Table of Contents 1. Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 1 2. Learning experience .......................................................................................................... 1 2.1 A brief factual description of the event ....................................................................................2 2.2 My personal experience during the event ................................................................................2 2.3 My personal reflection after the event .....................................................................................2 2.4 Scientific reflection based on scientific literature .....................................................................3 3. Conclusion and integration ................................................................................................ 3 References............................................................................................................................. 5 1 1. Introduction The expectations for the course Managing Negotiations were high. After reading the course manual, I became invested and excited to learn more about negotiation. This was because I realised that negotiation is everywhere in our day-to-day life, both in a professional and private context. Although, my main goal was to learn more about negotiation as it would benefit my future professional career. Furthermore, it was also thrilling having the option to put the theoretical context into practice, which is rarely the case. Being able to practise my negotiation technique was a factor as to why my exceptions for Managing Negotiations were high, but also why I was looking forward to taking the course. The idea regarding how it would take place could have been more evident for me, but also because I was somewhat sceptical of how much there actually was to learn about negotiation. However, the goal was to improve my negation skills, mostly in my professional life, to negotiate in areas such as salary, flexible working hours and benefits. In addition, the course was also an excellent complement to my economics studies back home. Being in the middle of the semester, my motivation for the course was low to begin with. However, after the first tutorial, it became clear that I needed to practise my negotiation skills and the further the course proceeded, the more invested I became. This was because I realised there is much more to negotiation than I previously thought. More importantly, many factors affect the outcome of a negotiation. After the first tutorial, I immediately realised there was room for improvement. Even though I was aware of biases existing, thanks to the course judgment and decision-making, I was still affected by them. It did not take long until the anchoring effect hit me, and I also realised that knowing many scenarios beforehand is not helpful if you forget them in the heat of the moment, which happened to me. The seller in my negotiation presented a relatively high initial price, making me adjust thereafter. The following section will discuss this matter further. 2. Learning experience The following section will describe my learning experience, such as an event that I remember vividly and had an impact on me but also the emotional side to it. 1 2.1 A brief factual description of the event The case presented to me concerned a family named Smith, who was looking to buy a parking lot closer to their home. The reservation point was €70 000, and the aspiration point was not presented; however, it was concluded that the lower price, the better. I ended up with an aspiration point of €57 000. After studying the case, the negotiations began. The seller presented an initial price over €100 000, which caught me, as a buyer, off guard since I was not expecting such a high initial price. Consequently, this made me assume that the bargaining zone was not high, and I tended to rely too much on the first presented information. Since the sellers' initial price was high, I was prone to think that around €70 000 was a fair price and a reasonable benchmark. The negotiation ended at €66 000, which in the beginning felt like a fair price, but when discovering other people's deals ultimately led me to realise that my deal was not as good as I had previously thought. 2.2 My personal experience during the event When given the part of a buyer, I was confident about how to proceed during the negotiation. However, during the talks, it took only a short time until I was unconsciously affected by a cognitive bias that I did not think of at the time. The seller presented a relatively high initial price, and by doing so, he created an anchor, which I, at the time, did not think of. My given reservation point was €70 000, and initially presenting a high price made me think that maybe I should be satisfied with reaching just below my reservation point. Furthermore, setting a high initial price made me think that the bargaining zone was limited when it was not as limited as previously thought. The initial offer from the seller came in early, affecting my emotional thinking. Am I overreaching, greedy and foolish were some of the thoughts during the negotiation. Furthermore, I tried to use some “slicing-the-pie” strategies, such as determining my reservation point and supporting the offer with facts to make it more trustable. 2.3 My personal reflection after the event After the negotiations, I realised that I was too affected by the anchoring effect that the seller presented and not only that, I also suffered from the winners-curse. The winners curse is the regrettable state of affairs when you ‘win’ but feel like you should have asked for more. 2 Reaching a deal at €66 000 was a deal I was satisfied with. However, when people began to present their deals, I realised I could have tried to stand my ground a bit more. Furthermore, in retrospect I should have had a stronger aspiration point and tried to make concessions towards that end. Looking back, I realise that my aspiration point was not as precise as I wished. In addition to this, it is also hard to negotiate about a parking spot when you are not really sure of the average parking spot prices in the city. This also had an impact on me when the seller, who was Dutch, presented a high offer, thus making me think that it might be reasonable. Furthermore, I should have thought of the strategy to immediately re-anchor if the other party opened first. This is something I will always carry with me in the future. However, being aware of this tactic could have resulted in a different outcome. What if I, for instance, countered with €45 000? Maybe we would have landed somewhere closer to my aspiration point. 2.4 Scientific reflection based on scientific literature The anchoring bias is primarily why the negotiation I took place in resulted in this particular outcome. The anchoring bias occurs when you focus too heavily on one piece of information and make adjustments from there. This is insufficient. People make inaccurate final estimates due to inaccurate adjustments from an initial value. That is what anchoring concerns, and it is a widely known heuristic that affects everyday life. Imagine, for example, having two rows of numerical expressions: 8 x 7 x 6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 and 1 x 2 x 3 x 4 x 5 x 6 x 7 x 8. What is the product? In the first example, people on average guessed 2250, and in the second example, the average was 512. However, the answer should be the same. This is a clear example of when people make estimates differently depending on how the information is presented. The first numerical expression starts with a higher value making participants assume that the answer should be higher. The opposite occurs in the other numerical expression. To conclude the example above, it is clear that the first number in our head becomes the anchor (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974). This is also what happened in the negotiation. The seller's first value of €100 000 worked as an anchor for me. Thaler (1988) presented two definitions of when the winning curse occurs. The one applicable to the negotiation simulation is the second one: "the value of the tract is less than the expert's estimate, so the winning firm is disappointed." The deal that the seller and I agreed on was a 3 satisfying one for me. However, when realising the value of the deal that other negotiators received ultimately made my deal less attractive, and I experienced the winners curse. 3. Conclusion and integration Practising negotiation and experiencing it first-hand contributed more to my personal development than if one should have just read about, for instance, the anchoring heuristic. I am now more aware of biases existing around me than before. I also learned that I am on the softer side of the bargaining continuum which can, for example, be due to cultural reasons. The knowledge about negotiation I am taking with me will be used in many situations. However, since I am graduating soon, it will firstly be used within job offers such as salary. I will use and take advantage of creating value and then claiming value, meaning expanding the pie and then slicing it. In addition, there are other interests than just salary when negotiating job offers. You may value flexibility more than a €200 increase, for instance. Furthermore, one personal learning goal for the future will be to develop a BATNA before entering job interviews and try to have multiple offers simultaneously in case they are exploding offers. This also gives you slightly more bargaining power. 4 References Thaler, Richard H. (1988). "Anomalies: The Winner's Curse." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2 (1): 191-202. DOI:10.1257/jep.2.1.191 Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124–1131. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124 5