Chinese Finance of Overseas Infrastructure

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Chinese Finance of Overseas

Infrastructure

Professor Deborah Brautigam

School of International Service

American University

Washington DC

(1) History Lessons

China’s Domestic Infrastructure

Focus in 1978: “120 Projects”

• 30 Electric Power Stations

• 6 Trunk Railways

• 8 Coal Mines

• 10 Steel Plants

• 5 Harbors

• 9 Non-ferrous Metal Complexes

• 10 New Oil & Gas Fields

How to Finance These?

• Deng Xiaoping (1975 “20 Points”)

“In order to hasten the exploration of our coal and petroleum, it is possible that on the condition of equality and mutual benefit , and in accordance with accepted practices of international trade such as deferred and installment payments , we may sign long-term contracts with foreign countries and fix several production sites where they will supply complete sets of modern equipment required by us, and we will pay for them with the coal and oil we produce .”

Japan’s Long-Term Trade

Agreement with China (1978)

• $10 billion modern complete plants & turnkey projects from Japan: line of credit

(deferred payment basis)

• Repay with $10 billion in exports of crude oil and coal

China’s Finance of African

Infrastructure: Past Examples

Tazara/ Tan-Zam Railway

(1976)

Kinkon & Tinkisso

Hydropower in Guinea

(1974)

Bouenza Hydropower in

Congo (1980)

Goma Hydropower in

Sierra Leone (1986)

Nouakchott Deep Sea Port

(1986)

Plaisance Airport Terminal

Mauritius (1983)

CAR Broadcasting Station

(1983)

Luapula Bridge Zambia

(1983)

Woretawoldya Highway

Ethiopia (1983)

Rebuilding Railway

Botswana (1986)

Hargeysa Water Supply

Somalia (1987)

Bardera Dam Somalia

(1987)

Nouakchott Water Supply

(1987)

Madagascar No. 35

Highway (1988)

Ouesso Water Supply

Congo (1990)

(2) From Aid to Economic

Cooperation: Building Business

China International Hydroelectric

Corporation feasibility study for Imboulou

(Republic of Congo) Hydroelectric Station

(1982)

2 nd Bamako Bridge (King Fahd Bridge), Mali, built by Chinese company … financed by

Saudi Arabia (1990-1992)

China and the West

• West: aid (ODA) now de-linked from investment, trade

• China: a different model, mostly not aid/ODA

• Chinese government funds (“economic cooperation”) => investment, trade

(3) Chinese Overseas Finance:

Institutions & Instruments

( ODA /Non-ODA)

• MOFCOM Grants & Zero-Interest Loans

• Eximbank 1994

– Concessional rmb loans (ODA) 1995

– Export buyer’s credits 2000

– Preferential export buyers credits (not ODA)

– Export sellers credits => suppliers’ credits

– Guarantees

• Other Policy Loans (China Development Bank)

• Equity (China-Africa Development Fund)

• Commercial Banks (ICBC, China Constr. Bank)

China Eximbank Annual

Disbursements 2002-2009

(worldwide)

Commodity-linked

Infrastructure Credits: 4 Varieties

(A) Commodity-Backed line of credit for multiple projects (Angola, Eq. Guinea)

-- Deferred payment in commodities (oil)

-“Agency of restraint”

Resource-backed Infrastructure

Credits & Loans

• Widely misunderstood as ODA (official aid)

• Market-rate line of export buyer’s credit?

• Non-transparent

• Tied to Chinese goods & services

• “Request based”

• Secured by resources

Angola: 33 Projects for $1b

(2004-2007)

• Ag. Machinery & equipment $22m

• 4 Irrigation systems

$93m

• Luanda electricity system: $45m

• Water treatment system repair in 3 cities: $21m

• 5 agricultural training institutions

• 6 polytechnical colleges

• 5 secondary schools:

$26m

• Kifangondo-Caxito road: $211m

• 86 ambulances

• 6 provincial health centers

• Rehab. 7 regional hospitals …etc. etc.

(B) Commodity-Backed Single

Project Loan-Compensatory Trade

Agreement

-- Ghana Bui Dam package (cocoa)

-- Congo Imboulou Dam (oil)

(C) Commodity-Backed lines of credit combined with natural resource exploitation

• DRC: Gécamines JV

• Non-concessional

DRC Infrastructure & “Chinese corridor”

Source: Le Monde 2009

(4) Loan package to develop oil or mineral resource & related infrastructure

Sudan: 1996 concessional loan

Gabon? Mauritania?

So far, rather rare.

Table 1: Chinese Companies: Annual Turnover from Construction Projects in Africa, 1998-2008

25000

20000

15000

10000

5000

0

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Source: MOFCOM (courtesy of Jean-Claude Berthelemy)

Economic Cooperation Turnover,

Top 5 Countries

3500

3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Angola Nigeria Ethiopia Equatorial Guinea Sudan

Other Issues

• Lower embezzlement risks

• But high “kickback” risks with “requestbased” project finance

• Collusive bidding risks

• Independent consultant engineers & quality control

• Value for money?

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