INTRODUCTION TO BUSINESS FINANCE (FIN201) Valuation of Bonds Lecture 10: Valuation of Bonds 1 KEY FEATURES OF BONDS INCLUDE… Par value: face amount; paid at maturity. Assume $1,000. Valuation of Bonds Coupon interest rate: stated interest rate. Multiply by par value to get dollar interest payment. Generally fixed. Maturity: years until bond must be repaid. Declines over time. Issue date: date when bond was issued. Market Interest Rate: rate which the investors in market require at a particular time point. 2 THERE ARE DIFFERENT TYPES OF BONDS… Zero coupon bonds carry no periodic payment and are originally sold at a discount. • Government bonds are issued by the government and corporate bonds are issued by public companies. • Callable Bonds allows the issuer to repay the investors’ principal early. • Putable bonds allow the investors to pre-maturely redeem the outstanding bonds. • Floating-rate bonds do not have a fixed coupon rate. • Senior bonds are given preference in the payment of interest and principle. Valuation of Bonds • 3 EXAMPLE OF FIXED-RATE CORPORATE BOND… Valuation of Bonds During 2011, Engro Corporation issued the 1st and 2nd TFCs (Engro Rupiya Certificates) of PKR 4bn and PKR 3bn respectively, both having a tenor of 3 years and carrying fixed profit rate of 14.5% p.a., paid semi-annually. Their principal repayment will be in bullet form during 2014 or early through put option available to all investors. The issues initially were rated AA by PACRA. The rating was revised to A+ (downgraded) in September 2012. 4 EXAMPLE OF FLOATING RATE CORPORATE BOND… Valuation of Bonds Askari Bank issued two unsecured subordinated TFCs of PKR 1.5 billion each for a tenor of 8 years in February 2005 and October 2005. The profit payments were made semi-annually in arrears, based on 6-month KIBOR plus 150 bps. The principal was redeemed in a bullet payment at the maturity of each instrument in February and October 2013. 5 VALUE OF FINANCIAL SECURITIES IS EQUAL TO THE PV OF EXPECTED FUTURE CASH FLOWS… Estimate future cash flows: size (how much) and timing (when) Discount future cash flows at an appropriate discount rate Valuation of Bonds To value bonds and stocks we need to: 6 CASH FLOW FROM A BOND • An annuity (the coupon payments). A lump sum (the face or par value to be received in the future). Valuation of Bonds • CONSISTS OF… Value of Bond = PMT(PVIFAi%, n)+ FV(PVIFi%, n) 7 Find the value of a 5-year 10% annual coupon bond issued on January 1, 2005, when kd = 10%??? Valuation of Bonds When the required rate of return (kd) equals the coupon rate, the bond value (or price) equals the par value. If kd remains constant, the value of the bond will remain same as the par value as maturity approaches. 8 Valuation of Bonds On January 1, 2006, the required return in market increases to 12%, calculate the value of the bond issued on January 1, 2005 with a 5-year maturity at the time of issuance and a coupon of 10%??? When the market’s required rate of return (kd) is greater than the coupon rate, the bond value (or price) is lesser than the par value and the bond sells at a discount. If kd remains constant, the value of a discount bond will increase to its par value as maturity approaches. 9 When the market’s required rate of return (kd) is lesser than the coupon rate, the bond value (or price) is greater than the par value and the bond sells at a premium. If kd remains constant, the value of a premium bond will decrease to its par value as maturity approaches. Valuation of Bonds Now assume that on January 1, 2006, the required return in market decreases to 8%, calculate the value of the bond issued on January 1, 2005 with a 5-year maturity (at the time of issuance) and a coupon of 10%??? 10 BOND PRICES AND MARKET INTEREST RATES MOVE IN OPPOSITE DIRECTIONS… When coupon rate > YTM, price > par value (premium bond) Valuation of Bonds When coupon rate = YTM, price = par value When coupon rate < YTM, price < par value (discount bond) 11 VALUE OF A BOND MOVES TOWARDS PAR AS THE MATURITY APPROACHES… • • • • At maturity, the value of any bond must equal its par value. Over time, the value of a premium bond will decrease to its par value. Over time, the value of a discount bond will increase to its par value. A par value bond will stay at its par value. Valuation of Bonds If kd remains constant: 12