Fintech: a journey through the present & future of Finance Master in Fintech & Innovation a.y. 2019-2020 6/5/2020 1 A changing world “There are hundreds of startups with a lot of brains and money working on various alternatives to traditional banking” Jamie Dimon - CEO, J.P. Morgan “Alibaba becomes Top 10 Global Bank” Disruptive Finance, June 2018 “Developments in technology could see some 30% of banking jobs disappearing in the next five years” Vikram Pandit - Former CEO, Citigroup “AI will fundamentally change the banking business” Axel Lehmann - COO, UBS 2 Workforce and skills disruption “I think one of the increasing skill sets of the future is your ability to learn because the hard skill set that you learn today very quickly becomes out of date in three or four years time” Peter O’Hanlon, Lloyds Bank Head of group corporate treasury technology The accelerating pace of technological, demographic and socioeconomic disruption is transforming industries and business models, changing the skills that employers need and shortening the shelf-life of employees’ existing skill sets in the process. Many of the major drivers of transformation currently affecting global industries are expected to have a significant impact on jobs (e.g. widening the skills gap). In many industries and countries, the currently most in-demand occupations or specialties did not exist 10 or even five years ago, and the pace of change is set to accelerate. The World Economic Forum estimates as many as 65% of children in school today will end up working in jobs that do not even exist today. It’s no surprise that people across industry are emphasizing the ability to learn and learn quickly when it comes to employability. Source: Future of Jobs Report. World Economic Forum 74% of banking executives believe the Industry will be completely transformed by new technologies Accenture, 2018 Source: Future of Jobs Report. World Economic Forum 3 3 Education needs Innovation… and Innovation needs Education “I think one of increasing skill sets of the future is your ability to learn because the hard skill set that you learn today very quickly becomes out of date in three or four years time” Peter O’Hanlon, Lloyds Bank Head of group corporate treasury technology The “Future of Jobs and Skills” report of the World Economic Forum suggests among its recommendations for actions to rethink education systems. Source: Financial Times (2018) - https://www.ft.com/content/e336d938-f7ca-11e7-a4c9-bbdefa4f210b Education has the power to shape the future. However, in this fast-changing tech world, we need a fundamental change in mindset and in the way we train the next generation of talents. 4 3 OK….. Now, fasten your seatbelt and LET’S START!!!! 5 AGENDA 05 04 03 02 01 History Global Journey Let’s see If we have time: How is the traditional banking system changing and some hints on the main financial technologies A trip around the world to discover fintech champions together A deep dive into Fintech concepts and verticals Fintech How did we get to the Fintech Revolution? From 2008 Fin. Crisis untill today A biref brainstorming about Financial technology Intro 6 But first…. 2 simple requests: Turn on Your camera – If possible ;) …………………… AND: 7 AGENDA 05 04 03 02 01 History Global Journey Let’s see If we have time: How is the traditional banking system changing and some hints on the main financial technologies A trip around the world to discover fintech champions together A deep dive into Fintech concepts and verticals Fintech How did we get to the Fintech Revolution? From 2008 Fin. Crisis untill today A biref brainstorming about Financial technology Intro 8 What about your experience with financial services? 9 First question for YOU!! 10 Let’s see what came out… 11 … and list some important concepts! FINANCE STARTUPS P2P lending platf Robo-Advisory platf Evolution & Platforms BIG TECH – Daily touchpoints with us (trust and confidence) Financial Inclusion – 2bln people unbanked -> Vicious cycle of poverty ( Only poor countries affected? Not at all Miami – Detroit more than 40% of households are unbanked) World Bank Data: 700 mil in 2012-2017 from being unbanked to banked IoT, AI, Biometric data, Gamification and VR 70% of millennials would rather go to dentist than hear what their bank has to say New Skillset: Programmers and Designers 12 Tube Riding and Fintech 13 Nevertheless pay attention to two concepts: HYPE OVER EXCITEMENT 14 AGENDA 05 04 03 02 01 History Global Journey Let’s see If we have time: How is the traditional banking system changing and some hints on the main financial technologies A trip around the world to discover fintech champions together A deep dive into Fintech concepts and verticals Fintech How did we get to the Fintech Revolution? From 2008 Fin. Crisis untill today A biref brainstorming about Financial technology Intro 15 Brief History Lesson Defining Financial Technology FinTech Success Factors “Technologically enabled financial innovation that could result in new business models, applications, processes or products with an associated material effect on financial markets and institutions and the provision of financial services.” Financial Stability Board Source: Copenhagen FinTech 16 3 Brief History Lesson FinTech is not a “New Thing” 1950 First Credit Card 1973 SWIFT launched 1983 Beginning of Online Banking (UK) 1998 PayPal launched 2008 Bitcoin released Source: ValueWalk 17 3 Brief History Lesson 2008 Financial Crisis Regulatory Backlash Regulation moving forward in leaps and bounds, adding complexity and cost to financial institutions’ bottom lines Source: Vanguard 18 3 Brief History Lesson 2008 Financial Crisis Regulatory Backlash Regulation moving forward in leaps and bounds, adding complexity and cost to financial institutions’ bottom lines Source: Vanguard 19 3 Brief History Lesson: what do you notice? 20 Brief History Lesson: Top 10 Companies by market cap - 2020 01 04 07 02 05 08 03 06 09 10 21 Brief History Lesson 2008 Financial Crisis Consumer Confidence, particularly with respect to financial institutions, shattered Prompting greater competition Global movement towards open banking Source: Advisory Perspective Source: Vanguard 22 3 Brief History Lesson Technological Progress Enablers Intersection of major developments across several technological areas: Computing Power - Artificial Intelligence Edge Computing - Machine Learning Wireless Data - Blockchain - Cloud Computing Source: Vanguard 23 3 Brief History Lesson How did FinTech go to where it is today? Financial Markets 2008 Financial Crisis Basel III, Solvency II, MiFID 2 … Open Banking Enablers for High Speed Internet Technology Mobile Data (3G, 4G, 5G) Microchip technology Enablers for Creation of Digital Business Models 24 3 Brief History Lesson Why is FinTech particularly relevant today? • Focus on Productivity enhancements towards the Intelligent Enterprise Source: SAP, “The Intelligent Enterprise” 25 3 Unbundling of Financial Services Why is FinTech particularly relevant today? • Banks developing a platform approach • Finance (especially banking) traditionally offers bundled services • Open banking reforms are slowly unbundling financial services • Especially relevant for underbanked / unbanked Source: thefinancialbrand.com 26 3 Unbundling of Financial Services Why is FinTech particularly relevant today? • Amazonification of Finance? 27 3 Unbundling of Financial Services Why is FinTech particularly relevant today? • Emerging trend towards Democratization/Decentralization of finance (DeFi) Areas of Application Examples: Decision Making Peer-to-Peer Lending Risk Taking Peer-to-Peer Lending Record Keeping Distributed Ledger Technology 28 3 Unbundling of Financial Services FinTech since the Global Financial Crisis • New entrants quickly establishing itself in various verticals Source: Financial Technology Partners 29 3 FinTech Applications: example Which areas of finance is FinTech relevant to? • Example: Capital Markets ➘ Falling Return on Equity ➚ Increasing costs 30 3 FinTech Applications: example Which areas of finance is FinTech relevant to? • Example: Capital Markets • FinTech applications across all functions Source: Celent Securities 31 3 Regulatory Considerations Regulation catching up EBA European Banking Authority FATF Financial Action Task Force ESAs European Supervisory Authorities IOSCO International Organization of Securities Commissions FSB Financial Stability Board Source: KPMG 32 Regulatory Considerations Regulation moving head PRA Prudential Regulation Authority (UK) FCA Financial Conduct Authority (UK) Source: KPMG 33 Regulatory Considerations Establishment of Regulatory Sandboxes “A framework set up by a financial sector regulator to allow small scale, live testing of innovations by private firms in a controlled environment” CGAP Source: Innovate Finance 34 Regulatory Considerations The cost of regulatory obligations foster Regtech leap An overview of the Regtech universe Source: Deloitte (2017) – Regtech universe in the rise 35 AGENDA 05 04 03 02 01 History Global Journey Let’s see If we have time: How is the traditional banking system changing and some hints on the main financial technologies A trip around the world to discover fintech champions together A deep dive into Fintech concepts and verticals Fintech How did we get to the Fintech Revolution? From 2008 Fin. Crisis untill today A biref brainstorming about Financial technology Intro 36 FinTech Words most associated with FinTech Source: Relatedwords.com ??? 37 FinTech Google search for “FinTech” over the last years ??? Source: Google Trends 38 The FinTech Industry at a Glance Source: CB Insights – Global Fintech Report Q2 - 2019 39 The FinTech Industry at a Glance Global Phenomenon Source: CB Insights – Global Fintech Report Q2 - 2019 40 The FinTech Industry at a Glance Fintech Unicorns 2018 Source: CB Insights – Global Fintech Report 2019 41 The FinTech Industry at a Glance Fintech Unicorns 2019 Source: CB Insights – Global Fintech Report 2019 42 The FinTech Industry at a Glance Global Phenomenon – but China and the US dominate Source: Innovate Finance 43 The FinTech Industry at a Glance Chinese size dominance not reflected in deal flow dominance Source: Innovate Finance 44 The FinTech Industry at a Glance Source: CB INsights 45 The FinTech Industry at a Glance Gaining Strong Investment Traction $33.9 B as of 31/12/2019 46 The FinTech Industr: top 10 2020 predictions Source: KPMG – Pulse of Fintech 47 The FinTech Industry at a Glance 2019 is the FinTech biggest M&A year Source: Financial Technology Partners 48 The FinTech Industry at a Glance The US dominates FinTech M&A activity Source: Financial Technology Partners 49 FinTech Verticals FinTech applies to all finance activities Source: Financial Technology Partners 50 The FinTech Industry at a Glance FinTech companies active in all major financial activities FinTech business activities, about 5000 companies surveyed by Deloitte 51 The FinTech Industry at a Glance Mirroring widespread adoption in all major finance verticals Payments dominate the market Source: Statista 52 The FinTech Industry at a Glance FinTech revenues growing strongly Digital Payments also are the key revenue generator to date 53 The FinTech Industry at a Glance FinTech revenues growing strongly Revenues per user increasing in all FinTech verticals 54 The FinTech Industry at a Glance FinTech Adoption Rate across the world Comparison of FinTech adoption across countries Source: EY Source: EY 55 The FinTech Industry at a Glance SMEs have become a significant user of FinTech Top Reasons by SMEs for using FinTech globally Source: EY Source: EY 56 The FinTech Industry Key Players Early Stage Investors Source: CB Insights 57 The FinTech Industry Key Players Venture Capital winners Source: CB Insights 58 FinTech Vs or With Banks? US Banks are “coopeting” with FinTech • Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and JP Morgan investing across FinTech verticals • Moving faster into Tech: Goldman working with Apple on Apple Card Source: CB Insights 59 FinTech Business Models Different areas of focus • Infrastructure / Technology solution providers • Financial Service providers • Platforms 60 FinTech Business Models FinTech starting to re-bundle services Dec 2018 EU Banking License Revolut and “backdoor” banking Jul 2015 Launch 💱Started as FX platform 🇯🇵 But stuck in Japan Apr 2016 300k users Feb 2017 UK e-money license Apr 2018 USD 1.7bn valuation 61 FinTech Business Models But it’s not just Revolut • FinTech companies focusing on leveraging their client-base quickly into new areas Source: CB Insights 62 The Other “Techs” FinTech has grown to an extent that sub-categories have emerged InsurTech Technology-focused solutions for the Insurance industry RegTech Technology-focused solutions for Regulatory requirements SupTech Technology-focused solutions for Financial Supervisors WealthTech Technology-focused solutions for the Wealth Management industry PropTech Technology-focused solutions for the Property industry … and many more! 63 Defining the FinTech Industry A Useful Glossary of Key Terms Source: Mike Quindazzi 64 AGENDA 05 04 03 02 01 History Global Journey Let’s see If we have time: How is the traditional banking system changing and some hints on the main financial technologies A trip around the world to discover fintech champions together A deep dive into Fintech concepts and verticals Fintech How did we get to the Fintech Revolution? From 2008 Fin. Crisis untill today A biref brainstorming about Financial technology Intro 65 Fintech in … ASIA 66 FinTech in Asia: Growing and growing KMPG’s Top 100 Leading FinTech Innovators • 7 Asia-based companies in the Top 10, 5 in the Top 5 🇨🇳 🇸🇬 🇨🇳 🇮🇩 🇮🇳 🇨🇳 1. Ant Financial (China) is the world’s largest third-party payments platform. 2. Grab (Singapore) uses data and technology to improve everything from transportation to payments across a region of more than 620 million people. 3. JD Digits (China) is a digital technology company, dedicated to providing digital, online and offline all-scenario services around three key points - data, user and connectivity, using emerging technologies such as big data, AI, cloud computing, blockchain and IoT. 4. GoJek (Indonesia) a multi-services platform with more than 20 services including Gopay, Gobills, Gopoints, Paylater, and Gopulsa serving millions of users in Southeast Asia. 5. Paytm (India) is the largest digital payments company in India with more than 380 million registered users and 12 million merchants on-board its Paytm platform. 🇮🇳 6. Du Xiaoman Financial (China) provides short-term loan and investment services. 8. Ola (India) off the back of its ridesharing userbase Ola Money is making payments easier and simpler 67 Source: KPMG FinTech in Asia: The Rise of the Hub Asia developing several mega Hubs Hub Ranking 1. Yangtze River Delta 2. Silicon Valley 3. Greater Beijing 4. Greater London 5. Guangdong HK-Macau Region 6. Greater New York 7. Greater Sydney 8. Singapore 9. Greater Boston 10. Benelux 11. Greater Tokyo Source: Sinai Labs 68 FinTech in Asia: Mobile Vs Banking Penetration 69 FinTech in Asia: A Tale of Many Places Asia cannot be compared to the US or European homogenous markets Four Major Blocks: China India Japan South-East Asia Different demographics, regulations, wealth (and wealth distribution), technology and banking services 70 FinTech in Asia: A Tale of Many Places China • • • Largest FinTech market in Asia Dominated by a few companies Highest consumer penetration rate in the world Source: SCMP and 500 Startups 71 FinTech in Asia: The Chinese infrastructure mismatch As perhaps the leading example, China possesses specificities that make it arguably more suitable than developed markets to deploy mobile-based financial services and products. 72 FinTech in Asia: A Tale of Many Places India • • • Rapidly growing market Dominated by a few companies Highest consumer penetration rate in the world Source: Medici Source: CB Insights 73 FinTech in Asia: A Tale of Many Places Japan • • • Open Banking enacted Government drive towards productivity improvements Established crypto legislation Unprecedented governmental focus on financial technology innovation Strong Fundamentals • Global Financial City Vision • FinTech Accelerator Program Third largest world economy High GDP per capita • New Economic Policy Package 2020 • Comprehensive Policy Recommendations • FinTech Support Desk • FinTech Proof-of-Concept (PoC) Hub Regulated crypto market Increasing VC investments in FinTech start-ups Major financial institutions taking a more active role in FinTech market 74 FinTech in Asia: A Tale of Many Places South-East Asia • • • Rapidly growing population and GDP Generally low banking services penetration FinTech as a driver of financial inclusion Source: Bain & Co Source: Bain & Co 75 FinTech in Asia: The Rise of the Mega App Asia developing several mega Apps • 1 Stop solution for consumers Alipay and WeChat in China Food Delivery Social Media Line in Japan Travel Payments Grab and Go-Jek in South East Asia Ride hailing Investments Insurance 76 Fintech in … the US 77 FinTech in the US US market at a glance • Diversified and maturing market • Pushing FinTech adoption across the American Continent Source: CB Insights 78 FinTech in the US US FinTech Regulation • April 2012: Jumpstart Our Business Startups (“JOBS”) Act led to Crowdfunding ($17bn+ North American Market) • Licensing required for money transmission or exchange services and for companies acting as lenders or brokers • Open Banking encouraged but not legislated nor a regulatory requirement • Market forces driving openness of US banking: API connection to 99% of US Banks APIs with over 1700 banking institutions 79 FinTech in the US Not only Silicon Valley State Company Total Equity Funding ($M) California SoFi 2540 New York Oscar Health 1268 North Carolina AvidXchange 724 Illinois Avant 655 Ohio Root Insurance 509 Massachusetts Toast 503 Georgia Kabbage 490 Minnesota Bright Health 440 Kansas C2FO 400 Washington Remitly 312 Utah Divvy 253 Rhode Island Upserve 191 Texas Alkami Technology 174 Missouri PayIt 133 New Jersey Cross River Bank 129 Tennessee Digital Reasoning Systems 116 Pennsylvania Dynamics 111 Florida Cortera 81 Arizona EmailAge 66 Iowa Businessolver.com 65 DC Pie Insurance 60 Michigan Clinc 60 Colorado IP Commerce 55 Delaware College Ave Student Loans 50 80 Source: CB Insights FinTech in the US US Millennials driving adoption Digital P2P Provider Adoption by Generation 81 FinTech in the US US Neobanks slowly capturing wallet-share Neobank Accounts and Deposits More than 3.5m accounts opened 82 FinTech in the US US Neobanks growth not driven by Millennials Older Millennials and Gen Xers expressed the most interest and involvement towards Neobanks Consumers are “accessorizing” their checking accounts by adding/linking accounts from Neobanks to take advantage of better debit card rewards, personal financial management features, and higher savings rates 83 Source: Cornerstone Advisors FinTech in the US FinTech supporting Millennials’ Impact Investing Source: CB Insights 84 FinTech in the US US Heavy Hitters 2017 Latest Valuations Stripe: $20+B (Sep ’18) Payments Robinhood: $7.6B (Jul ‘19) Stock investing 85 FinTech in the US But still small compared to US financial institutions USD 404bn USD 225bn USD 295bn USD 80bn 86 FinTech in the US US Banks heavily invested • Payments as key area of focus • Investments across several verticals 87 Source: CB Insights Fintech in the USA “Silicon Valley is coming. There are hundreds of startups with a lot of brains and money working on various alternatives to traditional banking.” Jamie Dimon CEO - JPMorgan Chase 88 Fintech in the USA The most active US bank investors in fintech (by number of portfolio companies) are ● ● ● Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase & Co. While all three have ramped up their fintech investment activity in recent years, they’ve taken different strategic approaches. Suggested reading https://www.cbinsights.com/research/fintechinvestments-top-us-banks/ 89 USA: JP Morgan • In 2019, it allocated $25 million and $11.4 million to finance fintech and tech startup respectively. • it partnered with Revolut to collect $1.5milion • Main focus on investments in capital markets and internal payments services • Fintech Campus opening in Palo Alto, California able to welcome around 100 employees 90 USA: Goldman Sach • In 2016, they developed Marcus, their first online bank. - Marcus has originated $7B+ since its launch • Between 2013 and 2017 $37 B invested in fintech Top Bank for fintech investments - followed by Citi Banks ($25B) and JP Morgan ($14B) • Investment focus: real estate, data analytics, payments, regtech and lending • $26mln invested in Raisin - July 2019 • Most recent investment in fintech → $15mln in an Indian fintech startup called ZestMoney (Finextra, 2020) • Partnership with Apple for Apple card, new digital credit card. Launched in August 2019! • Relevant investments in Fintech in South America (ie., Nubank) • Goldman in talks with Amazon to offer small business loans over Amazon’s lending platform 91 Disclaimer The information provided in this presentation is confidential. Accordingly, it should not be copied, distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part, or disclosed to any third party without the express written permission of Fintech EduLab. Fintech EduLabAll right reserved. 92