Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB
Big Data and Diagnostics
Dr. Christer Karlsson,
Advisory Expert Remote Diagnostics
© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved.
Tiles of life
© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved.
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2014-09-18
Dr. Mikhail Roshchin, Senior Key Expert for Diagnostic Analytics
Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB
 Siemens is present in the areas:
Healthcare, Energy, Infrastructures and
Cities, and Industry
 340,000 (48,000 R&D) co-workers
 SIT: 2,800 (500 R&D) + 700 external
 SIT: 12 000 MSEK turnover
 SIT: 95% of sales is exported
 SIT: 16,000 visitors annually
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Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Adaptation to constant change
Wikipedia: M.C. Escher, Sky and water, 1938
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Oil & Gas and Industrial Applications Services
Big Data and Diagnostics – SIT perspective
 Maturity in industry
 Price of technology
 Quickly increasing fleet
 Large amount of data
 New business model
 Information hub
 New tools
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Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Big Data and Diagnostics – SIT perspective
0
Security
Breaches
~1500
1660
Investigation
Reports
Signals
1603
Periodic
Reports
7
TeraBytes
850,000
Files Processed
1
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PetaByte
(CERN)
500,000
Automated Tasks
Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Moving into the future of gas turbine operation
Today
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New
Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Pay as you generate!
#starts
Guarantee
limit
Peak operation profile box
Fee Y*X SEK per MWh in peak area
Cap on
#starts
Contract still
valid
Predicted operation profile box
Payment X SEK / MWh
MWh
Lower limit
>X GWh/yr
Operation point
<X GWh/yr
Upper limit
X GWh/yr
We are in the same boat, a running engine is a good engine
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Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Lifing predictions
Customer
operation
profile
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Functions for creep,
corrosion, etc.
Life consumption
predictions
Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Risk Calculation Model - Cost of Risk
Cost of risk for an
event caused by a
component
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=
Probability or
Expectation of
an event
caused by a
component
*
Cost for an event
caused by a
component
Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Scope based on operating conditions
Time
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Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Integration of life prognostics and diagnostics for
efficient treatment plans
Deviation
Time
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Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Integration of life prognostics and diagnostics for
efficient treatment plans
Treatment
Time
Diagnostics for avoiding trips & forced outages
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Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.
Remote Diagnostic Service
Main tasks
Restricted © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2014. All rights reserved.
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Oil & Gas and Industrial Applications Services
Remote Diagnostic Service MGT
Analysis perspective / Failure modes
Existing feature
Current R&D / Pilot
Planned R&D
Start-up and roll-out
analysis using vibrations
Basic Event , Package
Analyzer, Start Attempts,
ISO normalized values
Positioning of Bleed Valve,
Variable Guide Vane
GT Performance + Performance Degradation: Turbine,
Axial Compressor
Lube Oil System: Filter,
Cooler/Heater
Sensor check
Sensor Validation
Predictive Trender
Trip Analysis
Vibrations: Gear Box,
Couplings, Generator
Combustion: Ignitors,
Filter Rate of Change ∆P
Event analysis of alarms
from control system
Gas Fuel System Valves
Sequence of Events Analysis
Combustion: Pulsation,
Burners Failure Modes
Operational Pattern Analysis & Fault Detection
Event analysis - auxiliaries
syssurgetectionotection
Ventilation System
Air intake filter: Clogging
Vibrations: Bearings
Lube Oil Tank
Vibration (asynchronous)
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Oil & Gas and Industrial Applications Services
Data analysis tools
Specific Rules
and Trending
Early Warning
Event Processing
Automated Reasoning
Timeseries Data
(Analytics, Trending)
Knowledge Base
(Fingerprints,
Models and Rules)
Knowledge Base
(Patterns and Rules)
Knowledge Base
(Cases and Rules)
Sensor Check
Inferred Events
Out-of-Range
Pattern Detection
Sequence of Events
Analysis
Performance
Complex Event
Analysis
Case-based
Reasoning
Vibration
Sensor Validation
Text mining
Event Analyzer
Predictive Trender
Performance Index
Auxiliaries Analyzer
Bearing Monitor
Compressor Monitor
Combustion
Combustion Pulsation
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Oil & Gas and Industrial Applications Services
Question for the future
How to efficiently transfer wisdom to systems?
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Page 17
Oil & Gas and Industrial Applications Services
Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB
Big Data and Diagnostics
Dr. Christer Karlsson,
Advisory Expert in Remote Diagnostics
© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved.
 This document contains forward-looking statements and information – that is, statements related to future,
not past, events. These statements may be identified either orally or in writing by words as “expects”,
“anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “believes”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “will” or words of similar meaning. Such
statements are based on our current expectations and certain assumptions, and are, therefore, subject to
certain risks and uncertainties. A variety of factors, many of which are beyond Siemens’ control, affect its
operations, performance, business strategy and results and could cause the actual results, performance or
achievements of Siemens worldwide to be materially different from any future results, performance or
achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For us, particular
uncertainties arise, among others, from changes in general economic and business conditions, changes in
currency exchange rates and interest rates, introduction of competing products or technologies by other
companies, lack of acceptance of new products or services by customers targeted by Siemens worldwide,
changes in business strategy and various other factors. More detailed information about certain of these
factors is contained in Siemens’ filings with the SEC, which are available on the Siemens website,
www.siemens.com and on the SEC’s website, www.sec.gov. Should one or more of these risks or
uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary
materially from those described in the relevant forward-looking statement as anticipated, believed, estimated,
expected, intended, planned or projected. Siemens does not intend or assume any obligation to update or
revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.
 Trademarks mentioned in this document are the property of Siemens AG, it's affiliates or their respective
owners.
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Copyright © Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB 2012.