Siemens Energy Sector – Ecopowering the World Siemens solutions for a clean electrification of society Dr. Michael Suess Member of the Managing Board Siemens AG CEO Energy Sector Page 1 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess Mallorca, September 19, 2011 © Siemens AG Clean electrification – The key to a sustainable energy system Electrification growing worldwide World Primary energy consumption Power consumption + 0.9% p.a. + 2.8% p.a. 2008 2035 2008 2035 European Community (EU 27) Primary energy consumption - 0.1% p.a. 2008 Page 2 2035 Power consumption + 0.8% p.a. 2008 September 19, 2011 Electricity is the most efficient, cleanest and most reliable energy source Through conversion into electricity, renewable energies can be used directly and universally 2035 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG System shift – Growing electrification is leading to a power matrix Page 3 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG Different challenges require individual solutions Country-specific challenges Innovative technologies Energy mix in power generation Efficiency Climate protection Customerspecific solutions Resource efficiency Page 4 Reliable power supplies September 19, 2011 Large power plants Grids Dr. Michael Suess Distributed power generation Energy storage and intermittency management © Siemens AG Different challenges – Worldwide examples Denmark: Strive for clean power – 42% wind-powered by 2020, 100% by 2050 Country-specific challenges India: “Power-for-all” program – get power supply to fuel economic growth (+350 GW installed capacity by 2020, of it +215 GW from coal) Efficiency Climate protection USA: Priority on affordable energy – even at the cost of increased GHG emissions (average retail electricity price <10 USct/kWh) China: Nuclear power expansion ongoing (83 GW installed capacity by 2020 up from 12 GW today), but review of security standards Resource efficiency Page 5 Reliable power supplies September 19, 2011 Sweden: Today 46% Hydro, further extension of new Renewables planned Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG Different challenges – Example: Shift in Germany’s energy policy Goals of the adopted German energy concept Target fixed: 55% CO2 reduction by 2030*. Share of renewable energies in the primary energy consumption > 50% by 2050 Doubling of the share of renewable energies in the energy mix to 35% by 2020 Comprehensive, accelerated grid development (DENA II: 4,540 km necessary by 2020) 25% reduction of the primary energy consumption by 2050 Nuclear power exit: 17 nuclear power plants (21GW) to be shut down by 2022 Technical answers to accomplish German energy policy + Gas (Irsching 4 CCPP – most efficient and most flexible fossil power plant worldwide) + Wind (High efficient wind turbines SWT6-DD) + Grid (High efficient power transmission with HVDC) * CO2 target for 2050 is 80%-95% reduction on the basis of the emissions in 1990. By 2010, reductions reached ca. 24.3% Share of renewable energies in 2010: 16.8% Page 6 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG Germany ‚Balanced Mix‘ scenario – In 2030 Gas and Renewables dominating Power Generation *) Installed Capacity TWh GW 615 591 40,8 (7%) 6,2 (1%) 37,8 (6%) 17,4 (3%) 78,3 (13%) Oil 47,3 (8%) Other RE 68,3 (11%) Solar 137,8 (22%) 12,5 (2%) 227 23,4 (4%) +2% p.a. Wind 9,8 (6%) Hydro 22,9 (15%) Oil 10,6 (7%) 45,3 (30%) Nuclear 134,9 (23%) 1,2 (0%) 34,4 (6%) 2009 Coal 2030 77,9 (34%) Solar 54,5 (24%) Wind 11,6 (5%) Hydro 58,2 (26%) Gas 15,5 (7%) Coal 6,2 (4%) 25,7 (17%) 262,7 (44%) Gas Other RE 152 10,0 (7%) 302,6 (49%) 7,8 (3%) Nuclear 21,3 (14%) 2009 1,4 (1%) 2030 *) without Import and Export saldo Page 7 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG Challenges for the shift in Germany’s energy policy The fact is: The shift in energy policy is technologically possible Germany can play a pioneering role for other countries The socially and politically demanded energy shift requires major investments Prerequisites: Strong energy utilities that invest in the necessary infrastructures The use of large-scale technologies for the required energy efficiency More cost-efficient production of renewable energies than in the past Secured competitiveness for Germany through a cost-optimized energy mix Investment security for developing reserve capacities, storage possibilities and expanded power grids Planning security through long-term political support and social acceptance An EU-wide energy policy framework rather than national approaches Page 8 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG Energy market – Doubling the installed capacity by 2030 Development of world power plant capacity within the next 20 years 9,670 in GW 1% 5,328 20% Renewables (w/o Hydro, incl. Ocean) 17% Hydro (w/o Ocean) 7% 6% 5% 2% 20% 7% 8% 15% 43% Installed capacity 2010 Others Nuclear Power Plant Single Cycle Power Plant 20% Combined Cycle Power Plant 28% Steam Power Plant (incl. Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle ) Installed capacity 2030 Power generation capacity built in > 100 years to double within two decades Page 9 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG Siemens Energy Sector – Newly focused on the markets of tomorrow Energy products and solutions – in 6 Divisions Oil & Gas Page 10 Fossil Power Generation September 19, 2011 Wind Power Dr. Michael Suess Solar & Hydro Energy Service Power Transmission © Siemens AG Siemens Energy Sector – Strength through market leadership Innovations for the sustainable electrification of society #1 Offshore wind power #1 #1 Advanced gas turbine frames Page 11 September 19, 2011 Instrumentation and control systems Dr. Michael Suess #1 Grid access offshore #1 HVDC © Siemens AG Backup Page 12 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG New sector: Meeting the dynamic growth of cities and infrastructure investments Starting October 1, 2011 Industry Infrastructure & Cities Energy Healthcare CEO: Siegfried Russwurm CFO: Ralf P. Thomas CEO: Roland Busch CFO: Hannes Apitzsch CEO: Michael Suess CFO: Ralf Guntermann CEO: Hermann Requardt CFO: Michael Sen ■ Industry Automation ■ Drive Technologies ■ Service ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Industry Solutions Rail Systems Mobility & Logistics Low and Medium Voltage Smart Grid Building Technologies ■ Osram Fossil Power Generation Wind Power Solar & Hydro Power Transmission Oil & Gas Energy Service Imaging & Therapy Clinical Products Diagnostics Customer Solutions Power Distribution Osram Building Technologies listing planned Mobility Page 13 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG Siemens Energy Sector – Key figures in Q3 YTD FY 2011 Key figures – Q3 YTD FY 2011 Revenue Revenue by region 19.9 Europe, Africa, CIS, Near Middle East Asia, Australia 15% New orders 26.0 19.9 Sector profit 1) 3.5 28% (billion €) Employees (billion €) 57% Americas 95,246 1) Incl. AREVA disposal gain and arbitration result Page 14 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG Germany ‚Focus Renewables‘ scenario: In 2030 about 60% of power generation from Renewables Power Generation *) Installed Capacity TWh GW 271 615 591 40,8 (7%) 6,2 (1%) 37,8 (6%) 17,4 (3%) 47,3 (8%) Other RE 95,3 (16%) Solar +3% p.a. 190,7 (31%) Wind Solar 74,5 (28%) Wind 10,6 (7%) 11,6 (4%) Hydro 45,3 (30%) 42,1 (16%) Gas 21,3 (14%) 24,4 (9%) Coal 2009 2030 152 9,8 (6%) 262,7 (44%) 23,4 (4%) 6,2 (4%) 25,7 (17%) Hydro 10,0 (7%) 136,5 (22%) 22,9 (15%) Gas Oil 1,2 (0%) Nuclear 134,9 (23%) 120,6 (20%) Oil Coal 1,4 (1%) Nuclear 2009 2030 Other RE 108,8 (40%) 78,3 (13%) 12,5 (2%) 7,8 (3%) *) without Import and Export saldo Page 15 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG Germany ‚Focus Gas‘ scenario: 2030 about 60% of power generation from Gas Power Generation *) Installed Capacity TWh GW 615 591 40,8 (7%) 6,2 (1%) 37,8 (6%) 17,4 (3%) Other RE 42,9 (7%) Solar 152 78,3 (13%) Oil 44,7 (7%) +1% p.a. 12,5 (2%) 129,3 (21%) Wind 22,1 (4%) Hydro 9,8 (6%) 22,9 (15%) Oil 2009 Solar 49,3 (25%) Wind 11,3 (6%) Hydro 63,7 (33%) Gas 12,3 (6%) Coal Gas 134,9 (23%) 9,8 (2%) 49,0 (25%) 10,6 (7%) 45,3 (30%) 1,2 (0%) Other RE 25,7 (17%) 262,7 (44%) Nuclear 7,4 (4%) 6,2 (4%) 10,0 (7%) 362,7 (59%) 194 Coal Nuclear 21,3 (14%) 2009 2030 1,4 (1%) 2030 *) without Import and Export saldo Page 16 September 19, 2011 Dr. Michael Suess © Siemens AG