The Time Value of Money We know that receiving $1 today is worth more than $1 in the future. This is due to opportunity costs. The opportunity cost of receiving $1 in the future is the interest we could have earned if we had received the $1 sooner. Today Future If we can measure this opportunity cost, we can: Translate $1 today into its equivalent in the future (compounding). Today Future ? Translate $1 in the future into its equivalent today (discounting). Today ? Future Future Value Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6%, how much would you have in the account after 1 year? PV = -100 0 Mathematical Solution: (Arithmetic Method) FV = PV (1 + i)n FV = 100 (1.06)1 = $106 FV = 106 1 Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6%, how much would you have in the account after 5 years? PV = -100 FV = 133.82 0 Mathematical Solution: (Arithmetic Method) FV = PV (1 + i)n FV = 100 (1.06)5 = $133.82 5 Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6% with quarterly compounding, how much would you have in the account after 5 years? PV = -100 FV = 134.68 0 Mathematical Solution: (Arithmetic Method) FV = PV (1 + i/m) m x n FV = 100 (1.015)20 = $134.68 20 Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6% with monthly compounding, how much would you have in the account after 5 years? PV = -100 FV = 134.89 0 Mathematical Solution: (Arithmetic Method) FV = PV (1 + i/m) m x n FV = 100 (1.005)60 = $134.89 60 Present Value Present Value - single sums If you receive $100 one year from now, what is the PV of that $100 if your opportunity cost is 6%? PV = -94.34 FV = 100 0 Mathematical Solution: (Arithmetic Method) PV = FV / (1 + i)n PV = 100 / (1.06)1 = $94.34 1 Present Value - single sums If you receive $100 five years from now, what is the PV of that $100 if your opportunity cost is 6%? PV = -74.73 FV = 100 0 Mathematical Solution: (Arithmetic Method) PV = FV / (1 + i)n PV = 100 / (1.06)5 = $74.73 5 Present Value - single sums If you sold land for $11,933 that you bought 5 years ago for $5,000, what is your annual rate of return? Mathematical Solution: PV = FV / (1 + i)n 5,000 = 11,933 / (1+ i)5 .419 = ((1/ (1+i)5) 2.3866 = (1+i)5 (2.3866)1/5 = (1+i) i = .19 Present Value - single sums Suppose you placed $100 in an account that pays 9.6% interest, compounded monthly. How long will it take for your account to grow to $500? Mathematical Solution: PV = FV / (1 + i)N 100 = 500 / (1+ .008)N 5 = (1.008)N ln 5 = ln (1.008)N ln 5 = N ln (1.008) 1.60944 = .007968 N N = 202 months Compounding and Discounting Cash Flow Streams 0 1 2 3 4 What is the difference between an ordinary annuity and an annuity due? Ordinary Annuity 0 i% 1 2 3 PMT PMT PMT 1 2 3 PMT PMT Annuity Due 0 i% PMT Ordinary Annuity a sequence of equal cash flows, occurring at the end of each period. 0 1 2 3 4 Examples of Annuities: If you buy a bond, you will receive equal semi-annual coupon interest payments over the life of the bond. If you borrow money to buy a house or a car, you will pay a stream of equal payments. Future Value - annuity If you invest $1,000 each year at 8%, how much would you have after 3 years? 0 1 2 3 Future Value - annuity If you invest $1,000 each year at 8%, how much would you have after 3 years? Mathematical Solution: (1 i ) n 1 FV PMT i (1.08) 3 1 FV 1,000 0.08 = $3,246.40 Present Value - annuity What is the PV of $1,000 at the end of each of the next 3 years, if the opportunity cost is 8%? 0 1 2 3 Present Value - annuity What is the PV of $1,000 at the end of each of the next 3 years, if the opportunity cost is 8%? Mathematical Solution: 1 1 (1 i ) n PV PMT i 1 1 (1.08) 3 PV 1,000 0.08 PV $2,577.10 Ordinary Annuity vs. Annuity Due 4 $1000 $1000 $1000 5 6 7 8 Begin Mode vs. End Mode 4 1000 1000 1000 5 6 7 8 Begin Mode vs. End Mode 1000 4 year 5 5 1000 year 6 6 1000 year 7 7 8 Begin Mode vs. End Mode 1000 4 PV in END Mode year 5 5 1000 year 6 6 1000 year 7 7 8 Begin Mode vs. End Mode 1000 4 year 5 5 1000 year 6 6 1000 year 7 7 PV FV in END Mode in END Mode 8 Begin Mode vs. End Mode 1000 4 5 1000 year 6 6 1000 year 7 7 year 8 8 Begin Mode vs. End Mode 1000 4 5 1000 year 6 PV in BEGIN Mode 6 1000 year 7 7 year 8 8 Begin Mode vs. End Mode 1000 4 5 1000 year 6 6 1000 year 7 7 year 8 8 PV FV in BEGIN Mode in BEGIN Mode Earlier, we examined this “ordinary” annuity: 1000 1000 1000 0 1 2 3 Using an interest rate of 8%, we find that: The Future Value (at 3) is $3,246.40. The Present Value (at 0) is $2,577.10. What about this annuity? 1000 1000 1000 0 1 2 3 Same 3-year time line, Same 3 $1000 cash flows, but The cash flows occur at the beginning of each year, rather than at the end of each year. This is an “annuity due.” Future Value - annuity due If you invest $1,000 at the beginning of each of the next 3 years at 8%, how much would you have at the end of year 3? 0 1 2 3 Future Value - annuity due If you invest $1,000 at the beginning of each of the next 3 years at 8%, how much would you have at the end of year 3? Mathematical Solution: Simply compound the FV of the ordinary annuity one more period: FV = PMT (FVIFA i, n ) (1 + i) FV = 1,000 (FVIFA .08, 3 ) (1.08) (1 i ) n 1 FV PMT (1 i ) i (1.08) 3 1 FV 1,000 (1.08) 0.08 = $3,506.11 use FVIFA table or Present Value - annuity due What is the PV of $1,000 at the beginning of each of the next 3 years, if your opportunity cost is 8%? 0 1 2 3 Present Value - annuity due Mathematical Solution: Simply compound the FV of the ordinary annuity one more period: PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n ) (1 + i) PV = 1,000 (PVIFA .08, 3 ) (1.08) 1 1 (1 i ) n PV PMT i 1 1 (1.08) 3 PV 1,000 0.08 = $2,783.26 (1 i ) (1.08) use PVIFA table or Practice Problems 2002, Prentice Hall, Inc. Retirement Example If you invest $400 at the end of each month for the next 30 years at 12%, how much would you have at the end of year 30?