CHAPTER 6: Practice questions Exercise No.8. Consider the following projects: Co (1.000) (2.000) (3.000) Project A B C C1 1.000 1.000 1.000 Cash Flows C2 C3 1.000 4.000 1.000 - C4 C5 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 a) If the opportunity cost of capital is 10%, which projects have a positive NPV? NPVA = − $1000 + $1000 = −$90.91 (1.10) NPVB = − $2000 + $1000 $1000 $4000 $1000 $1000 + + + + = +$4,044.73 (1.10) (1.10) 2 (1.10) 3 (1.10) 4 (1.10) 5 NPVC = − $3000 + $1000 $1000 $1000 $1000 + + + = +$39.47 (1.10) (1.10) 2 (1.10) 4 (1.10) 5 b) Calculate the payback period for each project. Remember that: Payback period of a project is found by counting the number of years it takes before the cumulative forecasted cash flow equals the initial investments. So: Payback A = 1 year Payback B = 2 years Payback C = 4 years c) Which project(s) would a firm using the payback rule accept if the cutoff period is 3 years? The firm would accept only those projects with a payback period < 3 years; in this case only projects A and B would be accepted. d) Calculate the discounted payback period for each project. From a) we know that: Project A B Co -1.000 -2.000 C1 909,09 909,09 Discounted Cash Flows C2 C3 C4 826,45 3.005,26 683,01 C5 620,92 NPV (90,91) 4.044,73 C -3.000 909,09 826,45 - 683,01 620,92 39,47 So the discounted payback period for each project would be: Disc. Payback A = Project A never exceeds the initial outlay. Disc. Payback B = 3 years Disc. Payback C = 5 years e) Which project(s) would a firm using the discounted payback rule accept if the cutoff period was 3 years? If the cutoff period is 3 years the firm would choose Project B. Exercise No 9. Respond to the following comments: a) “I like the IRR rule. I can use it to rank projects without having to specify a discount rate” When using the IRR rule, the firm must still compare the IRR with the opportunity cost of capital. Thus, even with the IRR method, one must specify the appropriate discount rate. b) “I like the payback rule. As long as the minimum payback period is short, the rule makes sure that the company takes no borderline projects. That reduces risk” Risky cash flows should be discounted at a higher rate than the rate used to discount less risky cash flows. Using the payback rule is equivalent to using the NPV rule with a zero discount rate for cash flows before the payback period and an infinite discount rate for cash flows thereafter. Exercise No 10. Calculate the IRR (or IRRs) for the following project: Co (3.000) C1 3.500 C2 4.000 C3 (4.000) For what range of discount rates does the project have positive NPV? r = -17.44% 0.00% 10.00% Year 0 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 Year 1 3,500.00 4,239.34 3,500.00 3,181.82 Year 2 4,000.00 5,868.41 4,000.00 3,305.79 Year 3 -4,000.00 -7,108.06 -4,000.00 -3,005.26 PV = -0.31 500.00 482.35 15.00% -3,000.00 3,043.48 3,024.57 -2,630.06 437.99 20.00% -3,000.00 2,916.67 2,777.78 -2,314.81 379.64 25.00% -3,000.00 2,800.00 2,560.00 -2,048.00 312.00 45.27% -3,000.00 2,409.31 1,895.43 -1,304.76 -0.02 The two IRRs for this project are (approximately): –17.44% and 45.27%. Between these two discount rates, the NPV is positive. Exercise No. 12. Mr. Cyrus Clops, the president of Giant Enterprises, has to make a choice between two possible investments: Project Cash Flows ($ thousands) Co C1 C2 IRR A (400) 250 300 23 B (200) 140 179 36 The opportunity cost of capital is 9%. Mr. Clops is tempted to take B, which has the higher IRR. (a) Explain to Mr. Clops why this is not the correct procedure. Taking a decision based only on the IRR is not the correct procedure because Project A requires a larger capital outlay; it is possible that Project A has both a lower IRR and a higher NPV than Project B. (In fact, NPVA is greater than NPVB for all discount rates less than 10 percent.) Because the goal is to maximize shareholder wealth, NPV is the correct criterion. (b) Show him how to adapt the IRR rule to choose the best project. To use the IRR criterion for mutually exclusive projects, we can calculate the IRR for the incremental cash flows as follows: Cash Flows ($ thousands) Project Co C1 C2 A -400 250 300 B -200 140 179 Incremental CF (A-B) -200 110 121 IRR 23% 36% 10% Given that the IRR for the incremental cash flows exceeds the cost of capital, the additional investment in A is worthwhile. (c) Show him that this project has the higher NPV. NPVA = − $400 + $250 $300 + = $ 81.86 1.09 (1.09) 2 NPVB = − $200 + $140 $179 + = $79.10 1.09 (1.09) 2 Exercise No.13. The Titanic Shipbuilding Company has a noncancelable contract to build a small cargo vessel. Construction involves a cash outlay of $250.000 at the end of each of the next two years. At the end of the third year the company will receive payment of $650.000. The company can speed up the construction by working an extra shift. In this case there would be a cash outlay of $550.000 at the end of the first year followed by a cash payment of $650.000 at the end of the second year. Use the IRR rule to show the (approximate) range of opportunity costs of capital at which the company should work the extra shift. Problem setting (in $ thousands): Year 1 2 3 Projected schedule Accelerated shift (250) (550) (250) 650 650 Using incremental analysis: Current arrangement Extra shift Incremental flows C1 -250.000 -550.000 -300.000 C2 -250.000 +650.000 +900.000 C3 +650.000 0 -650.000 The IRRs for the incremental flows are (approximately): 21.13% and 78.87%. If the cost of capital is between these rates, Titanic should work the extra shift.