Developers Working Group 14 April 2011 Welcome Domestics Rest rooms Fire alarm (Stewards will direct) Smoking Liv Garfield - CEO Openreach Agenda 1.15pm Builders and Developers Portal 1.30pm SOD Payment Updates 2.00pm Building Policy Updates and New Sites Fibre Kit 2.30pm New Sites Product Roadmap 3.00pm NSRs and Site Office Lines 3.30pm Coffee break 3.50pm Next meeting topics 4.00pm Leading Edge Marketing 4.30pm Liv Garfield Openreach CEO 5.00pm Close Caution advised Some information in this presentation relates to plans currently under development and are subject to consultation, and may be subject to change Information in this presentation is subject to change Builders and Developers Portal Kerry Nutley Site Map Discussion - Ideas for Future Releases • Online registration process which triggers activity planning • Ability for developers to submit (upload) and share documents with Openreach • Ability to interact in real time with Openreach systems to create newsites job, initiate planning activity and allow tracking of progress • Track Service On Demand payments • Other ideas? HBF Service On Demand Payment Didier Cordina Background Building a new site from the telecom perspective involves off site and on site costs a) Reinforcement cost b) SOD payment c) Site office £ out £ in Offsite cost also known as Reinforcement The only element that is Chargeable at this stage is the network between the premise and the existing network 163 How much do we charge ? Network Reinforcement = Total scheme costs – Total Exemption Allowance The good news is that there is an ample allowance per unit i.e plot Total Exemption Allowance = No. of Units x £3,400 So for large schemes - it is unlikely that a charge might be raised On site cost, also related to SOD payment SOD payment support developers civils onsite costs Openreach provides appropriate materials / stores as per contract Developer installs Openreach material and Openreach performs a quality check Once all snagging issues are completed Purchase order is raised by developer then payment is made Openreach then installs its network apparatus end to end at its own cost 163 SOD payment levels pre 1st April 2011 • The Service on Demand Payment is a payment that Openreach and other Telecommunication providers provide to Developers once they have installed ducts & chambers to Openreach specification when constructing a new site, so we can later provision our network apparatus • The SOD agreement currently stands between Openreach and the Home Builders Federation (HBF) who negotiations the rate on behalf of their members • SOD payments paid to HBF members. • London - £151 per Single Dwelling Unit • Outside London - £135 • Scotland - £128 • North England - £118 • All flats across the country were - £47 • Payment to be made for 4 or more plots only. • Payment was done when contract was ‘’complete’’ : SOD payment levels from 1st April 2011 • London - £151 per Single Dwelling Unit • Outside London - £140 • All flats across the country were - £50 • Payment to be made for 11 or more plots only • Quality check and payment to be done every 25 plots • Rates subject to review in 4 Years time. • Agreement to a reference to the installation of any communications electronic apparatus (subject to survey and availability) rather than just copper to take into consideration of Next Generation Access (NGA) Site Office Overview – Developer completing on-site plant The only element that is Chargeable at this stage is the network between the site boundary and the existing network 163 Questions? Planning Policy and New Fibre Kit Brian Currie and Martin Porter Builder’s Guide: Contents 3 Welcome to Openreach 4 How to contact your nearest newSites office 6 Make the Openreach newSites office your first port of call 8 The Openreach policy for the supply of telephony services on new developments 9 Alterations to the Openreach network 10 Avoiding damage to the Openreach underground network 11 Miscellaneous charges and how they apply 12 Making the infrastructure work for you 14 Arrangement of carriageway roadcrossings 15 Arrangement of mains services 16 Pre-formed chamber system 17 Non-standard frames and covers 18 Jointing chamber construction JBF 104/106 20 Specifications for Carriageway Chamber 22 New External Termination Point (NTE) 24 Entry into flats and business properties 26 Openreach standard wiring guide 29 Broadband provision 30 Diverse routing 30 Blown fibre tubing 31 Wayleaves 31 Lightning protection 32 The Openreach payments process 34 newSites stores list 37 newSites stores order form New Sites Product Roadmap Chris McEwan & Kerry Nutley What does the Openreach New Sites solution look like? The ultimate e2e solution for New Sites is based on the Openreach Fibre To The Premise (FTTP) technology and products. These products are already being deployed in Brownfield as part of our NGA roll-out but in many respects the New Sites solution is different. 3 main factors shape the product – the needs of our customers (Developers and CPs), the nature of New Sites development planning/build and very different New Sites service take-up volumes Openreach Story: Modular architecture “Pre-installed” ONT Remote provision of voice and data services Positive customer experience and RFT Developer Story: CP Story: Increased sales Fibre enabled from start (no post sale civils or build activity) Homes Ready for the future (PAS 2016…) FTTP Easy to consume (similar/better than Brownfield) Quality voice-over-fibre Efficient RFS and addressing solution Information in this presentation is subject to change What does the Openreach New Sites solution look like? Customer Experience Consistent with FTTP Brownfield for CP/EU New requirement to support site developer/agent – site plans, phasing, build coordination, manage SOD payments Plan &Build Modular architecture based on 32 way split/blown fibre Flexible approach to support new sites environment Phased approach to build Build up to splitter node Plot Call-Off Build up to ONT Register ONT serial number Prove basic connectivity (Sync between ONT/OLT) Ready For Service/Support address matching post plot call-off Builders guide to provide recommendations on build options L2C Analogous to FTTP Brownfield “home move/existing ONT” scenario Remote delivery of services - data/FVA/Multicast T2R Re-use existing capabilities – Test & diagnostics etc. Accommodate new network architecture – Main Fault Locations New Site Product Development Fibre Voice Access Tactical New Sites Deploy Fibre to the Premises GEA to New Sites (Greenfield) premises with a copper underlay Deploy Tubing Only to New Sites New Site P&B Status/Developer’s Portal New Sites Network Design Strategic New Sites - Plan, Build & Record Strategic New Sites - Plot Call-off Strategic New Sites - In-fill Strategic New Sites - L2C Strategic New Sites - T2R Futures Anchor product Further fibre alternatives for mixed/commercial premises Home wiring propositions Smart metering Information in this presentation is subject to change New Site Deployment Tactical deployments underway – Copper underlay/fibre overlay sites All other sites future enabled, including tubing Early view of Strategic New Sites deployment plan 2 or 3 phase roll-out Phase 1 - 1 to 5 sites November 2011 to October 2012, target 200 to 500 planned, 50 plots calledoff, 25 occupied by July 2012, limited copper contingency (built-in but not offered) Phase 2 - significant additional sites starting March 2012 building up to national roll-out March 2013 - All Tactical New Sites activity ceases (Copper Underlay process & tubing deployment) and in-progress developments switch to FTTP on strategic deployment Information in this presentation is subject to change Discussion Point What other products and services do you require? • IRS • Network for smart metering • Internal Wiring • Kit cupboards November Pilot Request We are looking for: 5 sites across NGA footprint Sites to have 75 - 100 plots MDUs and SDUs on site Mix of demographics Mix of building type, commercial, residential, signage, bus stops Plans to be received by November, Openreach plans will be returned by end of December Circa 20% occupancy in July Involvement in pre design meetings Partnership working on site Feedback on lessons learnt In return: Support of subject experts across Openreach Your input into building new products and service First mover advantage of new fibre only service Introduction to CPs Collateral for show home marketing if required SOD payment Information in this presentation is subject to change Announced Exchanges For More Information http://www.openreachcommunications.co.uk/superfast/where -and-when/ Information in this presentation is subject to change New Sites Rep and New Site Office Lines Phil Orr Service Delivery to Site Offices Industry complaints to the OTA about service delivery to site offices – long lead times and high cost. Working group with UKCG established: • • • • Root cause analysis of failed jobs Site distribution points introduced Site survey fee (in advance of order) trialled, but limited demand at the time Jobs cancelled by systems – systems improvements made. • Process trial to reduce internal hand offs and reduce survey time to <5 days. • Working with the UK construction group representatives monitor live orders Information in this presentation is subject to change Order Monitoring • • • Live order monitoring exercise tracking orders submitted by the UKCG. On completion, learning will be used to drive further process improvement. Learning so far…. 24.3.2011 Learning point Update Owner Status 24.3.2011 Site office orders on hot sites process to be clarified Site offices on hot sites to be progressed as hot site orders. Openreach Closed. 24.3.2011 Use of excessive LADs when no/minimal network build required. Business improvement manager appointed Openreach In progress 24.3.2011 Default LADs (20/30 days) used. No specific calculation. Policy to be clarified. Business improvement manager appointed Openreach In progress 24.3.2011 ECC and LAD entered incorrectly (wrong format) Openreach In progress 24.3.2011 FLOW system errors – orders not processed Openreach In progress 24.3.2011 Order entered with unrealistic CRD/appointment (March – site ready until May) CP Pending 24.3.2011 Why escalate jobs when not delayed or failed? CP Pending Information in this presentation is subject to change Business improvement manager appointed Under investigation Profile of Time to Survey in Openreach Process Improvement Trial • • • • Next steps • Process refinement to enable more accurate performance measurement, continue trial. • Develop national measure to sustain process improvement 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 1 21 41 61 81 101 141 June 2010 25 20 15 10 5 0 April 2011 (trial) Information in this presentation is subject to change 121 Cases 1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97 105 113 121 129 137 145 153 161 169 • Site office survey process is not working: • too many internal hand-offs • lead times >12 days • site office survey priority in planning work stacks Taking advantage of Network Investment transformation to focus field planners on site surveys Survey appointment with site representative within 1 working day Excess construction charges and line plant available dates calculated no later than the day after survey Survey lead time reduced from 6.91 (baseline before trial) to 4.35 working days. Maximum lead time reduced from 49 days to 22 days. Days • 60.00 Planning Structural Changes Information in this presentation is subject to change Next DWG and Feedback Coffee CEO Openreach Liv Garfield Openreach has come a long way within BT Group in 5 years Openreach is created to stimulate competition and innovation 2006 2007 Large scale Investment in the network LLU hits 1.5m milestone as Sky and Talk Talk enter the market 2008 Major price cuts Significant in access and infrastructure build, backhaul LLU, WBC Ethernet NGA 2009 Announcement of ground breaking NGA plans- GEA is born 2010 4m Homes Passed with Fibre and roll out accelerating 2011 FTTC launched , BT 1st Developers Infinity comes to market Working Group Other CP’s prepare to At BT Tower Go to market A better NOW business New Site FTTP Strategy discussed here at the Emirates In 12 months we have created a strong fibre presence working with CP’s as Openreach accelerates the infrastructure delivery programme • 4 million+ premises already passed > 400 exchanges live > 10,000 cabinets live • On track for 10 million premises passed by end 2012 and 66% of the Country by 2015 • Openreach’s products (GEA) have been accepted as “fit for purpose” by industry. • > 500 customers and 12 ISPs trialling FTTP in Milton Keynes and North London • Full FTTP launch scheduled for 11/12 • DETI* deployment in Northern Ireland completes in May 2011. Cornwall deployment is well underway. BT Infinity is establishing itself as both a consumer and a business brand Now we want to work together with you to make Fibre Broadband a reality in all new homes and businesses To Summarise We understand that you have choice of telecommunications provider Openreach enables you to provide choice of telecommunications provider on your sites We want to work across the industry in Partnership to build a fibre future for the UK We want to work with you to shape that future Leading Edge Market Insight Mel Budd GB Construction Output - Trends and Forecast Mel Budd of Leading Edge – Construction Forecasting & Market Research Specialists 14th April 2011 51 Introduction to Leading Edge Marketing and research consultancy, founded in 1988 Specialists in the construction sector Our core services to clients include: – Market and sales forecasting – Market research – Marketing strategy – Customer service measurement and benchmarking Worked with Openreach in 2010 52 Example clients – housebuilders & building contractors Ashe Construction Gratte Brothers BAM Construct Interserve Rail Beard Ltd Kier Group Bowmer & Kirkland Leadbitter Bouygues Miller Cosmur Construction MITIE Costain Morgan Est plc EPS plc SGB Contracts ETSU Contracts Shanks Waste Geoffrey Osborne Willmott Dixon 53 Construction output 54 Construction output back on track? Output value in £M (2005 prices) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2005 2006 2007 All new work 2008 2009 2010 All R&M work 55 The last quarter in 2010 showed first decline for over a year Construction output & orders £m (2005 prices) 20,000 17,500 15,000 12,500 10,000 7,500 5,000 2,500 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005 2006 2007 Output 2009 Orders 2005 - 2010 actual figures Source: ONS 2008 56 2010 Significant differences in growth rates by region Regional new construction output % change (current prices) - excluding infrastructure South South Midlands East (E) East (W) & Wales Year South West Scotland East North West North East London Total 2009 -20.7 -14.8 -23.6 -17.0 -22.0 -18.7 -25.8 -28.9 -16.1 -21.3 2010 29.7 23.2 16.4 10.0 7.7 6.7 4.4 4.2 2.0 9.9 57 Construction forecasts 58 Different types of forecasting models Causal forecasting model Time series forecasting model Qualitative forecasting 59 Example of output from forecasting model Commercial construction output - rolling 12 months actual v predicted 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Predicted 60 Actual 10 20 09 20 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 0 20 £m Constant 2005 prices 35,000 20 05 Q 20 1 05 Q 20 2 05 Q 20 3 05 Q 20 4 06 Q 20 1 06 Q 20 2 06 Q 20 3 06 Q 20 4 07 Q 20 1 07 Q 20 2 07 Q 20 3 07 Q 20 4 08 Q 20 1 08 Q 20 2 08 Q 20 3 08 Q 20 4 09 Q 1 Speedy Hire sales forecasting model R squared 0.96 Actual sales Forecast sales 61 One dominating factor in construction sector forecasts Government Department 2009 /10 2014 / 15 % change Communities & Local Government (incl HCA) 9.4 2.0 -78.7 Education 7.5 3.4 -54.7 Health 5.4 4.6 -14.8 62 New and R&M (repair and maintenance) construction output Output value in £M (2005 prices) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 All new work 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 All R&M work Source: ONS and Leading Edge 63 2015 Output in 2011 is forecast to be 2.3% lower than 2010 Historic and forecast construction output by sector % change - constant 2005 prices 2009 Act 2010 Act 2011 F'cast 2012 F'cast 2013 F'cast 2014 F'cast 2015 F'cast 5.6 47.8 -19.6 -23.5 -11.5 -8.7 0.0 Housing - private -25.0 10.4 5.4 5.5 5.2 5.7 6.0 Housing - total -20.2 18.2 -1.1 -0.6 2.5 3.7 5.3 Infrastructure 14.5 22.2 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.8 -0.8 Public 33.0 32.9 -17.4 -17.4 -8.9 -7.3 -5.3 Industrial -31.5 13.9 0.6 7.6 13.2 9.3 4.3 Commercial -23.5 -0.3 1.8 4.3 5.8 5.8 2.9 TOTAL NEW WORK -12.4 13.9 -2.6 -0.8 2.5 3.0 2.0 R&M housing - public -3.6 0.5 -13.4 -5.7 -6.0 -4.3 0.0 R&M housing - private -11.9 3.8 3.0 1.9 2.8 2.7 1.8 TOTAL R&M - housing -8.9 2.5 -3.2 -0.6 0.0 0.6 1.3 -10.6 -12.9 -0.2 0.6 2.3 1.7 1.7 -9.8 -6.1 -1.7 0.0 1.2 1.2 1.5 -11.4 6.4 -2.3 -0.5 2.0 2.4 1.9 Housing - public TOTAL R&M - non housing TOTAL R&M TOTAL ALL WORK Source: ONS and Leading Edge 64 Some sectors will see growth on the 2007 peak Historic and forecast construction output by sector £000m - constant 2005 prices Housing - public Housing - private Housing - total Infrastructure Public Industrial Commercial TOTAL NEW WORK R&M housing - public R&M housing - private TOTAL R&M - housing TOTAL R&M - non housing TOTAL R&M TOTAL ALL WORK % change - all work 2007 Act 2.9 18.0 20.9 7.0 6.4 5.6 29.4 69.3 6.2 10.8 16.9 22.0 38.9 108.3 2.4 2008 Act 2.7 14.6 17.3 8.1 7.5 4.5 30.0 67.3 6.3 11.2 17.5 22.3 39.7 107.1 -1.1 Source: ONS and Leading Edge 65 2009 Act 2.9 10.9 13.8 9.2 9.9 3.1 22.9 59.0 6.1 9.8 15.9 19.9 35.8 94.8 -11.4 2010 Act 4.2 12.1 16.3 11.3 13.2 3.5 22.9 67.2 6.1 10.2 16.3 17.3 33.7 100.8 6.4 2011 F'cast 3.4 12.7 16.1 11.6 10.9 3.5 23.3 65.4 5.3 10.5 15.8 17.3 33.1 98.5 -2.3 2012 F'cast 2.6 13.4 16.0 11.8 9.0 3.8 24.3 64.9 5.0 10.7 15.7 17.4 33.1 98.0 -0.5 Residential – housing and flat development trends Comparison of flat and housing completions - England only 110,000 100,000 90,000 Completions 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Houses Source: DCLG & Leading Edge 2009 2010 2011 2012 Flats 66 2013 2014 2015 Residential and offices will take a greater share of output New construction output £m current prices - key sectors Market % of total market - % of total market 2010 (actual) 2015 (forecast) Residential 33.9 39.0 Offices 12.7 16.0 Retail 10.6 12.2 Education 17.8 9.5 Industrial 6.4 8.7 10.4 8.3 8.1 6.3 Leisure / Entertainment Health Source: ONS & Leading Edge 67 Growth Our view on the next 2 years in the construction sector It’s going to get worse before it gets better BUT Companies focussing on the right sectors and regions still see revenue growth, but margins will be tight can How does this compare with your view / experience? 68 Leading Edge Delivering a better understanding of customers and markets www.lead-edge.co.uk 69