ENGINEERING ECONOMICS LECTURE 6 PART 2 صافى القيمة الحالية2- Net present value (NPV) : Net present value (NPV) is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a period of time. صافي القيمة الحالية :NPVهو الفرق بين القيمة الحالية للتدفقات النقدية والقيمة الحالية للتدفقات النقدية الخارجة على مدى فترة زمنية. التدفقات النقدية الخارجة التدفقات النقدية الداخلة cash inflows – cash out flows صافى القيم الحالية = NPV Example 1: A project with a 3-year life and a cost of 100,000 generates revenue of 25,000 in year 1, 45,000 in year 2, and 65, 000 in year 3. If the discount rate is 8%, what is the NPV of the project? solution year Cash flow DCF @8% معامل الخصم Present Value 0 1 (100,000) 25,000 1.0 0.9259 (100,000) 23,148.15 2 3 NPV 45,000 65,000 0.8573 0.7938 13,327.50 38,580.25 51,599.10 Net Present value (NPV) = 23,148.15+ 38,580.25+ 51,599.10 -100,000 = 13,327.50 NPV > zero NPV is positive then project should be accepted. Example2: A project with a 4-year life and a cost of 225,000 generates revenue of 48,000 in year 1, 67,000 in year 2, 95, 000 in year 3 and 110,000 in year 4. If the discount rate is 15%, Can be accepted the project? solution DCF @15% معامل الخصم year Cash flow 0 (225,000.00) 1.00 1 48,000.00 0.8696 2 67,000.00 0.7561 3 95,000.00 0.6575 4 110,000.00 0.5718 Present Value (225,000.00) 41,739.13 50,661.63 62,464.04 62,892.86 (7,242.34) NPV Net Present value (NPV) = 41,739.13+ 50,661.63+ 62,464.04+ 62,892.8 -225,000.00 = - 7,242.34 NPV < zero NPV is negative then project should be not accepted. 3- Internal Rate of Return (IRR):معدل العائد الداخلى Internal Rate of Return is the interest rate that makes the Net Present Value Zero. STEPS OF CALCULATION OF IRR Step 1: Select 2 discount rates for the calculation of NPVs You can start by selecting any 2 discount rates on a random basis that will be used to calculate the net present values in Step 2. It is important not to select discount rates that are ridiculously distant from the IRR (e.g. 10% and 90%) as it could undermine accuracy. Step 2: Calculate NPVs of the investment using the 2 discount rates You shall now calculate the net present values of the investment on the basis of each discount rate selected in Step 1. Step 3: Calculate the IRR Using the 2 discount rates from Step 1 and 2 calculate net present values . Then you shall calculate the IRR Step 4: Interpretation Example: if you want to invest 350,000 in a Hardware business. The cash inflows during the first, second and third years are expected to be 125,000, 150,000 and 170,000 respectively. Cost of capital is 11% Calculate the IRR for the proposed investment and interpret your answer. solution Step 1 : Select 2 discount rates R1 = 10% and R2 = 15% Step 4 : Interpretation The investment should be accepted because the cost of capital (11 %) is lower than the IRR of 12.44%