CASH & CARRY Cash & carry in the modern retail market November 2013 planetretail.net 1 MILOŠ RYBA Research Director - Emerging Markets Contents 1. Channel overview of cash & carry and wholesale clubs 2. Trends in the cash & carry sector 3. Case Study: Metro Group - Metro (Makro) Cash & Carry 4. Conclusion and key takeaways 2 1. Overview of the cash & carry and wholesale clubs channel 1. Channel overview of cash & carry and wholesale clubs The cash & carry and wholesale clubs (CC&WC) channel is set to grow annually at the rate of around 6.2% in the next five years. The majority of the growth will come from the wholesale clubs format. Global: Channel Sizes by Sales, 2008e-2018f (USD bn) Retail Banner Sales (USD bn) 2,500 2,000 2008 2013 2018 1,500 1,000 500 0 Hypermarkets & Superstores 4 Note: e – estimate; f – forecast Source: Planet Retail Supermarkets & Neighbourhood stores Discount stores Convenience & Forecourt stores Cash & carries & Wholesale clubs Drugstores, Pharmacies & Perfumeries Online 1. Channel overview of cash & carry and wholesale clubs Wholesale clubs operator Costco and Carrefour’s hybrid concept of hypermarket / cash & carry will outperform cash & carry operators such as Metro Group in the next five years. Global: Top 10 CC&WC Operators’ Revenue, 2013f-2018f (USD mn) 180,000 159,503 160,000 Revenue (USD bn) 140,000 2013f 2018f 120,000 107,565 100,000 94,083 75,917 80,000 58,162 60,000 46,630 40,000 18,952 20,000 10,546 13,405 16,818 9,181 11,349 6,525 8,370 7,742 8,100 4,439 5,333 1,350 4,886 0 Costco 5 Note: f – forecast Source: Planet Retail Walmart Metro Group Carrefour BJ's Wholesale Club SHV Makro Coop (CH) Booker Bestway CP All