This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change Volume Author/Editor: Robert J. Gordon, ed. Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-30452-3 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/gord86-1 Publication Date: 1986 Chapter Title: Appendix B: Historical Data Chapter Author: Nathan Balke, Robert J. Gordon Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c10036 Chapter pages in book: (p. 781 - 850) Appendix B Historical Data Nathan S. Balke and Robert J. Gordon 1. Annual Data from 1869 to 1983 Year Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 100) Trend Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1869 1870 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1881 1882 1883 1884 1885 1886 1887 1888 1889 1890 1891 1892 8.06 7.83 7.80 9.02 9.00 8.79 8.74 8.84 9.13 9.04 9.65 12.14 12.13 13.10 12.79 12.44 11.66 12.06 12.56 12.48 12.96 13.65 14.02 14.82 34.93 35.96 35.25 42.94 43.36 42.78 43.57 46.19 49.54 52.95 58.44 66.74 67.97 71.12 70.28 72.18 72.44 75.96 78.30 76.44 78.93 84.82 88.65 97.19 23.07 21.78 22.13 21.01 20.76 20.54 20.06 19.14 18.45 17.08 16.48 18.19 17.84 18.41 18.19 17.24 16.10 15.88 16.04 16.32 16.42 16.09 15.83 15.24 34.93 36.78 38.72 40.76 42.91 45.17 47.56 50.07 52.71 55.49 58.44 60.50 62.04 63.94 65.89 67.90 69.98 72.12 74.32 76.59 78.93 82.44 86.62 90.74 10.95 8.54 8.27 9.92 11.60 7.27 6.73 6.42 6.47 6.09 6.35 6.52 6.49 6.93 6.91 6.49 5.35 6.05 7.04 6.18 6.15 6.91 6.48 5.40 9.11 8.99 8.93 8.77 8.80 8.49 7.93 7.64 7:65 7.58 7.24 6.94 6.62 6.67 6.69 6.64 6.44 6.17 6.23 6.16 6.02 6.14 6.31 6.19 Nathan S. Balke is a graduate student at Northwestern University. Robert J. Gordon is professor of economics at Northwestern University. 781 782 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Annual Data from 1869 to 1983 (continued) Year Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 100) Trend Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate 1893 1894 1895 1896 1897 1898 1899 1900 1901 1902 1903 1904 1905 1906 1907 1908 1909 1910 1911 1912 1913 1914 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 14.40 13.12 14.47 13.78 15.18 16.00 18.05 19.40 21.47 22.39 23.80 23.78 26.07 29.88 31.59 28.80 33.39 35.26 35.98 39.34 39.54 38.84 40.14 48.30 60.54 76.56 84.29 91.54 69.52 74.16 83.38 84.88 93.30 97.17 95.01 97.17 103.42 90.73 76.12 58.33 55.84 65.27 72.50 82.79 90.89 85.05 92.36 89.92 100.55 98.44 107.86 110.20 120.40 123.55 137.87 139.13 146.10 144.21 155.04 172.97 175.61 161.22 180.93 185.98 191.90 201.51 203.38 195.96 193.63 208.19 211.43 244.33 228.99 214.22 199.94 229.54 254.09 256.39 276.03 291.81 293.27 296.22 315.69 285.52 263.46 227.04 222.13 239.09 260.04 295.54 310.16 296.75 15.57 14.59 14.39 14.00 14.06 14.52 14.98 15.70 15.57 16.09 16.29 16.48 16.81 17.27 17.99 17.86 18.44 18.96 18.74 19.52 19.44 19.83 20.73 23.20 28.61 31.30 36.80 42.70 34.80 32.30 33.60 33.10 33.80 33.30 32.40 32.80 32.76 31.75 28.87 25.67 25.13 27.30 27.88 28.00 29.30 28.66 95.06 99.58 104.32 109.28 114.48 119.92 125.62 131.60 137.87 142.96 147.71 152.89 158.26 163.82 169.57 175.52 181.69 188.06 194.67 201.50 206.31 210.18 214.66 219.23 223.90 228.68 233.55 238.52 243.61 248.80 254.10 262.73 273.17 283.23 293.66 304.48 315.70 323.86 330.61 338.32 346.22 354.30 362.57 371.03 379.69 388.55 7.64 5.22 5.80 7.02 4.72 5.34 5.50 5.71 5.40 5.81 6.16 5.14 5.18 6.25 6.66 5.00 4.67 5.72 4.75 5.41 6.20 5.47 4.01 3.84 5.07 6.02 5.37 7.50 6.62 4.52 5.07 3.98 4.02 4.34 4.11 4.85 5.85 3.59 2.64 2.73 1.73 1.02 0.76 0.75 0.94 0.81 Yield on Corporate Bonds 6.29 6.08 5.95 5.99 5.80 5.74 5.60 5.66 5.66 5.73 5.97 5.99 5.94 6.03 6.25 6.22 6.13 6.28 6.32 6.36 6.53 6.52 6.65 6.51 6.77 7.14 7.19 8.12 8.46 7.13 7.24 6.89 6.31 5.92 5.51 5.46 5.87 5.83 7.31 9.56 7.81 6.39 5.83 4.82 4.94 5.84 783 Historical Data Annual Data from 1869 to 1983 Real GNP GNP (continued) Year Nominal GNP (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 90.95 100.04 125.30 158.59 192.20 210.64 212.11 209.89 233.00 259.48 258.30 286.45 330.73 347.95 366.75 366.78 400.05 421.70 443.98 449.60 487.90 506.50 524.55 565.03 596.73 637.73 691.03 756.00 799.58 873.40 943.98 992.73 1077.65 1185.93 1326.38 1434.23 1549.20 1718.03 1918.30 2163.83 2417.78 2631.70 2957.75 3069.23 3304.78 319.83 344.16 400.40 461.80 531.66 569.13 560.17 478.28 470.39 489.74 492.24 534.57 579.17 600.63 623.46 615.64 657.37 671. 72 683.57 680.88 721.72 737.01 756.59 800.29 832.20 875.96 929.00 984.62 1011.38 1058.06 1087.58 1085.58 1122.42 1185.92 1254.20 1246.30 1231.61 1298.20 1369.71 1438.55 1479.44 1474.98 1512.15 1479.98 1534.68 28.43 29.06 31.23 34.32 36.14 37.01 37.91 43.88 49.53 52.98 52.48 53.55 57.10 57.93 58.83 59.58 60.85 62.78 64.95 66.03 67.60 68.73 69.33 70.60 71.70 72.80 74.38 76.78 79.05 82.54 86.80 91.45 96.00 99.98 105.74 115.10 125.75 132.33 140.02 150.35 163.41 178.44 195.61 207.39 215.30 Trend Real GNP 397.61 406.89 416.39 426.11 436.05 446.23 456.64 467.30 478.20 489.36 500.78 523.73 547.68 572.83 599.00 621.18 639.33 659.03 680.18 705.03 724.20 749.65 778.45 806.65 834.:15 865.70 895.48 936.48 977.83 1012.43 1048.43 1087.60 1131.85 1173.63 1217.20 1257.08 1298.98 1345.1:0 1391.38 1436.63 1480.75 1525.18 1570.95 1618.10 1667.00 Commercial Paper Rate 0.59 0.56 0.53 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.75 0.81 1.03 1.44 1.49 1.45 2.16 2.33 2.52 1.59 2.19 3.31 3.82 2.47 3.96 3.85 2.96 3.26 3.56 3.96 4.38 5.55 5.11 5.90 7.83 7.71 5.11 4.73 8.15 9.84 6.32 5.34 5.61 7.99 10.91 12.29 14.76 11.89 8.81 Yield on Corporate Bonds 5.00 4.74 4.32 4.27 3.94 3.64 3.32 3.04 3.21 3.47 3.43 3.25 3.39 3.51 3.71 3.54 3.51 3.81 4.66 4.74 5.02 5.22 5.08 5.04 4.86 4.76 4.85 5.56 6.15 6.91 7.70 9.07 8.61 8.19 8.16 9.36 10.42 9.75 8.98 9.42 10.54 13.38 15.97 16.35 13.52 784 Nathan S. Balke/Rpbert J. Gordon Annual Data from 1869 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Year 1869 1870 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1881 1882 1883 1884 1885 1886 1887 1888 1889 1890 1891 1892 1893 1894 1895 1896 1897 1898 1899 1900 1901 1902 1903 1904 1905 1906 1907 1908 1909 1910 1911 1912 1913 1914 Ml M2 Base Disposable Income (1929 dollars) 1.73 1.83 2.03 2.18 2.19 2.23 2.33 2.28 2.24 2.14 2.26 2.76 3.31 3.57 3.79 3.79 3.89 4.21 4.49 4.61 4.88 5.31 5.54 6.00 5.78 5.80 6.01 5.90 6.29 7.13 8.26 8.96 10.14 11.08 11.77 12.54 13.89 15.02 15.73 15.55 17.25 18.12 19.21 20.54 21.34 22.21 0.62 0.63 0.64 0.64 0.65 0.66 0.63 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.66 0.78 0.89 0.94 0.97 0.99 1.01 0.99 1.04 1.08 1.10 1.14 1.20 1.26 1.28 1.29 1.23 1.19 1.27 1.38 1.49 1.61 1.72 1.78 1.87 1.99 2.04 2.17 2.33 2.53 2.56 2.60 2.69 2.52 2.79 2.89 24.43 25.39 26.97 28.37 31.46 31.51 33.56 34.27 36.01 40.64 41.77 38.18 43.55 42.38 42.88 43.36 45.71 44.60 Disposable Income NIPA (1972 dollars) 785 Historical Data Annual Data from 1869 to 1983 (continued.) Money Supply Year Ml M2 Base 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1024 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 12.21 14.38 16.71 18.57 21.40 23.01 20.70 21.24 22.28 23.32 25.19 25.38 25.49 25.69 25.79 24.77 22.78 20.10 19.06 21.59 25.52 29.03 29.57 29.76 33.63 39.01 45.82 56.13 72.65 85.72 98.29 104.79 109.83 110.10 109.07 112.21 117.23 123.01 125.99 127.95 132.00 133.51 134.10 136.02 141.38 141.41 23.93 28.39 32.68 36.37 42.32 47.37 44.58 46.14 49.93 52.67 57.44 59.49 61.02 63.32 63.44 62.04 57.24 47.79 42.21 45.77 52.66 58.91 61.72 61.67 66.83 74.80 84.84 97.44 123.60 146.75 174.01 189.90 200.40 203.32 202.39 206.99 214.74 226.38 234.96 243.19 252.18 256.51 263.30 276.10 292.15 303.05 2.99 3.40 4.07 4.91 5.46 5.92 5.38 5.18 5.51 5.67 5.80 5.86 5.89 5.88 5.87 5.73 5.98 6.40 6.77 7.55 8.88 10.16 11.03 12.04 14.49 17.50 19.30 20.97 24.77 29.47 34.52 36.12 36.84 37.71 37.17 35.65 38.14 39.89 41.03 41.34 41.68 42.18 42.52 43.20 43.90 43.98 Disposable Income (1929 dollars) 47.60 50.42 52.21 47.50 59.14 51.19 50.05 54.37 62.09 64.64 65.20 68.71 70.72 71.12 76.10 68.15 62.78 51.55 Disposable Income NIPA (1972 dollars) 229.53 210.89 202.10 174.66 169.41 179.93 196.90 220.23 227.37 212.41 229.57 243.79 277.59 317.79 331. 75 343.42 338.14 332.51 318.88 335.70 336.68 363.08 372.97 383.45 399.08 403.61 426.96 446.54 455.22 461.00 479.39 489.55 786 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Annual Data from 1869 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Disposable Income (1929 dollars) Year Ml M2 Base 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 144.45 147.99 152.64 158.61 165.49 172.76 180.00 192.66 203.79 211.63 226.17 242.56 259.73 272.61 285.39 301.85 325.19 351.66 379.03 401.48 430.08 458.50 509.18 323.38 348.63 377.93 407.55 440.58 469.58 502.33 544.55 578.30 600.75 673.63 757.85 833.40 885.18 969.38 1097.00 1239.00 1349.25 1468.08 1567.10 1715.28 1879.08 2116.30 45.08 46.74 48.87 51.62 54.51 57.68 60.73 64.75 68.32 72.05 77.75 83.49 90.79 98.50 106.30 115.18 123.03 133.85 144.93 157.00 167.10 178.58 195.53 Real Consumption Year 1869 1870 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 DeLong and Summers (1929) dollars Kendrick (1929) dollars NIPA (1972) dollars Disposable Income NIPA (1972 dollars) 503.79 524.82 542.62 580.49 616.30 646.96 673.11 701.44 722.77 751.66 779.02 810.32 865.18 858.43 875.46 906.88 943.30 988.59 1015.48 1021.70 1049.73 1058.51 1095.54 Real Consumption Year 1879 1880 1881 1882 1883 1884 1885 1886 1887 1888 DeLong and Summers (1929) dollars Kendrick (1929) dollars NIPA (1972) dollars 787 Historical Data Annual Data from 1869 to 1983 (continued) Real Consumption Year 1889 1890 1891 1892 1893 1894 1895 1896 1897 1898 1899 1900 1901 1902 1903 1904 1905 1906 1907 1908 1909 1910 1911 1912 1913 1914 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 DeLong and Summers (1929) dollars Kendrick (1929) dollars 23.98 24.96 26.76 27.57 30.25 30.73 32.59 33.31 34.89 37.71 39.30 38.18 41.17 42.05 43.04 42.72 44.59 47.12 48.21 48.80 50.02 48.45 49.85 50.86 54.78 57.10 61.99 66.55 64.81 69.78 71.63 72.41 77.30 72.54 71.36 18.00 17.96 19.25 20.16 20.26 19.66 22.12 22.06 23.79 24.19 27.05 27.30 30.65 30.91 32.76 33.19 35.09 38.97 39.70 37.20 41.27 42.03 44.06 45.21 46.70 46.12 45.32 49.41 48.34 48.12 50.25 52.71 56.08 58.15 63.43 68.13 66.14 71.55 73.16 74.81 78.95 74.67 72.52 Real Consumption NIPA (1972) dollars Year 215.10 199.50 191.80 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 DeLong and Summers (1929) dollars 63.13 Kendrick (1929) dollars NIPA (1972) dollars 66.03 64.57 67.97 72.29 79.65 82.62 81.33 85.88 90.47 96.42 94.67 97.30 101.23 108.60 120.94 122.57 125.13 128.47 136.30 137.18 141.36 147.55 173.90 170.50 176.90 187.70 206.20 213.80 208.80 219.80 229.90 243.60 241.10 248.20 255.20 270.90 301.00 305.80 312.20 319.30 337.30 341.60 350.10 363.40 370.00 394.10 405.40 413.80 418.00 440.40 452.00 461.40 482.00 500.50 528.00 557.50 585.70 602.70 634.40 657.90 672.10 696.80 737.10 768.50 763.60 788 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Annual Data from 1869 to 1983 (continued) Real Consumption Year 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 DeLong and Summers (1929) dollars Kendrick (1929) dollars NIPA (1972) dollars 780.20 823.10 864.30 903.20 927.60 Real Consumption Year DeLong and Summers (1929) dollars Kendrick (1929) dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 NIPA (1972) dollars 931.80 950.50 963.30 1009.20 Section 1 Source Notes Nominal GNP (Billions of dollars) 1869-88: nominal income (net national product) from Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz, Monetary Trends in the United States and the United Kingdom: Their Relation to Income, Prices, and Interest Rates, 1867-1975 (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1982), 122-29, added to capital consumption from Simon Kuznets, Capital in the American Economy; Its Formation and Financing (Princeton: University of Princeton Press, 1961), table R8, 499, and unraveled fiveyear moving average table R29, 572-73. Linked in 1889 to 1889-1908: series A7 from Long Term Economic Growth, 1860-1970 (Washington, D. C.: Department of Commerce, 1973). Linked in 1909 to 1909-28: National Income and Product Accounts of the United States, 1929-76 Statistical Tables (Washington, D.C.: Department of Commerce, 1981), table 1.22. 1929-83: national income and product accounts, table 1.1. Real GNP (Billions of dollars) 1869-88: real income (real net national product) from Friedman and Schwartz, Monetary Trends, 122-29, added to capital consumption from Kuznets (1961), table R8, 499, and unraveled five-year moving average table R29, 57273. Linked in 1889 to 1889-1908: series Al from Long Term Economic Growth, 1860-1970. Linked in 1909 to 1909-28: National Income and Product Accounts of the United States, 1929-76 Statistical Tables, table 1.22. 1929-83: national income and product accounts, table 1.2. GNP deflator 1869-1983: nominal GNP divided by real GNP, then multiplied by 100. Trend real GNP 1869-1948: geometric interpolation between the benchmark years 1869, 1879, 1889, 1901, 1912, 1923, 1929, and 1949. 1950-82: Robert J. Gordon, Macroeconomics, 3d ed. (Boston: Little, Brown, 1984), app. B. 1983: extrapolation from 1982 using an annual growth rate of 3%. Commercial paper rate 1869-89: Friedman and Schwartz, Monetary Trends, 122-29. Linked in 1890 to 1890-1941: 4-6-month prime commercial paper from Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1919-1941, 448. 1942-46: 4-6-month prime commercial paper from Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1942-1970, 674. 1947-83: 6-month commercial paper-bank discount basis from CITIBASE. Historical Data 789 Yield on corporate bonds 1869-1918: yields on railroad bonds adjusted for drift from Frederick R. Macaulay, The Movements ofInterest Rates, Bond Yields and Stock Prices in the United States since 1856 (New York: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1938), AI41-61. Linked in 1919 to 1919-46: yield on corporate bonds, Moody's Baa rating, Banking and Monetary Statistics. 1947-83: yield on corporate bonds, Moody's Baa rating, Business Statistics. Money supply, Ml 1915-83: average of quarterly Ml series described in section 2 source notes. Money supply, M2 1869-74: money stock from Friedman and Schwartz, Monetary Trends, 122-29. Linked in 1875 to 1875-1983: averaged from the quarterly M2 series described in section 2 source notes. Money supply, Base 1869-74: high-powered money from Friedman and Schwartz, Monetary Trends, 12229. 1875-1983: averaged from the quarterly money base series described in section 2 source notes. Disposable income 1897-1932: J. Bradford DeLong and Lawrence H. Summers, "The Changing Cyclical Variability of Economic Activity," in this volume. Dispos"able income, NIPA 1929-83: Disposable income from national income: and product accounts, table 2.1, divided by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures from national income and product accounts, table 7. 1. Consumption, Kendrick 1890-1953: series A23 from Long Term Economic Growth, 1860-1970. Consumption, derived from Kuznets 1897-1932: DeLong and Summers, this volume. Consumption, NIPA 1929-83: national income and product accounts, table 1.2. 2. Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 Quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 1(0) Trend Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1875:1 2 3 4 1876:1 2 3 4 1877:1 2 3 4 8.83 8.88 8.62 8.60 9.08 8.78 8.58 8.94 9.18 9.21 9.10 9.04 43.44 44.03 43.27 43.55 46.09 46.11 45.98 46.57 48.17 48.58 50.59 50.82 20.44 20.16 19.92 19.74 19.69 19.04 18.66 19.20 19.06 18.95 17.99 17.78 46.64 47.25 47.86 48.48 49.11 49.74 50.38 51.04 51.70 52.36 53.(14 53.73 6.74 6.14 6.34 7.73 7.01 6.39 5.34 6.95 6.12 5.44 6.68 7.64 8.07 7.95 7.88 7.83 7.67 7.66 7.60 7.64 7.66 7.69 7.61 7.65 790 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 100) Trend Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1878:1 2 3 4 1879:1 2 3 4 1880:1 2 3 4 1881:1 2 3 4 1882:1 2 3 4 1883:1 2 3 4 1884:1 2 3 4 1885:1 2 3 4 1886:1 2 3 4 1887:1 2 3 4 1888:1 2 3 4 1889:1 2 9.15 8.92 9.17 8.93 8.95 8.97 9.41 11.29 12.59 12.14 11.85 11.98 11.84 11.84 12.24 12.61 12.68 13.11 13.37 13.24 13.12 12.91 12.56 12.55 12.78 12.72 12.40 11.89 11.74 11.59 11.48 11.84 12.05 11.87 12.15 12.18 12.67 12.61 12.29 12.65 12.37 12.21 12.41 12.93 12.96 12.74 51.99 52.20 53.90 53.71 54.83 56.59 58.74 63.61 66.18 66.91 66.52 67.34 66.57 67.48 68.58 69.27 69.86 70.82 71.78 72.03 70.48 69.90 70.32 70.44 71.34 73.06 72.53 71.78 71.76 72.13 72.54 73.35 74.19 75.37 77.07 77.23 78.17 78.62 77.67 78.73 75.67 75.72 76.64 77.71 78.39 77.93 17.61 17.09 17.02 16.62 16.32 15.85 16.02 17.75 19.02 18.15 17.81 17.79 17.78 17.54 17.85 18.20 18.15 18.51 18.63 18.38 18.62 18.47 17.86 17.82 17.91 17.40 17.10 16.56 16.36 16.07 15.83 16.15 16.24 15.75 15.76 15.77 16.21 16.04 15.83 16.07 16.35 16.12 16.19 16.64 16.53 16.35 54.42 55.13 55.84 56.56 57.29 58.04 58.79 59.55 59.90 60.26 60.62 60.98 61.34 61.81 62.27 62.74 63.22 63.69 64.18 64.66 65.15 65.64 66.14 66.64 67.14 67.64 68.16 68.67 69.19 69.71 70.24 70.77 71.31 71.84 72.39 72.94 73.49 74.04 74.60 75.16 75.73 76.30 76.88 77.46 78.05 78.64 6.72 5.86 5.30 6.50 5.69 6.00 6.37 7.34 6.69 6.37 6.20 6.81 6.68 5.54 6.17 7.56 6.83 6.30 6.96 7.64 7.04 6.84 6.75 7.02 6.04 6.47 6.94 6.52 5.84 5.02 4.93 5.60 5.32 5.34 6.27 7.27 6.51 6.53 7.78 7.33 6.51 6.11 5.86 6.22 5.76 5.30 7.63 7.59 7.57 7.52 7.33 7.26 7.17 7.19 7.07 7.04 6.93 6.73 6.66 6.59 6.56 6.66 6.69 6.65 6.66 6.69 6.69 6.69 6.71 6.69 6.60 6.62 6.69 6.66 6.55 6.48 6.40 6.33 6.19 6.16 6.14 6.18 6.19 6.20 6.25 6.30 6.20 6.19 6.12 6.13 6.05 5.99 791 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 100) Trend Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1889:3 4 1890:1 2 3 4 1891:1 2 3 4 1892:1 2 3 4 1893:1 2 3 4 1894:1 2 3 4 1895:1 2 3 4 1896:1 2 3 4 1897:1 2 3 4 1898:1 2 3 4 1899:1 2 3 4 1900:1 2 3 4 12.89 13.25 13.15 13.47 13.94 14.04 13.63 13.64 14.28 14.54 14.64 14.42 14.83 15.36 15.88 15.26 13.41 13.06 12.76 12.60 13.35 13.75 13.66 14.44 14.81 14.98 14.13 13.76 13.42 13.81 14.44 14.56 15.59 16.10 16.19 16.25 15.66 15.91 17.06 17.42 18.37 19.34 19.51 19.42 19.35 19.30 78.93 80.49 82.17 84.45 85.80 86.86 84.77 84.90 91.17 93.78 96.55 96.85 97.16 98.21 98.04 96.85 88.73 85.82 86.72 87.17 90.76 95.03 96.88 98.73 102.28 104.33 99.97 99.00 97.73 97.06 103.28 105.80 110.46 111.92 111.32 109.69 108.74 110.07 117.78 118.69 121.64 123.48 122.63 123.63 123.75 124.20 16.33 16.47 16.00 15.95 16.25 16.16 16.08 16.07 15.67 15.51 15.17 14.89 15.27 15.64 16.19 15.75 15.11 15.22 14.71 14.46 14.71 14.47 14.11 14.62 14.48 14.35 14.14 13.90 13.73 14.23 13.99 13.77 14.12 14.39 14.55 14.82 14.40 14.32 14.49 14.68 15.10 15:66 15.91 15.71 15.64 15.54 79.23 79.83 80.86 81.90 82.96 84.03 85.12 86.11 87.12 88.14 89.17 90.21 91.26 92.33 93.41 94.50 95.60 96.72 97.85 98.99 100.15 101.32 102.51 103.70 104.92 106.41 107.38 108.64 109.91 111.19 112.49 113.80 115.13 116.48 117.84 119.22 121.61 122.02 123.44 124.89 126.34 127.82 129.32 130.83 132.36 133.90 6.24 7.32 6.44 6.44 6.50 8.25 6.72 6.42 6.65 6.14 5.25 4.59 5.49 6.27 6.29 8.08 9.86 6.33 5.16 4.83 5.14 5.75 6.39 5.14 5.43 6.25 7.59 5.94 7.94 6.62 4.56 4.56 4.80 4.96 5.10 6.23 5.23 4.79 4.73 4.85 5.68 6.73 6.24 5.31 5.47 5.80 5.98 6.05 6.07 6.09 6.15 6.26 6.24 6.33 6.37 6.29 6.21 6.18 6.17 6.21 6.19 6.26 6.46 6.28 6.16 6.08 6.07 6.00 6.02 5.99 5.88 5.90 5.96 5.93 6.08 5.99 5.86 5.81 5.77 5.75 5.73 5.82 5.73 5.67 5.61 5.56 5.59 5.67 5.65 5.65 5.67 5.66 792 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 100) Trend Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1901:1 2 3 4 1902:1 2 3 4 1903:1 2 3 4 1904:1 2 3 4 1905:1 2 3 4 1906:1 2 3 4 1907:1 2 3 4 1908:1 2 3 4 1909:1 2 3 4 1910:1 2 3 4 1911:1 2 3 4 1912:1 2 20.55 21.33 21.79 22.20 21.62 22.01 22.51 23.42 24.14 23.95 23.98 23.12 23.70 23.24 23.48 24.68 25.15 25.51 26.11 27.49 28.89 29.38 29.76 31.49 31.72 32.18 32.25 30.20 27.72 28.13 29.09 30.26 31.41 32.77 33.92 35.46 35.82 35.64 35.14 34.45 35.03 35.11 36.64 37.13 37.88 39.44 132.71 138.79 139.80 140.91 137.71 137.93 140.61 140.27 144.64 147.68 148.31 143.78 143.33 143.05 143.20 147.26 149.33 152.80 155.81 162.22 168.88 170.74 173.90 178.38 178.52 179.22 177.26 167.44 157.63 158.04 161.87 167.37 174.23 178.71 183.58 187.20 187.60 185.72 184.69 185.91 188.97 191.02 193.26 194.37 197.52 200.43 15.49 15.37 15.59 15.84 15.70 15.96 16.01 16.70 16.69 16.22 16.17 16.08 16.54 16.25 16.39 16.76 16.84 16.70 16.76 16.95 17.10 17.21 17.11 17.65 17.77 17.95 18.19 18.04 17.59 17.80 17.97 18.08 18.03 18.34 18.48 18.94 19.09 19.19 19.03 18.53 18.54 18.38 18.96 19.10 19.18 19.68 135.57 137.05 138.65 140.27 141.14 142.46 143.56 144.66 145.80 147.07 148.34 149.63 150.92 152.23 153.55 154.58 156.22 157.57 158.94 160.32 161.71 163.11 164.52 165.94 167.38 168.83 .170.29 171.77 173.26 174.76 176.27 177.80 179.34 180.89 182.46 184.04 185.64 187.25 188.87 190.50 192.15 193.82 195.50 197.19 198.90 200.62 5.09 5.40 5.65 5.45 5.43 5.37 5.86 6.57 5.80 5.79 6.50 6.54 5.61 4.71 4.92 5.32 4.72 4.75 5.08 6.17 5.85 5.83 6.55 6.76 6.67 6.14 6.71 7.16 6.01 4.71 4.59 4.71 4.30 4.25 4.49 5.64 5.22 5.51 6.26 5.88 4.64 4.41 4.99 4.97 4.68 4.83 5.62 5.64 5.68 5.68 5.67 5.69 5.75 5.82 5.86 5.94 6.04 6.02 6.03 6.01 5.96 5.95 5.92 5.94 5.93 5.95 5.98 6.02 6.05 6.06 6.11 6.18 6.27 6.45 6.30 6.26 6.20 6.14 6.09 6.11 6.14 6.19 6.22 6.30 6.32 6.29 6.31 6.31 6.33 6.33 6.32 6.34 793 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 Quarter 1912:3 4 1913:1 2 3 4 1914:1 2 3 4 1915:1 2 3 4 1916:1 2 3 4 1917:1 2 3 4 1918:1 2 3 4 1919:1 2 3 4 1920:1 2 3 4 1921:1 2 3 4 1922:1 2 3 4 1923:1 2 3 4 (continued) Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 100) Trend Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 39.75 40.30 39.68 39.07 39.81 39.59 39.07 39.24 39.47 37.55 38.63 39.09 39.97 42.88 46.31 47.14 47.84 51.92 53.20 60.90 63.17 64.89 67.24 75.37 81.82 81.81 77.97 81.42 87.29 90.43 95.98 95.95 93.84 80.40 69.78 68.56 69.35 70.37 69.65 72.44 75.49 79.07 84.71 87.17 84.68 84.93 202.84 205.25 204.12 202.99 204.51 201.90 200.19 200.54 195.97 187.11 188.71 189.26 193.74 202.81 208.15 207.53 208.43 208.64 203.40 210.64 211.98 219.70 229.84 248.53 254.60 244.35 229.01 228.00 229.53 229.43 227.51 216.09 212.44 200.82 191.68 196.63 202.42 209.02 216.05 226.51 233.41 242.27 251.51 257.75 253.39 253.71 19.60 19.63 19.44 19.25 19.47 19.61 19.52 19.57 20.14 20.07 20.47 20.66 20.63 21.14 22.25 22.71 22.95 24.89 26.16 28.91 29.80 29.54 29.26 30.33 32.14 33.48 34.05 35.71 38.03 39.41 42.19 44.40 44.17 40.04 36.40 34.87 34.26 33.67 32.24 31.98 32.34 32.64 33.68 33.82 33.42 33.48 202.36 204.12 204.99 205.90 206.75 207.63 208.52 209.62 210.73 211.84 212.96 214.09 215.22 216.36 217.50 218.65 219.81 220.97 222.14 223.31 224.49 225.68 226.87 228.07 229.29 230.49 231.70 232.93 234.16 235.40 236.64 237.89 239.15 240.4] 241.68 242.96 244.25 245.54 246.84248.14249.45 250.77 252.09 253.43 254.77 256.11 5.63 6.50 5.75 6.15 6.58 6.31 4.64 4.43 6.54 6.28 4.23 4.31 3.90 3.62 3.50 3.67 4.17 4.03 4.32 5.03 5.26 5.69 5.90 6.08 6.11 6.00 5.29 5.34 5.38 5.46 6.42 7.38 8.13 8.09 7.71 7.09 6.17 5.50 4.88 4.42 4.13 4.67 4.75 5.13 5.21 5.17 6.38 6.40 6.42 6.56 6.56 6.59 6.50 6.48 0.00 0.00 6.64 6.63 6.74 6.58 6.50 6.53 6.55 6.47 6.45 6.69 6.85 7.07 7.12 7.18 7.26 7.00 7.12 7.23 7.06 7.34 7.78 8.17 8.52 7.99 8.50 8.53 8.48 8.34 7.70 7.14 6.89 6.78 6.98 7.17 7.34 7.46 794 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Trend Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1924:1 2 3 4 1925:1 2 3 4 1926:1 2 3 4 1927:1 2 3 4 1928:1 2 3 4 1929:1 2 3 4 1930:1 2 3 4 1931:1 2 3 4 1932:1 2 3 4 1933:1 2 3 4 1934:1 2 3 4 1935:1 2 87.30 82.86 82.00 87.35 91.08 91.27 94.41 96.44 96.60 96.15 97.93 97.98 95.94 95.44 94.77 93.88 94.31 96.18 99.01 99.16 101.03 105.02 106.72 100.92 96.53 95.25 88.35 82.77 80.66 79.74 74.99 69.09 63.84 58.83 56.08 54.57 49.78 54.13 61.55 58.11 62.88 67.22 65.50 65.49 70.36 70.62 260.65 252.46 249.84 262.60 268.68 271.89 278.86 284.70 287.33 288.21 295.01 296.71 295.63 297.42 292.78 287.20 289.40 292.98 299.71 302.80 308.94 321.65 323.69 308.45 297.27 295.58 281.13 268.10 268.66 273.35 262.62 249.14 240.16 228.43 220.46 219.12 206.38 221.26 238.85 222.05 234.29 247.72 237.19 237.16 252.31 253.14 33.49 32.82 32.82 33.26 33.90 33.57 33.86 33.88 33.62 33.36 33.19 33.02 32.45 32.09 32.37 32.69 32.59 32.83 33.04 32.75 32.70 32.65 32.97 32.72 32.47 32.22 31.43 30.87 30.02 29.17 28.55 27.73 26.58 25.75 25.44 24.90 24.11 24.47 25.77 26.17 26.84 27.14 27.61 27.61 27.89 27.90 258.73 261.38 264.05 266.75 269.47 271.92 274.39 276.88 279.40 281.94 284.50 287.08 289.69 292.32 294.98 297.66 300.37 303.09 305.85 308.63 311.43 314.26 317.12 319.99 321.53 323.08 324.69 326.19 327.75 329.65 331.56 333.47 335.40 337.34 339.29 341.26 343.23 345.21 347.21 349.22 351.24 353.27 355.31 357.37 359.44 361.51 4.88 4.42 3.29 3.34 3.75 3.92 4.04 4.38 4.34 4.13 4.34 4.54 4.17 4.17 4.08 4.00 4.04 4.54 5.38 5.42 5.59 6.00 6.13 5.67 4.63 3.71 3.08 2.92 2.67 2.21 2.00 3.67 3.80 3.13 2.29 1.71 1.92 2.21 1.50 1.29 1.38 0.96 0.88 0.88 0.79 0.75 7.24 7.03 6.67 6.62 6.44 6.41 6.20 6.17 6.09 5.98 5.79 5.81 5.61 5.48 5.55 5.38 5.35 5.33 5.58 5.58 5.63 5.80 5.95 6.11 5.92 5.70 5.77 5.94 6.41 6.72 7.08 9.04 9.13 10.46 10.79 7.87 8.01 9.12 6.62 7.49 7.01 6.01 6.13 6.40 5.98 6.13 795 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 100) Natural Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1935:3 4 1936:1 2 3 4 1937:1 2 3 4 1938:1 2 3 4 1939:1 2 3 4 1940:1 2 3 4 1941: 1 2 3 4 1942: 1 2 3 4 1943:1 2 3 4 1944: 1 2 3 4 1945: 1 2 3 4 1946: 1 2 3 4 72.43 76.58 76.81 81.14 84.71 88.49 90.60 93.75 93.94 85.30 81.08 81.96 87.03 90.13 88.59 86.76 90.37 98.15 95.49 96.82 100.92 106.92 110.65 120.35 131.40 138.80 148.12 152.57 161.11 172.57 182.22 188.69 195.56 202.31 205.77 208.28 211.90 216.63 220.99 220.85 207.80 198.81 198.18 198.43 217.12 225.82 260.14 274.58 275.90 293.20 301.59 311.58 310.53 318.41 317.21 294.46 282.02 286.48 303.22 315.35 312.34 307.79 319.32 339.96 330.14 334.66 348.32 363.54 371.18 391.93 412.57 426.38 441.54 446.44 466.52 492.72 510.87 522.00 539.31 554.55 559.06 562.33 571.49 583.66 595.55 588.95 546.93 509.24 488.02 471.71 479.68 473.73 27.84 27.89 27.84 27.67 28.09 28.40 29.17 29.44 29.62 28.97 28.75 28.61 28.70 28.58 28.36 28.19 28.30 28.87 28.92 28.93 28.97 29.41 29.81 30.71 31.85 32.55 33.55 34.18 34.53 35.02 35.67 36.15 36.26 36.48 36.81 37.04 37.08 37.12 37.11 37.50 37.99 39.04 40.53 42.06 45.26 47.66 363.61 365.71 367.82 369.95 372.09 374.24 376.41 378.58 380.77 382.98 385.19 387.42 389.66 391.91 394.18 396.46 398.75 401.06 403.38 405.71 408.06 410.42 412.79 415.18 417.58 420.00 422.43 424.87 427.33 429.80 432.28 434.78 437.30 439.83 442.37 444.93 447.50 450.09 452.70 455.31 457.95 460.60 463.26 465.94 468.64 471.35 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.96 0.88 0.73 0.67 0.56 0.56 0.60 0.63 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.50 0.52 0.62 0.64 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.80 0.94 5.67 5.54 5.00 4.91 4.84 4.54 4.49 4.84 4.91 5.52 5.89 6.47 5.63 5.36 5.12 5.15 4.84 4.88 4.86 4.74 4.80 4.56 4.38 4.33 4.28 4.28 4.29 4.26 4.30 4.24 4.16 3.96 3.81 3.82 3.76 3.68 3.57 3.55 3.46 3.36 3.26 3.20 3.01 2.96 3.03 3.15 796 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 100) Natural Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1947:1 2 3 4 1948: 1 2 3 4 1949: 1 2 3 4 1950:1 2 3 4 1951: 1 2 3 4 1952: 1 2 3 4 1953: 1 2 3 4 1954: 1 2 3 4 1955: 1 2 3 4 1956: 1 2 3 4 1957:1 2 3 4 1958:1 2 225.10 229.30 233.60 244.00 250.00 257.50 264.50 265.90 260.50 257.00 258.90 256.80 267.60 277.10 294.80 306.30 320.40 328.30 335.00 339.20 341.90 342.10 347.80 360.00 366.10 369.40 368.40 363.10 362.50 362.30 366.70 375.60 388.20 396.20 404.80 411.00 412.80 418.40 423.50 432.10 440.20 442.30 449.40 444.00 436.80 440.70 466.05 469.88 470.02 475.63 479.85 488.62 492.55 497.94 492.44 490.46 495.03 491.01 512.64 525.81 543.91 555.90 564.09 575.97 587.72 588.89 593.58 593.92 600.69 614.33 622.62 628.23 624.41 618.57 610.27 607.89 616.30 628.09 643.78 652.72 663.61 669.38 666.88 670.51 671.16 678.34 683.54 683.62 688.21 678.90 665.85 669.76 48.30 48.80 49.70 51.30 52.10 52.70 53.70 53.40 52.90 52.40 52.30 52.30 52.20 52.70 54.20 55.10 56.80 57.00 57.00 57.60 57.60 57.60 57.90 58.60 58.80 58.80 59.00 58.70 59.40 59.60 59.50 59.80 60.30 60.70 61.00 61.40 61.90 62.40 63.10 63.70 64.40 64.70 65.30 65.40 65.60 65.80 474.07 476.81 479.57 482.34 484.43 487.14 490.76 492.10 493.90 497.40 503.10 508.70 515.00 520.80 526.60 532.50 538.50 544.60 550.70 556.90 563.30 569.60 576.00 582.40 589.00 595.60 602.30 609.10 616.00 618.30 622.90 627.50 632.20 636.90 641.70 646.50 651.30 656.20 661.60 667.00 672.60 677.00 684.20 686.90 691.10 700.60 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.13 1.35 1.38 1.46 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.46 1.36 1.31 1.31 1.46 1.71 1.95 2.19 2.25 2.26 2.38 2.32 2.31 2.31 2.33 2.62 2.75 2.37 2.04 1.63 1.36 1.31 1.61 1.97 2.33 2.83 3.00 3.26 3.35 3.63 3.63 3.68 3.95 3.99 2.82 1.72 3.13 3.16 3.18 3.35 3.52 3.47 3.37 3.50 3.46 3.45 3.46 3.36 3.24 3.23 3.32 3.22 3.17 3.35 3.53 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.54 3.51 3.65 3.86 3.82 3.71 3.47 3.50 3.46 3.45 3.49 3.52 3.59 3.60 3.68 3.80 4.17 4.49 4.44 4.73 4.99 4.83 4.67 797 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Natural Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1958:3 4 1959:1 2 3 4 1960:1 2 3 4 1961:1 2 3 4 1962:1 2 3 4 1963:1 2 3 4 1964:1 2 3 4 1965: 1 2 3 4 1966: 1 2 3 4 1967: 1 2 3 4 1968: 1 2 3 4 1969: 1 2 3 4 453.90 467.00 477.00 490.60 489.00 495.00 506.90 506.30 508.00 504.80 508.20 519.20 528.20 542.60 554.20 562.70 568.90 574.30 582.00 590.70 601.80 612.40 625.30 634.00 642.80 648.80 668.80 681.70 696.40 717.20 738.50 750.00 760.60 774.90 780.70 788.60 805.70 823.30 841.20 867.20 884.90 900.30 921.20 937.40 955.30 962.00 685.65 702.26 711.94 725.74 721.24 727.94 741.08 738.05 737.30 731.59 737.59 750.29 760.00 778.48 789.46 798.16 805.81 807.74 815.13 826.15 839.33 848.20 863.67 873.28 880.55 886.34 906.23 919.97 933.51 956.27 975.56 979.11 987.79 996.01 997.06 1004.59 1016.02 1027.84 1036.22 1056.02 1068.72 1071.28 1084.15 1088.73 1091.90 1085.53 66.20 66.50 67.00 67.60 67.80 68.00 68.40 68.60 68.90 69.00 68.90 69.20 69.50 69.70 70.20 70.50 70.60 71.10 71.40 71.50 71.70 72.20 72.40 72.60 73.00 73.20 73.80 74.10 74.60 75.00 75.70 76.60 77.00 77.80 78.30 78.50 79.30 80.10 81.18 82.12 82.80 84.04 84.97 86.10 87.49 88.62 711.30 717.10 716.10 721.00 723.70 736.00 740.80 747.20 752.10 758.50 767.90 775.00 781.70 789.20 797.70 805.60 810.00 813.30 821.00 828.20 839.80 847.60 857.40 864.70 869.00 871.70 880.80 888.60 901.80 910.70 923.00 931.00 940.10 951.80 963.70 971.40 985.00 991.20 997.20 1010.10 1018.70 1023.70 1035.70 1043.60 1053.80 1060.60 2.13 3.21 3.30 3.60 4.19 4.76 4.69 4.07 3.37 3.27 3.01 2.86 2.90 3.06 3.24 3.20 3.33 3.26 3.31 3.32 3.70 3.91 3.95 3.93 3.91 4.06 4.30 4.38 4.38 4.47 4.97 5.43 5.79 6.00 5.45 4.72 4.97 5.30 5.58 6.08 5.96 5.96 6.66 7.54 8.49 8.62 4.53 4.92 4.87 4.86 5.08 5.28 5.34 5.20 5.22 5.11 5.10 5.01 5.09 5.13 5.08 5.02 5.05 4.99 4.91 4.87 4.84 4.83 4.83 4.85 4.83 4.53 4.80 4.80 4.88 4.93 5.06 5.41 5.68 6.10 5.97 5.83 6.26 6.52 6.84 6.97 6.98 6.84 7.32 7.54 7.70 8.22 798 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Natural Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 1970: 1 2 3 4 1971:1 2 3 4 1972: 1 2 3 4 1973:1 2 3 4 1974: 1 2 3 4 1975:1 2 3 4 1976: 1 2 3 4 1977: 1 2 3 4 1978: 1 2 3 4 1979:1 2 3 4 1980: 1 2 3 4 1981: 1 2 972.00 986.30 1003.60 1009.00 1049.30 1068.90 1086.60 1105.80 1142.40 1171.70 1196.10 1233.50 1283.50 1307.60 1337.70 1376.70 1387.70 1423.80 1451.60 1473.80 1479.80 1516.70 1578.50 1621.80 1672.00 1698.60 1729.00 1772.50 1834.80 1895.10 1954.40 1988.90 2031.70 2139.50 2202.50 2281.60 2335.50 2377.90 2454.80 2502.90 2572.90 2578.80 2639.10 2736.00 2875.80 2918.00 1081.32 1083.01 1093.37 1084.60 1111.55 1116.93 1125.78 1135.43 1157.21 1178.54 1193.12 1214.79 1246.72 1248.31 1255.70 1266.05 1253.34 1254.67 1246.86 1230.32 1204.26 1218.82 1246.05 1257.31 1284.97 1293.68 1301.08 1313.06 1341.23 1363.28 1385.80 1388.51 1400.01 1436.97 1448.82 1468.40 1472.57 1469.20 1486.59 1489.38 1496.40 1461.40 1464.20 1477.90 1513.50 1511.70 89.89 91.07 91.79 93.03 94.40 95.70 96.52 97.39 98.72 99.42 100.25 101.54 102.95 104.75 106.53 108.74 110.72 113.48 116.42 119.79 122.88 124.44 126.68 128.99 130.12 131.30 132.89 134.99 136.80 139.01 141.03 143.24 145.12 148.89 152.02 155.38 158.60 161.85 165.13 168.05 171.94 176.46 180.24 185.13 190.01 193.03 1071.20 1082.40 1091.60 1105.20 1119.20 1130.90 1136.90 1140.40 1155.90 1170.20 1177.40 1191.00 1202.50 1210.80 1221.00 1234.50 1237.50 1252.80 1264.70 1273.30 1279.90 1291.60 1307.90 1316.50 1327.30 1336.70 1353.60 1362.80 1374.60 1384.70 1398.80 1407.40 1419.00 1430.70 1442.40 1454.40 1464.40 1475.20 1486.20 1497.20 1508.30 1519.50 1530.80 1542.10 1553.60 1565.10 8.55 8.17 7.84 6.29 4.59 5.04 5.74 5.07 4.06 4.58 4.94 5.33 6.28 7.47 9.87 8.98 8.30 10.46 11.53 9.05 6.56 5.92 6.67 6.12 5.29 5.57 5.53 4.99 4.81 5.24 5.81 6.59 6.80 7.20 8.08 9.90 10.10 10.03 10.60 13.10 14.25 10.62 9.65 14.51 14.52 15.35 8.86 8.70 9.40 9.33 8.74 8.45 8.76 8.48 8.23 8.24 8.23 8.06 7.90 8.09 8.24 8.41 8.58 8.88 9.55 10.41 10.62 10.34 10.33 10.37 10.24 9.83 9.63 9.29 9.08 9.07 8.87 8.89 9.17 9.32 9.60 9.59 10.13 10.33 10.29 11.40 12.42 14.19 12.67 14.23 15.03 15.56 Historical Data 799 Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 Quarter 1981:3 4 1982:1 2 3 4 1983:1 2 3 4 (continuc~d) Nominal GNP Real GNP (1972 dollars) GNP Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Natura.l Real GNP Commercial Paper Rate Yield on Corporate Bonds 3009.30 3027.90 3026.00 3061.20 3080.10 3109.60 3173.80 3267.00 3346.60 3431.70 1522.10 1501.30 1483.50 1480.50 1477.10 1478.80 1491.00 1524.80 1550.20 1572.70 197.71 201.69 203.98 206.77 208.52 210.28 212.86 214.26 215.88 218.20 1576.70 1588.40 1600.20 1612.10 1624.00 1636.10 1648.40 1660.70 1673.20 1685.70 16.27 12.94 13.70 13.48 11.53 8.81 8.34 8.61 9.44 9.19 16.17 17.11 17.10 16.78 16.80 14.73 13.94 13.29 13.39 13.46 Money Supply Quarter 1875:1 2 3 4 1876:1 2 3 4 1877:1 2 3 4 1878:1 2 3 4 1879:1 2 3 4 1880:1 2 3 4 MI M2 Base 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.31 2.29 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.26 2.24 2.18 2.17 2.14 2.13 2.10 2.12 2.18 2.28 2.45 2.62 2.69 2.78 2.94 0.64 0.63 0.63 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.63 0.63 0.62 0.63 0.64 0.67 0.71 0.74 0.77 0.79 0.82 Index of All Common Stocks (41-43 = 10) Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 100) 42.83 42.14 41.45 40.76 40.25 38.53 37.67 39.22 39.39 39.22 36.64 35.43 33.88 31.99 31.65 30.96 30.96 30.27 30.79 34.74 37.32 35.09 34.40 34.74 800 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Quarter 1881: 1 2 3 4 1882: 1 2 3 4 1883: 1 2 3 4 1884: 1 2 3 4 1885: 1 2 3 4 1886: 1 2 3 4 1887: 1 2 3 4 1888: 1 2 3 4 1889: 1 2 3 4 1890: 1 2 3 4 1891:1 2 3 4 1892:1 2 Ml M2 3.09 3.25 3.42 3.46 3.50 3.53 3.59 3.65 3.70 3.80 3.84 3.84 3.85 3.78 3.76 3.77 3.80 3.84 3.93 4.00 4.12 4.18 4.24 4.30 4.41 4.49 4.52 4.53 4.57 4.57 4.64 4.68 4.76 4.83 4.94 5.00 5.15 5.29 5.38 5.41 5.44 5.48 5.55 5.70 5.87 6.03 Base 0.84 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.01 1.02 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.08 1.09 1.09 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.11 1.13 1.15 1.17 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.22 1.25 1.27 Index of All Common Stocks (41 - 43 = 10) Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 100) 35.43 35.43 36.64 37.84 38.01 38.87 38.87 37.67 37.32 36.29 34.40 34.06 34.23 33.02 32.34 31.13 30.79 30.10 29.41 29.93 29.76 28.38 28.38 28.55 29.93 29.76 29.41 30.10 30.79 30.10 29.93 30.44 29.41 28.55 28.38 28.90 28.29 28.57 29.57 29.55 29.50 29.50 28.50 27.98 26.95 26.14 801 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Quarter 1892:3 4 1893: 1 2 3 4 1894: 1 2 3 4 1895: 1 2 3 4 1896:1 2 3 4 1897:1 2 3 4 1898: 1 2 3 4 1899:1 2 3 4 1900: 1 2 3 4 1901:1 2 3 4 1902: 1 2 3 4 1903:1 2 3 4 Ml M2 6.09 6.02 5.97 5.82 5.67 5.65 5.72 5.74 5.83 5.91 5.91 6.02 6.10 6.01 5.89 5.80 5.91 5.99 6.08 6.14 6.36 6.59 6.78 6.98 7.2i 7.53 7.89 8.20 8.44 8.52 8.61 8.72 9.09 9.41 9.78 10.02 10.27 10.51 10.78 10.96 11.17 11.39 11.58 11.69 11.83 11.99 Base 1.26 1.25 1.24 1.25 1.30 1.33 1.32 1.31 1.28 1.25 1.22 1.24 1.24 1.20 1.18 1.16 1.18 1.24 1.27 1.26 1.27 1.29 1.32 1.39 1.39 1.43 1.47 1.48 1.50 1.50 1.53 1.59 1.64 1.67 1.70 1.71 1.73 1.74 1.75 1.76 1.78 1.82 1.84 1.86 1.88 1.90 Index of Alll Common Stocks (41 - 43 = 10) 6.19 6.08 5.87 6.45 7.28 8.12 7.99 7.98 8.17 8.45 8.76 8.29 8.32 7.51 6.65 6.37 Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 1(0) 26.97 27.86 29.24 28.17 26.52 26.57 25.06 24.34 25.01 24.70 24.30 25.82 25.59 25.23 24.49 23.77 23.31 24.48 23.96 23.44 24.23 24.79 25.01 25.63 24.73 24.77 25.52 26.25 27.43 28.88 29.52 29.03 28.83 28.52 28.28 27.97 28.55 29.31 29.24 30.01 30.24 31.89 31.80 30.62 30.43 30.13 802 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Quarter 1904: 1 2 3 4 1905:1 2 3 4 1906:1 2 3 4 1907:1 2 3 4 1908: 1 2 3 4 1909: 1 2 3 4 1910:1 2 3 4 1911: 1 2 3 4 1912:1 2 3 4 1913:1 2 3 4 1914:1 2 3 4 1915: 1 2 Ml 11.59 11.83 M2 12.15 12.30 12.65 13.05 13.40 13.74 14.04 14.37 14.56 14.81 15.15 15.55 15.81 16.00 15.80 15.32 14.92 15.24 15.74 16.31 16.68 17.09 17.49 17.75 17.94 17.99 18.09 18.46 18.68 19.11 19.31 19.74 20.12 20.34 20.71 21.00 21.17 21.19 21.32 21.67 21.85 22.11 22.35 22.52 22.79 23.31 Base 1.96 1.98 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.03 2.05 2.08 2.11 2.15 2.19 2.25 2.28 2.31 2.31 2.41 2.53 2.52 2.54 2.54 2.53 2.56 2.57 2.57 2.58 2.58 2.62 2.63 2.67 2.69 2.68 2.70 2.72 2.74 2.65 1.96 2.77 2.77 2.80 2.83 2.85 2.85 2.86 3.01 2.86 2.94 Index of All Common Stocks (41 - 43 = 10) 6.55 6.55 7.04 8.06 8.76 8.68 9.10 9.40 9.74 9.30 9.61 9.91 9.39 8.78 7.71 6.49 6.77 7.50 8.12 8.71 8.93 9.58 10.10 10.24 9.92 9.46 8.80 9.23 9.34 9.48 9.16 8.97 9.15 9.58 9.75 9.65 9.02 8.49 8.40 8.12 8.39 8.14 0.00 0.00 7.48 8.04 Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 100) 31.11 30.31 30.53 31.25 31.29 30.79 30.81 31.13 31.39 31.60 31.41 32.80 33.28 33.75 34.18 33.49 31.91 32.16 32.58 33.09 33.49 34.62 35.26 36.58 37.08 37.19 36.41 34.55 33.57 32.56 33.63 33.95 34.43 35.90 35.97 36.31 36.12 35.71 36.09 36.05 35.24 34.81 35.62 34.88 35.24 35.43 803 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Quarter 1915:3 4 1916: 1 2 3 4 1917: 1 2 3 4 1918: 1 2 3 4 1919:1 2 3 4 1920:1 2 3 4 1921: 1 2 3 4 1922:1 2 3 4 1923:1 2 3 4 1924:1 2 3 4 1925:1 2 3 4 1926:1 2 3 4 Ml 12.31 13.10 13.66 14.03 14.57 15.27 15.99 16.54 16.92 17.37 17.87 17.97 18.77 19.65 20.18 20.90 21.81 22.72 23.22 23.23 23.05 22.54 21.57 20.72 20.29 20.22 20.36 21.08 21.49 22.01 22.21 22.21 22.31 22.38 22.38 22.96 23.74 24.20 24.47 24.99 25.64 25.64 25.58 25.52 25.33 25.11 M2 23.97 25.67 26.82 27.73 28.71 30.28 30.44 32.75 33.68 33.85 35.14 35.37 36.72 38.24 39.64 41.11 43.11 45.43 46.86 47.63 47.70 47.30 46.05 44.66 43.76 43.84 43.87 45.60 47.00 48.11 49.07 49.91 50.05 50.68 50.86 51.72 53.37 54.74 55.81 56.72 58.20 59.02 59.39 59.56 59.67 59.34 Base 3.02 3.13 3.25 3.33 3.44 3.58 3.80 4.01 4.15 4.33 4.58 4.79 4.94 5.33 5.30 5.41 5.47 5.67 5.82 5.93 6.02 5.92 5.68 5.47 5.26 5.12 5.06 5.16 5.19 5.29 5.39 5.51 5.55 5.61 5.58 5.63 5.70 5.78 5.83 5.76 5.78 5.81 5.88 5.87 5.88 5.82 Index of AJI Common Stocks (41 - 43 = 10) 8.14 9.36 9.23 9.23 9.40 10.00 9.30 9.02 8.48 7.17 7.31 7.37 7.54 7.94 8.30 9.24 9.53 9.60 8.90 8.55 8.13 7.72 7.32 7.16 6.82 7.33 7.83 8.76 8.98 9.34 9.60 9.08 8.46 8.65 9.18 8.90 9.61 10.06 11.01 11.03 11.78 12.74 12.94 12.24 13.28 13.41 Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 100) 35.47 37.13 40.57 42.50 43.93 49.48 54.06 61.31 63.86 63.28 64.35 66.29 69.45 70.33 68.03 69.47 73.36 75.10 81.42 85.86 82.97 68.51 55.26 49.62 48.21 48.37 47.66 49.12 51.14 51.74 53.29 52.65 50.89 50.89 51.22 49.55 49.83 51.39 53.51 52.72 53.60 53.58 52.65 51.79 51.29 50.86 804 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Quarter Ml 1927:1 2 3 4 1028: 1 2 3 4 1929:1 2 3 4 1930: 1 2 3 4 1931: 1 2 3 4 1932:1 2 3 4 1933: 1 2 3 4 1934:1 2 3 4 1935:1 2 3 4 1936:1 2 3 4 1937:1 2 3 4 1938:1 2 25.36 25.45 25.54 25.63 25.85 25.49 25.62 25.80 25.74 25.85 26.16 25.40 25.39 24.79 24.56 24.35 23.94 23.30 22.53 21.35 20.56 19.95 19.92 19.99 19.01 18.86 18.92 19.46 20.34 21.03 22.01 23.00 24.03 25.07 26.29 26.71 27.52 28.96 29.55 30.11 30.30 29.93 29.28 28.76 28.84 28.93 M2 60.00 60.86 61.26 61.95 62.95 63.54 63.03 63.76 63.46 63.07 63.61 63.62 62.65 62.28 62.00 61.25 60.16 59.01 57.11 52.68 49.62 47.95 46.72 46.87 44.25 41.15 41.45 41.99 43.37 45.04 46.63 48.03 50.16 51.71 53.67 55.11 55.93 58.45 60.13 61.14 62.04 62.11 62.01 60.72 60.97 60.57 Base 5.84 5.93 5.90 5.89 5.86 5.90 5.84 5.92 5.88 5.81 5.90 5.90 5.77 5.69 5.73 5.72 5.83 5.88 6.08 6.15 6.21 6.36 6.47 6.58 7.26 6.52 6.56 6.73 6.93 7.55 7.82 7.89 8.37 8.63 9.01 9.50 9.71 9.75 10.36 10.82 10.96 11.12 11.00 11.05 11.39 11.77 Index of All Common Stocks (41 - 43 = 10) 13.94 14.73 15.86 16.83 17.49 19.16 19.42 21.68 24.24 24.43 28.12 21.90 21.36 21.80 19.27 15.29 15.29 13.07 11.90 8.61 7.41 5.08 6.37 6.26 5.93 8.01 9.96 9.03 10.08 9.72 8.91 8.90 8.72 9.37 10.71 11.93 13.70 13.58 14.57 15.87 16.65 15.19 14.91 10.95 10.31 9.59 Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 100) 49.36 48.37 49.16 49.97 49.48 50.02 50.50 49.59 49.43 49.09 49.69 48.49 47.15 46.03 43.53 41.95 39.73 37.86 37.03 35.97 34.33 33.33 33.54 32.83 31.13 32.35 35.98 36.65 37.75 38.12 39.35 39.54 40.88 41.30 41.38 41.62 41.42 40.85 41.92 42.67 44.72 45.17 45.20 42.72 41.35 40.44 80S Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Quarter 1938:3 4 1939: 1 2 3 4 1940:1 2 3 4 1941:1 2 3 4 1942: 1 2 3 4 1943:1 2 3 4 1944:1 2 3 4 1945: 1 2 3 4 1946:1 2 3 4 1947: 1 2 3 4 1948:1 2 3 4 1949: 1 2 3 4 M1 30.24 31.02 31.48 32.59 34.65 35.81 36.84 38.15 39.49 41.57 43.78 45.18 46.35 47.97 50.50 53.55 57.84 62.62 67.12 72.80 73.72 76.98 80.19 83.03 88.13 91.52 95.45 97.00 100.00 100.69 102.28 104.85 105.66 106.38 108.07 109.66 110.54 111.04 110.74 110.03 110.08 109.54 109.13 109.22 108.90 109.05 M2 61.68 63.44 64.09 65.23 67.81 70.18 71.94 73.57 75.62 78.09 81.68 83.96 86.25 87.48 90.14 93.76 99.51 106.34 114.83 119.90 128.78 130.91 136.24 143.16 149.06 158.54 165.67 171.30 177.07 182.01 183.38 189.42 192.71 194.09 196.69 199.58 201.77 203.56 204.11 203.01 203.28 202.87 202.18 202.73 202.32 202.32 Base 12.19 12.81 13.11 14.10 15.11 15.66 16.17 17.06 18.04 18.73 19.28 19.25 19.18 19.50 19.90 20.42 21.30 22.25 23.82 23.74 25.55 25.96 27.04 28.93 29.92 31.98 32.89 34.29 35.11 35.77 35.94 36.02 36.35 36.19 36.52 36.76 37.01 3'7.09 37.01 37.09 37.67 39.07 38.82 37.83 36.52 35.53 Index of All Common Stocks (41 - 43 = 10) 11.35 12.08 11.79 10.78 11.55 12.14 11.91 10.70 10.15 10.55 10.05 9.60 10.23 9.40 8.59 8.03 8.64 9.44 10.62 11.81 12.03 11.56 11.91 12.22 12.80 12.94 13.79 14.73 15.15 16.96 17.87 18.65 16.95 14.86 15.39 14.59 15.43 15.25 14.41 16.12 16.04 15.56 15.01 14.55 15.18 16.18 Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 100) 40.45 40.08 39.65 39.22 39.47 40.90 40.68 40.33 40.09 40.99 41.78 43.89 46.59 47.90 49.93 50.93 51.17 51.82 52.94 53.60 53.22 53.17 53.44 53.70 53.66 53.87 54.20 54.70 54.50 54.90 55.60 57.40 65.00 71.30 74.30 74.90 76.80 80.10 81.80 82.50 84.10 83.00 80.70 78.60 77.90 77.70 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon 806 Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Quarter Ml 1950: 1 2 3 4 1951: 1 2 3 4 1952:1 2 3 4 1953: 1 2 3 4 1954: 1 2 3 4 1955: 1 2 3 4 1956: 1 2 3 4 1957: 1 2 3 4 1958: 1 2 3 4 1959:1 2 3 4 1960: 1 110.20 111.75 112.95 113.93 115.08 116.19 117.76 119.89 121.31 122.37 123.64 124.72 125.33 126.05 126.22 126.37 126.54 127.18 128.38 129.72 131.07 131.88 132.40 132.64 133.11 133.38 133.48 134.09 134.29 134.36 134.26 133.48 133.72 135.22 136.64 138.48 140.35 141.75 142.23 141.20 140.83 140.83 142.00 141.98 142.85 143.88 2 3 4 1961:1 2 M2 203.97 206.58 208.09 209.32 211.11 212.75 215.64 219.48 222.64 224.83 227.58 230.46 232.24 234.44 235.81 237.32 239.25 241.44 244.74 247.34 250.09 251.74 252.97 253.93 254.62 255.85 256.95 258.60 260.80 262.72 264.50 265.19 267.93 274.52 279.33 282.62 286.60 291.00 294.90 296.10 297.20 299.90 305.30 309.80 314.80 320.70 Base 35.44 35.61 35.69 35.86 37.17 38.00 38.49 38.91 39.40 39.63 40.03 40.50 40.73 40.93 41.27 41.17 41.27 41.27 41.27 41.53 41.53 41.67 41.70 41.83 42.07 42.10 42.13 42.40 42.47 42.53 42.53 42.53 42.70 43.20 43.37 43.53 43.70 43.90 44.07 43.93 43.87 43.93 44.03 44.07 44.70 44.67 Index of All Common Stocks (41 - 43 = 10) 17.15 18.34 18.30 19.82 21.61 21.80 22.77 23.16 23.92 23.95 25.01 25.11 26.01 24.50 23.98 24.43 26.02 28.44 30.77 33.53 36.30 38.38 43.15 44.14 45.36 46.95 48.04 46.15 44.31 46.46 46.11 40.64 41.50 43.60 47.55 52.31 55.51 57.51 58.73 57.76 56.28 56.07 55.72 55.33 62.00 65.98 Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 100) 77.90 78.90 83.40 87.10 92.10 91.90 90.30 90.20 89.40 88.50 88.80 87.70 87.20 87.00 87.90 87.40 87.80 87.80 87.60 87.10 87.50 87.80 88.10 88.40 89.20 90.60 91.10 92.00 92.70 93.00 93.80 93.80 94.60 94.70 94.50 94.50 94.80 95.10 94.80 94.40 94.90 95.00 94.70 94.90 95.20 94.30 807 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Quarter Ml 1961:3 4 1962:1 2 3 4 1963:1 2 3 4 1964: 1 2 3 4 1965:1 2 3 4 1966:1 2 3 4 1967: 1 2 3 4 1968:1 2 3 4 1969:1 2 3 4 1970:1 2 3 4 1971:1 2 3 4 1972:1 2 3 4 144.90 146.18 147.18 147.95 147.90 148.93 150.45 151.93 153.38 154.80 155.85 157.20 159.75 161.63 162.90 163.90 166.05 169.10 171.95 172.98 172.80 173.33 175.25 178.10 181.93 184.73 187.15 190.63 194.30 198.55 201.73 203.18 204 .. 18 206.10 207.90 209.78 212.78 216.08 220.28 225.25 228.45 230.70 235.60 239.38 244.55 250.70 M2 326.20 331.80 338.90 345.90 351.30 358.40 366.30 374.20 381.90 389.30 395.80 402.50 411.70 420.20 428.50 435.70 444.10 454.00 462.50 468.30 471.30 476.20 484.00 495.50 509.50 520.30 529.30 538.10 549.00 561.80 571.20 576.50 580.30 585.20 587.30 593.10 603.50 619.10 640.40 666.60 684.60 702.90 725.20 744.30 768.50 793.40 Base 45.13 45.80 46.10 46.57 46.90 47.40 47.93 48.50 49.17 49.87 50.57 51.17 52.00 52.73 53.40 54.03 54.77 55.83 56.63 57.47 58.13 58.47 59.33 60.20 61.17 62.23 63.27 64.10 65.17 66.47 67.40 67.93 68.50 69.43 70.20 71.33 72.67 74.00 75.63 77.10 78.67 79.60 81.00 82.63 84.10 86.23 Index of All Common Stocks {41 - 43 = 10) 66.83 70.27 69.86 62.22 57.83 59.62 65.55 69.67 70.97 73.27 77.55 80.30 82.88 84.75 86.57 87.43 86.93 91.76 91.63 88.15 81.43 79.82 87.08 91.66 94.44 94.54 91.63 98.02 99.92 105.21 100.93 101.67 94.47 94.28 88.71 79.20 78.74 86.23 96.73 101.47 98.55 96.41 105.41 108.16 109.20 114.04 Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 1(0) 94.30 94.40 94.90 94.40 94.90 94.80 94.40 94.30 94.60 94.70 94.80 94.40 94.70 94.90 95.40 96.30 97.00 97.60 99.10 99.50 100.60 99.90 99.90 90.70 100.10 100.30 101.70 102.30 102.70 103.30 104.80 106.20 107.00 108.00 109.60 110.10 110.80 110.90 112.60 113.90 114.80 114.90 117.00 118.20 119.90 121.20 808 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1875 to 1983 (continued) Money Supply Quarter Ml 1973: 1 2 3 4 1974:1 2 3 4 1975:1 2 3 4 1976:1 2 3 4 1977: 1 2 3 4 1978:1 2 3 4 1979: 1 2 3 4 1980: 1 2 3 4 1981: 1 2 3 4 1982: 1 2 3 4 1983: 1 2 3 4 254.80 258.40 261.03 264.68 268.77 271.23 273.73 276.73 278.75 283.80 288.13 290.88 295.18 299.53 303.35 309.35 316.55 321.80 327.60 334.80 341.13 348.70 355.45 361.38 367.08 376.10 384.58 388.38 394.30 390.00 405.50 416.10 420.90 429.30 432.60 437.50 448.80 451.30 458.20 475.70 490.90 505.20 517.20 523.40 M2 813.80 827.90 840.30 851.60 868.70 880.00 889.60 902.40 920.10 954.30 989.10 1014.00 1046.00 1080.00 1110.00 1152.00 1192.00 1225.00 1254.00 1285.00 1309.00 1334.00 1361.00 1393.00 1415.00 1451.00 1489.00 1517.30 1518.90 1535.70 1588.00 1625.80 1654.50 1697.70 1731.70 1777.20 1819.80 1853.20 1896.60 1946.70 2046.30 2100.40 2136.60 2181.90 Base 88.23 89.97 91.73 93.23 95.37 97.57 99.47 101.60 103.20 105.20 107.40 109.40 111.50 114.30 116.30 118.60 120.80 121.00 123.80 126.50 129.50 132.50 135.30 138.10 140.60 143.30 146.40 149.40 152.30 154.60 158.50 162.60 163.80 166.40 168.30 169.90 173.50 177.00 180.00 183.80 189.00 194.10 197.60 201.40 Index of All Common Stocks (41 - 43 = 10) 115.00 107.41 105.08 102.22 95.67 90.64 75.66 69.42 78.81 89.07 87.62 89.11 99.53 101.62 104.31 102.58 101.78 99.03 98.05 93.95 89.35 95.93 101.66 97.13 99.35 101.18 106.22 105.30 110.30 108.40 123.28 133.12 131.52 132.81 125.68 122.17 114.21 114.12 113.82 136.71 147.65 162.73 165.51 165.75 Index of Wholesale Prices, All Commodities (67 = 100) 127.10 133.20 138.70 139.90 149.20 154.50 165.40 171.20 171.20 173.00 176.70 178.60 179.50 182.10 184.30 186.00 190.10 194.70 194.90 197.20 202.00 208.00 211.20 216.00 223.90 231.80 239.10 247.50 259.00 264.20 272.90 279.20 287.60 294.10 296.10 295.80 298.30 298.60 300.00 300.30 300.50 301.50 304.40 305.90 809 Historical Data Section 2 Source Notes Nominal GNP 1875-1918: interpolated by the Chow-Lin method using the algorithm described in Gordon and Veitch, this volume. Dependent variable: annual real GNP described in section 1 source notes. Quarterly interpolators: constant, linear time trend, and index of industrial production and trade from Warren M. Persons, Forecasting Business Cycles (New York: Wiley, 1931). Notc:s on the interpolation-Persons's index does not contain a secular trend, only a c:yclical component (it is similar to the output ratio concept used by Robert J. Gordon). Rather than trying to introduce a trend into Persons's index, real GNP was d1etrended using benchmarks 1876, 1888, 1901, 1913, 1929. These years correspond to years when Persons's index is close to 100. Once the quarterly detrended real GNP series was interpolated, the secular trend in GNP was introduced using the: benchmarks above. 1919-46: interpolated by Chow-Lin method. Dependent variable: annual real GNP. Quarterly interpolators: constant, linear time trend, and index of industrial production and trade from Persons, Forecasting Business Cycles, for 1919-30 linked to detrended index of industrial production total, seasonally adjusted, from Industrial Production, 1976 Revision (Washington, D.C.: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1979). GNP and industrial production were detrended using the benchmarks 1876, 1888, 1901, 1913, Jl929, and 1949. 1947-83: national income and product accounts, table 1.2. GNP deflator 1875-1946: interpolated by Chow-Lin method. Dependent variable: annual GNP deflator described in section 1 source notes. Quart,erly interpolators: constant, linear time trend, and wholesale price index, all cornmodities. The interpolation was divided into two subsamples: 1875-1918 and 1919-46. 1947-83: national income and product accounts, table 7.1. Trend real GNP 1875-1948: secular trend in real GNP calculated using the benchmarks 1869, 1879, 1889, 1901, 1912, 1923, 1929, and 1949. 1949-83: Gordon, Macroeconomics, app. C. Commercial paper rate 1875-89: Commercial paper rate in New York City from Macaulay, Movements of Interest Rates, AI41-61. Linked in 189OQ1 to 1890-1980: 4-6 -month prime commercial paper from Gordon, "Price Inertia." 1981-83: 6-month commercial paper from various issues of the Federal Reserve Bulletin. Yields on corporate bonds 1875-1918: yields on railroad bonds adjusted for drift from Macaulay, Movements of Interest Rates, AI41-61. Linked in 1919 to 1919-46: yield on corporate bonds, Moody's Baa rating. 1947-83: yield on corporate bonds, Moody's Baa rating. Business Statistics. Money supply, Ml 1915-46: Gordon and Veitch, this volume. 1947-58: old Ml from various issues of Federal Reserve Bulletin. Linked in 1959Ql to 1959-83: new Ml from various issues of Federal Rl'!serve Bulletin. Money supply, M2 1875 to 1907:2: Milton Friedman and Anna J. Sch,vartz, Monetary Statistics of the United States (New York: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1970), 61-65, col. 5. Linked in 1907:3 to 1907:3 to 1980: Gordon, "Price Inertia." 1981-83: various issues of Federal Reserve Bulletin. Money supply, base 1875 to 1907:2: Friedman and Schwartz, Monetary Statistics, 344-80, col. 6. 1907:3 to 1918: high-powered money from Milton Freidman and Anna J. Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1963), 800-801. Linked in 1919: 1 to 1919-83: Gordon and Veitch, this volume. 810 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Wholesale price index, all commodities 1875-89: Bureau of Labor Statistics, bulletin 572, 111-14. 1890-1912: Bureau of Labor Statistics, bulletin 521, 13-17. 1913-46: Bureau of Labor Statistics, bulletins 473, 572, 616, 694, and 916. 1947-83: series 330 from various issues of Business Conditions Digest. Index of all common stocks 1900-1918: Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1942-1970, 764-65. 1919-83: NBER tape, dataset l1A. Security Markets: data originally collected by Standard and Poor's. 3. Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 Quarter 1919:1 2 3 4 1920: 1 2 3 4 1921:1 2 3 4 1922:1 2 3 4 1923:1 2 3 4 1924:1 2 3 4 1925:1 2 1925:3 4 1926: 1 2 3 4 Producers' Durable Equipment Nonresidential Structures Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) 12.51 12.30 15.26 14.22 16.46 15.72 14.74 12.01 9.66 9.32 9.14 8.99 8.82 10.11 10.88 12.64 13.96 15.43 14.73 13.45 13.99 12.23 12.01 14.20 14.61 13.35 14.07 15.32 15.71 15.19 15.48 15.47 27.09 28.28 29.12 30.15 31.35 31.89 32.46 33.27 33.02 32.07 31.54 30.55 30.24 30.18 30.24 30.69 30.60 31.67 32.33 32.69 32.57 32.56 32.80 32.70 32.43 32.49 32.37 32.43 32.47 32.66 32.67 32.83 7.66 7.39 8.16 7.42 8.54 7.66 5.71 5.75 6.23 8.55 9.63 10.79 12.15 14.81 14.91 15.81 16.60 18.56 17.31 19.12 19.89 20.60 21.08 20.90 20.90 22.56 23.71 22.52 23.52 23.19 22.72 21.65 22.63 23.38 24.65 26.00 28.59 29.72 29.71 28.51 25.96 23.86 22.90 22.99 23.11 23.16 23.23 23.72 24.19 24.80 24.70 24.65 24.88 24.68 24.35 24.26 24.58 24.55 24.59 24.66 24.54 24.56 24.64 24.64 Nominal 3.39 3.48 4.45 4.29 5.16 5.01 4.78 4.00 3.19 2.99 2.88 2.75 2.67 3.05 3.29 3.88 4.27 4.89 4.76 4.40 4.55 3.98 3.94 4.64 4.74 4.34 4.56 4.97 5.10 4.96 5.06 5.08 Nominal 1.73 1.73 2.01 1.93 2.44 2.28 1.70 1.64 1.62 2.04 2.21 2.48 2.81 3.43 3.46 3.75 4.02 4.60 4.28 4.71 4.95 5.08 5.13 5.07 5.14 5.54 5.83 5.55 5.77 5.70 5.60 5.33 811 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Producers' Durable Equipment Nonresidential Structures Deflator (1972 = 100) Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 32.99 33.19 33.18 32.99 33.01 33.02 33.04 32.85 33.63 33.58 4.93 5.28 5.17 5.26 4.59 4.85 4.72 4.92 5.64 5.65 5.10 4.78 4.80 4.95 4.02 3.37 3.03 2.82 2.20 1.86 1.40 1.36 1.27 1.10 0.89 0.94 0.97 1.21 1.20 1.09 1.14 1.17 1.12 1.41 1.20 1.65 1.65 1.56 1.82 2.10 2.35 3.27 2.60 2.26 20.23 21.97 21.39 21.80 19.06 20.11 19.51 20.27 23.04 23.08 20.87 19.71 20.14 21.03 17.30 14.87 13.74 13.16 10.45 9.04 7.00 7.09 6.78 6.01 4.86 5.15 4.87 5.87 6.01 5.41 5.66 5.79 5.30 6.60 5.65 7.77 7.91 7.49 8.69 9.79 10.34 13.68 10.76 9.39 24.38 24.01 24.16 24.13 24.06 24.11 24.19 24.30 24.50 24.47 24.45 24.26 23.83 23.53 23.22 22.69 22.03 21.46 21.05 20.52 20.02 19.24 18.81 18.32 18.26 18.18 19.82 20.60 20.01 20.08 20.14 20.17 21.09 21.43 21.30 21.26 20.89 20.84 20.96 21.42 22.74 23.89 24.17 24.11 Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1927:1 2 3 4 1928:1 2 3 4 1929:1 2 3 4 1930:1 2 3 4 1931: 1 2 3 4 1932:1 2 3 4 1933:1 2 3 4 1934:1 2 3 4 1935:1 2 3 4 1936:1 2 1936:3 4 1937:1 2 3 4 4.96 4.74 4.56 4.37 4.64 4.80 5.03 5.36 5.54 5.64 5.84 5.26 4.75 4.59 4.16 3.49 3.09 3.01 2.65 2.08 1.93 1.30 1.33 1.44 .95 1.47 1.94 1.56 2.18 2.42 1.86 2.13 2.59 2.60 2.90 3.48 3.44 3.72 4.16 4.50 4.90 5.10 5.28 4.09 15.04 14.29 13.75 13.26 14.06 14.55 15.24 16.31 16.47 16.79 17.40 15.52 14.67 14.06 12.83 10.87 9.67 9.50 8.43 6.95 6.10 4.34 4.56 4.98 3.66 5.70 7.20 5.64 7.34 8.12 6.19 7.03 8.75 8.63 9.72 11.59 11.72 12.62 14.11 15.19 16.23 16.25 16.41 12.59 ~3.54 33.92 32.39 32.67 32.45 32.08 31.95 31.73 31.41 29.95 31.71 30.01 29.20 28.84 25.86 25.85 26.97 27.72 29.69 29.82 30.12 30.23 29.65 30.15 29.78 30.04 29.32 29.49 29.49 29.60 30.21 31.37 32.18 32.52 812 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Producers' Durable Equipment Quarter 1938:1 2 3 4 1939: 1 2 3 4 1940: 1 2 3 4 1941:1 2 3 4 1947: 1 2 3 4 1948:1 2 3 4 1949:1 2 3 4 1950:1 2 3 4 1951: 1 2 3 4 1952:1 2 1952:3 4 1953:1 2 3 4 Nominal 3.43 3.05 3.49 3.90 3.68 3.42 3.92 4.81 4.91 4.97 5.39 5.75 5.95 6.27 6.68 7.37 15.20 15.50 15.30 16.40 17.60 17.00 17.40 18.40 17.10 16.40 15.50 15.20 15.40 17.50 19.80 20.00 19.80 20.10 20.60 20.60 20.70 21.20 18.00 20.30 21.70 21.70 22.50 21.80 Real (1972 dollars) 10.49 9.37 10.80 12.04 11.37 10.56 12.16 14.95 14.86 15.01 16.30 17.42 17.56 18.06 18.83 20.09 32.40 31.76 30.77 32.22 34.40 32.45 31.76 33.08 30.82 28.77 27.23 26.84 27.11 30.49 33.76 33.30 31.74 32.28 33.19 32.98 33.16 33.52 28.58 31.79 34.05 33.68 34.72 33.89 Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 32.74 32.61 32.28 32.44 32.41 32.39 32.24 32.16 33.04 33.08 33.06 33.00 33.88 34.69 35.47 36.67 46.91 48.81 49.72 50.90 51.17 52.39 54.79 55.62 55.49 57.00 56.92 56.62 56.81 57.41 58.65 60.06 62.38 62.28 62.06 62.46 62.42 63.24 62.98 63.86 63.72 64.42 64.80 64.32 Nonresidential Structures Nominal 2.21 1.84 2.01 2.13 2.21 2.15 1.99 2.23 1.74 2.02 2.56 3.82 3.42 3.06 4.19 2.15 8.10 8.20 8.50 8.70 9.00 9.70 10.30 10.50 10.10 9.70 9.20 9.00 9.40 9.80 10.50 11.30 11.70 12.40 12.50 12.10 12.20 12.30 12.40 12.80 13.30 13.70 13.90 14.10 Real (1972 dollars) 9.31 7.79 8.65 9.12 9.65 9.42 8.72 9.49 7.43 8.64 10.99 16.13 14.37 12.41 16.55 8.18 19.03 18.75 18.79 18.62 18.69 19.77 20.57 20.83 20.31 19.81 18.84 18.41 19.30 20.11 21.04 21.67 21.56 22.40 22.22 21.34 21.35 21.61 21.81 22.63 23.32 23.71 23.84 24.23 Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 23.76 23.60 23.28 23.30 22.95 22.84 22.86 23.46 23.38 23.35 23.28 23.65 23.83 24.63 25.35 26.25 42.56 43.74 45.25 46.74 48.17 49.06 50.07 50.42 49.73 48.96 48.84 48.88 48.70 48.74 49.90 52.14 54.26 55.37 56.26 56.69 57.14 56.92 56.86 56.57 57.04 57.77 58.30 58.18 813 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Producers' Durable Equipment Nonresidential Structures Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 65.14 66.13 66.01 66.80 66.29 66.25 67.41 68.08 69.27 70.74 72.21 73.90 75.34 75.44 75.67 76.99 76.13 76.71 77.29 77.83 78.20 78.78 78.90 78.61 79.19 79.58 79.88 79.88 79.59 79.67 79.47 79.35 79.54 79.52 79.75 79.95 80.04 79.83 79.82 79.91 80.10 80.39 80.48 80.17 14.00 14.00 14.10 14.10 14.50 14.90 15.50 16.20 17.50 18.10 18.80 19.00 19.00 19.20 19.20 19.10 18.40 17.80 17.30 17.70 17.50 18.20 18.70 18.60 19.60 19.00 19.20 19.90 20.00 19.60 19.60 20.00 19.90 20.70 2] .50 21.10 20.30 2].20 21.20 21.80 22.00 22.80 23.40 23.90 24.44 24.67 24.80 24.81 25.44 25.98 26.67 27.30 28.30 29.38 29.75 29.79 29.48 29.44 29.33 29.32 28.87 27.76 26.94 27.42 27.21 28.20 29.03 28.87 30.29 29.70 30.13 31.43 31.58 30.91 30.88 31.34 31.28 32.44 33.69 32.96 31.61 32.97 33.06 33.76 34.02 35.16 35.86 36.51 57.29 56.75 56.85 56.83 57.00 57.35 58.12 59.33 61.83 61.61 63.19 63.77 64.45 65.23 65.47 65.15 63.74 64.11 64.21 64.54 64.31 64.53 64.42 64.43 64.71 63.98 63.72 63.31 63.34 63.41 63.47 63.83 63.61 63.80 63.82 64.02 64.23 64.30 64.13 64.57 64.67 64.85 65.25 65.46 Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1954:1 2 3 4 1955:1 2 3 4 1956:1 2 3 4 1957:1 2 3 4 1958:1 2 3 4 1959:1 2 3 4 1960:1 2 3 4 1961:1 2 3 4 1962:1 2 3 4 1963:1 2 1963:3 4 1964:1 2 3 4 21.00 20.80 21.50 21.50 21.50 23.50 25.40 26.70 25.90 26.40 27.30 27.60 28.70 28.60 29.70 29.10 25.80 24.80 24.60 26.10 27.60 28.70 29.60 29.60 30.60 31.30 30.00 28.90 27.90 29.20 29.40 31.10 31.90 32.70 32.90 32.90 33.50 34.10 35.50 36.80 37.80 38.60 39.80 40.90 32.24 31.45 32.57 32.19 32.43 35.47 37.68 39.22 37.39 37.32 37.81 37.35 38.09 37.91 39.25 37.80 33.89 32.33 31.83 33.54 35.29 36.43 37.51 37.66 38.64 39.33 37.56 36.18 35.05 36.65 37.00 39.19 40.11 41.12 41.25 41.15 41.86 42.72 44.47 46.05 47.19 48.02 49.45 51.01 814 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Producers' Durable Equipment Quarter 1965: 1 2 3 4 1966:1 2 3 4 1967:1 2 3 4 1968: 1 2 3 4 1969:1 2 3 4 1970:1 2 3 4 1971: 1 2 3 4 1972:1 2 3 4 1973:1 2 3 4 1974: 1 2 3 4 1975:1 2 3 4 Nominal 44.20 45.00 47.50 49.20 51.80 53.70 54.10 55.20 53.30 54.30 53.90 56.00 58.20 57.30 59.10 61.70 64.10 65.20 66.50 66.60 66.50 66.70 67.30 64.60 66.20 68.40 68.90 71.30 74.70 76.60 78.30 84.00 88.90 93.90 96.00 97.50 99.50 101.10 105.20 104.20 101.60 102.60 105.20 107.30 Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 54.85 55.72 58.83 60.79 63.70 65.56 65.65 66.35 63.69 64.58 63.73 65.74 67.69 65.95 67.32 69.65 72.04 72.78 73.58 73.12 72.22 71.81 71.92 68.17 68.85 70.48 70.57 72.66 75.36 76.60 77.92 83.75 88.55 92.62 93.78 94.15 95.43 94.78 95.23 89.80 83.71 81.68 82.51 82.67 80.58 80.76 80.74 80.93 81.32 81.90 82.40 83.19 83.68 84.08 84.58 85.19 85.98 86.88 87.79 88.58 88.98 89.59 90.38 91.08 92.08 92.88 93.57 94.76 96.15 97.04 97.64 98.13 99.12 100.00 100.49 100.29 100.39 101.38 102.37 103.56 104.26 106.66 110.47 116.04 121.38 125.62 127.50 129.79 Nonresidential Structures Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 25.50 27.20 28.00 29.70 30.50 30.30 31.40 30.80 31.20 30.50 31.00 31.20 32.70 32.60 32.70 34.20 35.50 36.30 39.00 38.80 38.50 39.10 39.60 40.10 40.30 40.80 41.70 41.80 43.50 44.30 45.00 46.70 48.30 50.80 53.20 54.30 55.50 57.80 57.20 58.50 55.80 55.10 56.70 58.00 38.77 41.22 41.90 44.14 44.84 43.74 45.05 43.73 43.87 42.43 42.71 42.45 43.78 43.08 42.92 44.35 45.08 45.05 47.18 45.99 44.89 44.72 44.48 44.16 43.75 43.49 43.80 43.05 44.17 44.66 44.87 45.82 46.57 47.74 48.89 48.65 47.69 46.37 42.87 41.99 39.01 38.21 39.13 39.74 65.78 65.98 66.83 67.29 68.01 69.28 69.70 70.43 71.12 71.89 72.59 73.49 74.68 75.68 76.18 77.11 78.75 80.59 82.66 84.. 37 85.76 87.44 89.02 90.80 92.11 93.81 95.20 97.10 98.49 99.20 100.30 101.92 103.71 106.42 108.83 111.62 116.38 124.65 133.42 139.33 143.03 144.20 144.91 145.93 81S Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Producers' Durable Equipment Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1976:1 2 3 4 1977:1 2 3 4 1978: 1 2 3 4 1979: 1 2 3 4 1980:1 2 3 4 1981: 1 2 3 4 1982: 1 2 3 4 1983: 1 2 3 4 111.10 114.40 120.10 123.70 133.80 140.70 144.20 154.10 154.70 164.60 168.40 175.70 182.60 182.50 191.90 188.10 203.60 193.90 200.20 205.80 215.30 220.60 226.00 225.30 220.10 211.80 207.10 204.30 207.60 217.10 231.50 251.10 84.43 86.27 89.37 91.10 97.40 101.25 101.81 106.86 105.39 110.77 111.60 115.06 117.57 115.24 119.09 115.53 123.00 115.70 118.10 119.40 123.30 123.10 125.20 123.80 121.70 115.10 113.40 111.60 114.50 119.30 126.40 135.30 Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 131.58 132.61 134.39 135.78 137.37 138.96 141.64 144.21 146.79 148.60 150.90 152.71 155.32 158.37 161.14 162.82 165.53 167.59 169.52 172.36 174.62 179.20 180.51 181.99 180.86 184.01 182.63 183.07 181.31 181.98 183.15 185.59 Nonresidential Structures Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 58.80 59.30 60.30 61.10 61.60 65.30 68.20 69.50 72.10 78.70 83.30 87.60 88.90 94.80 101.60 107.40 113.60 110.00 111.20 116.00 123.40 131.90 143.60 147.40 149.80 144.40 139.70 140.50 131.40 126.50 127.10 137.50 40.15 40.02 40.34 40.42 39.97 41.32 42.61 42.14 43.21 45.43 46.39 47.31 46.64 48.84 50.43 51.78 52.30 49.10 47.90 48.90 50.80 52.80 55.60 55.70 55.80 54.40 52.90 52.70 49.40 48.50 48.70 51.80 146.44 148.18 149.47 151.18 154.11 158.05 160.06 164.93 166.85 173.25 179.57 185.17 190.63 194.09 201.48 207.41 217.21 224.03 232.15 237.22 242.91 249.81 258.27 264.63 268.46 265.44 264.08 266.60 265.99 260.83 260.99 265.44 816 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Investment Residential Structures Change in Business Inventories Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1919: 1 2 3 4 1920: 1 2 3 4 1921:1 2 3 4 1922:1 2 3 4 1923:1 2 3 4 1924:1 2 3 4 1925:1 2 3 4 1926:1 2 3 4 1927: 1 2 3 4 1928:1 2 3 4 1929:1 2 1.62 2.35 2.99 3.03 3.55 3.75 3.32 2.89 2.39 2.34 2.30 2.29 2.31 2.70 2.64 2.77 3.14 3.38 3.27 3.45 3.72 3.58 3.28 3.20 3.16 3.67 4.18 4.12 4.18 4.36 4.44 4.37 4.25 4.57 4.49 4.54 4.55 4.63 4.27 4.08 4.17 4.10 7.32 9.96 11.88 11.25 11.96 12.12 10.60 9.30 8.26 8.78 8.99 9.20 9.33 10.89 10.60 10.86 12.16 12.49 11.92 12.47 13.42 12.99 11.91 11.69 11.55 13.38 15.29 15.02 15.26 15.83 16.08 15.76 15.37 16.62 16.27 16.57 16.66 16.91 15.55 14.79 15.04 14.73 22.16 23.58 25.15 26.90 29.72 30.95 31.35 31.03 28.93 26.66 25.55 24.90 24.76 24.75 24.85 25.53 25.82 27.05 27.45 27.67 27.75 27.59 27.52 27.38 27.41 27.44 27.37 27.46 27.40 27.55 27.61 27.73 27.65 27.51 27.60 27.43 27.34 27.41 27.48 27.59 27.71 27.82 -4.44 -7.52 -7.30 -8.52 -1.77 0.81 2.94 -1.02 -1.54 -4.41 -5.38 -3.34 -3.08 -4.36 -4.20 -2.62 -2.38 -0.96 0.36 -2.01 -3.04 -4.10 -3.86 -2.80 -0.67 -0.35 -1.68 0.49 -0.67 -0.14 -0.31 0.63 1.46 -1.16 -0.10 -1.33 -1.89 -2.23 -0.81 -1.44 -0.22 1.12 -15.40 -25.42 -23.79 -26.19 -4.99 2.15 7.88 -2.76 -4.49 -13.53 -16.80 -10.62 -10.13 -14.37 -13.86 -8.57 -7.76 -3.08 1.14 -6.31 -9.51 -12.99 -12.23 -8.79 -2.09 -1.09 -5.20 1.49 -2.06 -0.44 -0.96 1.92 4.50 -3.60 -0.32 -4.12 -5.85 -6.93 -2.51 -4.43 -0.67 3.45 817 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Investment Residential Structures Change in Business Inventories Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1929:3 4 1930:1 2 3 4 1931:1 2 3 4 1932:1 2 3 4 1933:1 2 3 4 1934:1 2 3 4 1935:1 2 3 4 1936:1 2 3 4 1937:1 2 3 4 1938:1 2 3 4 1939:1 2 3 4 3.57 2.64 2.34 2.43 1.88 1.69 1.85 1.87 1.50 1.23 0.78 0.71 0.64 0.55 0.38 0.43 0.48 0.73 0.78 0.77 0.78 0.81 0.86 1.05 1.10 1.35 1.29 1.31 1.67 1.62 1.72 2.00 1.76 1.53 1.52 1.57 2.06 2.34 2.60 2.69 2.80 2.84 12.82 9.50 8.43 8.83 6.92 6.38 7.14 7.40 6.13 5.27 3.56 3.47 3.27 2.97 2.03 2.33 2.35 3.33 3.53 3.44 3.52 3.74 3.95 4.83 5.09 6.16 5.76 5.77 7.28 7.00 7.28 7.97 6.80 5.80 5.80 6.00 7.98 8.94 9.91 10.29 10.73 10.64 27.87 27.80 27.75 27.48 27.13 26.45 25.85 25.23 24.46 23.26 21.85 20.36 19.54 18.66 18.64 18.29 20.44 21.82 22.02 22.24 22.14 21.60 21.66 21.79 21.51 21.84 22.40 22.71 22.90 23.19 23.55 25.09 25.86 26.30 26.14 26.23 25.89 26.14 26.20 26.18 26.13 26.69 2.74 2.41 1.33 -0.71 -0.94 -0.42 -0.54 -0.69 -1.01 -1.19 -0.48 -1.49 -2.98 -2.28 -2.82 -1.88 0.84 -1.26 -0.75 0.63 -1.88 -1.59 1.33 0.80 0.95 0.43 -0.80 1.95 1.17 1.69 2.45 2.58 3.37 -0.81 -1.43 -0.97 -0.69 0.25 -0.08 -0.76 -0.04 2.52 8.35 7.29 4.16 -2.19 -3.03 -1.32 -1.86 -2.31 -3.54 -4.16 -1.78 -5.68 -11.43 -9.25 -11.02 -7.93 3.10 -5.13 -2.66 2.40 -6.77 -5.90 4.79 2.89 3.47 1.54 -2.93 6.95 4.25 5.89 8.77 8.76 11.62 -2.71 -5.04 -3.32 -2.44 0.86 -0.28 -2.68 -0.14 8.75 818 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Investment Residential Structures Change in Business Inventories Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1940:1 2 3 4 1941:1 2 3 4 1947: 1 2 3 4 1948:1 2 3 4 1949:1 2 3 4 1950:1 2 3 4 1951: 1 2 3 4 1952:1 2 3 4 1953:1 2 3 4 1954:1 2 3 4 1955:1 2 2.51 2.77 3.46 3.92 3.50 3.54 4.81 2.67 8.90 9.00 10.60 13.20 13.30 14.30 14.10 13.00 12.10 11.90 12.70 14.40 16.40 18.50 20.40 19.20 18.70 16.30 15.20 15.50 16.00 16.40 16.50 17.20 17.50 17.60 17.10 16.90 17.00 18.30 19.70 21.00 22.80 23.40 9.28 10.16 12.75 14.27 12.52 12.14 15.92 8.46 17.94 17.11 19.70 23.87 23.71 25.09 24.14 22.15 20.47 20.17 22.16 25.17 28.72 31.57 33.44 31.58 29.73 25.55 23.71 23.92 24.58 24.96 24.89 25.98 26.52 26.63 25.64 25.45 25.76 27.64 29.40 31.34 33.83 34.36 27.04 27.21 27.12 27.44 27.93 29.14 30.20 31.53 49.60 52.60 53.80 55.30 56.10 57.00 58.40 58.70 59.10 59.00 57.30 57.20 57.10 58.60 61.00 60.80 62.90 63.80 64.10 64.80 65.10 65.70 66.30 66.20 66.00 66.10 66.70 66.40 66.00 66.20 67.00 67.00 67.40 68.10 1.64 1.50 3.20 1.18 0.69 2.70 3.69 8.44 0.50 -1.10 -2.60 1.40 3.40 5.10 6.10 4.20 0.00 -5.30 -1.70 -5.20 2.40 4.70 4.70 15.10 10.50 15.10 10.40 5.20 5.20 -2.40 4.20 5.40 2.30 3.10 0.70 -4.60 -2.50 -2.70 -2.20 1.20 4.70 6.10 5.65 5.20 10.93 4.12 2.31 8.92 11.71 25.96 0.10 -0.90 -2.90 2.70 4.10 5.60 6.90 5.30 -0.30 -7.10 -2.50 -7.70 4.40 7.70 8.00 22.10 13.40 19.90 14.60 7.00 7.30 -2.70 5.40 7.20 3.90 5.10 1.90 -5.00 -3.40 -4.10 -2.70 1.50 5.90 8.00 819 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and froml 1947 to 1983 (continued) Investment Residential Structures Change in Business Inventories Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1955:3 4 1956:1 2 3 4 1957:1 2 3 4 1958: 1 2 3 4 1959:1 2 3 4 1960:1 2 3 4 1961:1 2 3 4 1962:1 2 3 4 1963:1 2 3 4 1964:1 2 3 4 1965:1 2 3 4 23.10 22.00 21.30 21.50 21.10 20.70 20.10 19.70 19.60 19.50 19.00 19.00 20.40 22.60 25.10 26.00 25.50 24.70 25.40 23.30 22.40 22.30 22.20 22.50 23.90 24.40 24.90 26.10 26.20 26.10 27.00 28.90 29.20 30.30 30.40 29.50 29.00 28.70 29.50 30.10 29.60 29.30 33.62 31.98 30.60 30.41 29.76 29.28 28.43 27.79 27.49 27.62 26.91 26.87 28.81 31.92 35.60 36.88 36.12 34.94 35.88 32.86 31.50 31.45 31.31 31.73 33.71 34.41 34.97 36.66 36.85 36.71 37.87 40.82 41.83 43.10 43.74 41.84 40.56 39.97 41.03 42.33 40.88 40.41 68.70 68.80 69.60 70.70 70.90 70.70 70.70 70.90 71.30 70.60 70.60 70.70 70.80 70.80 70.50 70.50 70.60 70.70 70.80 70.90 71.10 70.90 70.90 70.90 70.90 70.90 71.20 71.20 71.10 71.10 71.30 70.80 69.80 70.30 69.50 70.50 71.50 71.80 71.90 71.10 72.40 72.50 6.10 7.10 6.10 4.40 4.10 4.30 2.00 2.30 3.30 -2.30 -5.40 -5.10 0.20 4.00 4.30 10.10 1.40 6.80 10.40 2.80 2.60 -4.20 -3.20 1.60 5.10 5.80 8.20 6.40 5.80 4.40 5.60 6.20 6.40 5.60 5.40 5.80 4.60 6.70 12.30 9.50 9.10 8.50 7.80 9.20 7.50 5.50 4.90 5.40 2.50 2.90 3.70 -3.00 -6.80 -6.20 0.30 5.30 5.50 12.60 1.40 8.70 12.70 3.30 3.40 -5.30 -4.10 1.80 6.50 7.70 10.40 8.10 7.50 5.30 7.40 7.90 8.00 6.70 6.90 7.40 5.50 8.60 14.80 11.30 11.00 10.00 820 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Investment Residential Structures Change in Business Inventories Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1966:1 2 3 4 1967:1 2 3 4 1968:1 2 3 4 1969: 1 2 3 4 1970:1 2 3 4 1971: 1 2 3 4 1972:1 2 3 4 1973:1 2 3 4 1974:1 2 3 4 1975:1 2 3 4 29.40 28.80 26.80 23.60 23.30 26.30 28.40 30.50 31.50 33.00 33.50 35.00 37.10 37.50 36.30 34.90 34.70 33.40 34.90 38.50 42.30 47.80 51.30 54.30 58.90 60.30 61.40 65.60 68.10 66.90 65.20 62.10 58.20 56.20 54.80 49.90 48.20 49.90 53.50 57.90 40.50 38.45 36.07 31.22 30.54 34.47 36.84 39.51 40.08 41.35 41.56 42.27 43.60 43.30 40.92 38.86 38.68 36.78 38.69 42.45 45.98 50.69 53.83 56.10 60.29 61.22 61.28 63.38 64.55 61.60 58.84 54.86 50.00 46.99 44.59 39.70 37.36 38.15 40.62 43.08 72.60 74.90 74.30 75.60 76.30 76.30 77.10 77.20 78.60 79.80 80.60 82.80 85.10 86.60 88.70 89.80 89.70 90.80 90.20 90.70 92.00 94.30 95.30 96.80 97.70 98.50 100.20 103.50 105.50 108.60 110.80 113.20 116.40 119.60 122.90 125.70 129.00 130.80 131.70 134.40 13.10 14.60 11.20 17.50 12.40 6.00 10.20 12.90 4.70 10.70 8.50 7.70 10.40 10.40 12.30 6.20 1.60 4.40 6.00 0.90 10.60 9.90 6.80 3.20 6.20 12.00 12.80 9.80 16.30 15.40 15.20 27.00 12.60 17.80 10.70 15.40 -14.20 -14.60 2.10 -.80 15.60 17.10 13.60 20.80 14.50 7.30 11.80 15.20 5.40 12.20 9.80 8.60 11.70 11.80 13.70 7.00 2.10 5.00 6.50 1.40 11.20 10.40 7.00 3.60 6.30 12.10 12.80 9.70 16.00 15.20 13.80 23.70 13.20 12.60 7.70 12.90 -14.30 -11.30 1.00 -2.30 821 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Investment Residential Structures Change in Business Inventories Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1976:1 2 3 4 1977:1 2 3 4 1978:1 2 3 4 1979:1 2 3 4 1980: 1 2 3 4 1981: 1 2 3 4 1982:1 2 3 4 1983:1 2 3 4 63.60 67.30 67.80 76.60 r 81.00 91.90 95.30 99.60 98.90 107.40 109.60 111.60 112.50 112.90 114.90 115.40 106.40 87.40 93.50 105.00 107.60 104.90 96.90 90.00 83.40 85.90 84.50 92.50 108.90 125.30 137.70 138.70 46.76 48.14 47.61 52.29 53.57 58.61 59.90 59.29 58.52 60.64 59.79 58.86 58.08 56.34 55.51 54.93 49.47 39.62 41.52 46.40 46.40 44.50 40.20 36.80 33.90 35.00 34.40 38.10 43.80 51.00 54.70 55.20 136.00 139.80 142.40 146.50 151.20 156.80 159.10 168.00 169.00 177.10 183.30 189.60 193.70 200.40 207.00 210.10 215.10 220.60 225.20 226.29 231.90 235.73 241.05 244.57 246.02 245.43 245.64 242.78 248.63 245.69 251.74 251.27 15.30 17.30 11.40 3.30 22.40 20.80 27.60 13.00 25.00 27.00 19.10 17.70 24.30 33.00 13.30 -0.90 -1.60 3.00 -25.40 -15.10 21.90 23.70 39.70 18.90 -17.00 -10.90 -15.30 - 61.10 -42.90 -19.40 -4.30 12.70 10.00 11.30 7.30 2.40 10.50 13.80 18.70 10.10 17.30 18.40 13.30 15.20 12.90 13.70 4.80 -2.30 -0.50 -2.10 -10.10 -4.70 8.10 12.40 17.50 7.20 -6.70 -4.00 -6.40 -24.60 -16.50 -6.10 0.90 7.20 822 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Consumption Durable Goods Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1919: 1 2 3 4 1920: 1 2 3 4 1921: 1 2 3 4 1922:1 2 3 4 1923: 1 2 3 4 1924: 1 2 3 4 1925:1 2 3 4 1926:1 2 3 4 1927:1 2 3 4 1928:1 2 3 4 1929: 1 2 4.21 4.69 6.26 8.07 7.42 6.55 6.53 5.74 4.81 5.50 5.64 5.29 5.17 5.81 6.01 6.24 7.10 7.41 7.37 7.68 8.24 7.38 6.99 7.03 7.71 8.23 8.30 9.44 9.24 8.72 8.60 8.56 8.66 8.72 8.25 7.90 8.35 8.30 8.74 9.01 9.71 9.25 12.71 13.54 16.56 19.17 16.44 13.79 13.35 11.53 9.83 11.60 12.53 12.05 12.01 13.73 14.23 14.71 16.56 17.14 16.92 17.45 18.56 16.69 15.80 15.86 17.40 18.62 18.76 21.26 20.88 19.83 19.58 19.44 19.69 19.92 18.86 18.19 19.14 19.29 20.05 21.19 21.58 21.16 Nondurable Goods and Services Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 33.13 34.63 37.81 42.09 45.11 47.53 48.94 49.75 48.98 47.39 45.03 43.94 43.03 42.30 42.22 42.44 42.89 43.24 43.56 44.04 44.39 44.25 44.23 44.32 44.31 44.20 44.25 44.40 44.27 43.95 43.92 44.04 43.96 43.76 43.74 43.45 43.63 43.00 43.57 42.50 44.98 43.72 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 43.91 45.77 48.59 52.26 54.76 57.74 57.27 55.01 53.20 52.90 53.2352.55 50.42 50.60 51.65 53.98 54.89 56.31 56.36 58.71 60.80 60.39 60.00 60.17 58.81 57.37 58.55 60.74 62.48 64.16 64.78 65.74 64.10 64.72 64.07 64.71 65.75 65.06 67.08 68.12 67.48 67.22 141.43 142.58 143.47 145.98 144.14 142.90 143.43 142.76 146.86 152.86 155.24 155.33 154.09 155.83 159.20 164.68 167.16 169.44 166.87 172.51 179.55 179.80 177.91 176.45 171.66 166.52 165.95 169.78 174.81 179.84 184.72 185.64 183.27 184.44 184.53 184.97 189.52 187.62 192.72 195.45 194.56 193.40 31.05 32.10 33.87 35.80 37.99 40.41 39.93 38.54 36.22 34.60 34.29 33.83 32.72 32.47 32.44 32.78 32.83 33.23 33.78 34.03 33.86 33.59 33.72 34.10 34.26 34.45 35.28 35.78 35.74 35.68 35.07 35.41 34.98 35.09 34.72 34.99 34.69 34.68 34.81 34.85 34.68 34.76 823 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Consumption Nondurable Goods and Services Durable Goods Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1929:3 4 1930:1 2 3 4 1931:1 2 3 4 1932:1 2 3 4 1933:1 2 3 4 1934:1 2 3 4 1935:1 2 3 4 1936:1 2 3 4 1937:1 2 3 4 1938:1 2 3 4 1939:1 2 3 4 9.37 8.65 7.69 7.40 6.61 6.97 5.76 5.92 5.34 4.92 4.21 3.78 3.46 3.15 3.35 3.14 3.82 3.52 4.06 4.12 4.20 4.49 4.74 4.85 5.12 5.79 5.72 6.23 6.46 6.91 6.85 7.01 7.24 6.62 5.51 5.31 5.62 6.29 6.60 6.46 6.71 6.96 21.35 19.56 17.96 16.91 15.74 15.74 15.19 14.87 14.24 12.96 12.00 11.01 10.18 10.28 9.61 10.13 11.55 11.35 11.29 12.18 12.15 12.87 14.09 14.09 15.19 16.53 17.31 18.11 19.11 19.67 20.06 19.69 20.23 17.97 15.25 14.60 15.57 17.38 18.36 18.06 18.60 19.45 Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 43.87 44.23 42.79 43.73 42.00 44.28 37.93 39.83 37.47 37.98 35.07 34.34 33.94 30.65 34.85 31.04 33.12 31.00 35.99 33.81 34.55 34.85 33.62 34.44 33.71 35.03 33.03 34.44 33.78 35.15 34.15 35.60 35.80 36.85 36.15 36.36 36.10 36.18 35.94 35.76 36.10 35.81 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 69.00 68.33 64.42 65.25 60.47 60.90 56.13 57.56 53.48 52.88 48.07 45.54 44.54 41.73 41.62 40.51 47.92 39.40 48.37 43.95 48.53 47.62 49.28 49.73 50.05 53.55 51.61 55.41 55.35 60.47 57.72 61.68 58.45 60.84 56.22 57.97 58.15 61.06 58.33 59.95 60.25 62.65 196.20 192.23 186.93 185.83 181.06 178.03 179.01 180.97 176.74 172.83 168.82 163.18 159.66 160.06 153.06 164.41 166.82 155.80 161.43 163.19 165.35 168.54 169.12 169.25 173.32 178.86 179.96 184.93 189.86 196.66 196.48 196.31 192.50 191.30 190.01 187.69 195.28 199.06 197.87 199.21 201.77 206.47 35.17 35.54 34.46 35.11 33.40 34.21 31.36 31.81 30.26 30.60 28.47 27.91 27.90 26.07 27.19 24.64 28.73 25.29 29.96 26.93 29.35 28.25 29.14 29.38 28.88 29.94 28.68 29.96 29.15 30.75 29.38 31.42 30.36 31.80 29.59 30.88 29.78 30.67 29.48 30.09 29.86 30.34 824 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Consumption Durable Goods Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1940:1 2 3 4 1941:1 2 3 4 1947:1 2 3 4 1948:1 2 3 4 1949:1 2 3 4 1950:1 2 3 4 1951:1 2 3 4 1952:1 2 3 4 1953:1 2 3 4 1954:1 2 3 4 1955:1 2 7.63 7.46 7.84 8.16 9.36 9.63 9.99 9.65 19.40 20.00 20.30 22.00 22.00 22.40 23.70 23.30 22.80 24.80 25.80 26.80 27.70 28.10 35.60 31.50 33.80 28.90 28.30 28.30 28.90 29.00 27.30 31.40 32.90 32.80 32.50 31.90 31.20 31.80 31.30 33.00 36.20 38.60 20.54 20.57 21.07 22.56 23.89 24.97 25.06 22.77 28.91 29.59 29.81 32.16 32.12 32.09 32.96 32.77 32.25 35.43 36.80 37.69 38.85 39.19 48.97 43.21 44.30 38.08 37.14 36.85 37.58 38.26 35.78 40.46 42.34 41.94 41.77 42.53 40.94 41.35 42.41 45.14 48.07 51.26 Nondurable Goods and Services Deflator (1972 = 100) 37.13 36.28 37.24 36.15 39.17 38.58 39.87 42.38 67.10 67.60 68.10 68.40 68.50 69.80 71.90 71.10 70.70 70.00 70.10 71.10 71.30 71.70 72.70 72.90 76.30 75.90 76.20 76.80 76.90 75.80 76.30 77.60 77.70 78.20 77.80 75.00 76.20 76.90 73.80 73.10 75.30 75.30 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) 62.10 62.23 64.38 64.09 67.70 69.05 74.37 73.31 136.50 140.00 143.20 145.60 148.30 151.60 153.20 154.50 153.80 153.40 151.80 153.30 155.10 158.60 164.80 166.30 174.50 175.00 178.00 184.50 182.30 186.10 189.90 193.60 195.40 197.10 198.00 198.10 200.70 202.40 205.10 207.80 210.60 213.30 205.00 206.34 208.67 214.26 214.07 220.69 224.83 217.36 273.25 277.59 277.46 274.60 276.71 280.07 279.66 282.70 283.47 284.38 282.55 284.83 288.71 294.41 298.86 296.61 301.31 299.94 303.88 309.74 305.18 310.48 314.52 318.36 320.59 322.67 321.86 320.27 322.75 324.69 329.43 333.27 337.09 340.84 30.29 30.16 30.85 29.91 31.62 31.29 33.08 33.73 49.95 50.43 51.61 53.02 53.59 54.13 54.78 54.65 54.26 53.94 53.73 53.82 53.72 53.87 55.14 56.07 57.91 58.35 58.58 59.57 59.73 59.94 60.38 60.81 60.95 61.08 61.52 61.85 62.18 62.34 62.26 62.35 62.48 62.58 Historical Data 825 Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Consumption Durable Goods Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1955:3 4 1956:1 2 3 4 1957: 1 2 3 4 1958: 1 2 3 4 1959:1 2 3 4 1960:1 2 3 4 1961:1 2 3 4 1962:1 2 3 4 1963:1 2 3 4 1964:1 40.30 39.40 37.60 37.60 37.30 38.90 40.00 39.50 39.10 38.80 36.80 36.00 36.70 38.00 41.20 43.00 43.90 41.60 43.00 43.90 43.40 42.20 39.70 40.70 41.90 44.00 45.00 46.30 46.80 48.80 49.80 51.10 51.90 52.90 55.00 56.40 58.20 56.10 61.60 61.50 63.30 65.60 52.68 52.25 49.28 48.83 48.07 48.75 49.94 48.77 47.98 47.96 45.15 44.50 45.09 46.68 49.40 51.25 52.14 49.70 51.07 52.32 51.79 50.54 47.72 48.34 49.41 51.83 52.88 54.22 54.67 57.08 58.11 59.35 60.14 61.02 63.15 64.75 66.74 64.56 70.48 70.69 73.09 76.10 2 3 4 1965:1 2 3 4 Nondurable Goods and Services Deflator (1972 = 100) 76.50 75.40 76.30 77.00 77.60 79.80 80.10 81.00 81.50 80.90 81.50 80.90 81.40 81.40 83.40 83.90 84.20 83.70 84.20 83.90 83.80 83.50 83.20 84.20 84.80 84.90 85.10 85.40 85.60 85.50 85.70 86.10 86.30 86.70 87.10 87.10 87.20 86.90 87.40 87.00 86.60 86.20 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) 215.70 220.60 223.70 226.20 229.50 232.90 236.10 238.80 243.70 245.60 247.20 250.80 255.00 257.40 262.20 266.10 270.30 274.60 276.80 282.00 282.60 285.80 288.90 292.30 293.80 298.80 302.50 306.70 310.20 314.60 317.30 320.00 326.00 329.20 335.60 341.40 347.60 351.50 356.30 362.90 369.60 380.80 343.65 350.45 353.75 354.97 356.58 360.28 361.88 363.80 366.96 367.84 365.86 370.48 375.92 378.66 384.62 388.46 390.99 395.01 397.15 401.99 400.91 402.65 406.47 411.63 412.02 418.48 421.60 425.44 428.82 433.13 434.77 437.91 443.74 446.64 453.45 460.65 467.42 470.82 475.65 480.31 486.27 497.98 62.77 62.95 63.24 63.72 64.36 64.64 65.24 65.64 66.41 66.77 67.57 67.70 67.83 67.98 68.17 68.50 69.13 69.52 69.70 70.15 70.49 70.98 71.08 71.01 71.31 71.40 71.75 72.09 72.34 72.63 72.98 73.07 73.47 73.71 74.01 74.11 74.37 74.66 74.91 75.56 76.01 76.47 826 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Consumption Nondurable Goods and Services Durable Goods Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1966:1 2 3 4 1967:1 2 3 4 1968:1 2 3 4 1969:1 2 3 4 1970:1 2 3 4 1971: 1 2 3 4 1972: 1 2 3 4 1973:1 2 3 4 1974:1 2 3 4 1975:1 2 3 4 68.70 66.00 68.50 68.80 67.30 70.60 70.80 71.60 76.80 78.70 83.00 83.30 85.30 85.70 85.90 86.00 84.90 86.30 87.30 82.40 93.00 95.90 98.20 102.00 105.60 109.00 112.20 117.60 125.50 124.30 123.40 120.20 118.50 121.70 127.40 118.50 122.40 127.10 136.70 142.60 79.79 76.30 78.83 78.72 77.27 80.69 80.00 80.00 85.24 86.87 90.81 90.45 92.32 92.05 91.77 91.20 89.75 90.75 91.13 84.77 93.94 96.38 99.09 103.55 106.24 109.00 111.64 117.60 124.75 122.46 120.86 117.15 114.49 114.70 115.82 104.50 106.53 109.01 115.95 119.23 Deflator (1972 = 100) 86.10 86.50 86.90 87.40 87.10 87.50 88.50 89.50 90.10 90.60 91.40 92.10 92.40 93.10 93.60 94.30 94.60 95.10 95.80 97.20 99.00 99.50 99.10 98.50 99.40 100.00 100.50 100.00 100.60 101.50 102.10 102.60 103.50 106.10 110.00 113.40 114.90 116.60 117.90 119.60 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 387.50 394.50 400.90 405.40 411.50 416.90 423.20 429.20 441.00 451.40 462.60 470.70 480.50 491.20 500.80 511.70 523.00 530.60 540.90 551.60 559.80 570.10 579.40 590.60 604.00 618.40 632.00 649.40 664.60 678.60 697.30 714.10 735.00 756.90 779.30 795.60 812.70 834.50 855.40 874.30 501.49 505.65 509.95 511.55 517.63 521.83 525.18 528.05 535.59 542.97 551.46 554.25 559.52 564.15 567.72 572.37 577.58 579.86 585.32 588.89 592.83 596.79 598.94 604.88 612.31 622.11 629.76 639.50 644.43 644.24 649.91 650.22 647.99 650.20 654.05 652.85 657.52 667.23 670.49 675.17 77.27 78.02 78.62 79.25 79.50 79.89 80.58 81.28 82.34 83.14 83.89 84.93 85.88 87.07 88.21 89.40 90.55 91.50 92.41 93.67 94.43 95.53 96.74 97.64 98.64 99.40 100.36 101.55 103.13 105.33 107.29 109.82 113.43 116.41 119.15 121.87 123.60 125.07 127.58 129.49 827 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Consumption Durable Goods Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1976:1 2 3 4 1977: 1 2 3 4 1978:1 2 3 4 1979:1 2 3 4 1980:1 2 3 4 1981: 1 2 3 4 1982:1 2 3 4 1983:1 2 3 4 152.00 154.60 158.10 162.60 173.70 175.70 179.40 186.40 185.00 200.10 202.00 210.20 212.50 207.40 213.30 216.10 220.70 200.80 213.80 223.60 237.80 232.40 242.50 228.90 239.40 241.60 244.50 255.00 259.40 276.10 284.10 299.80 125.10 125.59 126.89 128.54 135.70 136.84 138.64 142.29 139.52 148.11 147.02 150.79 149.65 144.13 146.70 146.01 145.20 129.97 135.57 139.00 146.10 140.00 143.50 134.00 138.50 138.80 139.30 145.20 146.80 156.20 159.60 167.20 Nondurable Goods and Services Deflator (1972 = 100) 121.50 123.10 124.60 126.50 128.00 128.40 129.40 131.00 132.60 135.10 137.40 139.40 142.00 143.90 145.40 148.00 152.00 154.50 157.70 160.86 162.77 166.00 168.99 170.82 172.85 174.06 175.52 175.62 176.70 176.76 178.01 179.31 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) 895.80 912.60 936.10 965.30 990.10 1010.50 1038.00 1068.00 1093.30 1129.90 1167.90 1206.40 1241.70 1270.60 1315.80 1366.20 1399.70 1425.70 1469.50 1518.30 1560.20 1596.90 1634.80 1662.90 1691.80 1717.20 1756.70 1791.20 1811.00 1865.50 1897.40 1930.50 685.59 692.05 700.22 710.67 715.89 719.02 727.99 738.80 744.59 752.53 764.29 772.79 775.81 778.40 786.61 795.62 793.00 789.60 793.80 800.90 804.10 809.10 812.10 812.90 815.20 820.10 824.90 831.10 835.60 850.00 856.10 865.20 130.66 131.87 133.69 135.83 138.30 140.54 142.59 144.56 146.83 150.15 152.81 156.11 160.05 163.23 167.28 171.71 176.51 180.56 185.12 189.57 194.03 197.37 201.31 204.56 207.53 209.63 212.96 215.52 216.73 219.47 221.63 223.13 828 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Exports Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1919:1 2 3 4 1920: 1 2 3 4 1921:1 2 3 4 1922: 1 2 3 4 1923: 1 2 3 4 1924: 1 2 3 4 1925: 1 2 3 4 1926: 1 2 3 4 1927: 1 2 3 4 1928:1 2 3 4 1929:1 2 3 4 10.29 11.58 10.76 9.55 11.85 10.71 9.91 11.44 7.09 6.14 5.82 4.88 4.72 5.33 5.22 5.28 5.34 5.63 5.61 5.85 5.95 5.91 5.99 6.85 7.01 6.24 6.71 6.29 6.44 6.22 6.75 6.55 6.52 6.81 6.42 6.38 6.55 6.91 6.79 7.40 7.52 7.06 6.90 6.72 15.54 18.41 16.22 12.63 16.88 13.35 12.93 17.60 12.25 13.06 13.49 9.78 10.89 11.41 11.32 11.41 10.20 11.17 11.58 13.11 11.52 12.20 12.95 14.95 14.52 13.00 13.98 12.65 14.54 13.77 14.93 14.96 14.76 16.97 15.45 15.56 15.25 16.40 15.79 17.34 17.25 16.72 16.32 16.51 Imports Deflator (1972 = 100) 66.22 62.91 66.30 75.60 70.21 80.24 76.70 64.99 57.87 47.05 43.14 49.85 43.36 46.66 46.06 46.31 52.37 50.43 48.51 44.66 51.63 48.41 46.24 45.80 48.31 48.05 47.96 49.70 44.33 45.18 45.23 43.76 44.14 40.15 41.57 41.00 42.98 42.12 42.97 42.67 43.59 42.22 42.28 40.70 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) 4.13 4.57 5.73 6.60 7.73 7.63 7.59 5.40 3.74 3.23 2.97 3.40 3.64 3.84 4.26 4.92 5.20 5.40 4.81 4.79 4.79 4.72 4.71 4.96 5.33 5.33 5.81 6.03 6.24 5.69 5.76 5.85 5.36 5.68 5.64 5.41 5.44 5.39 5.51 5.46 5.91 6.07 5.93 5.57 6.87 7.64 8.88 9.56 9.55 8.86 9.11 7.52 6.71 7.13 7.43 7.88 8.42 8.94 9.80 10.65 9.96 10.09 9.37 9.58 9.20 9.25 9.71 10.04 9.87 9.79 10.46 10.84 11.57 10.75 10.78 11.02 10.44 11.73 11.43 10.92 11.19 11.21 11.48 11.42 12.49 13.22 13.13 12.77 60.08 59.85 64.55 69.01 80.95 86.03 83.33 71.85 55.79 45.24 39.98 43.09 43.20 42.93 43.45 46.15 52.17 53.53 51.34 50.05 51.99 50.99 48.50 49.35 54.03 54.43 55.56 55.63 53.95 52.96 53.42 53.06 51.35 48.43 49.37 49.57 48.56 48.06 48.02 47.82 47.34 45.91 45.14 43.60 829 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Exports Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1930:1 2 3 4 1931: 1 2 3 4 1932:1 2 3 4 1933:1 2 3 4 1934:1 2 3 4 1935:1 2 3 4 1936:1 2 3 4 1937:1 2 3 4 1938:1 2 3 4 1939:1 2 3 4 1940:1 2 3 4 6.17 5.80 5.24 4.71 4.00 3.92 3.36 3.25 2.65 2.57 2.31 2.36 1.97 2.17 2.67 2.84 3.01 2.99 3.17 2.67 3.32 2.97 3.42 3.31 3.64 3.34 3.74 3.43 4.50 4.67 4.84 4.67 4.70 4.47 4.27 4.11 4.27 4.27 4.45 5.41 5.45 5.64 5.06 5.47 15.19 14.91 13.93 12.77 12.25 12.57 11.34 10.63 10.11 9.61 8.90 8.58 9.11 8.90 9.22 9.17 9.66 9.66 10.34 9.14 10.52 9.68 11.03 10.76 11.71 10.70 11.89 10.51 13.14 13.24 14.06 15.57 13.47 14.15 13.44 12.94 13.84 13.78 13.92 15.66 15.38 16.64 14.95 15.03 Imports Deflator (1972 = 100) 40.60 38.92 37.60 36.88 32.68 31.16 29.64 30.52 26.20 26.76 25.89 27.56 21.60 24.39 28.98 31.04 31.16 30.97 30.65 29.21 31.57 30.63 31.02 30.79 31.07 31.19 31.46 32.68 34.28 35.28 34.46 29.98 34.87 31.59 31.75 31.79 30.87 30.99 31.99 34.56 35.42 33.92 33.86 36.40 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 5.02 4.71 4.10 3.86 3.46 3.17 3.11 2.76 2.43 2.14 1.85 1.89 1.65 1.77 2.40 2.33 2.33 2.37 2.30 2.49 2.94 3.10 3.25 3.32 3.30 3.31 3.43 3.62 4.40 4.63 4.27 3.73 3.20 2.94 3.01 3.09 3.16 3.28 3.25 3.83 3.65 3.51 3.65 3.76 12.20 11.93 10.80 10.67 10.08 10.11 10.31 9.49 9.02 8.53 7.60 8.06 8.18 8.50 9.22 8.51 8.47 8.76 8.76 9.61 11.27 11.69 12.06 12.17 11.86 11.69 11.90 12.14 13.54 13.78 13.23 12.25 10.66 9.92 10.23 10.39 10.70 11.10 10.66 11.14 11.00 10.89 11.43 11.09 41.17 39.48 37.94 36.21 34.30 31.31 30.13 29.06 26.98 25.16 24.38 23.48 20.18 20.80 26.00 27.42 27.53 27.05 26.31 25.91 26.08 26.49 26.92 27.30 27.86 28.31 28.85 29.78 32.49 33.62 32.26 30.43 30.00 29.62 29.45 29.73 29.58 29.51 30.52 34.38 33.16 32.21 31.91 33.91 830 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Exports Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1941: 1 2 3 4 1947: 1 2 3 4 1948: 1 2 3 4 1949: 1 2 3 4 1950:1 2 3 4 1951: 1 2 3 4 1952: 1 2 3 4 1953: 1 2 3 4 1954:1 2 3 4 1955: 1 2 3 4 1956:1 2 3 4 4.92 5.65 6.19 7.84 20.63 22.01 21.88 20.26 19.68 18.09 18.28 17.32 18.73 18.10 16.49 14.26 14.03 14.38 15.26 16.68 18.32 21.04 22.08 22.30 22.58 20.61 19.13 19.18 18.91 19.16 19.47 18.96 18.32 20.31 19.78 20.86 21.51 21.24 22.46 22.80 24.29 25.68 26.75 27.53 14.05 15.24 16.48 19.84 32.80 33.50 32.80 29.80 28.20 25.80 26.00 25.10 27.70 27.30 25.60 22.60 22.60 23.30 23.80 24.60 25.80 28.20 30.00 30.50 30.80 28.00 26.20 26.60 26.30 26.80 27.00 26.30 25.70 28.40 27.90 29.30 30.30 29.70 31.20 31.40 33.00 34.80 36.20 37.10 Imports Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 34.99 37.08 37.59 39.53 62.90 65.70 66.70 68.00 69.80 70.10 70.30 69.00 67.60 66.30 64.40 63.10 62.10 61.70 64.10 67.80 71.00 74.60 73.60 73.10 73.30 73.60 73.00 72.10 71.90 71.50 72.10 72.10 71.30 71.50 70.90 71.20 71.00 71.50 72.00 72.60 73.60 73.80 73.90 74.20 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 4.20 4.71 4.83 4.97 7.90 8.60 8.00 8.80 10.10 10.50 11.00 10.60 10.10 9.90 9.50 9.60 10.10 10.80 13.60 14.30 15.60 15.90 15.00 14.70 15.60 15.30 15.90 17.00 16.50 17.10 17.00 16.30 15.50 16.90 16.00 16.20 16.90 17.90 18.30 18.90 19.80 19.80 20.10 19.40 12.45 13.47 13.44 13.44 13.81 13.87 13.11 14.10 15.59 15.86 16.47 15.92 15.56 15.76 15.40 15.64 16.21 16.77 19.77 19.27 19.65 18.91 18.03 18.26 19.33 19.17 20.33 21.85 21.60 22.65 22.43 21.59 20.53 21.81 20.67 20.98 22.01 23.43 23.95 24.42 25.35 25.29 25.74 24.65 33.71 34.95 35.94 37.01 57.20 62.00 61.00 62.40 64.80 66.20 66.80 66.60 64.90 62.80 61.70 61.40 62.30 64.40 68.80 74.20 79.40 84.10 83.20 80.50 80.70 79.80 78.20 77.80 76.40 75.50 75.80 75.50 75.50 77.50 77.40 77.20 76.80 76.40 76.40 77.40 78.10 78.30 78.10 78.70 831 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Imports Exports Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1957: 1 2 3 4 1958: 1 2 3 4 1959:1 2 3 4 1960: 1 2 3 4 1961:1 2 3 4 1962:1 2 3 4 1963:1 2 3 4 1964:1 2 3 4 1965:1 2 3 4 1966:1 2 3 4 1967:1 2 3 4 30.06 29.87 29.07 27.52 25.15 25.13 25.07 25.07 24.17 24.62 26.66 26.45 28.50 29.45 30.30 30.22 30.80 29.64 30.77 31.51 31.08 32.93 32.84 32.49 32.35 34.72 35.08 36.70 38.85 38.38 39.72 40.55 37.59 43.20 42.85 43.04 43.93 44.33 45.54 46.45 47.80 47.01 47.29 48.27 39.40 39.10 37.70 35.60 33.00 33.20 33.20 33.20 32.10 32.70 35.40 34.90 37.30 38.20 38.90 39.20 39.90 37.80 39.40 40.30 40.00 42.60 42.60 42.20 41.90 44.80 45.20 47.30 50.00 49.20 50.60 51.40 46.70 53.60 53.10 53.60 54.10 53.80 54.60 55.10 56.90 56.10 56.30 57.40 Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 76.30 76.40 77.10 77.30 76.20 75.70 75.50 75.50 75.30 75.30 75.30 75.80 76.40 77.10 77.90 77.10 77.20 78.40 78.10 78.20 77.70 77.30 77.10 77.00 77.20 77.50 77.60 77.60 77.70 78.00 78.50 78.90 80.50 80.60 80.70 80.30 81.20 82.40 83.40 84.30 84.00 83.80 84.00 84.10 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 21.00 21.10 20.60 20.50 20.40 21.00 20.70 21.80 22.40 23.60 24.00 23.60 23.90 24.00 23.40 22.30 22.30 22.50 24.00 24.50 24.80 25.40 25.60 26.00 25.60 26.40 27.20 27.30 27.60 28.40 29.10 30.00 29.10 32.70 33.00 34.40 36.00 37.00 39.40 39.80 40.60 40.10 40.60 42.80 26.32 26.44 25.81 26.05 26.36 27.42 27.17 28.76 29.79 31.09 31.79 30.93 31.12 31.13 30.47 29.30 29.30 29.53 31.54 32.24 33.16 33.96 34.45 35.04 34.32 35.11 35.79 35.78 35.84 36.74 37.74 38.86 37.50 42.19 42.25 43.65 45.69 46.42 49.31 49.44 50.50 50.13 50.56 53.70 79.80 79.80 79.80 78.70 77.40 76.60 76.20 75.80 75.20 75.90 75.50 76.30 76.80 77.10 76.80 76.10 76.10 76.20 76.10 76.00 74.80 74.80 74.30 74.20 74.60 75.20 76.00 76.30 77.00 77.30 77.10 77.20 77.60 77.50 78.10 78.80 78.80 79.70 79.90 80.50 80.40 80.00 80.30 79.70 832 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Imports Exports Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1968:1 2 3 4 1969:1 2 3 4 1970:1 2 3 4 1971:1 2 3 4 1972: 1 2 3 4 1973: 1 2 3 4 1974: 1 2 3 4 1975: 1 2 3 4 1976: 1 2 3 4 1977: 1 2 3 4 1978:1 2 3 4 49.44 51.63 54.57 53.52 49.73 58.98 59.54 61.81 63.64 66.71 66.08 66.32 68.37 69.14 71.75 66.01 74.00 73.75 77.97 84.07 95.82 105.01 114.07 123.49 136.85 146.40 147.49 154.15 156.00 149.15 152.73 161.96 163.98 170.18 173.65 177.47 177.82 184.97 186.85 181.25 195.46 213.17 223.98 242.18 59.00 60.10 63.60 62.30 57.10 67.40 67.20 68.30 69.40 71.50 70.60 70.40 70.70 71.20 74.20 67.70 74.90 74.20 78.20 82.50 91.00 95.90 99.80 102.40 108.10 111.50 107.50 106.90 104.00 100.30 102.50 107.40 107.60 109.30 111.60 111.90 111.00 113.90 115.20 111.40 118.10 124.30 128.80 135.60 Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 83.80 85.90 85.80 85.90 87.10 87.50 88.60 90.50 91.70 93.30 93.60 94.20 96.70 97.10 96.70 97.50 98.80 99.40 99.70 101.90 105.30 109.50 114.30 120.60 126.60 131.30 137.20 144.20 150.00 148.70 149.00 150.80 152.40 155.70 155.60 158.60 160.20 162.40 162.20 162.70 165.50 171.50 173.90 178.60 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 45.70 46.90 49.90 49.80 45.90 55.30 55.60 56.60 57.10 58.60 59.60 60.70 61.00 65.60 67.90 64.30 74.30 74.00 76.50 82.10 88.80 93.50 95.60 103.60 114.70 134.60 139.80 142.10 130.30 120.70 127.80 133.80 145.60 153.40 161.40 168.10 180.00 186.80 187.20 192.90 207.20 217.20 222.90 232.00 56.98 57.76 61.68 61.18 55.84 67.03 66.91 66.51 66.16 66.97 66.37 66.78 66.02 70.92 72.54 67.90 76.92 74.60 75.74 79.63 83.38 82.09 80.47 81.13 79.82 93.60 81.37 80.33 71.83 66.80 71.72 75.08 80.89 83.32 85.94 88.52 88.76 91.30 90.26 93.19 99.04 101.92 103.53 106.23 80.20 81.20 80.90 81.40 82.20 82.50 83.10 85.10 86.30 87.50 89.80 90.90 92.40 92.50 93.60 94.70 96.60 99.20 101.00 103.10 106.50 113.90 118.80 127.70 143.70 143.80 171.80 176.90 181.40 180.70 178.20 178.20 180.00 184.10 187.80 189.90 202.80 204.60 207.40 207.00 209.20 213.10 215.30 218.40 833 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Exports Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1979: 1 2 3 4 1980:1 2 3 4 1981:1 2 3 4 1982:1 2 3 4 1983: 1 2 3 4 256.22 268.16 290.64 310.61 335.38 336.65 337.67 345.40 368.40 369.80 368.70 372.80 359.40 366.30 346.30 321.70 328.50 328.10 342.00 346.10 138.80 140.40 149.20 156.40 164.40 161.00 156.40 154.70 161.20 161.00 159.30 159.40 152.20 155.10 146.60 136.70 138.20 137.00 141.60 141.00 Imports Deflator (1972 = 100) 184.60 191.00 194.80 198.60 204.00 209.10 215.90 223.27 228.54 229.69 231.45 233.88 236.14 236.17 236.22 235.33 237.70 239.49 241.53 245.46 Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 100) 238.90 259.10 274.50 300.00 322.50 314.20 300.50 322.00 335.30 347.50 343.90 341.10 331. 70 330.80 339.70 315.40 308.90 334.50 358.40 375.90 105.38 108.96 109.36 112.15 114.52 108.42 102.91 109.30 112.50 116.30 118.70 118.20 117.30 121.00 120.90 112.60 115.30 123.40 129.70 139.10 226.70 237.80 251.00 267.50 281.60 289.80 292.00 294.60 298.04 298.80 289.72 288.58 282.78 273.39 280.98 280.11 267.91 271.07 276.33 270.24 Government Purchases Government Purchases Deflator (1972 = 100) Deflator (1972 = 100) 16.64 17.30 17.96 18.79 20.15 20.74 20.98 20.93 19.93 19.03 18.62 18.29 18.20 18.21 18.26 18.51 18.45 18.95 19.20 19.34 19.35 19.35 19.46 19.60 Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1919: 1 2 3 4 1920:1 2 3 4 1921: 1 2 3 4 8.48 9.62 10.05 9.70 6.43 5.68 5.63 5.84 6.37 6.33 6.30 6.19 50.95 55.60 55.92 51.64 31.89 27.40 26.84 27.89 31.95 33.26 33.81 33.84 Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1922:1 2 3 4 1923: 1 2 3 4 1924: 1 2 3 4 5.89 5.89 5.96 6.07 5.93 6.13 6.28 6.42 6.54 6.63 6.75 6.88 32.38 32.34 32.61 32.76 32.15 32.34 32.73 33.20 33.78 34.26 34.70 35.11 834 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Government Purchases Government Purchases Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1925: 1 2 3 4 1926: 1 2 3 4 1927:1 2 3 4 1928:1 2 3 4 1929: 1 2 3 4 1930:1 2 3 4 1931:1 2 3 4 1932: 1 2 3 4 1933: 1 2 3 4 1934:1 2 3 4 1935:1 2 3 4 7.09 7.24 7.33 7.38 7.17 7.23 7.33 7.48 7.69 7.82 7.94 8.00 8.01 8.11 8.23 8.38 8.60 8.76 8.89 9.05 9.38 9.50 9.57 9.56 9.53 9.54 9.49 9.26 8.62 8.33 8.23 8.08 7.91 7.87 8.35 8.86 9.66 10.03 10.20 10.18 10.00 10.08 10.16 10.57 35.40 35.79 36.12 36.12 34.80 34.82 35.20 35.79 36.94 37.56 38.01 38.34 38.27 38.60 39.02 39.52 40.18 40.70 41.24 42.03 43.86 44.65 45.17 45.62 45.96 46.35 46.63 46.45 44.35 44.14 44.30 44.17 42.45 42.40 42.89 43.99 47.22 48.34 48.89 49.13 48.57 48.84 49.52 51.17 Deflator (1972 = 100) 20.02 20.23 20.30 20.44 20.60 20.76 20.82 20.89 20.82 20.81 20.88 20.86 20.92 21.01 21.09 21.20 21.40 21.52 21.56 21.52 21.39 21.28 21.18 20.96 20.74 20.58 20.35 19.94 19.43 18.88 18.58 18.30 18.63 18.56 19.46 20.15 20.46 20.75 20.87 20.72 20.59 20.64 20.53 20.65 Quarter 1936: 1 2 3 4 1937:1 2 3 4 1938: 1 2 3 4 1939: 1 2 3 4 1940: 1 2 3 4 1941: 1 2 3 4 1947:1 2 3 4 1948: 1 2 3 4 1949:1 2 3 4 1950: 1 2 3 4 1951:1 2 3 4 Nominal 11.81 12.20 12.35 12.31 11.65 11.90 12.16 12.46 12.96 13.16 13.18 13.33 13.41 13.48 13.52 13.61 13.36 13.50 13.99 15.83 22.90 25.42 26.14 25.30 24.60 25.40 25.50 26.10 27.70 30.70 33.20 36.00 36.70 38.40 39.10 39.20 37.70 36.90 38.00 41.40 49.60 56.70 64.40 69.60 Real (1972 dollars) 56.53 58.14 58.69 58.39 55.55 55.22 55.61 56.60 59.40 60.44 61.05 61.63 62.49 63.01 63.40 63.50 62.52 62.94 64.70 70.81 94.27 100.09 100.63 96.08 74.77 75.82 76.35 75.43 76.52 83.20 86.91 91.60 93.15 96.73 98.99 98.00 98.69 96.34 95.48 101.97 115.62 128.57 141.23 149.04 Deflator (1972 = 100) 20.89 20.99 21.04 21.09 20.96 21.54 21.87 22.02 21.81 21.78 21.59 21.62 21.46 21.39 21.32 21.43 21.36 21.45 21.63 22.36 24.29 25.39 25.98 26.34 32.90 33.50 33.40 34.60 36.20 36.90 38.20 39.30 39.40 39.70 39.50 40.00 38.20 38.30 39.80 40.60 42.90 44.10 45.60 46.70 835 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Government Purchases Quarter Nominal 1952:1 2 3 4 1953:1 2 3 4 1954:1 2 3 4 1955:1 2 3 4 1956: 1 2 3 4 1957:1 2 3 4 1958:1 2 3 4 1959:1 2 3 4 1960: 1 2 3 4 1961:1 2 3 4 1962:1 2 3 4 70.90 75.50 77.50 78.30 81.70 82.60 82.40 83.40 79.50 75.40 74.60 73.40 74.30 74.10 75.40 76.20 77.20 79.30 79.70 81.30 86.20 86.60 87.50 88.10 91.20 94.20 96.10 98.70 97.80 98.00 97.50 97.00 97.30 99.30 101.80 102.70 105.00 106.80 108.40 112.30 116.10 116.80 118.80 120.40 Real (1972 dollars) 152.80 159.28 163.85 163.13 167.76 170.31 169.90 171.96 162.58 155.79 153.81 151.65 152.88 150.92 153.56 152.10 151.97 153.98 152.98 154.86 160.22 161.27 161.44 161.95 165.22 168.82 171.00 174.69 171.58 171.03 170.16 169.28 169.22 172.40 174.32 175.56 179.49 ,181.02 182.80 188.42 191.27 191.79 194.75 194.82 Government Purchases Deflator (1972 = 100) Quarter 46.40 47.40 47.30 48.00 48.70 48.50 48.50 48.50 48.90 48.40 48.50 48.40 48.60 49.10 49.10 50.10 50.80 51.50 52.10 52.50 53.80 53.70 54.20 54.40 55.20 55.80 56.20 56.50 57.00 57.30 57.30 57.30 57.50 57.60 58.40 58.50 58.50 59.00 59.30 59.60 60.70 60.90 61.00 61.80 1963:1 2 3 4 1964:1 2 3 4 1965:1 2 3 4 1966:1 2 3 4 1967:1 2 3 4 1968:1 2 3 4 1969:1 2 3 4 1970:1 2 3 4 1971:1 2 3 4 1972: 1 2 3 4 1973:1 2 3 4 Nominal 122.10 121.30 124.30 127.00 128.30 130.00 130.00 130.90 131.60 135.60 140.10 146.10 150.00 155.30 162.00 167.30 174.90 177.50 182.00 186.50 192.40 198.60 201.00 204.00 204.50 207.40 210.70 212.40 216.40 217.70 221.10 225.30 229.70 232.40 236.40 240.90 249.70 251.50 252.90 258.30 264.90 266.30 268.90 281.60 Real (1972 dollars) 195.67 195.02 199.20 200.00 201.73 203.44 202.18 202.95 202.15 207.34 211.63 217.74 221.24 224.75 233.77 238.66 244.27 246.94 250.69 252.37 256.53 260.97 262.40 261.20 258.53 259.25 256.95 254.98 252.80 249.66 250.97 250.89 249.95 248.29 250.42 251.46 254.54 253.27 252.40 252.00 254.71 251.23 251.31 256.47 Deflator (1972 = 100) 62.40 62.20 62.40 63.50 63.60 63.90 64.30 64.50 65.10 65.40 66.20 67.10 67.80 69.10 69.30 70.10 71.60 71.88 72.60 73.90 75.00 76.10 76.60 78.10 79.10 80.00 82.00 83.30 85.60 87.20 88.10 89.80 91.90 93.60 94.40 95.80 98.10 99.30 100.20 102.50 104.00 106.00 107.00 109.80 836 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Government Purchases Government Purchases Deflator (1972 = 1(0) Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) Deflator (1972 = 1(0) 111.10 114.90 118.00 121.60 124.00 126.20 128.30 131.30 133.00 134.40 136.40 139.20 140.74 143.99 145.69 147.93 150.34 153.55 156.86 161.03 1979: 1 2 3 4 1980: 1 2 3 4 1981: 1 2 3 4 1982: 1 2 3 4 1983:1 2 3 4 456.90 464.50 478.50 497.60 517.60 535.50 539.10 559.00 576.60 585.30 601.30 622.70 630.90 633.70 656.30 681.00 678.80 682.20 689.80 691.40 280.59 280.18 280.97 285.29 283.93 286.82 284.04 282.50 286.00 285.10 287.40 289.60 290.20 287.00 292.80 300.60 294.30 292.40 292.00 288.80 162.84 165.79 170.30 174.42 182.30 186.70 189.80 197.88 201.61 205.30 209.22 215.02 217.40 220.80 224.15 226.55 230.65 233.31 236.23 239.40 Quarter Nominal Real (1972 dollars) 1974: 1 2 3 4 1975: 1 2 3 4 1976:1 2 3 4 1977: 1 2 3 4 1978:1 2 3 4 286.80 300.60 309.20 319.70 327.70 333.60 344.00 354.30 357.00 358.10 362.80 370.40 377.90 390.70 398.70 408.00 412.80 424.40 439.30 451.10 258.15 261.62 262.03 262.91 264.27 264.34 268.12 269.84 268.42 266.44 265.98 266.09 268.51 271.34 273.66 275.81 274.57 276.40 280.06 280.14 Real Net Capital Stock (1972 dollars) Cost of Capital Services Quarter Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures Consumers' Durable Goods Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures 1919:1 2 3 4 1920: 1 2 3 4 1921:1 2 3 4 91.99 91.64 92.05 92.18 92.86 93.33 93.54 93.07 92.02 90.92 89.82 88.73 207.46 205.99 204.74 203.32 202.20 200.89 199.10 197.36 195.76 194.76 194.06 193.65 55.62 56.17 57.45 59.31 60.39 60.76 61.00 60.77 60.13 59.96 60.04 59.99 21.62 22.05 21.70 21.49 20.98 20.52 21.34 21.51 23.53 24.15 24.12 23.70 11.32 11.45 11.48 11.68 12.21 12.33 12.70 11.82 12.01 11.69 11.38 11.56 837 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Real Net Capital Stock (1972 dollars) Cost of Capital Services Quarter Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures Consumers' Durable Goods Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures 1922:1 2 3 4 1923:1 2 3 4 1924: 1 2 3 4 1925:1 2 3 4 1926:1 2 3 4 1927: 1 2 3 4 1928:1 2 3 4 1929: 1 2 3 4 1930:1 2 3 4 1931:1 2 3 4 1932: 1 2 3 4 87.63 86.90 86.38 86.33 86.61 87.24 87.68 87.78 88.01 87.79 87.52 87.82 88.20 88.27 88.53 89.08 89.71 90.19 90.72 91.23 91.61 91.80 91.84 91.75 91.87 92.11 92.51 93.16 93.83 94.56 95.41 95.76 95.88 95.85 95.51 94.69 93.60 92.51 91.20 89.56 87.77 85.61 83.58 81.73 193.59 194.20 194.82 195.66 196.68 198.17 199.33 200.92 202.68 204.59 206.59 208.51 210.40 212.68 215.20 217.39 219.79 222.08 224.21 226.03 227.47 229.33 231.01 232.77 233.81 235.10 236.22 237.51 239.47 241.41 242.77 243.81 244.95 246.29 246.68 246.45 245.94 245.30 243.99 242.35 240.22 238.16 236.04 233.77 59.93 60.31 60.79 61.37 62.38 63.48 64.47 65.55 66.84 67.60 68.11 68.60 69.45 70.60 71.73 73.43 74.94 76.12 77.17 78.14 79.12 80.11 80.78 81.25 81.94 82.63 83.47 84.56 85.69 86.65 87.62 88.09 88.14 87.92 87.42 86.94 86.35 85.72 84.95 83.90 82.67 81.25 79.70 78.25 23.69 23.09 22.96 22.97 22.97 23.71 23.98 24.30 23.81 23.83 23.60 23.27 21.89 20.40 20.25 19.54 19.57 19.95 20.75 21.37 20.99 21.60 21.44 21.31 21.83 21.95 21.73 21.87 22.62 23.02 22.83 22.16 22.27 22.07 23.10 22.95 26.02 27.99 30.28 32.31 38.23 40.60 41.90 40.99 11.57 11.16 11.04 11.07 11.39 11.71 11.61 11.65 11.50 11.34 10.89 10.71 9.96 8.75 8.79 8.35 8.28 8.51 9.09 9.53 9.02 9.22 9.11 9.12 9.50 9.59 9.50 9.75 10.02 10.31 10.25 9.53 10.00 9.64 10.13 10.10 11.51 12.77 14.00 16.05 17.84 19.88 20.96 19.88 838 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Real Net Capital Stock (1972 dollars) Cost of Capital Services Quarter Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures Consumers' Durable Goods Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures 1933:1 2 3 4 1934:1 2 3 4 1935:1 2 3 4 1936:1 2 3 4 1937:1 2 3 4 1938:1 2 3 4 1939:1 2 3 4 1940:1 2 3 4 1941:1 2 3 4 1947: 1 2 3 4 1948:1 2 3 4 79.62 78.10 77.01 75.57 74.61 73.87 72.69 71.76 71.29 70.81 70.62 70.90 71.21 71.73 72.60 73.71 75.04 76.33 77.61 77.88 77.62 77.09 76.94 77.10 77.09 76.88 77.07 77.96 78.79 79.62 80.75 82.12 83.47 84.90 86.46 88.29 118.50 122.38 125.88 129.62 133.78 137.30 140.54 143.99 231.24 228.84 226.40 224.24 222.16 219.96 217.86 215.82 213.69 211.93 209.95 208.53 207.18 205.74 204.62 203.80 203.12 203.29 202.73 201.84 200.94 199.67 198.64 197.74 196.99 196.20 195.24 194.49 193.24 192.31 191.98 192.95 193.45 193.46 194.50 193.44 188.50 190.34 192.17 193.92 195.67 197.66 199.82 202.01 76.70 75.37 74.45 73.53 72.64 72.02 71.43 71.04 70.98 70.92 71.14 71.69 72.40 73.27 74.35 75.52 76.72 77.78 78.91 79.42 79.23 78.88 78.79 79.16 79.76 80.25 80.85 81.63 82.65 83.62 84.67 86.04 87.67 89.49 91.24 92.33 91.10 93.80 96.41 99.48 102.38 105.12 107.94 110.57 35.95 40.64 33.44 35.79 31.91 30.15 26.94 27.37 24.07 22.33 20.33 19.90 19.89 18.94 20.10 20.88 22.12 22.30 23.35 21.90 23.39 24.30 23.88 22.84 23.44 24.04 23.73 23.93 23.76 24.72 24.91 26.14 24.48 23.71 21.34 20.31 15.67 16.24 16.31 16.36 16.32 16.46 16.80 17.31 19.45 22.23 18.47 19.58 15.51 13.75 11.82 11.87 10.60 9.24 7.81 7.42 7.05 6.23 6.85 7.95 8.86 9.29 9.74 8.76 9.55 10.51 10.09 9.42 9.50 9.98 9.83 10.37 9.77 10.38 10.60 11.55 10.22 9.57 7.98 7.19 6.73 6.90 7.05 7.24 7.50 7.50 7.41 7.65 839 Historical Data Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Real Net Capital Stock (1972 dollars) Cost of Capital Services Quarter Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures Consumers' Durable Goods Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures 1949:1 2 3 4 1950:1 2 3 4 1951: 1 2 3 4 1952: 1 2 3 4 1953:1 2 3 4 1954:1 2 3 4 1955:1 2 3 4 1956:1 2 3 4 1957: 1 2 3 4 1958:1 2 3 4 1959:1 2 3 4 146.76 148.92 150.63 152.18 153.74 156.09 159.18 162.05 164.43 166.87 169.45 171.89 174.29 176.69 177.78 179.64 182.00 184.18 186.55 188.63 190.22 191.57 193.14 194.57 196.01 198.16 200.79 203.71 206.08 208.35 210.66 212.78 215.01 217.12 219.49 221.42 222.30 222.76 223.09 223.83 224.98 226.38 228.00 229.60 204.04 205.91 207.51 208.98 210.66 212.50 214.56 216.74 218.86 221.15 223.37 225.34 227.27 229.25 231.24 233.41 235.71 238.09 240.45 242.88 245.33 247.79 250.26 252.68 255.23 257.87 260.65 263.54 266.64 269.96 273.32 276.65 279.84 282.98 286.04 289.05 291.91 294.44 296.74 299.11 301.40 303.91 306.58 309.17 112.93 115.96 119.18 122.46 125.85 129.16 134.74 138.59 142.52 144.69 146.51 148.17 149.92 151.75 152.87 155.10 157.69 160.04 162.23 164.50 166.25 168.01 169.95 172.47 175.60 179.36 183.27 186.89 189.57 192.00 194.11 196.29 198.65 200.59 202.24 203.80 204.58 205.15 205.84 206.90 208.58 210.63 212.80 214.25 17.37 17.94 18.00 17.85 17.88 17.98 18.08 17.99 19.38 19.11 19.90 20.58 19.85 19.77 19.11 19.05 18.42 18.71 19.35 20.26 20.50 20.93 20.95 21.03 21.05 20.57 20.56 20.93 21.47 21.68 21.72 22.24 22.50 22.45 22.68 22.90 22.52 22.64 22.61 23.12 22.97 22.89 23.07 23.52 7.57 7.49 7.52 7.45 7.35 7.32 7.47 7.33 8.24 8.14 8.95 9.69 9.04 8.63 8.19 7.89 7.49 7.62 8.35 9.37 9.63 9.85 9.90 9.84 10.02 9.73 9.61 9.94 10.62 10.46 10.47 10.67 10.60 10.70 11.00 10.80 10.47 10.51 10.43 10.88 10.71 10.64 10.84 11.42 840 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Real Net Capital Stock (1972 dollars) Quarter 1960:1 2 3 4 1961:1 2 3 4 1962: 1 2 3 4 1963:1 2 3 4 1964:1 2 3 4 1965:1 2 3 4 1966: 1 2 3 4 1967:1 2 3 4 1968:1 2 3 4 1969:1 2 3 4 1970:1 2 3 4 Producers' Durable Equipment 231.39 233.29 234.69 235.69 236.38 237.44 238.55 240.17 242.25 243.54 244.82 246.02 247.35 248.85 250.74 252.94 255.35 257.88 260.68 263.76 267.68 271.68 276.30 281.25 286.74 292.49 298.05 303.57 308.23 312.94 317.26 321.92 326.89 331.25 335.79 340.74 346.10 351.45 356.80 361.84 366.47 370.82 375.04 378.17 Business Structures 312.08 314.79 317.57 320.64 323.69 326.54 329.33 332.19 335.00 338.06 341.38 344.47 347.17 350.17 353.15 356.27 359.39 362.76 366.25 369.85 373.96 378.63 383.39 388.64 393.98 398.97 404.21 409.05 413.84 418.20 422.57 426.81 431.31 435.57 439.73 444.18 448.75 453.24 458.20 462.78 467.02 471.15 475.16 479.03 Consumers' Durable Goods 215.97 217.91 219.62 220.93 221.46 222.13 223.02 224.48 226.12 228.01 229.92 232.33 234.88 237.60 240.38 243.24 246.48 249.95 253.75 256.80 261.18 265.38 269.97 275.07 280.83 285.42 290.41 295.11 299.20 303.94 308.27 312.37 317.57 322.91 328.96 334.60 340.42 345.88 350.98 355.68 359.77 363.90 367.92 370.14 Cost of Capital Services Producers' Durable Equipment 23.84 23.87 23.93 23.92 23.80 23.78 23.66 23.51 21.34 21.51 21.94 21.85 21.20 21.13 21.21 21.23 22.14 21.72 21.77 21.26 21.31 21.30 21.01 21.10 21.58 21.73 21.81 22.03 22.02 21.85 22.22 22.35 22.12 22.33 21.95 21.86 22.05 22.11 22.47 22.48 23.19 22.53 22.81 22.72 Business Structures 11.78 11.67 11.68 11.67 11.68 11.73 11.76 11.86 10.70 10.75 11.03 11.01 10.64 10.67 10.69 10.73 10.56 10.29 10.37 10.00 10.14 10.11 10.17 10.21 10.63 10.96 10.97 11.31 11.21 11.05 11.60 11.85 11.99 12.19 11.86 11.75 12.22 12.59 13.09 13.38 14.21 13.71 14.31 14.45 Historical Data 841 Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Real Net Capital Stock (1972 dollars) Quarter 1971: 1 2 3 4 1972:1 2 3 4 1973:1 2 3 4 1974: 1 2 3 4 1975:1 2 3 4 1976:1 2 3 4 1977: 1 2 3 4 1978:1 2 3 4 1979:1 2 3 4 1980:1 2 3 4 1981:1 2 3 4 Producers' Durable Equipment 381.35 384.82 388.18 391.94 396.23 400.68 405.29 411.19 418.06 425.70 433.35 440.81 448.31 455.37 462.28 467.57 471.14 474.08 477.11 480.08 483.37 487.00 491.27 495.81 501.76 508.45 515.04 522.64 529.59 537.63 545.58 554.10 562.93 570.84 579.43 586.81 595.78 602.60 609.76 616.98 624.81 632.55 640.45 647.63 Business Structures 482.74 486.33 489.94 493.31 496.91 500.58 504.24 508.09 512.06 516.27 520.70 525.01 529.01 532.62 535.30 537.72 539.36 540.77 542.39 544.14 545.97 547.74 549.56 551.37 553.04 555.02 557.30 559.43 561.79 564.67 567.74 571.00 574.05 577.59 581.49 585.66 589.89 593.27 596.29 599.52 603.10 607.02 611.39 615.98 Consumers' Durable Goods 374.53 379.31 384.52 390.58 396.99 403.77 410.85 419.06 428.64 437.15 444.82 451.16 456.52 461.65 466.79 468.84 471.29 474.24 478.77 483.88 490.20 496.32 502.44 508.66 516.35 523.93 531.57 539.73 546.77 555.60 563.70 572.32 580.22 586.32 592.76 598.69 604.11 605.45 608.11 611.51 616.33 619.67 623.67 625.21 Cost of Capital Services Producers' Durable Equipment 21.26 20.42 20.42 19.88 19.94 19.85 19.94 19.75 19.43 19.54 19.42 19.16 18.99 19.00 19.30 19.60 18.78 18.21 17.83 17.64 17.77 17.64 17.89 17.37 17.37 17.57 17.80 18.50 19.36 19.99 19.80 19.40 19.78 19.34 19.02 19.82 20.57 21.85 19.59 20.98 21.02 21.53 22.07 22.45 Business Structures 13.30 12.80 13.14 12.83 12.88 12.75 13.00 13.12 12.88 13.24 13.32 13.25 13.58 14.33 15.22 15.45 13.97 12.67 12.14 11.85 11.95 11.87 12.11 11.59 11.49 11.83 11.93 12.87 14.00 15.29 15.31 15.23 15.94 15.40 15.12 16.68 18.64 21.22 18.21 20.64 21.19 21.91 23.47 25.23 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon 842 Quarterly Data from 1919 to 1941 and from 1947 to 1983 (continued) Real Net Capital Stock (1972 dollars) Cost of Capital Services Quarter Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures Consumers' Durable Goods Producers' Durable Equipment Business Structures 1981:1 2 3 4 1983: 1 2 3 4 653.78 658.26 661.88 664.87 668.10 672.51 678.20 685.79 620.36 624.68 628.63 632.42 635.57 638.21 641.13 644.30 627.58 630.07 632.13 635.32 639.00 645.16 651.36 658.66 22.43 22.24 22.32 20.39 19.35 19.23 19.37 20.81 25.24 24.79 24.90 21.81 20.45 20.07 20.34 21.27 Section 3 Source Notes Investment in producers' durable equipment: nonresidential and residential, investment in nonresidential structures: nonresidential and farm structures, investment in residential structures, consumption of durable goods, consumption of nondurable goods and services, exports, imports, and government purchasesNominal: 1919-41, interpolated series from Gordon and Veitch, this volume. 194783, national income and product accounts, table 1.1. Real: 1919-41, interpolated series from Gordon and Veitch, this volume. 1947-83, national income and products accounts, table 1.2. Deflator: 1919-83, nominal series divided by the real series, then multiplied by 100. Investment, change in business inventories Nominal: 1919-41, interpolated series from Gordon and Veitch, this volume. 194783, national income and product accounts, table 1.1. Real: 1919-41, interpolated series from Gordon and Veitch, this volume. 1947-83, national income and product accounts, table 1.2. Real net capital stock, producers' durable equipment 1919-83: constructed series described in Gordon and Veitch, this volume. Real net capital stock, business structures 1919-83: constructed series described in Gordon and Veitch, this volume. Real net capital stock, consumers' durable goods 1919-83: constructed series described in Gordon and Veitch, this volume. Cost of capital services, producers' durable equipment 1919-83: constructed series described in Gordon and Veitch, this volume. Cost of capital services, business structures 1919-83: constructed series described in Gordon and Veitch, this volume. 4. Total Manufacturing: Real Production, Shipments, and Inventories (Millions of 1929 Dollars) Year Month Production Shipments Inventories at End of Month 1929 1929 1929 January February March 13525.8 13429.0 13630.5 13248.3 13794.3 12884.3 13065.0 12901.2 843 Historical Data Total Manufacturing: Real Production, Shipments, and Inventories (continued) Year Month Production Shipments Inventories at End of Month 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1933 1933 April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February 13763.7 13902.4 14096.8 14187.1 14047.6 13827.0 13811.7 13218.5 13584.8 12576.7 12479.1 12197.5 12151.1 11807.6 11390.0 10899.1 10556.5 10457.3 10216.2 9994.4 9883.9 9773.5 9881.4 9900.9 9867.2 9704.1 9327.3 9312.4 8935.5 8579.6 8304.0 8204.4 8111.5 8018.5 7751.0 7300.2 6882.2 6692.3 6494.1 6315.9 6390.7 6970.3 7347.9 7243.4 7187.7 7106.3 6923.9 13676.4 13620.7 14197.8 13982.3 13846.6 13572.6 13704.0 12966.6 13770.5 12347.2 12553.7 12068.8 12192.8 11754.4 11130.0 10517.6 10416.5 10687.2 10474.0 9988.9 11226.1 9157.0 10038.6 10018.8 10010.7 9582.5 9273.2 9395.6 9070.8 8642.9 8517.8 8350.6 8946.8 7611.6 7761.0 7309.0 6913.3 6688.5 6709.3 6563.2 6511.1 7159.0 7608.7 7342.2 7882.2 6738.0 6889.2 12988.5 13270.2 13169.2 13374.0 13575.0 13829.4 13937.0 14188.9 14003.2 14232.7 14158.2 14286.9 14245.3 14298.5 14558.6 14940.1 15080.1 14850.2 14592.3 14597.8 13255.6 13872.1 13715.0 13597.1 13453.6 13575.2 13629.3 13546.2 13410.8 13347.6 13133.8 12987.6 12152.3 12559.2 12549.2 12540.4 12509.3 12513.2 12297.9 12050.7 11930.2 11741.5 11480.7 11381.9 10687.5 11055.8 11090.4 844 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Total Manufacturing: Real Production, Shipments, and Inventories (continued) Year 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1937 Month March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January Production 6257.9 6955.1 8087.7 9463.9 9614.9 9766.0 9386.6 8947.2 8343.0 8685.3 8701.6 9240.0 9605.3 9767.4 9796.1 9616.1 8949.7 8755.4 8383.2 8681.2 8625.7 9660.2 10230.5 10584.7 10401.1 10195.3 10032.4 10011.7 10417.3 10646.2 10972.3 11486.6 11634.8 11496.0 11498.9 11204.8 11530.8 12156.5 12491.6 12731.9 12955.3 12968.1 13185.9 13632.4 13843.1 13764.9 14139.5 Shipments 6251.0 7123.8 8421.3 9676.3 9872.3 9491.8 9289.2 8879.1 8070.2 7671.0 9304.3 9334.8 9529.5 9542.6 9753.2 9550.3 8812.8 8905.0 8622.2 8898.9 8725.7 9621.7 10530.8 10639.4 10375.3 10265.9 10086.1 10033.5 10352.0 10692.8 10893.2 11415.3 11630.1 11320.0 11443.2 11075.8 11437.0 12076.3 12255.8 12611.0 12939.6 12754.3 13007.8 13493.4 13814.4 13167.7 14228.4 Inventories at End of Month 11097.4 10928.7 10595.1 10382.8 10125.4 10399.6 10497.1 10565.2 10837.9 11852.2 11249.5 11154.8 11230.5 11455.3 11498.2 11564.1 11701.0 11551.4 11312.4 11094.6 10994.6 11033.1 10732.8 10678.2 10704.0 10633.5 10579.8 10557.9 10623.2 10576.5 10655.7 10727.0 10731.7 10907.6 10963.4 11092.4 11186.2 11266.4 11502.2 11623.2 11638.9 11852.7 12030.8 12169.7 12198.4 12795.6 12706.7 845 Historical Data Total Manufacturing: Real Production, Shipments, and Inventories (continued) Year Month Production Shipments Inventories at End of Month 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December 14583.1 15036.1 15130.6 15247.9 14890.4 14837.0 14448.9 13820.0 12899.8 11307.2 10529.3 9751.3 9964.9 10155.8 9902.5 9845.8 9827.7 10388.4 10868.2 11316.6 11584.4 11968.5 11616.6 12040.9 12316.7 12549.6 12465.9 12292.4 12670.0 12731.8 12694.4 13556.1 14657.9 14968.8 14462.0 14621.2 14269.7 14104.0 14129.1 14590.4 15123.6 15046.2 15340.8 15809.7 16371.9 16717.9 16684.5 14518.8 14796.3 14900.0 14952.7 14641.2 14832.9 14271.6 13446.9 12849.0 11322.4 11401.3 9346.9 9982.9 10423.5 9969.3 9986.5 10059.3 10566.6 10858.9 11311.2 11617.1 11815.3 12055.0 11554.9 12460.9 12579.5 12402.1 12263.2 12693.7 12521.3 12645.1 13986.6 14532.6 14477.9 13916.9 14265.4 14151.8 14050.2 14148.2 14500.4 14914.7 14848.7 15364.7 15616.5 16560.8 16468.6 16474.7 12771.0 13010.8 13241.3 13536.6 13785.7 13789.9 13967.2 14340.2 14391.0 14375.8 13503.9 13908.3 13890.3 13622.6 13555.8 13415.1 13183.5 13005.3 13014.5 13019.9 12987.2 13140.3 12701.9 13187.9 13043.8 13013.9 13077.7 13106.9 13083.2 13293.6 13342.9 12912.4 13037.8 13528.7 14073.9 14429.8 14547.7 14601.4 14582.3 14672.3 14881.2 15078.7 15054.7 15248.0 15059.1 15308.4 15518.2 846 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Total Manufacturing: Real Production, Shipments, and Inventories (continued) Year Month Production Shipments Inventories at End of Month 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December 17589.8 18382.9 19085.5 19522.1 20372.8 20815.3 21095.9 21089.8 21210.0 21397.6 21576.7 22168.8 22665.0 23161.2 23707.0 24281.1 24611.4 24894.8 25748.8 26238.8 26705.4 27353.1 27963.5 27658.1 17540.9 18025.8 19050.3 19469.8 20391.0 20771.1 20867.0 20959.5 21037.0 21170.3 20988.7 20901.1 23526.5 23192.2 23620.3 24192.7 24330.6 24577.8 25545.9 26165.7 26620.4 27325.3 27969.1 27522.0 15567.1 15924.3 15959.5 16011.7 15993.6 16037.7 16266.7 16397.0 16570.0 16797.0 17385.3 18653.1 17791.6 17760.6 17847.4 17935.8 18216.7 18533.7 18736.5 18809.7 18894.6 18922.4 18916.8 19052.9 s. Total Manufacturing: Nominal Production, Shipments, and Inventories (Millions of Current Dollars) Year Month Production Shipments Inventories at End of Month 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1929 1930 1930 January February March April May June July August September October November December January February 13591.5 13499.4 13770.8 13904.2 13980.6 14244.9 14327.7 14054.0 13777.8 13656.3 12942.0 13501.2 12319.7 12197.0 13317.8 13936.3 13816.0 13697.4 14347.0 14120.9 13853.0 13524.3 13549.9 12695.3 13685.8 12094.9 12269.8 12946.9 13133.5 13034.0 13121.0 13344.9 13307.6 13506.6 13581.2 13780.2 13780.2 13892.1 13917.0 13941.9 13838.0 847 Historical Data Total Manufacturing: Nominal Production, Shipments, and Inventories (continued) Year Month Production Shipments Inventories at End of Month 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1930 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1931 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1934 March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January 11821.1 11722.3 11334.6 10725.2 9961.6 9538.5 9454.1 9157.1 8844.0 9140.1 8482.3 8486.8 8406.3 8224.9 7962.1 7554.2 7478.9 7142.9 6797.0 6548.6 6451.5 6578.7 6156.8 5921.5 5568.9 5212.4 5023.9 4842.2 4700.9 4722.3 5113.5 5375.7 5277.0 5242.6 5044.4 4862.6 4386.0 4866.3 5801.0 6949.7 7332.4 7489.4 7315.4 7102.1 6604.9 6482.3 7028.7 11696.3 11762.4 11283.5 10480.3 9612.9 9412.0 9662.0 9388.2 8839.1 10381.3 7947.2 8621.7 8506.4 8344.5 7862.3 7510.3 7545.7 7251.1 6847.1 6717.3 6566.5 7256.2 5844.4 5929.1 5575.6 5235.9 5021.1 5002.7 4884.9 4811.3 5251.9 5566.5 5348.9 5858.8 4782.9 4838.3 4381.1 4984.3 6040.2 7105.6 7528.7 7279.1 7239.5 7048.1 6389.0 5725.3 7515.5 13846.0 13742.5 13725.7 13708.8 13655.1 13625.9 13425.6 13079.6 12917.5 12258.0 12039.3 11779.3 11544.5 11214.3 11138.2 11038.4 10879.1 10720.4 10574.3 10357.5 10212.8 9856.0 9643.3 9587.1 9566.3 9474.2 9393.6 9169.8 8969.1 8815.6 8613.7 8399.2 8292.0 7944.0 7847.9 7788.8 7777.8 7646.5 7599.4 7624.5 7721.7 7975.3 8180.9 8386.5 8580.1 8846.0 9086.7 848 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Total Manufacturing: Nominal Production, Shipments, and Inventories (continued) Year Month Production Shipments Inventories at End of Month 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1934 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1935 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1936 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 1937 February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December 7592.0 7905.5 8008.0 8127.2 7995.1 7393.0 7248.5 7002.7 7250.5 7218.1 8018.4 8773.6 9187.0 9044.4 8906.8 8802.2 8741.5 9021.4 9252.5 9526.2 10028.5 10179.3 10059.8 10046.0 9789.9 9959.0 10511.8 10692.3 10910.5 11165.4 11212.2 11359.4 11804.2 12104.7 12017.2 12721.5 13222.4 13780.2 13998.5 14172.0 13868.6 13911.6 13521.1 12912.3 11994.6 10370.1 9787.9 7669.9 7843.1 7823.7 8091.6 7940.3 7279.9 7372.3 7202.3 7432.4 7301.8 7986.4 9031.1 9234.4 9022.0 8968.5 8849.3 8750.6 8964.9 9293.1 9457.5 9966.2 10175.2 9905.9 9997.3 9677.2 9878.0 10442.4 10490.5 10806.9 11151.9 11027.4 11206.0 11683.9 12079.6 11495.9 12801.5 13164.1 13560.5 13785.2 13897.6 13636.5 13907.7 13355.2 12563.8 11947.5 10384.0 10598.4 9165.3 9243.2 9391.8 9539.3 9614.7 9665.6 9563.2 9449.5 9266.2 9200.4 9158.0 9204.4 9268.1 9307.8 9289.6 9282.5 9218.4 9199.7 9192.0 9251.3 9365.3 9389.2 9545.0 9578.1 9691.7 9661.4 9742.1 9845.4 9960.4 10030.9 10247.9 10364.3 10537.8 10666.6 11171.0 11432.4 11579.4 11924.0 12250.6 12581.4 12839.8 12929.8 13070.3 13398.4 13381.3 13184.5 12553.0 849 Historical Data Total Manufacturing: Nominal Production, Shipments, and Inventories (continued) Year Month Production Shipments Inventories at End of Month 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1938 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1939 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1940 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 1941 January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November 8706.4 8810.0 8980.9 8665.7 8577.4 8579.4 9049.1 9361.8 9715.1 9910.5 10177.1 10196.3 10199.3 10486.6 10667.6 10566.1 10406.5 10703.7 10648.8 10589.2 11662.4 12723.4 12958.2 12451.2 12643.8 12326.7 12118.6 12136.0 12542.8 12907.7 12868.5 13119.5 13550.8 14184.9 14577.5 14558.7 15543.3 16276.5 17015.6 17637.4 18730.0 19534.3 20110.7 20394.0 20744.1 21230.2 21391.6 8345.4 8825.9 9217.7 8724.1 8700.0 8781.6 9204.4 9353.8 9710.5 9938.5 10046.8 10581.1 9787.6 10609.3 10693.0 10512.0 10381.8 10723.7 10472.8 10548.0 12032.8 12614.7 12533.2 11981.9 12336.0 12224.9 12072.5 12152.4 12465.4 12729.4 12699.6 13139.9 13385.1 14348.5 14360.2 14375.6 15500.0 15960.3 16984.2 17590.2 18746.7 19492.8 19892.5 20268.1 20575.0 21004.7 20808.6 12418.0 12280.5 12046.6 11862.6 11686.9 11508.9 11328.7 11210.6 11177.3 11110.6 11173.5 11149.0 11170.9 11105.7 11062.3 11084.6 11096.0 11052.7 11118.8 11130.1 11108.7 11317.1 11711.6 12117.0 12478.2 12566.9 12546.1 12525.3 12613.2 12700.8 12896.3 12874.8 13069.3 13047.4 13348.5 13541.0 13755.9 14099.6 14228.6 14465.9 14703.9 15050.8 15507.1 15856.0 16206.0 16665.9 17236.1 850 Nathan S. Balke/Robert J. Gordon Total Manufacturing: Nominal Production, Shipments, and Inventories (continued) Year Month Production Shipments Inventories at End of Month 1941 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 1942 December January February March April May June July August September October November December 21164.5 23103.5 23792.9 24525.4 25291.3 25682.9 25974.5 26875.0 27432.4 27949.1 28742.8 29392.9 29181.4 19954.2 23981.6 23824.7 24435.7 25199.3 25389.8 25643.8 26663.3 27355.9 27860.1 18713.6 29398.8 29037.8 17808.0 18135.8 18245.0 18463.5 18682.0 19009.8 19337.5 19556.0 19665.3 19774.5 19883.8 19883.8 20102.3