Rate of Return TOPIC 4 Rate of Return One Project Rate of Return Definition: A relative percentage method which measures the yield as a percentage of investment over the life of a project. Example: π π ππ = −100 + 60 , π%, 1 + 60 , π%, 2 πΉ πΉ π % = ??? Rate on Investment Definition 1: Rate of Return is defined as the interest earned on the unpaid balance of an installment loan. Rate on Investment Definition 2: Rate of return is the break-even interest rate, i* which equates the present worth of a project’s cash outflows to the present worth of its cash inflows. Mathematical relation: ππ π ∗ = 0 ππ π ∗ πππ β ππππππ€π = ππ π ∗ πππ β ππ’π‘ππππ€π π΄π π ∗ = 0 π΄π π ∗ πππ β ππππππ€π = π΄π π ∗ πππ β ππ’π‘ππππ€π Example Investment Classification Simple Investment Non-simple Investment βͺ Initial cash flows are negative, and only one sign change occurs in the net cash flows series βͺ Initial cash flows are negative, but more than one sign changes in the remaining cash flow series βͺ ROR: A unique ROR βͺ ROR: A possibility of multiple RORs Multiple ROR Values Test 1: Descarte’s Rule of Signs Test 2: Norstrom’s Criteria Total number of real i* values is ≤ the If the cumulative cash flow starts off number of sign changes in net cash negatively and has only one sign flow series. change, there is only one positive root. Rate of Return Multiple Alternatives Example: Why Incremental Analysis is Necessary Incremental Cash Flow for ROR Analysis πΌππππππππ‘ππ πππ β ππππ€ = πππ β ππππ€ π© − πππ β ππππ€ π¨ Where alternative B is the larger initial investment A B Incremental Cash Flow B-A First Cost, $ -40,000 -60,000 -20,000 Annual Cost, $/year -25,000 -19,000 +6,000 8,000 10,000 +2,000 Salvage Value, $ This incremental ROR is identified as βπ∗ The ROR on the extra $20,000 investment in B determines which alternative to select Equal-service life are necessary when performing ROR analysis. Therefore, the LCM must be used. −5000 + 1900 π π π , βπ ∗ , 10 − 11000 , βπ ∗ , 5 + 2000 , βπ ∗ , 10 = 0 π΄ πΉ πΉ π΄π π π’ππ π ∗ = 12% −5000 + 1900 5.6502 − 11000 0.5674 + 2000 0.3220 = 137.98 ≠ 0 π΄π π π’ππ π ∗ = 14% −5000 + 1900 5.2161 − 11000 0.5194 + 2000 0.2697 = −263.41 ≠ 0 PW will be zero between 12% and 14%. Use straight-line interpolation: Vendor B is selected. βπ ∗ = 12.68% > MARR