MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 DRRM PLAN RISK PROFILE AND STATE OF DRRM I. BASIC TERMINOLOGIES RISK It is the combination of the probability of an event and its negative consequences. The word risk has two distinctive connotations: Popular usage The emphasis is usually placed on the concept of chance or possibility, such as in "the risk of an accident" Technical settings The emphasis is usually placed on the consequences, in terms of "potential losses" for some particular cause, place and period. Risk is composed of three components, namely: EXPOSURE Are the elements present in hazards such as people, property, systems and others that are subject to potential losses. Measures of exposure can include the number of people or types of assets in an area. HAZARD A dangerous phenomenon, substance, human activity or condition that may cause loss of life, injury or other health impacts, property damage, loss of livelihoods and services, social and economic disruption or environmental damage. VULNERABILTY The characteristics and circumstances of a community, system or asset that make it susceptible to the damaging effects of a hazard. There are many aspects of vulnerability, arising from various physical, social, economic and environmental factors. Vulnerability and Hazards are not dangerous, if taken separately. But if they come together, they become a risk. These two must be simultaneously present in the same location to give rise to risk which then becomes a disaster if the event actually occurs. Thus, risk can be expressed as the product of hazard, vulnerability and exposure or in other words Risk= Hazard x Exposure x Vulnerability. (UNISDR, 2010) RISK ASSESSMENT A methodology to determine the nature and extent of risk by analyzing potential hazards and evaluating existing conditions of vulnerability that together could potentially harm exposed people, property, services, livelihoods and the environment on which they depend. This includes a review of technical characteristics of hazards such as their location, intensity, frequency and probability. (UNISDR, 2010) MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 DISASTER A serious disruption of the functioning of a community or a society involving widespread human, material, economic or environmental losses and impacts which exceeds the ability of the affected community or society to cope using its own resources. It is a result of a combination of: 1. Exposure to Hazard 2. Conditions of vulnerability that are present 3. Insufficient capacity or measures to reduce or cope with the potential negative consequences DISASTER RISK The potential losses, in lives, health status, livelihoods, assets and services which could occur to a particular community or a society over some specified future time period. It reflects the concept of disasters as outcome of continuously present conditions of risk. DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT The following are the ideal processes prescribed and tested by NEDA-UNDP-Aus Aid, which are: 1. Hazard Characterization Assessment of susceptibility to natural hazards affecting the planning area based on past disaster events and current observations, to determine if the same pattern of susceptibility will remain over time. 2. Consequence Analysis Determining or defining the elements at risk from a given hazard and defining their vulnerability. This helps us to understand what is at risk (exposure) and identify the root causes of elements at risk and why these can be damaged (vulnerability). 3. Risk Estimation Involves the assimilation of the results of the hazard assessment and consequence analysis to derive an overall measure of risk. 4. Risk Evaluation Guided by the results of risk analysis, decision makers will now have to evaluate the level of acceptability of risks. WEATHER It is what we can feel, and is the subject of weather forecasts in radio and television. It is the day-to-day state of the atmosphere, meaning the daily temperature, humidity, rainfall, and wind. It often changes quickly from day to day. CLIMATE MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 It is the force that drives long-term changes in weather. It therefore determines the characteristics of a region (seasons, average temperature etc.). It is described by longterm statistics (e.g. average minimum and maximum temperature). CLIMATE CHANGE A change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity (such as the emission of greenhouse gases) that alters the composition of the global atmosphere in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change). Climate changes include increases or decreases in • Average temperature, • Average rainfall, • Sea level rise, and • The frequency and/or severity of extreme weather events such as typhoons CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION It refers to adjustments in ecological, social, or economic systems in response to the effects or impacts of actual or expected climatic stimuli. It refers to changes in processes, practices, and structures to lessen or avoid potential damages, or to benefit from opportunities associated with climate change (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change). CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION It refers to human intervention aimed at reducing the sources of greenhouse gases or enhancing the sinks of greenhouse gases. “Sink” means any process, activity or mechanism which removes a greenhouse gas from the atmosphere (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change). CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION AND IMPACTS The climate of Malabon falls the Modified Corona’s Classification of Philippine Climates. This is characterized by a relatively dry season from January to April and wet during the rest of the year. The rains start from the month of May, reaching its peak in July, August, and September through November. The annual rainfall from 1961 to 1995 (Table 3-2) is 1,849.3 mm with an average of 113 rainy days per year. This is slightly lower than the 19511970 average of 1,933.7 mm with 143 rainy days per year. This can be explained by the El Nino phenomenon in the mid-eighties. The mean temperature in Malabon is 27.45C. The average minimum temperature is 23.2C while the average maximum temperature is 31.7C. The low temperatures are recorded starting from December through February. The temperatures slowly increase and reach their peak in May during the summer months. The average temperatures from1961-1995 given above are slightly higher than the 1951-1970 averages of 26.6C mean, 22.2C minimum, and MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 31.0C maximum temperatures. This indicates the slowly increasing average temperature of the area through the years. RAINFALL The annual mean number of tropical cyclones that passes across the Philippines is 19.6. The landing frequency on Central Luzon, which affects Malabon, counts for 16% (PAG-ASA data) or at least 3 times per year. The maximum rainfall recorded at Port Area in recent years is 509 mm in 2 days (403 mm in one day). The height of +138m average mean sea level (AMSL) that occurred on July 31, 1996 is the highest observed since 1951, as per NAMRIA’s data. TEMPERATURE The temperature during the northeast monsoon ranges from 22°c to 33°c or an average of about 26°c. Temperature of southwest monsoon ranges from 24°c to 33°c with an average of about 27°c. To further understand the climate of Malabon, the table below shows the Observed Baseline and Climate Projection data for Metro Manila based on studies done by PAGASA. Table 41. Seasonal temperature increases (in ⁰C) in 2020 and 2050 under medium-range emission scenario in provinces in NCR As the table shows, there’s an increase of temperature during the month of March, April and May, while the lowest temperature occurs during the month of December, January and February. An increase in temperature can have the following impact to the city Water Shortages Increased energy demands for cooling Population health impacts (e.g. increased mortality during heat waves) MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 Table 42. Seasonal rainfall change (in %) in 2020 and 2050 inder medium-range emission scenario in provinces in NCR It can be observed in the table, there’s an increase of rainfall during the month of June, July and August (during Southwest Monsoon) and decreases of rainfall during the month of December, January and February (during Northeast Monsoon). An Increase in rainfall can have the following impact to the city Increased flooding Property Damaged (homes and businesses) More favorable breeding grounds for pathogens Population health impacts (increased incidences of water-borne diseases like cholera) Table 43. Frequency of extreme events in 2020 and 2050 under medium-range scenario in provinces in NCR EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS According to PAGASA, Port Area station a total of 299days has a maximum temperature of 35°c in 1971-2000 or 30 year period could increase to1176by the year 2020 and2118 by the year 2050. In Antithesis, the no. of dry days decreases every 30 year of period while the no. of days with rainfall 200mm increases. The following are impacts to the City. More intense flooding Population Health Impact Damage to infrastructure not designed to standards of occurrence being experienced (Out dated infrastructure designs.) MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 Table 44. Summary Table The climate data from PAGASA shows future projections for the years 2020 and 2050 under the medium-range emission scenario for Metro Manila. The climate change data derived from the tables are the seasonal temperature increase (in ⁰C), the seasonal rainfall change (in %), and the frequency of extreme events (Port Area data). Based on the PAGASA data, the table above shows the summary of climate changes projected and its effect on the seasonal patterns. II. RISK PROFILE Majority of barangays in Malabon would experience five (5) types of hazards, namely flood, storm surges , ground shaking, liquefaction, severe wind, land subsidence, solid waste and fire but to certain and different extents. Due to its location and physical conditions, the city is affected by hazards which some of the cities also experience such as tsunami and storm surges. Barangays Potrero, Acacia and Tugatog are considered as the safest barangay being on a higher elevation. Table 45. Hazards affecting City of Malabon Hydro-meteorological Hazard Geologic Hazard Barangay Acacia Baritan BayanBayanan Catmon Concepcion Dampalit Flores Tsunami Ground Shaking Liquefa ction Flood Storm Surge Severe Wind portion / / / portion / portion / x portion / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / x x portion portion portion / / / / / Human-Induced Fire Biologi cal / / / / / / High Density Population Gathering / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 Hulong Duhat Ibaba Longos Maysilo Muzon Niugan Panghulo Potrero San Agustin Santulan Tañong Tinajeros Tonsuya Tugatog / / / / portion / / / / / / / portion / / / portion / Portion / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / portion / / / portion / portion / / / / / / / / / / / / / portion x x x x x x portion x portion x x x / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / Source: Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office (DRRMO) Legend: / - affected x - not affected A.HYDRO-METEOROLOGICAL HAZARDS According to the UNISDR (2009), hydro-meteorological hazard is a process or phenomenon of atmospheric, hydrological or oceanographic nature that may cause loss of life, injury or other health impacts, property damage, loss of livelihoods and services, social and economic disruption, or environmental change. Hydrometeorological hazards include floods, coastal storm surges, typhoons, thunderstorms, hailstorms, tornados, drought, and heatwaves. It can also be a factor for other hazards such as landslides, epidemics and fires. FLOOD Malabon is likely to experience flooding because of its combined topographic and hydrological characteristics, as well as the meteorological conditions due to frequent occurrence of extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones and monsoon rains (Habagat). The area is characteristically a low-lying flat terrain, with ground elevation in major parts that are below high tide level. These distinct topographical features render the area to be frequently flooded by high tide, heavy rain and river overflow. This is a major issue which impedes the city’s economic growth and development. Flooded areas during high tide were mostly concentrated on the south/southwest portion of the city. On the other hand, during heavy rains, the east/northeast portions of the city are mostly affected by floods. The navigational gate located along the Malabon-Navotas River has helped alleviate the flooding problem along these areas thus, affecting only small portions in the north/northeast part of the city during rain and high tide. However, due to the ill-designed gate which failed to consider the presence of shipyards, portions of the south/southwest part of the city become flooded by high tide, when the said navigational gate malfunctions. MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 The Department of Environment and Natural Resources-Mines and Geosciences Bureau (DENR-MGB) Flood Susceptibility Map was used in the flood risk assessment process. The MGB map is a composite of both Typhoon Ondoy and Habagat/southwest monsoon as well as other historical data. After Typhoon Ondoy, the team from MGB did a rapid assessment to document the pre, during and post (Ondoy and Habagat) conditions of affected areas. They validated their data through ground testing and field interviews. The level of susceptibility was separated in four categories: Low, Moderate, High and Very High. Prior to Ondoy, the MGB had a flood cycle map, i.e. 2-3 year longer cycle maps. They adapted it in their validation and discovered that the amount of rainfall released by Ondoy was not within the scope of their cycle. The extent of flood during Ondoy was much spread out and beyond the cycles they produced. It is said that Typhoon Ondoy has an AEP of 50-120 return period and within 6-8 hours released an approximate of 400mm of rainfall, while Habagat released almost the same amount but over a span of 3 days. The existing flood hazard map of Malabon from the DENR-MGB shows that 18 out of the 21 barangays are highly vulnerable to flooding. The three (3) barangays – Acacia, Tugatog and Potrero have a moderate to low susceptibility to floods. The map also illustrates flood occurrences based on the accounts of Malabon residents. Almost all barangays are susceptible to flood and most of the affected areas are near the rivers and waterways. The study conducted by MGB showed that Typhoon Ondoy is considered to be the worst case scenario that the city of Malabon could experience with flooding. The MGB has managed to map out the effects of Typhoon Ondoy which reflected the areas that were affected and the intensity of its effect in a given area. Based on the MGB Flood Susceptibility Map, all places in Barangays Dampalit, Longos, Maysilo, Niugan, Panghulo, San Agustin, Santulan, Tinajeros and Tonsuya have very high and high susceptibility to flooding. The rest of the barangays in the city have low to moderate susceptibility to floods, making them safer compared to the previously-mentioned nine (9) barangays. MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 Map 8. Level of Susceptibility of Barangays to Flooding Source: City Planning and Development Department, 2015 HISTORICAL FLOOD EVENTS Based on the data recorded by the MMDA, during the recent extreme weather conditions, such as Typhoon Ondoy in 2009 and Habagat (moonsoon rains) in 2012, around 70% of the area was submerged with water. The flood inundation was due to its ground elevation being below high tide level, its proximity to Manila Bay and the several large waterways that overflowed. Overflowing of the rivers can be attributed to the excess of waters from upstream portions, overspilling of the nearby La Mesa Dam, the impeded flow of water into the Manila Bay and the inadequate height of the river walls. The following list enumerates the recent flood events which affected the city: 1. TROPICAL STORM EGAY AND FALCON Malabon City experienced heavy rain and flood due to tropical storm Egay and Falcon from June 20-26, 2011. Four barangays were highly affected, with two people reported as injured. 2. TYPHOON PEDRING Malabon City experienced heavy rains and flood due to typhoon Pedring from September 26-28, 2011. Six (6) out of twenty-one (21) barangays were affected MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 by the typhoon. The estimated cost of damage to properties was about Php 30,000,000.00. 3. TYPHOON GENER In August 1, 2012, Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to typhoon Gener. Twelve (12) out of twenty-one (21) barangays were affected by the typhoon. 4. MONSOON RAINS (HABAGAT) From August 6-9, 2012, Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to the monsoon rains. Sixteen (16) out of twenty-one (21) barangays were affected during this period. 5. TYPHOON GLENDA Typhoon Rammasun, known in the Philippines as Typhoon Glenda, was one of the only two Category 5 super typhoons. From July 15 2014 Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to Typhoon. 347 Families/1,497 individuals from 9 out of 21 barangays are affected during this period. 6. TROPICAL STORM MARIO Tropical Storm Fung-wong, known in the Philippines as Tropical Storm Mario, was a relatively weak tropical cyclone which affected the northern Philippines, Taiwan and the Eastern China. From September 20, 2014 Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to Tropical Storm Mario. 805 Families / 3,232 individuals from 11 out of 21 barangays are affected during this period. 7. TYPHOON RUBY Typhoon Hagupit (ha-gu-PIT, [hɐguˈpit]; Filipino word meaning "to lash" or "to flog"), known in the Philippines as Typhoon Ruby, was the second most intense tropical cyclone in 2014. From Decemebr 8-10, 2014 Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to Typhoon Ruby. 727 Families / 3,069 individuals from 9 out of 21 barangays are affected during this period. 8. MONSOON RAINS (HABAGAT 2018) From August 12-17, 2018 Brgy Dampalit are exepecienced heavily flooding due to continues rain and high tide that caused the damage of mega dike in said Barangay. 178 families / 868 individuals are affected during this period. 9. TYPHOON ULYSSES Typhoon Vamco, known in the Philippines as Typhoon Ulysses, was a powerful and deadly Category 4-equivalent typhoon that struck the Philippines and Vietnam. It also caused the worst flooding in Metro Manila since Ketsana in 2009. From November 12-14 2020 Malabon experienced heavy rain and strong wind. MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 POPULATION EXPOSURE Based on the MGB Flood Susceptibility Map, about 52,033 individuals are located in areas which are very highly susceptible to floods. About 106,655 individuals live in areas with high susceptibility to floods. Barangay Tonsuya has a very high susceptibility to floods and will have the highest number of individuals affected. In terms of high susceptibility, many people in Barangay Santulan will be affected by flood (Table 75) Map 9. Population Density Map DISASTER RISK AND VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT There are only five (5) barangays that are at low risk when it comes to flooding, namely Barangays Acacia, Baritan, Bayan-Bayanan, Flores and Tugatog. These barangays have low severity consequence and an average of 0% to 10% hazard vulnerability. Meanwhile, eleven (11) barangays are prone to low to high risk flooding, such as Barangays Catmon, Concepcion, Dampalit, Longos, Maysilo, Niugan, Panghulo, Potrero, Santulan, Tinajeros and Tonsuya. These areas have low to high severity consequence at an average of 0%-100% hazard vulnerability. The remaining five (5) barangays, including Barangays Hulong Duhat, Ibaba, Muzon, Tañong and San Agustin, are facing low to moderate risk to flooding, with low to moderate severity consequence and an average of 0% - 75% hazard vulnerability. Based on the assessment using the MGB Map, the total area affected by flooding, the corresponding population and affected value of damages cause by a flood scenario similar to the floods during Ondoy and Habagat are estimated in the following sections. MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 In terms of residential areas, Barangay Niugan is very highly susceptible to flood of more than two (2) meters flood depth and six-year like occurrence. The estimated loss is about PhP259, 739,266, with a 100% exposure in the affected area of 17.18 hectares. Leakages of river walls, high tide, inadequate drainage capacity, sudden maintenance problems of existing pumping stations and extreme rainfall are causes of flooding in this area. In terms of commercial areas, Barangay Longos is very highly susceptible to floods of more than two (2) meters flood depth and six-year like occurrence. The estimated loss is about PhP 41,484,169, with a 46.52% exposure in the affected area of 2.54 hectares. The reclamation of the Dagat-Dagatan housing area during the Marcos regime, through Presidential Decree no. 706 on May 19, 1975 (about 315 hectares portion of the Dagat-Dagatan was reclaimed), increase in population due to urbanization, inadequate capacity of drainage system and extreme rainfall are causes of flooding in this area. In terms of industrial areas, Barangay Panghulo is very highly susceptible to floods of greater than two (2) meters flood depth and six-year like occurrence. An estimated loss of PhP 137,227,963.50 with a 32.63% exposure in the affected area of 3.69 hectares. The closing down and abandoning of the owner of Artex compound sometime in 1984 due to labor dispute turned the land into a virtual water basin. The location of many industries in low lying areas and near in waterways are also causes of flooding. (See annex for Built-up structure Exposure table) Map 10. Malabon City Existing Land Use Map (2014) Overlayed on Flood Hazard MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 B. EARTHQUAKE The Philippine as a whole has a high level of seismicity, faulting and volcanism. This is primarily attributed to the location of the country, lying within a broad zone of deformation between the Eurasian and Philippine Sea Plate. The Philippine fault zone is a major left lateral strike-slip fault that remains offshore east of Manila. - MALI Eight (8) barangays in Malabon City have the potential to be affected by seismic movements and these are Barangays Santulan, Acacia, Potrero, Tugatog and portions of Barangays Panghulo, Maysilo, Tinajeros and Longos. The total risk or comprehensive Urban Seismic Risk Index (USRI) incorporates the potential economic, social and environmental consequences of an earthquake with social fragility and lack of resilience at the community level. In terms of physical risk, Malabon falls on the degree of medium to low risk, while in terms of aggravating coefficient, the city falls on the degree of very high risk. During the past years, Metro Manila has experienced numerous earthquake, twenty-eight (28) of which were major, but none of them severely affected the city of Malabon. The city only experienced ground shaking even during the highest recorded Richter Magnitude in history. Table 46. Eearthquake Risk Areas Source: Bureau of Soils/PHILVOCS/National Structural Code of the Philippines/ ASEP MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 Earthquake Resistant Design & Analysis of Structures/Earthquake Engineering by Robert Wiegel, Prentice Hall inc., N.J. Map 11. Malabon City Ground Shaking Map MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 In the occurrence of ground shaking, findings show that there will be about 1,311 fatalities will be in Malabon with approximately a gross amount PhP 3,384,886.00 worth of loss in building damage and an economic loss of PhP 5,932,500.00. Base on RAP, Barangays Longos and Potrero are extremely vulnerable to damage loss, economic loss and loss of lives. Table 79 and Maps 19-22 show the projected risk values due to ground shaking. Table 47. Projected risk values due to ground shaking C. SEVERE WIND There are two kinds of wind in the Philippines, the Amihan and Habagat. The main indicator of the change between the Amihan and Habagat seasonal pattern is the change in wind direction. Amihan refers to the season dominated by trade winds as a cool northeast wind, characterized by moderate temperatures, little or no rainfall, and prevailing wind from the east. Its pattern begins sometime in September or October and ends sometime in May or June. Throughout the rest of the year, the Philippines experiences the west or MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 southwest wind referred to as Habagat. It is characterized by hot and humid weather, frequent heavy rainfall, and a prevailing wind from the west. The downstream area of the Tullahan River is situated in Malabon. As a consequence, during the onset of Habagat, which caused heavy rainfall, all 21 barangays have been affected by severe winds. The three barangays considered to be mostly affected in relation to building damage area equivalent are Barangays Catmon, Tonsuya and Maysilo. Barangays Potrero, Tinajeros and Maysilo were affected in terms of building damage cost; and Barangays Dampalit, Muzon and Panghulo were affected in terms of average wind speed (Map 23). Map 12. MALABON CITY SEVERE WIND MAP MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 D. LIQUEFACTION Malabon is found to settle about 3 cm. every year. Liquefaction is a phenomenon in which the strength and stiffness of a soil is reduced by earthquake shaking or other rapid loading. Related phenomena have been responsible for tremendous amounts of damage in historical earthquake around the world. Liquefaction is also a process by which water saturated sediments temporarily loses strength and acts as a fluid. It usually occurs when vibrations or water pressure within a mass of soil cause the particles to lose contact with one another. As a result, the soil behaves like a liquid, has an inability to support weight and can flow down very gentle slopes. This condition is usually temporary and is most often caused by an earthquake vibrating water-saturated fill or unconsolidated soil. Liquefaction most often occur when these three conditions are met: loose, granular sediments or fill; saturation by ground water and; strong shaking. Malabon is affected by this phenomenon. Table shows the barangays that are susceptible to liquefaction. Table 48. LIQUEFACTION RISK AREAS BARANGAY Baritan / Concepcion / Bayan-Bayanan / Flores / Hulong Duhat / Ibaba / San Agustin / Tañong Longos / Catmon / Dampalit / Muzon / Niugan / Tonsuya Soil type: Obando Fine Sandy Loam Seismic Hazard: Liquefaction Recommended Structures: One Storey Structures Remarks: Structures above one storey – required Geotechnical & Structural Engineering Analysis and Design Soil type: Hydrosol Seismic Hazard: Liquefaction Recommended Structures: One Storeytwo Structures Remarks: Structures above one-two storey – require geotechnical and structural engineering analysis and design Source: Bureau of Soils/PHILVOCS/National Structural Code of the Philippines/ ASEP Earthquake Resistant Design & Analysis of Structures/Earthquake Engineering by Robert Wiegel, Prentice Hall inc., and N.J. MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 Map 13. MALABON CITY LIQUEFACTION MAP MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 E. SEASONAL CALENDAR EVENTS / SEASONALITY Dry Season J F M A Rainy Season LIVELIHOOD Pedicab Tricycle Jeepney Driver Employee Construction Fisher folks HEALTH HAZARDS Dengue Tuberculosis Fever Cough and Cold Hypertension HAZARDS Typhoon / Flood Fire LOAN PERIOD Enrollment Christmas / New Year 30 YEARS BEFORE PRESENT F. MALABON CITY HISTORY OF DISASTER M J J A S O N D MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 HAZARDS YEAR 2020 2019 FIRE 2018 2015 19901999 2009 2010 HYDROMETEOROLOG ICAL HAZARD 2011 2012 DISASTER EVENT March 6, 2020 at 3:00 AM Fire incident at Letre Damata Malabon City involved residential/light materials. 48 families / 617 individuals are affected during this period. May 1, 2019 at 3:24 PM Fire incident at Herrara St. Brgy. Ibaba Malabon City involved residential/light materials 271 families / 1,087 individuals are affected during this period. May 24, 2018 Fire incident at Sittio-6 Brgy. Catmon Malabon City involved residential/ light materials 943 families / 3,859 individuals are affected during this period. March 18 2015 Fire incident at Flovi 5 St. Brgy. Tonsuya Malabon City involved residential/ light materials 1200 families / 5,400 individuals are affected during this period. Typhoon Uring is (Thelma) the second deadliest typhoon to hit the country. Typhoon Pepeng (international name, Parma), was the second typhoon that affected the Philippines within the span of a week in September 2009. Typhoon Pedring (international name, Nesat) exited the country the same time as Typhoon Quiel (international name, Nalgae) made its landfall in Isabela. Pedring came on September 27 and Quiel just a few days later on October 1, dumping even heavier rains and slamming strong winds into Luzon. Tropical storm Ondoy (international name, Ketsana), delivered a record 448.5 mm (17.6 inches) of rain that fell on Metro Manila between 8:00 AM and 8:00 PM local time on. Tropical storm Sendong (international name, Washi) made landfall on December 15, 2011 in the southern regions of the country. The recorded 24-hour rainfall in Lumbia station of PAGASA reached 180.9 mm causing the overflow of the Cagayan de Oro River. TROPICAL STORM EGAY AND FALCON Malabon City experienced heavy rain and flood due to tropical storm Egay and Falcon from June 20-26, 2011. Four barangays were highly affected, with two people reported as injured. TYPHOON PEDRING Malabon City experienced heavy rains and flood due to typhoon Pedring from September 26-28, 2011. Six (6) out of twenty-one (21) barangays were affected by the typhoon. The estimated cost of damage to properties was about Php 30,000,000.00. TYPHOON GENER in August 1, 2012, Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to typhoon Gener. MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 2014 2018 2020 EARTHQUAKE 1990 Twelve (12) out of twenty-one (21) barangays were affected by the typhoon. MONSOON RAINS (HABAGAT) rom August 6-9, 2012, Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to the monsoon rains. Sixteen (16) out of twenty-one (21) barangays were affected during this period. TYPHOON GLENDA Typhoon Rammasun, known in the Philippines as Typhoon Glenda, was one of the only two Category 5 super typhoons. From July 15 2014 Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to Typhoon. 347 Families/1,497 individuals from 9 out of 21 barangays are affected during this period TROPICAL STORM MARIO Tropical Storm Fung-wong, known in the Philippines as Tropical Storm Mario, was a relatively weak tropical cyclone which affected the northern Philippines, Taiwan and the Eastern China. From September 20, 2014 Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to Tropical Storm Mario. 805 Families / 3,232 individuals from 11 out of 21 barangays are affected during this period. TYPHOON RUBY Typhoon Hagupit (ha-gu-PIT, [hɐguˈpit]; Filipino word meaning "to lash" or "to flog"), known in the Philippines as Typhoon Ruby, was the second most intense tropical cyclone in 2014. From Decemebr 8-10, 2014 Malabon experienced heavy rain and flood due to Typhoon Ruby. 727 Families / 3,069 individuals from 9 out of 21 barangays are affected during this period. MONSOON RAINS (HABAGAT 2018) From August 1217, 2018 Brgy Dampalit are exepecienced heavily flooding due to continues rain and high tide that caused the damage of mega dike in said Barangay. 178 families / 868 individuals are affected during this period TYPHOON ULYSSES Typhoon Vamco, known in the Philippines as Typhoon Ulysses, was a powerful and deadly Category 4-equivalent typhoon that struck the Philippines and Vietnam. It also caused the worst flooding in Metro Manila since Ketsana in 2009. From November 12-14 2020 Malabon experienced heavy rain and strong wind LUZON EARTHQUAKE -With a magnitude of 7.8, it is considered as one of the strongest and most devastating earthquakes to hit the country. MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 G. CAPACITY AND VULNERABILITY ASSESMENT CATEGORY Physical/Material CVA CAPACITY Schools Churches Barangay Hall Health Center Multi-purpose Hall Fast food store Burulan Groceries Market Plaza or covered court Library Fire station Telecommunications company (Bayantel) Junkshop Gasoline station Resto bar Bakery Dental Clinic Existing Pumping stations (old) Katrina’s Ice Buko Drugstore TranspoTerminals (jeep, tricycle and pedicab) Available Bangka (private/it is being used during evacuation and a source of income to others) Parlor Home owners’associations and other existing organizations (includingmicrofinance organizations like Uplift and 56/bumbay) Existing river wall/dike Sardines and plastic factories Hardwares Existing piggeries Existing condominiums Vacant lots (2 hectares but to be converted to a private resort) Existing City Development Fund Existing City Contingency Plan Organized Fire Volunteer Group with 18 members VULNERABILITY Floods Cancellation of classes dues to evacuation as well Dirty classrooms after evacuation Fire caused by illegal connections Houses made of light materials Poor and not functional drainage system also cause spread of dengue and other diseases High-risk areas are far from evacuation centers Sidewalk vendors Old pumping station Narrow streets and roads 30 identifies malnourished children by BHWs Lack of M&E on livelihood programs being implemented Indebtedness due to high interest of credit systems 5-6 (interest is 20% payable up to 30-40 days; shall increase if not paid) Uplift (5-6 months to pay with MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 Social/Organizational CVA Family Existing organizations of youth and fisherfolks Active Barangay Officials and leaders Existing and functional health programs such as feedings, vaccination and family planning programs Existing health/family profile (data) With existing procedure and calendar of activities: Pregnant check-up – Every Tuesday and Friday Vaccination - every Wednesday Feeding program – 3 months started last August 2016 Consultation – From Monday to Friday May sapat na supply ng gamot (for High blood/ TB/ Diabetic patients) Support from DOH-local government Available budget for disaster Alternative work Most are extended families Strong bond, unity weekly payment. The interest is 4% every month.) Extended Families Bigger family, bigger expenses, too many sharing a budget MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 Community Organization Motivational/Attitudinal Many residents are members of at least one organization Existing organizations and institutions are skilled/trained Many organizations and institutions are also catering to the less-fortunate members of the community There is diversity among the advocacies of the organizations; Vulnerable sectors are also wellrepresented Wide scope of networks of several organizations, as they are also found and operational in other barangays Cooperatives and insurance companies serve as options for livelihood/finance sources of some community members Known respected leaders Peaceful elections and no conflict between political parties Approachable and accessible members and staff of the DRRM Council Active and existing MCDRRMC Thinks of alternative ways to meet their daily needs Doesn’t depend on others Prepares for the coming disaster believes in God; they get strength in overcoming their situation from their belief Limited funding and resources of organizations Lack of monitoring and coordination between organizations Need for trainings and awarenessraising programs for BDRRMC members Need for ground/sitio leaders individualistic take on finding ways to meet their daily needs There are people who don’t want to evacuate because they believe that their situation in the evacuation center is not different when they are at home and they can guard their houses against burglars if they stay There are those who believe that there is no hope for them to succeed in life The cooperation and motivation of the members of the organization weakened MALABON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN 2022-2026 believes that they have the capacity to change/improve their situation in life (more so if they get help to enhance their capacity) They have organizations present in the community: Open to get partnered with other organizations and individuals The members participate and exert effort in their activities/projects The youth joins in the organization and its activities that help the city Aware and participates in the activities that tackles social issues They continue to help others even if they are not that well off; bayanihan Helps in emergencies Disaster response Cares for each other Participates in city activities (declogging, cleaning, etc.) There are different religion, shares each other’s beliefs but don’t argue; the relief goods for the victims/survivors are not exclusive for the people in the same religion The evacuation center is relatively new: New facilities (rooms, CR) There are assigned areas for cooking, washing, for vulnerable groups (PWDS, PLW, senior, etc.) In cases of emergency, everyone wants to be the first to be rescued or get relief goods The view on the word “evacuees” and “evacuation center/s” There are parents who have low involvement/participation in the school activities of their children Some of the evacuees don’t follow the ECs policies (cleanliness, assigned areas, etc)