The making of the Cold War Potsdam on Germany • The Conference was organised in a Berlin suburb between July 17th and August 2nd, 1945. • The division of Germany and Austria into four respective occupation zones (US, British, French and Soviet) was sealed. • In addition to returning to post-Versailles borders, Germany would lose a number of territories: Silesia, Pomerania and parts of East Prussia to Poland and the rest of East Prussia with Konigsberg (now Kaliningrad) to the USSR. German population was about to be forcefully resettled from those territories into Germany. • Germany was also tasked with paying reparations for the war • Policy toward postwar Germany was agreed on to be based on 4Ds: • Denazification – removing Nazi people and instutions from public life, making Nazi leaders answer personally for the war • Demilitarisation – completely disbanding Nazi armed forces • Decartelisation – disbanding or dividing big industrial conglomerates, public or private, that were responsible for running Nazi war economy • Demoracratisation – imposing a political system on Germany that would make it a stable democracy; a part of it was decentralisation (sometimes called the 5th D) – creating a federal government with strong powers at provincial level, just like in the US Nuremberg and Tokyo Trials • As a a part of denazification, a special military tribunal was set up in 1945 to try Nazi leaders for war crimes, as well as crimes against peace (crime of aggression) and crimes against humanity that were defined for the first time in Nuremberg Charter, which meant that international law was made to act backward in time. • 12 out of 22 Nazi leaders, including Goring, Ribbentrop and Frank, were sentenced to death by hanging. Some had committed suicide before the sentence or before the execution. A few of the indicted expressed repentance. • In 1946, a similar International Military Tribunal for the Far East was created in Tokyo, sentencing 7 Japanese to death by hanging for the same set of crimes as above, including two former prime ministers, Tojo and Hirota. • Similar trials were held for Nazi allies (e.g. Norway tried and executed Quisling in 1945 and Romania did the same with Antonescu in 1946). The hunt for Nazi war criminals who had escaped continued long after the war, mostly by Israeli services. Their greatest success would the capture of Adolf Eichmann in Argentina in 1960. He was then tried and executed in Israel. • No war crimes committed by the Allies, like the bombing of Dresden or the firebombing of Tokyo, were tried. Creation of the United Nations • Before the war was officially over, on June 26th, 1945 in San Francisico a global organisation was created by the Allied countries – the UN. It replaced the League of Nations as the most important. But while the League had the headquarters in Geneva, the UN had it in New York. • The UN focus was peace and security, though it covered also socio-economic issues like human rights (the Universal Declaration of Human Rights was adopted in 1948). The UN became a parent organisation for a whole number of organisations, including important economic ones like International Bank of Reconstruction and Development (IBRD, called the World Bank) and International Monatary Fund (IMF), both created earlier, in 1944 in Bretton Woods. • Membership in the UN meant being a part of the global community. States not in the UN had problems with being recognised by other states. Enemy states like Germany, Japan, Romania, Hungary etc. weren’t part of it at first. They had to make an effort to join, and their acceptance wasn’t automatic. It depended largely on joint support of the ‚Five Policemen’ – the US, the UK, the USSR, China, and France. • They were called the Parmanent Five or P-5 because only they held positions on the Securiy Council of the UN all the time with the right to veto. The Security Council had the biggest responsibility and the biggest power to impose various sanctions, including use of force. The General Assembly, where all countries, big and small, were represented, had less power. • It created a system in which international action depended on agreement between P-5. Countries that had to wait to enter the UN or became powerful only after 1945, like Japan, Germany, India or Brazil, have never been given that special position, they could only be elected as non-permanent members of the Security Council, without the right to veto. As of 2023, even though the world has changed very much since 1945, this situation stays the same. The Soviet strategy toward the postwar order • The USSR participated in creation of the new order, but at the same time it tried to turn as many countries as possible into Soviet satellite states, preparing for the expected clash between Communism and Western democracies – World War 3. It also continued the buildup of its armies. • In countries the Red Army occupied in Central and East Europe it put Communists in power, introduced reforms mostly popular among workers and farmers like land reform, and acted to brutally eliminate all internal opposition to Soviet rule. The promise to hold free elections in countries under Soviet control like Poland, Czechoslovakia or Hungary made by Stalin in Yalta was not fulfilled. • The Soviet Union also infiltrated the West. It supported Communist parties in Italy, France and Germany which had large support and were close to winning elections because of popularity of leftist ideas in Europe destroyed by war. The USSR also built a spy network in the US to steal the groundbreaking technology of producing nuclear weapons, which were a game changer for any future war. Soviet efforts to have their own atomic bomb would succeed in 1949. It was detonated in Semipalatinsk in today’s Kazakhstan. Poland as a case of Soviet policies (I) • In Poland, Stalin was more careful in building a Communist regime because unlike most of countries in Central Europe Poland was not a Nazi ally and an important member of the Allies, so the West at least pretended that it cared what would happen to it. • Guerilla warfare against the Communist takeover continued by radical remnants of the Underground State and the Home Army (often called ‚forsaken soldiers’) was being physically eliminated, its leaders imprisoned and executed, including the Polish war hero who had infiltrated Auschwitz to bring truth about it to the world – Witold Pilecki. New Ministry of Public Security was key in the effort and became infamous for its ruthless brutality. By 1947, most armed opposition in Poland was gone. • On the other hand, the USSR encouraged land reform by giving its property from landowners to peasants and nationalising key sectors of the economy. It also as supported postwar reconstruction (having already plundered Poland of most of its industrial capacity in 1945), though the most effort came from Poles themselves, especially in rebuilding Warsaw as the capital from complete devastation. • The USSR also supported social engineering – removing Ukrainians and Germans from their homes within Polish borders and forcefully resettling Poles who had been leaving in areas annexed by the USSR. The most massive wave of resettlements was done during Action ‚Wisła’ in 1947. Poland as a case of Soviet policies (II) • Poland was still technically operating on its prewar constitution. • Only parties representing workers, peasants and accepting leftist ideas had any right to operate in Poland after 1945. • Polish democratic opposition represented mostly by Polish Peasant Party (PSL) of Mikołajczyk wasn’t immediately banned, but its ability to act was heavily limited. • Polish Workers’ Party (PPR) headed by Władysław Gomułka was forcing PSL and Polish prewar socialists to unify. • To test their ability to control Polish public life and rig elections, a referendum was held by Communist authorities in 1946 over seemingly less controversial questions (on abolishing the Senate, accepting western borders, and introducing socialist economic reforms). While the official results reported ‚Three Times Yes’, the real results were only in favour of border change. • The 1947 elections, already in conditions of censorship and repression, were also rigged. They gave whole power to the Communists. They were followed by a partial constitutional change the same year, which made Poland a ‚people’s republic’. • Sejm elected Bolesław Bierut, the only candidate (and a Soviet agent) as President. Western reaction • Western societies, especially the Americans, didn’t want another global conflict, they expected that the USSR could be a reasonable partner. On the other hand, some US elites wanted to use the advantage they had after the war to break off from traditional isolationism and take up a global role as a leader, creating relationships with states in both Europe and Asia that the USSR was taking as encirclement. • The Big Three kept their uneasy cooperation (at the level of foreign ministers) in the UN and in occupation policies until roughly 1947. • The first description of the new reality came from an insider – Winston Churchill. In 1946 in Fulton in a speech he tried to convince American audiences that ‚From Stettin in the Baltic, to Trieste in the Adriatic, an iron curtain has descended across the continent’, though he had been trying to convince US president Harry Truman about it privately since 1945. • In Europe, Churchill was trying to start the creation of the United States of Europe to let European countries resist being turned into Soviet satellite states (this effort would lead to something less than a federation – the creation of an international organisation called Council of Europe in 1949). The Truman Doctrine: Containment • What contributed more to the change of US policy toward the USSR was the so-called Long Telegram sent in 1946 by George Kennan, US diplomat in Moscow. In it, he accurately described Soviet totalitarianism and Stalin’s global goals colliding completely with US interests. • It was soon supported by rising conflicts in countries which the USSR and the Soviets occupied together – Germany, Austria, and Korea, but also everywhere where there was a domestic conflict with the Communist forces trying to take over the power, like in Italy, France, China, and the Philippines. • Finally, in 1947 Truman declared a complete change: the USA was about to support every country in which Communism was about to spread to prevent it from happening, by any means necessary. The focus was not on countries already lost to Communism, like Poland – the USA was about to mostly contain Communism, not push it back. Stalin responded by speeding up efforts for ongoing Communist takeovers. • The Cold War started. The Marshall Plan • One of the first policies to stop the spread of Communism was not military, but socio-economic. In June 1947 the USA started a massive plan, announced by US State Secretary George C. Marshall, to help European countries to rebuild their market economies after the war. Non-European countries supported by the US like Japan would later receive similar benefits through the World Bank. • The offer was extended to European countries under Soviet control like Poland, but the USSR made their governments reject it. This is one of the reasons of difference in welfare between Western and Central-Eastern Europe today – the latter were rebuilding slower from the war. • The Marshall Plan was controlled by the USA, but its coordinating body was Organisation for European Economic Co-operation (OEEC), created in 1948. In 1961 it changed its name into Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) continuing to advise advanced market economies how to develop further, this time globally. As such, it exists today, having expanded after the end of the Cold War to include 38 countries. The Berlin Crisis, 1948-1949 • To stop Communists from taking over jointly occupied states, the Western camp was leaning toward effectively splitting them by organising free elections where they could. This would happen in South Korea in 1948 and in West Germany in 1949. • In June 1948, to blackmail the West into dropping the plan for dividing Germany, Stalin blocked land access to West Berlin through Soviet-controlled territory of East German, creating a humanitarian crisis for the West Berliners to make them turn to the Soviet side. • The West didn’t give up and began supplying West Berlin through airlift called the air bridge – large planes were bringing food and other necessities to the city for 11 months before the USSR restored the transit. It was the first direct confrontation between the USA and the USSR. • The problem of split Berlin would continue, as people from Soviet side would try to flee to the West there. In 1961, the USSR (under Nikita Khrushchev) built a massive concreto wall dividing both parts of the city, called the Berlin Wall. Germany divided • In September 1949, the Federal Republic of Germany was created, with temporary capital in Bonn, and an anti-Communist politician, Konrad Adenauer, became its first chancellor. • In reaction, the Soviets created German Democratic Republic in October 1949, with capital in (eastern) Berlin. Eastern Germans would revolt against this in 1953 with over a milion demonstrators, but their revolt would be brutally put down by the Soviets. • Germany was split into two states. West Berlin remained occupied by the Allies and turned into a foothold of the West in the Soviet Bloc. Responding to the Soviet military threat: WEU and NATO • In addition to Churchill’s failed project of United States of Europe, alliances returned to Europe. In 1947, France and the UK signed a new alliance treaty at Dunkirk, extended to the Benelux countries in the Treaty of Brussels in 1948. This was the start of the Western European Union (not to be confused with the European Union, WEU was a military alliance). But even together, European powers couldn’t stand up to a possible Soviet attack. • In April 1949 in Washington, despite isolationistic pressures in domestic politics, the USA decided to abandon its long-standing policy of not committing to parmanent alliances in Europe and sign an alliance with 10 European countries (Belgium, Denmark, France, Iceland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, the UK) and Canada, or the so-called North Atlantic Treaty. This was also the birth of the international organisation around the alliance – NATO. NATO’s Impact on the Cold War • The creation of NATO ensured that American troops would remain in Europe. It also extended the so-called ‚nuclear umbrella’ to European countries – if the USSR invaded Europe, the US would respond with nuclear strikes. In addition, NATO became the organisation of what we today called the West, representing common values and policies of countries on both sides of the Atlantic. In 1952, Turkiye and Greece joined, and in 1955 West Germany. Making a lot of former enemies allies (against the Soviets) within NATO was a major achievement of US foreign policy. • This way the West committed to the policy of DETERRENCE – being strong enough militarily together to discourage the USSR from attacking it. • This was ensured by Article V of the North Atlantic Treaty which states that an attack on any member of the alliance will be treated like an attack on all of them. Article V applied only north of the Tropic of Cancer, so it extended only to the original territories of the members, not to their colonies. The consolidation of the Eastern Bloc • The USSR saw these European developments as encirclement and responded with their own consolidation, both at international and domestic levels. • In 1947 Stalin created Cominform – a coordination bureau for all Communist parties across the world. • In 1949 the USSR and its satellites formed an ‚alternative’ to the Marshall Plan – the Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (COMECON). Its goals were less economic and more political – to channel assets from the satellites to the USSR and to strengthen political control over them. • In 1955 a military alliance called the Warsaw Pact was created, as a counterweight to NATO, including the USSR, Poland, East Germany, Czechoslovakia, Romania, Hungary, Albania and Bulgaria. Armies of the whole Pact were under Soviet military command. At this point the Iron Courtain Churchill had preditcted became a reality – Europe was split between two opposed military blocs and economic zones. The special case of Yugoslavia • Yugoslavia had liberated itself from the Nazis through guerilla warfare in 1945 before the Red Army would ‚assist’ them. Yugoslavian communists under Josip Broz-Tito (a Croat) formed a socialist state without direct Soviet supervision. • Stalin wanted Yugoslavia to join the Eastern Bloc anyway. The original placement of Cominform was in Belgrade (later it was moved to Bucharest). But Tito resisted. He only agreed to associate membership in COMECON and rejected being part of the Warsaw Pact, officially choosing the policy of neutralism toward the East-West divide (along with many non-European states). • This created the Soviet-Yugoslavian split, the first important crack in Communist unity across the world. The US were actually secretly supporting Tito with arms and money for Yugoslavia to stay out of Soviet contol. Tito remained very critical of the Soviet model of communism. • In the picture: Tito with Kennedy. Inside the Soviet Bloc • The USSR had little tolerance for its satellites to seek their own models of Communism. They all had to follow the Soviet model. • This involved Soviet-like constitutions, political parties and other institutions, as well as persecuting any opponents to such changes, real or imagined. Atheism and the cult of physical work were promoted, and any religiosity discouraged. • Their economies had to become nationalised (controlled by the state) and centrally governed, with as little share of private property as possible. In agriculture, it meant collecitivisation i.e. creating large state-run farms from farmers’ private land. In the picture: the modern border between Czech Republic and Austria the effects of collectivisation of farmland are visible in comparison. • All relationships with the West had to be cut off. The only foreign language to be taught in schools was Russian. • This model was called people’s democracy, though it had very little to do with democracy. It was harsh authoritarianism, even totalitarianism as long as Stalin lived. Poland as a case of Soviet policies (III) • In September 1947, Stalin called a conference of European communist leaders to Szklarska Poręba. Andrei Zhdanov, Stalin’s chosen successor for Soviet leadership, presided over the meeting. It was then that Cominform was created , to fill the void for 2nd Comintern dissolved in 1943. • But it was also when it was decided that Władysław Gomułka should be removed from the position of party leadership in Poland and eventually put under house arrest. Bierut replaced him in 1948, becoming the First Secretary of the Polish United Workers’ Party (PZPR), forcefully made into a single party from Polish socialists and communists during a unification congress in December 1948. • Gomułka’s ‚fault’ was that like Tito, he was a local long-time Polish communist leader who opposed Sovietisation and wanted Poland to have its own national path to communism. • He was imprisoned in 1951, with an unofficial death sentence. But his life was saved by Stalin’s death in 1953. After Bierut’s death in 1956 he would return to the position of the First Secretary until 1970. Poland as a case of Soviet policies (IV) • In 1949 the leadership of the Polish People’s Army (LWP) was given to marshal Konstanty Rokossowski, a Soviet officer with Polish roots. He purged c. 10k officers to make Polish armed forces compliant with Soviet plans of attacking Western Europe. In planned World War 3, Poland as a part of the Warsaw Pact was meant to invade Denmark, northern Germany, and the Netherlands. • LWP would reach the number of c. 400k troops. In addition, c. 300k Soviet troops were permanently stationed in Polish territory. Poland was a near-frontline state, only East Germany was a more militarised Soviet satellite in Europe. In 1969, Soviet nuclear assets were put in western Poland. Poland as a case of Soviet policies (V) • On the economic front, postwar reconstruction and modernisation in Poland was supposed to happen in a centrally planned economy, according to the 6-Year Plan (1950-1955). • Collectivisation in Poland didn’t exactly work, despite renewed campagins against independent farmers called kulaks in Soviet propaganda. Farmers’ resistance was too great. In the end, only c. 10% of land was collectivised. The planned targets of agricultural productivity were never reached. • Soviet-like plans were more successful in heavy industry, especially arms production. It caused mass migration from the countryside and Poland for the first time in history became an urbanised and industrialised country. One of the positive effects was emancipation of female workers. Communist cult of work was more important than patriarchal traditions. • On the other hand, these industrial policies were at the cost of consumers. During that time there were shortages in delivering basic goods to people, but this was about to be a constant and recurrent flaw of Communist economies. Poland as a case of Soviet policies (VI) • In July 1952 Poland adopted a Communist constitution, in which the country’s name was officially changed to People’s Republic of Poland. The Senate was abolished, alongside the office of the President – it was replaced by 15-member Council of State, though Bierut stayed in control as First Secretary. In Communist states position in the party is more important than any public office. • The years until Stalin and Bierut’s deaths were the worst times in Poland in terms of propaganda, terror, indoctrination (especially children and teens) and repression. Stalinist security apparatus was imprisoning, torturing, and executing any opposition to Soviet-style communist rule in Poland. • The ideological attack was also targeted at the Catholic Church in Poland, at least for two reasons: it was an institution independent from the Communist regime and it resisted official Atheism. In 1953 cardinal Stefan Wyszyński, the Primate of the Church in Poland, was arrested, and the clergy was forced to swear loyalty to the Communist regime, otherwise they wouldn’t be allowed to preach. • After the war, c. 12 mln Germans and c. 7 mln Japanese were repatriated from territories they had lost or occupied. • While all Allies were responsible for repatriations, forceful displacement of populations had been a Russian strategy to deal with social dissent reaching back to tsarist times and under Stalin it became a systematic policy . • The USSR created a mostly ethnically uniform Poland by: • annexing its eastern territories, • giving Poland western territories (the so-called Restored Lands) from which c. 3m Germans were expelled or left on their own. This included parts of partially Germanised native populations of Silesia, Mazuria and Pomerania. • moving c. 0.5m Ukrainians, Belarussians and Lithuanians still within new Polish borders into the USSR • resettling c. 1.5m Poles from the USSR into the Restored Lands and dispersing there those Ukrainians who had remained in southeastern Poland • Similar social engineering was happening across the Eastern Bloc. • Soviet-annexed part of Eastern Prussia (today’s Kaliningrad) was completely purged of Germans and settled with a mix of Soviet ethnicities. Its German identity disappeared. • The same was done to the Japanese part of Sakhalin . Soviet repatriations of the Japanese reached c. 0.5m, but additional 200k ‚disappeared’ in East Siberia. Their fate is unknown until today, but we can assume they were mass-murdered, amounting to ten ‚Katyns’. • In the Baltic state s, to break the resistance against annexation (which lasted until 1950s), part of the population were moved deep into the USSR while their place was taken by ethnic Russians or other Soviet ethnicities. This is why today Latvia and Estonia have big Russian minorities. • All this was done with complete disregard for private property . Most of this was nationalized and redistributed as Communist authorities saw fit. This approach was also applied to property of Jews exterminated by the Nazi. Soviet postwar ethnic cleansings Cold War, or Hot War? • In Europe, the postwar division into two blocs didn’t result in major international crises other than the Berlin Crisis or the Communist coup in Czechoslovakia in February 1948 where democratic forces had held the longest under Soviet occupation. • Outside Europe, it was different. Violent wars broke out. While many of them had an anticolonial reason and were wars of independence against Western colonisers, because of East-West split they were soon becoming ideological struggles as well because both blocs were choosing and supporting sides in them and because Communism was a popular ideology among anticolonial freedom fighters. • This is why we often call them proxy wars – independence wars or civil wars in Asia, Africa and America which both blocs used instead of fighting World War 3 in Europe. • However, proxy wars often had the potential to change into a full global conflict. While in the end it didn’t happen, several times the risk was real. Postwar China • During the war, Chiang Kai-shek’s Kuomintang and Mao Zedong’s Chinese Communist Party halted their earlier fight and tried unified fronts against the Japanese, but they kept betraying each other. Kuomintang, in control of the state, did most of the fighting, while the Communists waited the war out in the northwest of the country. • Thanks to this, Republic of China gained control of Manchuria and Taiwan in 1945, purging local autonomy and Japanese influences in those areas (the so-called White Terror). It even occupied North Vietnam. However, Tibet and East Turkestan (Xinjiang) remained in fact independent as Kuomintang couldn’t impose its rule there. • Generalissimo Chiang was promoted by the US as their most important ally in Asia and a pillar of the UN, with a permanent seat in the Security Council. • However, in 1945 civil war restarted as both Mao and Chiang wanted full power even though USA tried to mediate between them. Chinese Civil War • Until 1947, Kuomintang had mostly been winning, but the support of rural masses was moving to CCP because Mao promised agrarian reform. • In winter 1947/1948 Chinese Communists, with support from the USSR, counterattacked from Manchuria. To American shock, within the next year Kuomintang regime kept losing and mostly collapsed. • By summer 1949 Chiang along with his government and c. 1m Chinese fled to Taiwan. • On October 1st 1949 in Beijing Mao proclaimed the creation of the People’s Republic of China, marking it as the end of China’s ‚century of humiliation’, counting form the Opium Wars. However, this also created a situation which lasts until today in which the party owns the state, and party interest comes first. • However, the government of Communist China got international recognition only from the Eastern bloc and anticolonial states. The West was slow to abandon supporting Chiang. It was Chiang’s government on Taiwan which would hold Chinese seat in the Security Council until 1971. Final Stage of Chinese Civil War Mao’s international policies • Mao initially adopted the strategy of ‚leaning on one leg’ – relying on the alliance with the USSR in both domestic and foreign policies. • For domestic reconstruction and modernization early 1950s China relied on Soviet financing and expertise . Mao replicated Stalinist model in China to a great extent , building a cult of personality around himself. He kept purging all remaining elements of Kuomintang regime and its supporters. He also betrayed the promises to the farmers made during the civil war and collectivised land rather than divided it between them. • In 1949-1950 People’s Liberation Army (PLA), the military arm of the CCP, invaded and occupied East Turkestan and Tibet , ending their independence. It was also readying to invade Taiwan, but it was prevented by USA moving its navy into the Taiwan Strait. • In 1950s, the PRC initiated two serious military crises in the Taiwan Strait but they didn’t succeed. From Chinese Communist perspective, the civil war has been unfinished – Taiwan, regardless of the opinions of the Taiwanese, must be ‚reunified’. • In global politics, Mao tried to build coalitions with anticolonial forces and postcolonial states, but also tried building special relationships with Soviet satellite states like Poland or Albania. Chiang remained a US ally. Mao’s domestic policies • In the 1950s, in addition to purges of Kuomintang supporters, real or imagined, private owners and intelligentsia, Mao was also targeting his Communist comrades who disagreed with his about policy. He sidelined Deng Xiaoping, the very leader who would take over China in 1978 and start the reforms that would put China on the path to skyrocketing growth. • His most infamous policy was the Great Leap Forward – a plan for breakneck industrialisation that was meant to happen by moving rural labour away from agriculture and to heavy industry. It was a genocidal catastrophe – between 1958 and 1962 from 15 to 55 million people died because of famine the food shortage caused. • In the picture: improvised steelmaking in rural furnaces. • In result, other Chinese Communists sidelined Mao for a few years, but he was plotting his return. To do so, in 1966 he started the Cultural Revolution. The Cultural Revolution • Mao used his status to promote a radical version of Communism, called Maoism after him, written down in the „Little Red Book”. • It was targeting Four Olds: old ideas, old culture, old customs, old habits. It meant destroying the cultural heirtage of China, including Confucianism, artwork and historical architecture, and creating a completely new Communist society. • His ideas radicalised masses of young people – hunweibin, who were destroying everything Mao targeted and killed those who resisted. Intellectuals were sent to the countryside for ‚re-education’ – hard manual labour. Deng Xioping’s son was killed during those events. • But in early 1970s Mao was increasingly ill and the Gang of Four, led by his wife Jiang Qing, took real power. They would only be removed after Mao’s death in 1976. • China wanted to export this revolution. Chinese diaspora in Southeast Asia was receptive to Maoism and became energised in their fight with local governments. But Maoism became a successful ideology across the post-colonial world, mostly in Africa and Asia.