestrating TBD 7.5% TBD TBD -1.1% 6.9% 10.2 Inventory Turns 8 9.1 7.7% Revenue Growth .8% ROA 3.9% 698% Stage 1 to Stage 2 14% 9% 389% 12% Stage 2 to Stage 3 97% TBD TBD Source: Gartner Supply Chain Top 25 retail candidates (n=43) Stage 3 to Stage 4 TBD Demand-Driven Business Value End-toEnd Oriented Metrics Growth Service Demand Management Gross Margin Improvement 3%-5% Reduction in Out-of-Stocks 20%-30% Inventory ▼15%-30% Obsolescence 10%-15% less Productivity Increase 5%-10% MIOE Revenue Improvement 2%-5% Better Customer Choice Inventory ▼15% Cash-2-Cash ▼35% Working Capital ▲15% Time-to-Market Lead Time Reduction Growth Potential Identification Value to Customers Cost/Service Choices Cost of Complexity Unneeded Variability Unique Value and Agility per Segment Gross Margin Improvement 3%-5% Better Service Asset Utilization ▲5%-10% Improved Productivity 3%-5% No Negative Service Impact Asset Utilization 3x Faster Runs 2x Supply Chain Segmentation Network Design Inventory Optimization Profit Growth 2x Proactive supply chain talent strategy Cost Agility Supply chain organization design (span of control) Demand-Driven Supply Chain Action Plan Monday Morning - Take the DDR self-assessment to gauge current maturity levels. Next 90 Days - Determine the role of your supply chain and how it should enable your business strategy. - Create and administer a supply chain skill set assessment. Next 12 Months - Compare your DDR initiatives to the recommended list. - Create your DDR process and technology road map. Recommended Gartner Research The 2012 Retail Handbook for Becoming Demand-Driven Mike Griswold, and others (G00229233) Toolkit: Assess Your Retail Value Chain Maturity Against the Five Demand-Driven Strategies Kevin Sterneckert, and others (G00211566) Key Issues for Retail Supply Chain Leaders, 2011: Aligning Planning and Execution Mike Griswold, Janet Suleski (G00210875) Demand-Driven Retailers Align Planning and Execution Across Their Supply Chains by Answering Three Key Questions Mike Griswold (G00209003) Demand-Driven Retail Supply Chains Use Three Critical Skill Sets to Balance Operational and Innovation Excellence Mike Griswold, Allen Johnson (G00207240) For more information, stop by Gartner Solution Central or email us at solutioncentral@gartner.com. Questions? Kevin Sterneckert – kevin.sterneckert@gartner.com Janet Suleski – janet.suleski@gartner.com