NATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AGRICULTURE FOR RABI CAMPAIGN (17-18TH SEPTEMBER, 2014) Kharif Review Rabi Prospects Strategies Dr. J. S. Sandhu Agriculture Commissioner Department of Agriculture & Cooperation, Ministry of Agriculture CROP PRODUCTION TARGETS:2014-15 (Million Tons/Bales) Kharif weather: South West Monsoon highly erratic, delayed onset and initially progress was quite slow and June end with 43% deficient. Eleven per cent deficit rains at National level and 19 % deficit in North West India Deficient rains in Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Marathwada(Maharashtra), Telangana, Coastal Andhra Pradesh , East MP Incidence of flash floods in J&K, Assam, Bihar, Eastern UP and Odisha, Cloud burst (Uttarakhand & HP); Contingency plan implemented for 565 districts No serious disease/insect-pests observed Crop Kharif Rabi-S 92.00 14.00 106.00 Wheat - 94.00 94.00 Barley Maize 17.00 1.75 6.00 1.75 23.00 Millets 14.25 2.50 16.75 Pulses 7.00 12.50 19.50 Food grains 130.25 130.75 261.00 Oilseeds 22.00 11.00 33.00 - - Rice Sugarcane Cotton (170 Kg Bales) Jute & Mesta (180 Kg Bales) Source: DAC, GOI Total 345.00 35.00 - - 11.20 CUMULATIVE RAINFALL(MM): 2002-2014 South-West Monsoon Season Actual Normal Departure (%) 1st June -30th Sept-2002 737.3 912.5 -19 1st June -09th Sept-2009 622.5 778.0 -20 1st June -12th Sept-2012 732.1 795.0 -8 1st June – 11th Sept-2013 834.1 788.2 6 1st June – 10th Sept-2014 699.0 781.5 -11 Source: IMD. SW Monsoon recorded -11% Less rains . Monsoon coverage: Out of 36 sub-divisions, 25 sub-divisions constituting 72% of the total area have received excess/normal and 11 sub-divisions constituting 28% of total area received “Deficient” rains. Only one sub-division (South Interior Karnataka) received excess rainfall 2014 2009 DISTRIBUTION OF RAINFALL PERCENTAGE) - AT DISTRICT LEVEL (IN 2009, 2012, 2013, 2014 EXCESS+NORMAL 80 DEFICIENT+SCANITY 70 74 70 60 55 60 50 54 42 58 50 40 40 26 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 2009 46 45 2012 2013 2014 2009 2012 2013 2014 Deficient/Scanty rainfall districts – 68 (UP), 22 (MP),21 (Haryana), 18 (Bihar) total 280 out of 641. Region wise live storage (%) of water in major reservoirs in 2014 & 2013. Region 2014 2013 Northern Region 72 95 Eastern Region Western Region Central Region Southern Region All India 10 Years Average 78 78 90 72 77 78 77 87 82 83 72 Out of 85 , 72 reservoirs more than 80% of normal storage & 13 reservoir below 80% of normal storage ( Tripura 39%, AP 50%, UP 51%) 2014 ( 120BCM), 2013 (129BCM) & 10 year average (111 BCM) Source: CWC, GOI. As on 11.09.2014 2014 live Storage 100% 95 90 90% 80% 72 2013 live Storage 78 78 87 78 77 83 82 72 77 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Northern Eastern Region Region Western Region Central Region Southern All India Region AREA COVERAGE OF KHARIF CROPS (LAKH HA) -----------------Lakh ( ha.)--------------- 2009 1050 850 2012 2013 2014 1033.63 999.18 983.68 902.53 650 450 250 50 ------------- Progress of Sowing --------------- Area in Million ha Kharif- 2014 Kharif-2013 50 Rice 36.66 36.78 -0.12 40 Maize 7.77 8.19 -0.42 30 9.82 11.30 -1.48 54.25 56.27 - 2.02 9.82 10 8.19 7.77 Millets Total Cereals 20 11.3 2013 change 36.78 2014 36.66 Crop 54.25 60 56.27 Area coverage of Kharif Cereal -2014 & -2013 0 Normal Area 54.92 Source: SDA -0.67 *As on 12.09.2014 Rice Maize Millets Total Cereals Area coverage of kharif Pulses-2014 & 2013 Area in Million ha 2014 2013 change Kharif-2013 9.92 10.62 Crop Kharif-2014 3.83 -0.32 10 Black gram 2.45 2.37 0.08 8 6 Moong 2.04 2.39 -0.35 Total pulses 9.92 10.62 -0.70 4 2.04 2.39 3.51 2.45 2.37 Arhar 3.51 3.83 12 Black gram Moong 2 0 Normal Area Source: SDAs 10.3 -0.38 *As on 12 09.2014 Arhar Total Kharif pulses Area coverage of Kharif Oilseeds 2014 & 2013 Kharif-2014 Kharif-2013 11.01 12.22 15 10 -1.21 5 Total Kharif Oilseeds Normal Area 12.22 -0.61 20 11.01 4.25 Groundnut 3.64 Soybean 2013 Change 4.25 2014 3.64 Crop 17.52 25 19.16 Area in Million ha 0 17.52 17.53 Source: SDAs 19.16 -1.63 . -0.01 *As on 12.09.2014 Groundnut Soybean Total Kharif Oilseeds AREA COVERAGE OF KHARIF CASH CROPS 2014 & 2013 14 Normal 2014 2013 change 12 Kharif-2013 11.35 Crop Kharif-2014 12.52 Unit: Area in Million ha 10 8 6 0.85 0.81 0.83 -0.02 2 0.83 4 0.81 Jute & Mesta 5.03 11.03 12.52 11.35 +1.17 4.87 Cotton 0 Sugarcane Source: SDA 4.83 4.87 5.03 *As on 12.09.2014 -0.15 Cotton Jute & Mesta Sugarcane Strategies for Rabi : 2014-15 Region specific Crop planning -Focus on the districts having higher area concentration of a crop; Pre-positioning Inputs: Seeds, bio-agents/ Agro- chemicals, Soil amendments- Lime , Gypsum, Fertilizers, Micro-nutrients Moisture Conservation & Timely sowing :Laser Land Leveller, Zero till Seed drill , Rotavator, Happy Seeder, Focus on Fallow Area: specifically fallow kharif (3.37 Million Ha) areas left unsown due to delayed monsoon Optimum & efficient use of conserved water: Microirrigation Promotion of Relay cropping / Intercropping: To enhance the production and profitability. REQUIREMENT & AVAILABILITY OF SEEDS FOR RABI: 2014-15 Crop Wheat REQUIREMENT AVAILABILITY (Lakh quintal) (Lakh quintal) DEFICIT/ SURPLUS SRR (2013-14) 112.53 116.85 (+) 4.32 34.2 1.06 1.13 (+) 0.07 25.7 Bengal gram Urd & Moong 16.11 15.72 (-) 0.39 22.8 1.35 1.62 (+) 0.27 44.8 Lentil 1.78 1.38 (-) 0.40 27.0 Rape seed & Mustard 2.64 2.70 (+) 0.06 64.1 Rabi Jowar Source: Seed Division, DAC, GOI. REQUIREMENT & AVAILABILITY OF FERTILIZERS FOR RABI: 2013-14 & RABI: 2014-15 Rabi: 2014-15 Rabi: 2013-14 Assessed requirement (Lakh tons) Total sales (Lakh Tons) Assessed requirement (Lakh Tons) Urea 171.96 153.55 164.08 DAP 45.26 36.73 47.87 MOP 14.87 10.93 15.41 NPK 52.53 42.55 50.21 SSP 42.85 20.95 35.08 Use of Bio-fertilizersMT (2013-14) 40324 MT (2011-12) Increases (62%) to 65528 Fertilizers • Azosprillium, Azotobacter, Rhizobium , Phosphate Solubilizing bacteria, Potash mobilizing bacteria reduce dose of N,P,K, fertilizer by 25%. •Use of micronutrients •Deficiency- Sulphur 46%, Zinc 49% Boron 33%; Molybdenum 13%; magnesium 5% Copper 3 %. Source: INM & FMS, DAC, GOI NEW INITIATIVES FOR RABI: 2014-15 To enhance pulses production North Eastern states & Hilly States included under NFSM- Pulses Additional Allocation of Rs 300 crores Promotion of Coarse grain cereals, all states included under NFSM – Coarse grain cereals Higher level seed subsidy for replanting where crops damaged during kharif season SPECIFIC ISSUES Yellow Rust & Karnal Bunt: strategy to management of these diseases Enforcement of Seed Certification Standards: wheat karnal bunt Area specific application of Micronutrients – sulphur , Molybdenum , Zinc , Boron , etc Promotion seed production during off season to make up the deficiency Advance planning for Summer pulses. WAY FORWARD Linkages & Coordination: SAU/ICAR Institutes/KVKs for technical backstopping & Other central ministries; Timely crop tracking & close monitoring of weather situation; and Timely implementation & monitoring of crop development programs. Thanks THANK YOU