Developments in Technical Analysis
- Situational Analysis in Swiss Index
- SRS
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2
t
The SRS is a breakout method. However, evidence suggest that the composition of the 1st and 2nd bar in
certain indices is relevant. In this document I am suggesting a crude assessment before executing the
trade, using a simple rule of thumb. More about that in a moment.
2nd bar relationship with 1st bar:
● 2nd bar is an inside bar.
● 2nd bar takes out high of 1st bar.
● 2nd bar takes out low of 1st bar.
● 2nd bar takes out both high and low of 1st bar (rare).
The structure, be it one of the 4 mentioned above, significantly impacts the prospect of the trade. This
has surprised me significantly, because I have not identified similar traits in other indices. It would
suggest that the Swiss index should be traded with some filters on the SRS. I have based this research
on 2813 observations – or about 13 years of trading data. I am only showing some of the work in this
public document.
3
Swiss Index
SRS – 15min strategy
8th Sep 2023
The 2nd bar is an inside bar.
In my observation this leads
to better breakout trades.
If the 2nd bar was an outside
bar, meaning it goes both
and below the 1st bar, the
chance of success is also
high.
However, had the 2nd bar
taken out either the high or
the low of the 1st bar, I have
found the odds of success
falls significantly.
5
Format going forward
The date is American format
= year/month/day.
This one displayed here is
7th Sep 2023.
The time is displayed as
8am = UK time.
If you live in Europe, this
would be 9am for you.
6
Swiss Stock Index
This is an example of a
lower low bar, a
“continuation bar” of bar 1.
The 3rd bar breaks higher
but goes back into the
range again.
The flip does not work
either.
Remember, if something
does not work often, it sets
up an “anti” trade,
meaning you are betting
there will NOT be a
breakout.
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