The British Psychological Society Promoting excellence in psychology Behaviour Change: Energy Conservation Climate change is considered by many to be the major threat the world faces. Most climate scientists agree that the principal manifestation of climate change is global warming, which results when the atmosphere traps heat radiating from Earth.1 There is some debate as to whether this is part of a natural cyclic process, or whether it has been exacerbated since the industrial revolution and is the result of human action. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), however, is uncompromising: ‘Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, and since the 1950s, many of the observed changes are unprecedented over decades to millennia.’2 As figure 1 shows, in 2011, 57 per cent of the energy consumption in this country was attributable to the domestic sector, 19 per cent to the service sector and 24 per cent to the industrial sector.3 Between 1990 and 2011, UK energy consumption fell by 7 per cent overall.4 While this may seem to be testimony to the success of energy conservation policies, it is more a measure of the decline in industrial energy use over this period: energy consumption in industry declined by a third compared with only a 5 per cent decline in the domestic sector (service sector 4 per cent decline). In contrast, the transport sector saw an increase of 11 per cent. While the European Union calls for a New Industrial Revolution,5 this will have considerable impacts on energy consumption and carbon emissions. www.bps.org.uk/behaviourchange Figure 1: Energy consumption by sector, UK (1970 to 2012)4 The Challenge Everyone in the world will be affected by climate change, directly or indirectly, in respect of their lives and livelihoods, and environmental destruction. Can there be any greater challenge for society than to try to reconcile the individual with the global? And yet it is largely to the individual that government has turned, as policymakers have sought to persuade the public that if enough individuals take action, global warming can be halted and even reversed. Thus, it is clear that reducing energy consumption and carbon emissions is a priority, and this provides many opportunities for psychology to make an impact in respect of changes in behaviours and practices. Prepared by Professor David Uzzell on behalf of the Behaviour Change Advisory Group. 2 www.bps.org.uk The Psychology Psychologists have been engaged in behaviour change research and interventions for more than seventy years, working on behalf of governments in times of crisis. For example, Kurt Lewin played a key role in the United States during the Second World War undertaking research on how to persuade Americans to change their food buying and eating habits and to incorporate proteinrich but unpopular organ meats into their diet.6 The involvement of psychologists in energy issues goes back to the 1970s,7 albeit when concerns focussed on security of supply rather than carbon emissions. It is now appreciated that psychologists can provide insights into how people perceive, evaluate and respond to greenhouse gas (GHG) emission climate risks, attitudes towards energy sources, and motivations and barriers to behaviour change in respect of energy conservation technologies and practices.8 The way we frame problems has a crucial impact on the way we then try to solve them. Successive governments, as well as civil society, has tended to treat climate change as a problem caused by individuals – whether through over-consumption, excessive energy use or simply bad behaviour. Individuals are responsible, but then so are organisations, industry and governments. By framing the problem of climate change as a problem caused by individuals, one not only closes down many other options for taking action, but in the case of psychology, it has tended to lead psychologists to focus on only certain parts of the problem, which has limited the scope to inform public policy. The Evidence Barriers to be overcome Many behaviour change campaigns are based on the assumption that people make rational choices based on the weighing up of costs and benefits. In the case of environmental decisionmaking it may not always be immediately apparent to the individual that public interest can also be self-interest in the longer term; too often, behaviour change campaigns give the impression that pro-environmental behaviours necessitate sacrifice of an individual’s living standards. We know that people have a tendency to prefer avoiding losses to acquiring gains9 – loss aversion is something of the ‘bird in the hand is worth two in the bush’. Thus cheaper energy in the shorter term is seen as preferable to more secure and less environmentally damaging energy in the longer term. Moreover, there is also an ‘endowment effect’ by which people place a higher value on something they own than on a similar good that they do not own;10 thus a private benefit is valued more than a public benefit. One can see how these processes play out in environmental decision-making. These are not the only barriers to behaviour change, but it can be appreciated that behaviour change campaigns assuming and then acting upon an information deficit on the part of the public are unlikely to be successful, a conclusion borne out in other areas of public policy (e.g. obesity, exercise). Policy instruments of persuasion, education, and even coercion through financial incentives, penalties and regulations may be effective, but we can see that even with smoking bans in buildings and stricter regulations on advertising it is estimated that 207,000 children in the UK start smoking each year.11 Knowledge and positive attitudes may be necessary www.bps.org.uk 3 but they are not a sufficient condition to encourage behaviour change, even among those who know what to do and would like to do it. Changing attitudes does not automatically lead to behaviour change, and where it does it can take time. Often there are multiple constraints on behaviour change, not just informational and attitudinal ones which might include removing financial barriers, providing accurate information on environmentally significant as opposed to convenient actions, improving access to information and expertise. Decisions and subsequent behaviours are not always the product of a rational, deliberative and individual evaluation; they are as likely to be based on opportunistic or emotional impulses, habit and cultural tradition, social norms derived from family, friends, neighbours as well as a host of other contextual factors, as well as the structural constraints and opportunities which provide the infrastructure of our lives. Besides, environmentally damaging actions may simply be the presenting symptom of a far more chronic issue based on lifestyle and everyday taken-for-granted practices. Increasing attention is now being given to community-based approaches where the emphasis is on engaging communities rather than individuals by identifying barriers to a sustainable behaviour, testing the application of behaviour change tools on a small segment of the community and then evaluating their effectiveness across the wider community. For example, communitycentred efforts that use informal social networks,12, 13 the encouragement of socially shared norms and the visible behaviour of ‘adopters’,14 and the display of public commitment15 have shown to be powerful drivers for change. The latter has often been applied to publicly observable behaviours such as recycling, but there is evidence of the significant impact of social norms on energy saving behaviour.16, 17 Positive action Providing feedback on the consequences (and benefits of action) can be reinforcing because it should be specific to the individual and should have embedded within it suggestions how to make further energy savings. However, there is evidence from energy-saving initiatives in offices using smart meters that the effect of feedback on changing energy behaviour may be limited in time, i.e. people may change their behaviours for a short period, as long as reinforcement through feedback is there, but then revert to old habits.18 Also, motivations beyond energy reduction may need to be harnessed. (For example, broader factors such as social values20,21 or the culture of an organisation22, 23 can have significant influence,19 while it has also been demonstrated that an individual’s self interest can impact negatively on pro- environmental intention.24) Tailoring too is important, whereby different strategies will be required for different groups depending upon the different barriers they erect.25 Segmenting users into Monitor Enthusiasts (20 per cent), the Aspiring Energy Savers (60 per cent) and the Energy Non-Engaged (20 per cent) demonstrated that the factors of importance in energy behaviour differed considerably between the categories. It is more effective to concentrate on those who want to save energy or those who would but there are external factors (opportunity, cost) that prevent them, than those who show unassailable resistance or who cannot really do much more. Different amounts and kinds of effort are required for improving energy saving of low savers by 10 per cent as the high savers by 10 per cent. 4 www.bps.org.uk But changing behaviours is not as simple as throwing a switch so that the individual does something different. Doing something different may have implications for the individual, not just material but also psychological, such as threatening their identity. When people’s identities are threatened they are likely to resist; this could be a significant barrier to change.26 Equally, encouraging self-identity can have a significant effect on both intentions and behaviour.27 Until recently, the principal strategies for behaviour change that have been the subject of research by psychologists fall neatly under the heading of ‘carrots, sticks and sermons’. This was the title of a report for DEFRA on influencing public environmental behaviour28 which examined the role of incentives, regulations and environmental education and awareness-raising interventions. We know that regulation and coercion is very effective, and there is much evidence that such strategies have been successful in driving up, for example, recycling rates. But over the last two decades choice, not regulation has been the policy priority. Although much emphasis is placed on choice, in a society such as ours that is complex, complicated to understand, and difficult to influence choice may not necessarily be selfenhancing and liberating.29 Choice is often designed to confuse rather than enlighten (e.g. one study found the consumer was confronted with 109 different gas/electricity tariffs that included 75 different standing charges).30 Of course people want to choose, but they want to choose wisely, to feel that they are making reasonably rational and conscious choices based on criteria which are salient and important for them, and that they have the relevant evidence and information upon which to make decisions. Nudging our way forward Recently, the government has been much persuaded by an approach that affirms choice, and goes under the heading of ‘behavioural insights’, or more popularly, ‘Nudge’.31 A recent report, Mindspace,32 is an acronym for the principles which underlie the approach: Messenger, Incentives, Norms, Defaults, Salience, Priming, Affect, Commitment and Ego. While the bottle may be new, the contents are largely vintage psychology. Those familiar with psychology will immediately recognise that each of these factors has been the subject of extensive psychological research over the past fifty years or more, and have been shown to be highly important mechanisms in the persuasion process. When used in combination they offer a more nuanced approach to behaviour change than the ‘…more traditional government attempts to change behaviour, which have either used regulatory interventions or relied on overt persuasion’.33 The rationale behind behavioural insight is that people are more likely to act in a particular way if it goes with the grain of their everyday behaviours, i.e. fitting new behaviours into existing habits. Introducing new behaviours at moments of change when adjustment is happening anyway provides another opportunity. The Behavioural Insights Team (BIT),34 which emerged from the UK Cabinet Office, have published a number of reports which describe trials they have been undertaking using ‘behavioural insights’ to improve the effectiveness of actions taken by individuals and public bodies in respect of organ donating, charitable giving, fraud and health and energy use. In the report on energy use,35 BIT highlights three examples of how psychology can make a difference to people’s decisions when it comes to energy saving: www.bps.org.uk 5 ■ overcoming the tendency of people to discount the future, such that they prefer a smaller reward today than a larger reward in the future, so strategies are being tested which frame benefits over different time periods and provide people with rewards in the short-term in order to encourage long-term decision-making; ■ using the power of social norms and rewards as revealed through comparative energy consumption data to reduce energy use and encourage a wider take-up; and ■ as people tend to accept default options, changing the default as to when heating/cooling appliances are on, can lead to significant energy reductions. Likewise, making the default that office lights are off and have to be switched on rather than vice versa. But this assumes that people are able to have some control over their environment; if the infrastructure does not permit behaviour change, then behaviours will not change. Behavioural insights may work best with low resistance and low cost behaviour changes. But as Stern36 argues we should focus on environmentally significant behaviours and not just environmentally convenient ones. There is little point investing in programmes that only deliver small changes if a small additional investment or a different approach would lead to greater benefits, e.g. focussing on purchasing behaviour rather than use behaviour. Instead of using a high energy washing machine less frequently (which may be difficult), it would be better to persuade people to change their choice of household and motor vehicle technologies. Gardner and Stern37 found that, by making environmentally significant behaviour decisions, people could reduce energy consumption by almost 30 per cent or 11 per cent of the total US consumption; this would be without the need for new technologies or making major sacrifices. It is important to know what the environmental/energy impacts are as a consequence of interventions so that one can see not only whether behaviour has changed but whether energy consumption and environmental performance has changed too,38 not least of which because feedback if delivered appropriately can be a continuing motivator for change. Focussing on the conditions which encourage behaviours Sometimes it may be more effective to change behaviours by working not on the behaviours themselves but the social, economic and environmental conditions that lead to such behaviours and the societal context in which people live out their everyday lives. These conditions are heavily implicated in the development of everyday cultures and practices, identities, values, and beliefs that influence our environmental behaviours. Understanding and influencing the conditions that drive behaviours and create social practices should be an equal priority for policy makers as focussing on the behaviours themselves. For example, the decision to drive a 4x4 vehicle is more often governed by the status, image and identity that such vehicles supposedly confer upon the driver, as the capability of the vehicle in meeting their needs. Thus it is probably more important that we understand and address the root cause of the problem: they could be individual, e.g. feelings of alienation or the lack of secure social relations that lead people to think that they can be solved through consumption39 or the societal values that generate such unsustainable desires and practices which place a huge burden on society, including the rest of the world’s population in the global South who will experience the some of the most serious effects of climate change. 6 www.bps.org.uk Whether the problem needs to be addressed at an individual or community level, the psychologist can contribute to both. While policy-makers may be able to act directly on behaviours, changing the conditions that drive behaviours may mean that we might be more effective if we act indirectly. For example, we know that in socially cohesive communities where there is a strong sense of place identity, and in which residents feel they have a stake in their neighbourhood and act together, people will be more supportive of environmentally sustainable actions.40 Therefore the psychologists’ role in informing policy interventions that encourage social cohesion and place identity will not only lead to environmental and social benefits but will also be more pervasive and long-lasting than just focussing on changing behaviours. Likewise, we know that reputation can be a significant driver for the behaviour of organisations, and so actions which target reputational gains as well as damage (e.g. by means of publicly observable information) may have a significant impact for energy and emissions reductions. Conclusions and Recommendations Clearly, psychology has a great deal to offer government, industry, NGOs and community groups who are concerned to save energy and reduce carbon emissions. Psychology, of course, is not a silver bullet. Psychologists are likely to be most effective when working in multidisciplinary teams, such as with engineers, designers, architects. Stern suggests that the most effective behaviour change interventions are likely to be those that incorporate financial incentives with non-financial facets, and psychological and non-psychological measures, such as prioritising high impact actions (i.e. environmentally significant), sufficient financial incentives, effective marketing, meaningful information at critical decision-making points, and quality assurance.41 Both central and local government are doing a great deal to change people’s behaviour in the direction of more sustainable lifestyles, but the challenge is enormous if they are to reduce the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions by at least 80 per cent by 2050.42 Behaviour change strategies are more likely to be successful and it will make the tasks and responsibilities confronting governments easier if, like the assumption of behavioural insights, they go with the grain and address the conditions that drive people’s behaviour as well as the behaviours themselves. If behaviours are to change, then the conditions should be created which encourage and enable people to change. If leaving TVs and computers on stand-by is so damaging, then it has to be questioned why we have a stand-by facility on electrical goods? Given the widespread understanding of the serious consequences of energy and carbon emissions why do manufacturers continue to build it into products? Behaviour change has to be seen as part of a package of instruments. Behaviour change is in part about helping people to make better decisions that put ‘ecological and social functioning at its core’ without it being ‘a paradigm of sacrifice’.43 Psychology is well placed to demonstrate how behaviour change can contribute to achieving these goals enabling individuals, communities, and societies not just to endure and survive, but also to flourish.44 www.bps.org.uk 7 In summary, some key recommendations:45,46,47 8 ■ Use a variety of different and tailored interventions to meet the needs and interests of different audiences in different situations and at different points in time. ■ Remember the Effort to Effect ratio. Expend effort on encouraging those who are already saving energy to save more rather than try to persuade those who already save a great deal or those who currently do nothing. ■ Some barriers will be easier and quicker to overcome than others (financial versus trust; technology versus attitudes). ■ Recognise that one barrier may impact on another – positively as well as negatively. Try to achieve compatibility and synergy. ■ See the situation through the eyes of the particular individuals at whom your programme is addressed. ■ ‘Attract and hold’ the individual’s attention. ■ Employ the ‘power of the person’, e.g. face-to-face communication, commitment, social norms and comparison. ■ Change the conditions which impact upon the individual to make it easier for them to change wtheir behaviour. ■ Ensure that behaviour change leads to significant environmental change. ■ Involve people in the programme from the outset – they will then feel part of it and a sense of ownership, aid the formation of realistic goals, act as ambassadors, acquire a sense of achievement and self esteem, and develop their competences, skills and personal powers. www.bps.org.uk References 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2013). Fifth assessment report. Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. 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