NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | OCTOBER 9, 2014 Recent Developments That Affect North American Gas Supply Brian Morse Manager, Gas Supply Safe Harbor Statement Some of the statements in this document concerning future company performance will be forward-looking within the meanings of the securities laws. Actual results may materially differ from those discussed in these forward-looking statements, and you should refer to the additional information contained in Spectra Energy’s Form 10-K and other filings made with the SEC concerning factors that could cause those results to be different than contemplated in today's discussion. Reg G Disclosure In addition, today’s discussion includes certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under SEC Regulation G. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available on our website. NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 2 Recap: U.S. Gas Supply & Demand US Gas Production and Consumption 80 Dry Production Marketable, Bcf/day 70 Demand 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: EIA and other public data sources NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 3 Canadian Gas Exports to the U.S. (2007 vs. 2013) Sumas Alliance Northern & North Border Dakota Minnesota GTN Iroquois Niagara 1,000 Sumas (MMcf/d) 2,400 Northern Border (MMcf/d) 2,000 800 1,600 600 1,200 400 800 200 400 0 0 2007 2013 2,400 2007 GTN (MMcf/d) 1,600 2,000 Alliance & North Dakota 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2013 Minnesota (MMcf/d) (MMcf/d) 2007 800 1,200 800 400 400 0 0 2007 2013 2007 Niagara (MMcf/d) 2013 Iroquois (MMcf/d) 2007 2013 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1,200 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2013 2007 2013 Source: Energy Information Administration NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 4 Recap: Western Canada Production Gas Production 24 AB 22 BC Raw Gas Production, Bcf/d 20 18 16 14 13 Bcf/d 12 10 8 6 4 5 Bcf/d 2 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Alberta and B.C. Governments NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 5 Perspective on Horizontal Wells 215 m Calgary Skyline Montney Horn River Duvernay NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 6 B.C. Resource Estimates Gas In Place Estimates - 2013 Gas In Place Estimates - 2014 Horn River Horn River Montney Montney Cordova Cordova Liard Liard Conventional Conventional 0 500 0 1,000 Tcf 1,500 2,000 500 1,000 Tcf 1,500 2,000 Montney (liquids-rich) gas production is growing in all three sub-regions of Western Canada, in step with gathering, processing and liquids extraction infrastructure development. Source: Energy Briefing Note – The Ultimate Potential for Unconventional Petroleum from the Montney Formation of British Columbia and Alberta NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 7 2,000 Fort Nelson Asset Area Cumulative Feet Drilled, Thousands Cumulative Feet Drilled, Thousands B.C. Drilling Response to Lower Gas Exports 2008 2009 1,500 2010 2011 2012 1,000 2013 2014 500 0 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 Fort St. John Asset Area 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2,000 1,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cumulative Feet Drilled, Thousands 400 Source: B.C. Government 350 300 250 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Grizzly Valley Asset Area 2008 2009 2010 2011 200 150 100 50 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 8 Montney Production Responds to Drilling Tight Gas Production Montney TightMontney Gas Production MMcf/d Production,MMcf/d GasProduction, RawGas Raw 4,000 4,000 3,500 3,500 3,000 3,000 2,500 2,500 North Fairway BCBC North Fairway 650 MMcf/d South Fairway BCBC South Fairway ABAB Fairway Fairway 2,000 2,000 1,630 MMcf/d 1,500 1,500 1,000 1,000 500 500 0 0 2007 2007 900 MMcf/d 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Alberta and B.C. Governments NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 9 North-South Split Forecast 7 BC Montney Forecast Marketable Gas, Bcf/d 6 5 3.7 Bcf/d NEB BC Tight Gas Forecast 57% of B.C. Fairway acreage 4 North Montney 3 2 South Montney 2.8 Bcf/d 1 43% of B.C. Fairway acreage 0 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 Source: National Energy Board (NEB), 2013 NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 10 Utica is Established Marcellus Region Production 18,000 16,000 Raw Gas, MMcf/d 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Utica Region Gas Production 1,600 Raw Gas, MMcf/d 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 Marcellus Utica 600 400 200 2007 Source: EIA 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 11 Relative Ranking of Established Gas Supply Sources in North America Eagle Ford Marcellus Montney Barnett Haynesville Horn River Duvernay *Supply Cost: Includes capital costs, operating costs, transportation, government take and a 10% return under full field development Source: Wood Mackenzie, October 2011 via Nexen Investor Presentation 2012-07 NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 12 Gas Price vs. Gas Supply North America Gas Supply Cost Curve • North American gas supplies are large and have widely varying associated costs Breakeven Gas Price $/MMBtu $25.00 $20.00 • The recent shale gas supply surge has added large sources of supply with relatively low development costs $15.00 $10.00 $5.00 $0.00 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2,400 2,600 Tcf of Gas Available Tcf of Gas Available • There are approximately 900 Tcf available at a cost of supply of $4.00/Mcf, or less Quantity is not the issue... price is Source: 2011 MIT Study on the Future of Natural Gas, Figure 2.10 NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 13 How Much is 900 Tcf? • 900 Tcf available at $4.00/Mcf or less • Compared to U.S. and Canada’s cumulative gas demand • Includes LNG exports and domestic growth in residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation demand • Cumulative consumption does not reach 900 Tcf in the next 25 years * LNG Exports assumes first exports of 6 Bcf/day in 2015, increasing to 20 Bcf/d in 2022, then flat Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration and Canadian National Energy Board 2011 Forecast NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 14 NEB Export Permit Pending NEB Export Permit Obtained Proposed West Coast LNG Projects Size Bcf/d Location Imperial Oil/ExxonMobil Canada 3.8 Prince Rupert Nexen (CNOOC), INPEX, and JGC 3.1 Prince Rupert LNG Canada Prince Rupert LNG Pacific Northwest LNG Jordan Cove Energy Project Shell Canada, PetroChina Company, Korea Gas Corp and Mitsubishi Corp BG Group Progress Energy, PETRONAS and Japan Petroleum Exploration Company 3.1 Kitimat 2.7 Prince Rupert Ridley Island 2.7 Prince Rupert Lelu Island Veresen Inc. 1.6 Coos Bay, Oregon North Spit Kitimat LNG Apache Canada Limited and Chevron Canada Limited 1.3 Oregon LNG Leucadia National Corporation AltaGas Limited, Idemitsu Canada Corporation 1.3 Woodfibre LNG Limited Douglas Channel Gas Services, Haisla Nation, Golar LNG, LNG Partners LLC Canada Stewart Energy Group Ltd 0.3 Woodside Energy Ltd. 2.8 Kitsault Energy Quicksilver Resources Steelhead LNG Corp. and Huu-ay-aht First Nation WesPac Midstream Watson Island LNG Corp and City of Prince Rupert 2.6 2.6 Name Participants West Coast Canada LNG Aurora LNG Triton LNG Woodfibre LNG Project Douglas Channel LNG Stewart Energy LNG Grassy Point LNG Kitsault Energy Discovery LNG Steelhead LNG WesPac Watson Island LNG 0.3 0.2 3.8 Specific Pipeline Grassy Point or Tuck Inlet Grassy Point or Digby Island Douglas Channel Not determined Kitimat Bish Cove Warrenton, Skipanon Peninsula Oregon Kitimat or Prince Rupert Floating facility Squamish Old pulp mill site West bank of Douglas Kitimat Channel. Barge. Stewart Floating facility initially Point (on shore Prince Rupert Grassy or floating) Kitsault Floating facility initially Campbell River Elk Falls Mill site Not determined Coastal GasLink Pipeline (TCPL) Westcoast Connector Gas Transmission Project (Spectra Energy) Prince Rupert Gas Transmission Project (TCPL) Existing Fortis & GTN then new Pacific Connector Gas Pipeline (Williams & Veresen) Merrick Mainline (TCPL) and Pacific Trail Pipeline (Chevron) Oregon Pipeline to existing Williams pipeline Existing PNG Fortis and Spectra Existing PNG Not determined Not determined Not determined Not determined 0.8 0.4 Port Alberni Delta Sarita Bay Tilbury Island Not determined Existing or expanded Fortis small Prince Rupert Watson Island Not determined NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 15 B.C. LNG Locations Stewart Kitsault Prince Rupert Kitimat Campbell River Squamish Port Alberni Delta NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 16 Oregon LNG Locations GTN Warrenton NWP Coos Bay Malin Proposed Connector NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 17 Reaction to China Russia Gas Supply Announcement Massive Russia-China gas deal to shake up LNG markets The Globe and Mail Russia-China Natural Gas Deal to Set LNG Price Floor Bank of America Russia-China gas deal puts heat on BC’s LNG sector Vancouver Sun Russia-China gas deal could squeeze economics of Canadian LNG projects TD Russia and China’s $400 billion natural gas deal is bad news for BC LNG. Canadian Business 3.8 Bcf/d x 30 years The world does not need Canadian LNG former Shell exec China’s natural gas supply options greatly exceed market requirements CanadaWest Foundation NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 18 Russian Supply Perspective Russian Gas Movement 90 80 Bcf/d, Marketable Gas 70 LNG Exports to Asia Exports to Europe & FSU Consumption 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2012 2013 Russian Gas Deal 3.8 Bcf/d in 2018 Comparator: N.A. Gas Production 2014 Source: Gazprom, Rosneft, Novatek, BP Statistical Review of World Energy NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 19 China Demand Perspective China - Energy Consumption by Type 4,500 4,000 Million Tonnes Oil Equivalent 3,500 3,000 Renewables Hydro Nuclear Coal Gas Oil 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2012 2013 Russian Gas Deal 3.8 Bcf/d in 2018 2035 Comparator: Total China Energy US & Canada Demand Forecast 2013 Consumption Source: Energy Information Administration, BP Energy Outlook, International Energy Agency NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 20 New U.S. Demand Identified GTL • High returns with methane feedstock prices low and liquid products prices high • Smaller strategically placed projects expected to be funded • Proposed locations in Marcellus-Utica, Gulf Coast and Rockies currently Methanol • Used as a petrochemical feedstock and to produce gasoline • Low cost gas feedstock and rising demand worldwide for methanol attract investment • Facilities planned in Gulf Coast area and West Coast for export to China Fertilizer • Producing ammonia and nitrogen requires natural gas for hydrogen content and heat energy • Domestic demand is up and feedstock (gas) prices are down • Planned locations more spread out than GTL or Methanol Transportation • Road, rail, and shipping industries gradually migrating to natural gas fuel • Proposed facilities dedicated to large airports Magnitude 3 Bcf/d Demand Growth (to 2018) Transportation 500 mmcf/d 17% Fertilizer 1,100 MMcf/d 37% GTL 400 MMcf/d 13% Methanol 1,000 MMcf/d 33% NORTHEAST B.C. COAL & ENERGY FORUM | 21 Recognized by: