NATURE, SCOPE AND PRACTICE OF MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 1 INTENDED LEARNING OUTCOMES 1. Explain how economics can be used for managerial decision-making. 2. Rank the steps of managerial decision making and management process. 3. Distinguish between Public and Private Decisions. 4. State the different phases of planning. 5. Formulate a simple strategic plan thru the use of SWOT analysis. 6. Develop a simple project plan. Managerial Economics is an application of economic tools and techniques to business and administrative decision-making; another term for the title of this course, namely economic analysis for agribusiness and management. Moreover, it is a branch of economics which studies the application of the theories, tools and findings of economic analysis to managerial decision-making in all types of organizations, including government agencies, educational centers, not-for-profit foundations and business enterprises. Helps decision-makers recognize how economic forces affect organizations and describes the economic consequences of managerial behavior. How? By linking economic concepts and quantitative methods to develop tools for managerial decision-making. Simply put, managerial economics uses economic concepts and quantitative methods to solve managerial problems. We place emphasis on the practical application of economic analysis to managerial decision problems; the primary virtue of managerial economics lies in its usefulness. THE ECONOMICS OF EFFECTIVE MANAGEMENT (1) Identify goals and constraints; (2) Recognize the nature and importance of profits; (3) Understand incentives; (4) Understand markets; (5) Recognize the time value of money; and (6) Use marginal analysis. Economic Concepts • Influence which products to produce, which costs to consider, and the prices to charge; • Necessitates the collection, organization, and analysis of information. • Emphasis is placed on microeconomic topics, although macroeconomic relations have implications for managerial decision-making as well. • Microeconomics – descriptive in nature • Managerial economics – prescriptive in nature Economic Decision-making requires the following: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) Optimization techniques (calculus-based and linear programming) Statistical relations Demand analysis and estimation (through regression) Forces of demand and supply Forecasting of firm activities (sales, production, demand, prices) Risk analysis 6 Steps to managerial decision-making 1. Define the problem. What is the problem the manager faces? Who is the decision maker? What is the decision setting or context, and how does it influence managerial objectives or options? 2. Determine the objective. What is the decision maker’s goal? How should the decision maker value outcomes with respect to this goal? What if he or she is pursuing multiple, conflicting objectives? 3. Explore the alternatives. What are the alternative courses of action? What are the variables under the decision maker’s control? What constraints limit the choice of options? 4. Predict the consequences. What are the consequences of each alternative action? Should conditions change, how would this affect outcomes? If outcomes are uncertain, what is the likelihood of each? Can better information be acquired to predict outcomes? 5. Make a choice. After all the analysis is done, what is the preferred course of action? For obvious reasons, this step (along with step 4) occupies the lion’s share of the analysis and discussion in this module. Once the decision maker has put the problem in context, formalized key objectives, and identified available alternatives, how does he or she go about finding a preferred course of action? 6. Perform sensitivity analysis. What features of the problem determine the optimal choice of action? How does the optimal decision change if conditions in the problem are altered? Is the choice sensitive to key economic variables about which the decision maker is uncertain? Sensitivity analysis considers how an optimal decision is affected if key economic facts or conditions vary. Here is a simple example of the use of sensitivity analysis. “Senior management of a consumer products firm is conducting a third-year review of one of its new products. Two of the firm’s business economists have prepared an extensive report that projects significant profits from the product over the next two years. These profit estimates suggest a clear course of action: Continue marketing the product. As a member of senior management, would you accept this recommendation uncritically? Probably not. After all, you may be well aware that the product has not yet earned a profit in its first two years. (Although it sold reasonably well, it also had high advertising and promotion costs and a low introductory price.) What lies behind the new profit projection? Greater sales, a higher price, or both? A significant cost reduction? The process of tracking down the basic determinants of profit is one aspect of sensitivity analysis.” Potential contributions to decision-making process • Experience • Judgement • Common sense • Intuition • Rules of thumb Four traditional managerial skills needed • • • • Planning Organizing Leading Controlling PUBLIC AND PRIVATE DECISIONS: AN ECONOMIC VIEW Private Decisions Main approach to managerial economics is based on a model of the firm: how firms behave and what objectives they pursue. The main tenet of this model, or theory of the firm, is that management strives to maximize the firm’s profits. However, a more precise profit criterion is needed when a firm’s revenues and costs are uncertain and accrue at different times in the future. The most general theory of the firm states that “Management’s primary goal is to maximize the value of the firm.” Value maximization is a compelling prescription concerning how managerial decisions should be made. Although this tenet is a useful norm in describing actual managerial behavior, it is not a perfect yardstick. Even if value maximization is the ultimate corporate goal, actual decision making within this complex organization may look quite different. There are several reasons for this: 1. Managers may have individual incentives (such as job security, career advancement, increasing a division’s budget, resources, power) that are at odds with value maximization of the total firm. For instance, it sometimes is claimed that company executives are apt to focus on short-term value maximization (increasing next year’s earnings) at the expense of long-run firm value. 2. Managers may lack the information (or fail to carry out the analysis) necessary for value-maximizing decisions. 3. Managers may formulate but fail to implement optimal decisions. Other three behavioral decision models: 1. Satisficing behavior model posits that the typical firm strives for a satisfactory level of performance rather than attempting to maximize its objective 2. Firms attempt to maximize total sales subject to achieving an acceptable level of profit. 3. Social responsibility of business – social welfare Public Decisions In government decisions, the question of objectives is much broader than simply an assessment of profit. Most observers would agree that the purpose of public decisions is to promote the welfare of society, where the term society is meant to include all the people whose interests are affected when a particular decision is made. The difficulty in applying the social welfare criterion in such a general form is that public decisions inevitably carry different benefits and costs to the many groups they affect. The principal analytical framework used in guiding public decisions is the Benefit-cost analysis which begins with the systematic enumeration of all of the potential benefits and costs of a particular public decision. This analysis will be discuss further in module 9. CORPORATE PLANNING Among the traditional managerial skills needed, the most important skill we have to master and where economics is widely evident is in the planning stage. Private or public decision makers must undergo this stage. Corporate planning is a formal, systematic managerial process, organized by responsibility, time, and information, to ensure that operational planning, project planning and strategic planning are carried out regularly to enable management to direct and control the future of the enterprise. 1. Operational Planning- Forward planning of existing operations in existing markets with existing customers and facilities. Example: annual budgets 2. Project Planning - Development planning or capital expenditure planning. Generation and appraisal of the commitment to and the working out of detailed execution of an action outside the scope of present operations, which is capable of separate analysis and control. Example: launching of new product 3. Strategic Planning - Determination of the future posture of the business with special reference to: -its product-market posture, -its profitability, -its size -Its rate of innovation -Its relationship with its executives, its employees and external institutions. Components of Strategic Planning Basic activities: a. Objectives formulation In establishing corporate objectives, the following Corporate issues should be taken: a. Survival b. Growth c. Diversification d. Development b. Environmental appraisal Scanning and assessment of the external environment a. The structure of the industry b. Demand (both nature and size) c. Technology d. The role of the government c. Corporate appraisal • Soul-searching by specifically evaluating its strengths, weaknesses and resources • Possible checklist: a. Product/market structure b. Production c. Finance d. Technology e. Organization and management f. Labor force d. Strategy formulation • Essence of this is the intended impact on the future posture of the business towards its customers, markets, executives, etc. rather than the time span over which the decisions designed to create such impact is made. Formulating Strategy SWOT Analysis - A planning exercise in which managers identify: -organizational strengths and weaknesses. • Strengths (e.g., superior marketing skills) • Weaknesses (e.g., outdated production facilities) -external opportunities and threats. • Opportunities (e.g., entry into new related markets). • Threats (increased competition) REFERENCES Samuelson, W. & S. Marks, 2010. Managerial Economics. 2nd edition. Villegas, B.M. 1999. Managerial Economics; Text and Case Studies. 3 rd ed.