1 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN KENYA By Andrew Mwaniki andrewmwnk@gmail.com 2 KENYA AT A GLANCE ● Kenya is located in East Africa, and has a population of 50 million people ● It is the largest economy in eastern and central Africa, with a GDP of 110.5 billion U.S Dollars (2021) ● In 2021, the share of agriculture in Kenya's gross domestic product was 22.43 percent, industry contributed approximately 16.99 percent ● Agriculture is the backbone of Kenya’s economy ● Tourism accounts for 12% of the GDP ● Manufacturing accounts for 13% of the GDP. ● Kenya is a market based/liberalized economy which is fully integrated in the Global market through multilateral, bilateral trade agreements and its participation the World Trade Organization (WTO) ● The private sector contributes about 80% of the GDP 3 KEY INVESTMENT PRIORITY AREAS The following is an overview of Key Investment Areas in Kenya ● Agriculture and Agro-processing ● Textile and garment Industry ● Construction and Housing/Real Estate ● Tourism — eco-friendly tourism, hotels, cottages, conference facilities ● Manufacturing — consumer goods like vegetable oils, sugar, dairy products ● ICT— IT and Related Services, business process outsourcing ● Knowledge-based/Education industries ● Transport and Logistics ● Wholesale and Retail Trade ● Healthcare services 4 WHY INVEST IN KENYA There are many reasons why Kenya is a top destination for foreign investors. These include: Low Risk Investment Environment Kenya’s investment climate is the strongest in the EAC (East African Community), with FDI (Foreign Direct Investments) flowing in from emerging and developed markets and a high volume of multinational companies with regional and continent-wide headquarters in the country. Total investments in 2019 amounted to $1.332bn POSITIVE INVESTOR SENTIMENT FDI has been on the rise and is stronger than investment in other EAC countries. Given its position as the economic, commercial and logistical hub of East Africa, private equity capital is now flowing into Kenya. In 2013, Kenya was the top destination for international investors in the Eastern Africa Region after attracting 12 private equity deals valued at over USD 110.5 million; and in 2015, PwC ranked Nairobi as the most attractive African city for FDI. “Kenya is developing as the favored business hub, not only for oil and gas exploration in the sub region but also for industrial production and transport. The country is set to develop further as a regional hub for energy, services and manufacturing over the next decade.” – UNCTAD 5 A vibrant private sector The government appreciates that the private sector is the engine of economic growth and has adopted various policy options aimed at facilitating and providing an optimum environment for enhanced private sector growth. Kenya’s private sector is substantial and includes a number of foreign investors. Key players in voicing private sector concerns include: Kenya Private Sector Alliance (KEPSA), Federation of Kenya Employers (FKE) and the Kenya Association of Manufacturers (KAM). Market Access Kenya’s membership to regional economic blocs coupled with strategic geographic position makes the country the gateway to the huge East African Community (EAC) market with over 135 million people and the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) market with over 450 million people. Kenya is a beneficiary of several trade preferential arrangements which includes The African Growth and Opportunities Act (AGOA) which allows for quota free and duty free access to the US market for over 6,000 items produced in Kenya and The new Africa Caribbean and Pacific-European Union (ACP-EU) Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) which gives duty free access to the EU among others. Well-developed infrastructure Kenya has relatively well developed physical infrastructural facilities including, four international airports, an extensive road and railway network, a modern deep sea port at Mombasa capable of handling bulk and other containerized cargo, an expanding, liberalized energy sector and digital telecommunication networks. 6 As a result, Kenya continues to develop as a financial, other services and transport hub for the East and Central African region. Liberalized and strong economy in the region Kenya is the largest and the most advanced economy in East and Central Africa; with strong growth prospects supported by an emerging, urban middle class and an increasing appetite for high-value goods and services. Kenya is a strong regional player, accounting for more than 50% of the region’s total GDP. STRONG AND LARGE REGIONAL PLAYER Kenya has the second largest population within the EAC (East African Community) at 50 million and is growing at a rate of 2.7 per cent per annum. There is a rising trend towards urbanization, which is contributing to an increase in consumer demand for high value goods. This trend is fore casted to continue, with 50 per cent of the population expected to live in urban areas by 2050. The size of Kenya’s middle class is growing as evidenced by the growth in its gross national income per capita, which has increased at a CAGR of 2 per cent over the past 10 years. Strategic Location Kenya is strategically located as a gateway to the East and Central African region. 7 With a border to the Indian Ocean, Kenya is well suited as a production and distribution base to service Africa, Europe, the Middle East, South Asia and other Indian Ocean Islands. Jomo Kenyatta International Airport functions as an effective Air hub between Africa, Europe and Asia. Kenya also serves as the Communication Hub of the region. Highly developed human resource Kenya has a huge pool of labor force and is one of the best educated in the world, English-speaking and extremely adaptable. Qualified professional staff can be hired at reasonable pay-scales, in all occupations and at all levels of expertise. Vibrant Capital Markets Kenya has a vibrant capital market with Foreign participation in NSE (Nairobi Stock Exchange): 54.1 per cent of total equity turnover. Political and MacroEconomic Stability Kenya enjoys a stable macroeconomic environment. The government operates sound macroeconomic policies that promote growth by providing a more secure environment for private sector investment decisions. Political stability and supportive legal environment Kenya is a multi-party Democracy with a unicameral Parliament which creates laws which are administered by the Executive arm of the Government. 8 The Kenyan Constitution protects private property and provides safeguards against expropriation of such property without compensation. Kenya is also a signatory to Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), an agency of the World Bank and a Member of the International Council of Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). In case of Commercial disputes, Kenya has a Commercial Court under the Kenyan Judiciary. Reducing energy costs and energy availability Kenya is ideally positioned to unleash Africa’s power generation capacity through its focus on green energy and cost effective sources of energy, set to contribute to a 5000MW increase in the national power grid. POWER & ENERGY STRATEGY Increasing share of power generated from green and more cost effective sources, with a target to increase electricity generation capacity by 5,000MW from the current 1,644MW to 6,700 MW in 40 months. Key Power Project and Recent Resource Discoveries WIND POWER PROJECT 300 MW Lake Turkana Wind Power Project valued at USD 823 million WATER DISCOVERY Two new water sources at Turkana Basin and Lotikipi Basin holding 250 billion m3 of water, sufficient to supply Kenya for 70 years. OIL DISCOVERY Discovery of reserves by Tullow oil are estimated to extract as much as one billion barrels. 9 GEOTHERMAL POWER PROJECT 43,000 MW Geothermal Power Project in Baringo valued at USD 135 million. COAL POWER PLANT 5900 -1,000MW Coal Power Plant in Lamu. NATURAL GAS PLANT 6700-800 MW Natural Gas Fired Plant near Mombasa through a PPP. Investment Incentives Investment allowance at 100% on plant, machinery, equipment and buildings Liberal depreciation allowances as follows: ● 2.5% on industrial buildings ● 4 on hotels ● 12.5% on plant and machinery ● 25-37.5% on motor vehicles, trucks and tractors ● 30% on computers and office equipment ● Businesses that suffer losses can carry forward such losses to be offset against taxable profits Manufacture Under Bond Programme – Grants 100% investment allowance, duty and VAT exemption on plant, machinery, equipment, raw materials and immediate inputs. Duty Remission Facility – Imported materials intended for use in manufacture of exports are eligible for duty remission under the Export promotion Programmes Office (EPPO) 10 Business friendly tax system The tax regime is relatively low with VAT at 16%and corporation tax at 30% or 25% depending on the type of business. However, for investment within the Export Processing Zones, the tax regime and benefits include: ● 10 year tax holiday ● Duty and VAT exemption ● Single license ● Exemption from stamp duty and withholding tax ● 25% Corporate tax for 10 years after expiry of the first 10years ● 100% Investment Allowance Other taxes include: ● Excise duties levied on beer, tobacco, matches, wines, spirits, mineral water and confectionaries ● Personal tax is charged on the income earned in Kenya. Rates are graduated to a maximum of 30%. ● Import duties range: From 0% to 35% for finished products 0% for capital goods, intermediate inputs and basic raw materials. ● Corporate tax stands at: 30% for all companies, 25% for new listings at Nairobi Stock Exchange for 5 years. ● Withholding tax is 5% ● Rate of VAT: Standard 18%, Restaurants 16% ● VAT rate for Input for health care, education and exports of goods and services is 0% Simple Investment procedures ● Registration of the business by the Registrar of Companies ● Applications for approval of investments are submitted to Investment Promotion Centre (IPC) 11 ● Approval is based on security, health and environmental requirements ● Approval is within four weeks from the date of application ● Issuance of Certificate of General Authority by IPC– The certificate enables the investor to immediately commence implementation of his projects as he processes other relevant licenses INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN KENYA 12 Agriculture and Agro-processing Agriculture is the mainstay of Kenya's economy with abundant opportunities for investment in the following areas: ● Seed production; ● Manufacture of sprayers and pesticides; ● Installation of irrigation systems to forestall the overreliance of rain fed agriculture, which is susceptible to vagaries of weather. As the country moves towards a more structured agricultural system to meet its stated goal of food security, irrigation and its systems will continue to take a centre stage, and there is a lot of investment opportunity in this sector. Services that enhance production of industrial crops such as oil seeds, barley, sugarcane, groundnuts. For export market, opportunities exist in the following areas: ● Cut flowers ● Various types of beans; ● Fruits (pineapples, mangoes, avocado, passion, melon) etc.; ● Asian vegetables. In agro processing, opportunities exist in the following areas: ● Oil crops production and processing (Palm oil, groundnuts, sunflowers, cottonseed, sesame, coconut, corn/maize) ● Wine production ● Coffee: packaging, roasting, blending, decaffeination, gourmet; ● Tea packaging for direct sales to consuming markets; ● Leather & leather products. ● Processing fruit concentrates ● Milk and meat processing. 13 Manufacturing There is potential for investment in the textile industry, while there is also big demand for electronic goods, paper made from non-traditional raw materials and assembly of automotive components, iron and steel and plastics. Other investment opportunities include ● Chemicals ● Pharmaceuticals ● Metals and engineering products for domestic and export markets. ● Manufacture of fertilizers ● Sheet glass production ● Dyes for textile industries Wholesale and Retail Trade has been identified as a key engine of the economy due to its significant contribution to GDP (10.1 per cent) and job creation, employing about 190,000 people a year. It has expanded considerably over the years, in line with a growing middle and upper-income group. Other key factors include improved infrastructure, which have facilitated the movement of goods and led to better quality products at lower prices. Meanwhile, a sustained property boom has encouraged retailers to open outlets in prime locations near residential neighborhoods, offering greater convenience to consumers Furthermore, the Government has reviewed the regulatory regime to allow for elimination, simplification, consolidation or harmonization of the business-license process. 14 Aggressive competition has also promoted innovation among Kenyan supermarkets, where the retail sector is dominated by several supermarket chains. In an effort to secure consumer loyalty and boost revenue, Kenya’s nascent supermarket chains are now doing their own packaging and creating their own brand-labels. A recent increase in online retailing platforms is also spurring growth. Opportunities for investment include: ● Opening more supermarkets, hypermarkets and luxury outlets (e.g. in clothing and cosmetics); ● Establishing modern, world-class trade, exhibition and convention centres; ● Internet retailing and; ● Establishing trade logistics, such as warehouses Mining and minerals The mining sector has been identified as one of the key drivers for economic growth and transformation. It is currently contributing less than 1 percent of GDP but this is expected to rise to at least 10 percent by 2030 with the discovery and exploitation of new minerals. Kenya is one of the world’s leading producers of natural carbon dioxide, fluorspar, soda ash and titanium. Twenty other minerals have been identified and confirmed, including a unique type of ruby. Opportunities include: ● Petroleum exploration, on- and off-shore; 15 ● Mineral exploration and extraction and; ● Investment in mining logistics and related infrastructure. Tourism Tourism is one of Kenya’s most important industries, and has strong linkages with transport, food production, retail and entertainment. Kenya is one of the world’s most popular tourism destinations, attracting millions each year to its wildlife, beaches, rich culture, striking geographical diversity and landscapes. This makes the country an ideal destination for hospitality investment. Though other attractions include museums, snake parks and historical sites, many of these resources remain largely unexploited. More than half the tourists come from Europe, including the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany and France, as well as from the United States. Tourist numbers from emerging markets, such as India and China, are on the rise. The Government targets to double the number of tourists and the revenue they generate by diversifying the source countries and the country’s tourist offering. Investment opportunities include: ● Conference facilities ● Hotels ● Cottages ● Ecofriendly tourism in the parks and cruise ship tourism. Kenya, under Vision 2030 is working on creating resort cities in different parts of the country. This offers an extremely positive, lucrative and long-term investment. 16 Information and Communications Technology (ICT) The information and communications technology (ICT) sector is the success story of the decade in Kenya. New information technologies are playing an increasingly important role in nearly all areas of the economy. The installation of a broadband-backbone connected to three under-sea fiber-optic cables (Seacom, TEAM System and EASSY) has significantly improved Kenya’s connectivity and its ICT prospects, be it in business-process outsourcing (BPO) or the development of IT-enabled services (ITeS). The Government has identified ICT as a key enabler in attaining the goals and aspirations of Vision 2030, with the vision to transform Kenya into a knowledge and information-based economy. Investment opportunities include: ● Affordable Internet Solutions/Services and distribution (4G/5G Network) ● IT Services ● Business Process Outsourcing (BPOs) ● Front office operations, including call and contact centers-BPO ● Back office operations, including data hosting, archiving and processing, as well as software development, maintenance and customization, and e-commerce; ● KONZA Techno City – a Vision 2030 flagship project, available ICT investors, 60km from Nairobi. Transport and logistics Rapid cargo-throughput growth at Kenya’s airports and ports has generated increased business for companies in freight, storage, distribution, clearing 17 and forwarding. Most imports are capital goods and raw materials for industrial production while exports are generally of agricultural products. The Government continues to invest heavily in transport infrastructure to improve efficiency. With continued development of roads, rail, water and air transport networks, competition in the logistics industry is rising. The biggest players now include Kenya Airways, Saudi Airlines Cargo Company, Aramex, Transglobal Cargo Centre, Swissport Cargo Services and DHL. Opportunities in the sector include: ● Cargo-handling and storage facilities; ● Domestic air-freight routes; ● Road-cargo transport to serve the LAPSSET corridor; ● Rail-cargo transport, especially with the completion of the standard gauge railway and; ● Acquisition of local courier companies; Construction Kenya has a well developed construction industry. Quality engineering, building and architectural design services are locally available. Kenya's construction and real estate sector is one of the fastest growing, with a projected growth rate of more than 20% by 2021. Government investment in public infrastructure development projects and the real estate sector are generally attributed to the growth (road, rail, energy, port, and airport modernization) In 2019, the construction, mining and quarry industry contributed 5.6% and 0.7% of Kenya's GDP respectively . The construction industry grew at a 18 Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.8% from USD 3.1 billion in 2015 to USD 5.2 billion in 2019(KNBS). Real estate development is a lucrative investment option for entrepreneurs who don't want to invest in unfamiliar areas. Kenya's economy has been on the rise, and now may be one of the best times to start this business as there are still many undeveloped areas. Investment Opportunities ● Low-cost housing ● Residential real estate – rented apartments, ● Commercial real estate – office buildings, recreational centres, ultra modern shopping malls, restaurants and fast food outlets. ● Industrial real estate – warehouses, factory floors The growing interest in the Kenyan market is as a result of huge demand buoyed by increasing urban population and changing shopping culture among the expanding middle class, which has resulted in the construction of numerous shopping malls. Growth in the sector has also been enhanced by the entrance and expansion of new and existing multinational companies in sectors such as ICT, oil and gas, retail merchandising and finance. Discerning developers have focused on the construction of high-end residential houses, commercial developments as effective demand has been strongest for these groups of developments. There has also been an encouraging increase in the construction of flats and condominium –type houses, to aid affordability. 19 INFRASTRUCTURE AND SUPPORT ● Road, railway and telecommunications and postal services ● 3 international and several domestic airports ● Mombasa port that ranks among the largest and busiest on the East African Coast ● Nairobi as the hub of East and Central Africa ● Only United Nations office in the Third World ● Diplomatic capital of the region ● Largest number of foreign correspondents in Africa ● Kenya Airways providing links to much of Africa 20 INVESTMENT PROMOTION AND PROTECTION Protection of all investors in Kenya is governed primarily by the Kenya Constitution (2010), contracts and domestic legislation. These instruments provide substantive protections and allow private enterprises to freely establish, acquire, and dispose of interest in business enterprises. There is no differentiation between local and foreign investors in access to Government-sponsored research.The Government encourages investment in sectors that create employment, generate foreign exchange, and build forward and backward linkages with rural areas. The law applies local-content rules but only for the purposes of determining whether goods qualify for preferential-duty rates within the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) and the East African Community (EAC). Kenya’s Foreign Investment Protection Act (FIPA) guarantees capital repatriation, and the remittance of dividends and interest to foreign investors. They are free to convert and repatriate profits, including un-capitalized retained profits (proceeds of an investment after the payment of the relevant taxes, and the principal and interest associated with any loan). Kenya has no restrictions on converting or transferring funds associated with investment. Kenyan law requires the declaration of amounts above KSh 500,000 (about USD 5,600) as a formal check against money laundering. Foreign exchange is readily available from commercial banks and foreign-exchange bureaus, and can be bought and sold freely by local and 21 foreign investors. The Kenyan shilling has a floating exchange rate tied to a basket of foreign currencies. The Constitution of Kenya 2010 guarantees safety from expropriation except in cases of eminent domain or security concerns subject to the payment of prompt and fair compensation. The Land Acquisition Act governs compensation and due process in acquiring land RIGHT TO PRIVATE OWNERSHIP AND ESTABLISHMENT Foreign investor may exit from an incorporated company. In practice, a company faces no obstacles when divesting its assets in Kenya, if the legal requirements and licenses are satisfied. The Companies Act gives the procedures for both voluntary and compulsory winding-up processes.Private enterprises can freely establish, acquire and dispose of interests in business enterprises. The Kenyan legal system is quite flexible on exit options, which are normally determined by agreement between one investor and the others. PROTECTION OF PROPERTY RIGHTS Kenya has a comprehensive legal framework to ensure intellectual property rights (IPR) protection, which includes the Anti-Counterfeit Act, the Industrial Property Act, the Trade Marks Act, the Copyright Act, the Seeds and Plant Varieties Act, and the Universal Copyright Convention. Kenya’s Copyright Act protects literary, musical, artistic, and audiovisual works; sound recordings and broadcasts; and computer programmes. Kenya is a member of the Convention establishing the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO), the Paris Convention for the Protection of Industrial Property and the Patent Co-operation Treaty. 22 Kenya is a signatory to the Madrid Agreement Concerning the International Registration of Marks. These laws can be found in The National Council for Law Reporting also known as Kenya Law. www.kenyalaw.org 23 INVESTOR GUARANTEE Kenya constitution guarantees against expropriation of private property except for purposes of public use or security. Removal of exchange controls guarantees investors repatriation of capital, profits and interests. Member of the Multi-lateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), an affiliate of the World Bank that insures foreign investments against non-commercial risks Kenya is a member of the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) which arbitrates cases between foreign investors and host governments The country is also a member of the Africa Trade Insurance Agency (ATIA) which insures investors against political risks. 24