1 A CASE ANALYSIS ON THE THREATS OF DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN COMPETITION TO THE HARLEY DAVIDSON COMPANY IN THE 21ST CENTURY GLOBAL MARKET EVELYN N. PUA Case Analysis March 28, 2019 Masters in Business Administration Philippine Christian University Philippine Christian University Graduate School of Business and Management 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION…………………………………………………………………3-4 II. TIME CONTEXT…………………………………………………………………4-5 Figure 1……………………………………………………………………….5 III. VIEW POINT…………………………………………………………………….6-8 IV. CENTRAL PROBLEM…………………………………………………………..8 V. OBJECTIVES…………………………………………………………………….8 VI. AREAS OF CONSIDERATIONS……………………………………………..8-11 Figure 2………………………………………………………………………10 VII. ALTERNATIVE COURSES OF ACTION……………………………………11-13 VIII. RECOMMENDATIONS………………………………………………………..13 IX. PLAN OF ACTION……………………………………………………………..14-15 X. REFERENCES…………………………………………………………………15-16 3 I. INTRODUCTION The success of different industries all over the world is linked to their performance in both the domestic and global markets. Competition is the fundamental reality of being in business. To establish a trusted name is one advantage a company could have, and while iconic status remains a constant, preference and economic value are two changeable variables. Harley-Davidson had long been held up as a quintessentially American company, a producer of large motorcycles that had weathered many threats, including that of smaller, less expensive Japanese products aimed at a younger market in the 1990s. (Heskett, 2018, paragraph 2). The long-running challenges that the company is facing may determine its significance in the motorcycle industry. Back in the days when motorcycles were on high demand, there was a notable growth in sales due to the remarkable interest that the Baby Boomers showed when it comes to owning motorcycles. Nowadays, the millennial group, which dominates three quarters of the global workforce, shows little interest in motorcycles. CNBC recently released an article entitled, "Millennials don’t like motorcycles and that’s killing Harley’s sales". David Beckel, an AB analyst, quoted: "Our data suggests the younger Gen Y population is adopting motorcycling at a far lower rate than prior generations. Gen Y's are aging into the important 'pre-family' cohort of riders and Boomers are increasingly handing over their keys to the smaller Gen X population."" (Franck, 2017, paragraph 4) Given this situation, this case study is designed to appropriately address the problem of the Harley-Davidson company in dealing with the decline in their sales over 4 the past years. This study is suitable in helping to expand knowledge about the longrunning challenges of the company and address the problems using prescribed strategic methods. II. TIME CONTEXT The Harley-Davidson Motor Company of Milwaukee, the sole surviving American maker of motorcycles, has been facing a threat in the motorcycle market since the beginning of import penetration during the 1970s. President Ronald Reagan, in his strong protectionist action, ordered a tenfold increase in tariffs for imported heavyweight motorcycles. This action was particularly limited to Japanese manufacturers, which are the key players in the American motorcycle market. (The New York Times Archives, April 2, 1983, Page 001001) Harley-Davidson, which had dominated the industry in the earlier postwar period, is also faced with a problem of its fading popularity, since the company has struggled to attract younger customers, whose interest in motorcycling is less compared to the past generations. Baby boomers, earlier a boost to Harley’s sales as they hit some of their best income-earning years, are now aging out of riding. (Barrett 2018, paragraph 5). According to an analysis from Pew Research Center, more than 30 percent of American workers today are Millennials. They recently surpassed Generation X in becoming the largest share of the American work force. As more Baby Boomers retire, more and more Millennials will be stepping up to fill management roles. (Dukes, 2017, paragraph 2). This means that most of the earners of today are coming from the millennial population, and 5 this generation has a varied preference when it comes to buying motorcycles compared to the generations before them. Fig. 1. Harley-Davidson sales from: Loesche. “How Harley-Davidson Sales Have Developed Worldwide” 26 June, 2018 The changes in travel behavior also affect the sales of these products. Americans are driving less. Much ink has been spilled debating whether these changes in travel behavior are due to changing preferences or economic circumstances. (Klein & Smart, 2016) This circumstance posted a challenge to Harley-Davidson’s motorcycle industry, given the fact that their motorcycles are now at the Top 6 in the most expensive motor 6 brands. (“10 Most Expensive Big Motor Bikes In The World” (n.d.) Retrieved from https://financesonline.com/) III. VIEW POINT With the rise of other motorcycle companies offering lower cost, the HarleyDavidson company will be experiencing tough times both in the foreign and domestic market. Polaris, a domestic competitor, is managing commendable growth levels that could hurt Harley’s market share. (Great Speculations, September 13, 2016) Motorcycle demand in the U.S. has slowed, meaning that companies will now look for growth in terms of increasing market share and incentives. Harley already faces stiff competition from the European and Japanese manufacturers, which have benefited recently from the stronger U.S. dollar, and domestic competition in the face of Polaris. (“Harley-Davidson: Tough Times Ahead in The Domestic Market”, 2016) In order to respond to the threat of competition, it would be helpful to prescribe that the company should perform strategic management styles. The key people that should be responsible for these are the management team, the logistics team, the marketing team, and the stakeholders. MANAGEMENT In the late 1980s, Teerlink, then president and COO of Harley-Davidson, began working with fellow executives and with external management consultant Ozley to design a new leadership model to replace the top-down one that Harley and so many other companies had relied on for so long. They didn’t know what form such a different model might take, but they knew they wanted it to achieve several things: 7 Encourage every employee to participate in shaping the company’s future. (As Ozley pointed out, Harley employees were strong leaders and creative thinkers outside the company— in their neighborhoods, parent-school relationships, and faith-based organizations. But years of heavy-handed management control had made them passive. The challenge facing Harley was to revive these atrophied leadership skills in the workplace.) Foster a culture of commitment as opposed to compliance. Sustain the flow of energy and ideas from the Harley work force even during neutral times, thus avoiding the addiction to crisis management that plagues many companies. (Johnson, “Revving Up a New Model of Change Leadership”) LOGISTICS The people in the Logistics are the ones responsible for the commercial activity of transporting goods to the customers and the detailed coordination of a complex operation involving many people, facilities, or supplies. MARKETING They are the ones responsible for the promotion of business, drive sales of its products or services, and provide the necessary research to identify your target customers and other audiences. STAKEHOLDERS Customers are significant stakeholders because they directly determine HarleyDavidson's sales revenues and profitability. This influence leads the company to 8 implement corporate social responsibility strategies and programs that satisfy customers' interests (Lombardo, 2017) IV. CENTRAL PROBLEM The Threats of Domestic and Foreign Competition to the Harley-Davidson Company in the 21st Century Global Market V. OBJECTIVES This case study analysis has the following objectives: 1) To be able to conduct a customer value analysis on the target market; 2) To be able to execute effective strategies that would result to the increase of target market share; 3) To be able prescribe methods to innovate features and styling of the Harley Davidson motorcycles that would be suitable to the interest of the target market; and 4) To be able to suggest strategies that can help maintain and/or improve the quality of the Harley Davidson motorcycles to compete with other motorcycle brands. VI. AREAS OF CONSIDERATION STRENGTHS Harley-Davidson has one of the strongest brand images in the motorcycle market. This brand image is especially notable because of the custom/chopper biker culture, 9 which is strongly associated with the Harley-Davidson brand. This condition has also established a stable base of loyal customers. Moreover, more than a century of experience creates the company’s strength of expertise in the business. (Greenspan, “Harley-Davidson SWOT Analysis”, 2017) Harley Davidson has a strong brand equity and brand loyalty which helps it attract and retain a loyal customer base. Its motorcycles are known for its traditional styling and quality, which made them an icon in the motorcycle industry. WEAKNESSES Harley-Davidson’s narrow product mix is a weakness because it prevents the business from reaching more market segments. For example, the company focuses mainly on chopper motorcycles. Harley-Davidson is also weak because most of its sales are generated in North America. The company has insignificant or nonexistent sales in developing countries. In relation, Harley-Davidson has a limited supply chain that hampers potential expansion in the global motorcycle market. (Greenspan, 2017) Furthermore, Harley is relying on limited suppliers only, which can directly affect the company’s business in the long run. As in case of increase in input cost will lead to increase in operational cost which in course will affect the cost of commodities. This results to capacity constraints, lower production, and financial distress to suppliers which will ultimately result in delivery delay & customer dissatisfaction. (“SWOT Analysis of Harley-Davidson”, December 22, 2017, paragraph 3) 10 Fig. 2 Harley-Davidson Tough Times from: Kessel. “Tough Times at HarleyDavidson” 20 July 2017 OPPORTUNITIES Harley-Davidson has the opportunity to expand, especially in developing markets. Also, the company can broaden its product mix to include a more diverse array of motorcycles and related products. In addition, Harley-Davidson has the opportunity to establish business alliances to increase its market reach, similar to its partnership with Lehman Trikes. (Greenspan, “Harley-Davidson SWOT Analysis”, 2017) Emerging markets and expanding demographics can be ways to expand business. THREATS The intense competition with other manufacturers, both in the domestic and global market, can affect its motorcycle business. Japanese motorcycles are more likely to be purchased than Harley motorcycles due to their lower quotation. Stable profitability has increased the number of players in the industry over the years which has put downward 11 pressure on not only profitability but also on overall sales. (“Harley-Davidson SWOT Analysis” (n.d.) Retrieved from http://fernfortuniversity.com/term-papers/) VII. ALTERNATE COURSES OF ACTION A. Conduct a Customer Value Analysis on the Target Market Customer needs analysis is the process of identifying what requirements the customers has for a product or service. It is used in a variety of product and brand management contexts, including concept development, product development, Value Analysis, and Means-End Analysis or Customer Value Analysis. (“Intro to Customer Needs Analysis Surveys” (n.d.) Retrieved from https://www.qualtrics.com/experiencemanagement/) There should be a survey to be conducted on the target market, the group that comprises the larger percentage in the workforce all over the world, and that is none other than the millennial group. In this way, the company will be able to assess the preferences of the people when it comes to choosing a motorcycle, and study the factors that affect their preferences. Needs and preferences may vary depending on different factors such as culture, lifestyle, financial capability, and government regulations. B. Capture the interest of the target market through advertisements and promotions Harley uses psychographic segmentation to cater to the changing needs of consumers, primarily because it is a lifestyle brand. You choose a Harley over others because you love to ride and you love buying premium motorcycles. The distinct & innovative design has helped the company in making Harley motorcycles popular across the world. The positioning of Harley Davidson is very strong in the mind of consumers as 12 a premium motorcycle brand which is known for its advanced technology and for its design. Harley Davidson has achieved this positioning by giving hit after hit of products, each of which is excellent and loved for the customization it offers. (Bhasin, 2017) C. Innovate Harley-Davidson styling and features. Customization and accessories are the major competitive advantage of Harley Davidson. People love their Harleys and there are numerous customizations possible in a Harley, from the handle, the stand, to the overall looks including the accessories the driver can wear. Majority of riders prefer lighter motorbikes nowadays since the demand for fastpaced transactions and transportations rose. In this case, the styling of a Harley bike would be less appealing specially to the millennials. Bernstein’s analysts wrote, “If Harley and other manufacturers want to attract more young riders, the mode of delivery might need to change.” (Nachison, 2018) Harley-Davidson should offer its most comprehensive lineup of motorcycles by leveling-up its industry-leading design and strong manufacturing capabilities. This would enable them to compete with other manufacturers in many of the largest and fastest growing segments with a full portfolio of motorcycles across a broad spectrum of price points, power sources, displacements, riding styles and global markets. D. Build stronger connection with customers. Allowing customers to express themselves will help build a stronger bond between the company and its customers. This quality of marketing and product assurance may override the price and other issues like fuel consumption. Through customized design and accessories, motorbike lovers can easily identify with the product. Also, the 13 “customers-first” perspective will boost their market as customers want to feel important and heard of. VIII. RECOMMENDATION This study reveals that the Harley-Davidson Company needs to make reforms in the business. The global motorcycle market presents opportunities for growth. However, Harley-Davidson has a narrow product mix, a limited market reach, and a limited supply chain. The company also needs to address the environmentalism trend. (Greenspan, 2017) Thus, the following are the recommendations for Harley-Davidson to further grow its business: 1. Broaden the product mix through innovation and diversification. 2. Globally expand, especially in developing markets. 3. Globally expand the supply chain. 4. Innovate to make Harley-Davidson brand and products environmentally friendly. IXI. PLAN OF ACTION As stated by Matt Levatich, president and chief executive officer, Harley-Davidson, Inc.: “Harley-Davidson is iconic because we’ve never been static,” said Levatich. “In moving forward, we are tapping into the spirit that drove our founders back in 1903 and every one of the employees and dealers who rose to the challenges faced along the way. Our plan will redefine existing boundaries of our brand – reaching more customers 14 in a way that reinforces all we stand for as a brand and as a company and we can’t wait to kick it into gear.” (“Harley-Davidson Accelerates Strategy”, 2018) Here are the recommended action plans: 1. Assess the needs of the customers. It is strongly suggested that the Harley-Davidson Company focus more on the needs of their stakeholders, since they are the major key players in the market sales. The management and marketing teams must devise ways on how to effectively meet customers where they are and how they want to engage with a multi-channel retail experience. Promotions and advertisements, as well as creating programs with a good cause, may help the company regain their market, opening opportunities for a larger community involvement. 2. Raise a new generation of Harley-Davidson riders. There is a need for the company to build its next generation of riders globally, not only in the United States. Involving the Baby Boomers to mentoring programs will help the younger generation understand the core values of the Harley-Davidson Company. 3. Innovate the styling and features of the HD motorcycles. Since the goal is to reach the younger generation, it will be better if the company explore new styling and features that will suit to the taste of the millennials. 15 X. REFERENCES Farnsworth, C. H. (1983, April 2) “U.S. Raises Tariff for Motorcycles”. Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/1983/04/02/business/us-raises-tariff-for-motorcycles.html Barrett, R. (2018, Oct 23) “Harley-Davidson earnings: US motorcycle sales continue to plunge, but profit jumps”. Retrieved from https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/cars/2018/10/23/harley-davidson-motorcyclesales/1736906002/ Klein, N.J. & Smart, M. J. (2016, Aug 10) “Millennials and car ownership: Less money, fewer cars”. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0967070X16305571 Trefis Team & Great Speculations (2016, Sep 13) “Harley-Davidson: Tough Times Ahead In The Domestic Market”. Retrieved from https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2016/09/13/harley-davidson-toughtimes-ahead-in-the-domestic-market/#78183df21fb9 “10 Most Expensive Big Motor Bikes In The World: Is Harley Davidson Still A Top Brand?” [Web log post] (2018) Retrieved from https://financesonline.com/10-mostexpensive-big-motor-bikes-in-the-world-is-harley-davidson-still-a-top-brand/ Greenspan, R. (2017, Feb 7) “Harley-Davidson SWOT Analysis”. Retrieved from http://panmore.com/harley-davidson-swot-analysis Bhasin, H. (2017, Dec 22) "SWOT Analysis of Harley Davidson". Retrieved from https://www.marketing91.com/swot-analysis-of-harley-davidson/ 16 “Harley-Davidson SWOT Analysis / Matrix” [Web log post] (n.d) Retrieved from http://fernfortuniversity.com/term-papers/swot/1433/432-harley-davidson.php “Intro to Customer Needs Analysis Surveys” [Web log post] (n.d.) Retrieved from https://www.qualtrics.com/experience-management/research/customer-needs-analysis/ “Millennials Aren’t Riding: Should They Be?” [Web log post] (2018, July 31). Retrieved from https://blog.rumbleon.com/millennials-and-motorcycles Huber, T. (2018, Apr 17) “Millennials Kill Again - This Time it's Motorcycles”. Retrieved from https://www.rideapart.com/articles/244832/millennials-kill-again-this-time-itsmotorcycles/ “Motorcycle tariffs and Harley-Davidson: Lessons from the last time” [Web log post] (2018, Mar 5) Retrieved from https://www.revzilla.com/common-tread/motorcycle-tariffsand-harley-davidson Nachison, D.M. (2018, Apr 13) "Motorcycles: Why Millennials Aren’t Buying, and What to Do About It". Retrieved from https://www.barrons.com/articles/motorcycles-whymillennials-arent-buying-and-what-to-do-about-it-1523632340