ARTICLES Articles Intensive blood-glucose control with sulphonylureas or insulin compared with conventional treatment and risk of complications in patients with type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 33) UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Group* Summary Background Improved blood-glucose control decreases the progression of diabetic microvascular disease, but the effect on macrovascular complications is unknown. There is concern that sulphonylureas may increase cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes and that high insulin concentrations may enhance atheroma formation. We compared the effects of intensive blood-glucose control with either sulphonylurea or insulin and conventional treatment on the risk of microvascular and macrovascular complications in patients with type 2 diabetes in a randomised controlled trial. Methods 3867 newly diagnosed patients with type 2 diabetes, median age 54 years (IQR 48–60 years), who after 3 months’ diet treatment had a mean of two fasting plasma glucose (FPG) concentrations of 6·1–15·0 mmol/L were randomly assigned intensive policy with a sulphonylurea (chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, or glipizide) or with insulin, or conventional policy with diet. The aim in the intensive group was FPG less than 6 mmol/L. In the conventional group, the aim was the best achievable FPG with diet alone; drugs were added only if there were hyperglycaemic symptoms or FPG greater than 15 mmol/L. Three aggregate endpoints were used to assess differences between conventional and intensive treatment: any diabetes-related endpoint (sudden death, death from hyperglycaemia or hypoglycaemia, fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction, angina, heart failure, stroke, renal failure, amputation [of at least one digit], vitreous haemorrhage, retinopathy requiring photocoagulation, blindness in one eye, or cataract extraction); diabetes-related death (death from myocardial infarction, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, renal disease, hyperglycaemia or hypoglycaemia, and sudden death); all-cause mortality. Single clinical endpoints and surrogate subclinical endpoints were also assessed. All analyses were by intention to treat and frequency of hypoglycaemia was also analysed by actual therapy. *Study organisation given at end of paper Correspondence to: Prof Robert Turner, UKPDS Group, Diabetes Research Laboratories, Radcliffe Infirmary, Oxford OX2 6HE, UK THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 Findings Over 10 years, haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) was 7·0% (6·2–8·2) in the intensive group compared with 7·9% (6·9–8·8) in the conventional group—an 11% reduction. There was no difference in HbA1c among agents in the intensive group. Compared with the conventional group, the risk in the intensive group was 12% lower (95% CI 1–21, p=0·029) for any diabetes-related endpoint; 10% lower (–11 to 27, p=0·34) for any diabetes-related death; and 6% lower (–10 to 20, p=0·44) for all-cause mortality. Most of the risk reduction in the any diabetes-related aggregate endpoint was due to a 25% risk reduction (7–40, p=0·0099) in microvascular endpoints, including the need for retinal photocoagulation. There was no difference for any of the three aggregate endpoints between the three intensive agents (chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, or insulin). Patients in the intensive group had more hypoglycaemic episodes than those in the conventional group on both types of analysis (both p<0·0001). The rates of major hypoglycaemic episodes per year were 0·7% with conventional treatment, 1·0% with chlorpropamide, 1·4% with glibenclamide, and 1·8% with insulin. Weight gain was significantly higher in the intensive group (mean 2·9 kg) than in the conventional group (p<0·001), and patients assigned insulin had a greater gain in weight (4·0 kg) than those assigned chlorpropamide (2·6 kg) or glibenclamide (1·7 kg). Interpretation Intensive blood-glucose control by either sulphonylureas or insulin substantially decreases the risk of microvascular complications, but not macrovascular disease, in patients with type 2 diabetes. None of the individual drugs had an adverse effect on cardiovascular outcomes. All intensive treatment increased the risk of hypoglycaemia. Lancet 1998; 352: 837–53 See Commentary page xxx Introduction Started in 1977, the UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) was designed to establish whether, in patients with type 2 diabetes, intensive blood-glucose control reduced the risk of macrovascular or microvascular complications, and whether any particular therapy was advantageous. Most intervention studies have assessed microvascular disease: improved glucose control has delayed the 837 ARTICLES Figure 1: Trial profile development and progression of retinopathy, nephropathy, and neuropathy in patients with type 1 diabetes1,2 and those with type 2 diabetes.3 In the UK, 9% of patients with type 2 diabetes develop microvascular disease within 9 years of diagnosis, but 20% have a macrovascular complication—and macrovascular disease accounts for 59% of deaths in these patients.4 Epidemiological studies of the general population have shown an increased risk of cardiovascular disease with concentrations of fasting glucose or haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) just above the normal range.5,6 The only previous large-scale randomised trial in type 2 diabetes, the University Group Diabetes Program (UGDP),7 followed 1000 patients assigned different therapies for about 5·5 years (range 3–8 years) and found no evidence that improved glucose control, by any therapy, reduced the risk of cardiovascular endpoints. That study did, however, report increased risk of cardiovascular mortality in patients allocated the sulphonylurea, tolbutamide, and this unexpected finding introduced new hypotheses.8 These hypotheses included increased myocardial damage from inhibition of ATP-K+ channel opening in the presence of myocardial ischaemia9 due to sulphonylurea binding to the cardiovascular SUR2 receptor—an event that could also increase the likelihood of ventricular arrhythmia.10 An increase in atherosclerosis with insulin treatment has also been suggested, since plasma insulin concentrations are supraphysiological.11,12 838 We report the final results of our study of intensive blood-glucose control policy, with sulphonylurea or insulin therapy, compared with conventional treatment policy with diet, on the risk of microvascular and macrovascular clinical complications. We also investigated whether there was any particular benefit or risk with sulphonylurea or insulin therapy. Methods Patients Between 1977 and 1991, general practitioners in the catchment areas of the 23 participating UKPDS hospitals were asked to refer all patients with newly diagnosed diabetes aged 25–65 years. Patients generally attended a UKPDS clinic within 2 weeks of referral. Patients who had a fasting plasma glucose (FPG) greater than 6 mmol/L on two mornings, 1–3 weeks apart, were eligible for the study. An FPG of 6 mmol/L was selected because this was just above the upper limit of normal for our reference range. The exclusion criteria were: ketonuria more than 3 mmol/L; serum creatinine greater than 175 µmol/L; myocardial infarction in the previous year; current angina or heart failure; more than one major vascular event; retinopathy requiring laser treatment; malignant hypertension; uncorrected endocrine disorder; occupation that precluded insulin therapy (eg, driver of heavy goods vehicle); severe concurrent illness that would limit life or require extensive systemic treatment; inadequate understanding; and unwillingness to enter the study. 7616 patients were referred and 5102 were recruited (58% male). The 2514 patients excluded were similar in age, sex, and glycaemic status to those recruited. The study design and protocol amendments, which conform with the guidelines of the THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Conventional (n=1138) Intensive (n=2729) All patients (n=3867) Demographic Age (years)* M/F Ethnicity (%) Caucasian/Indian Asian/Afro-Caribbean/Other 53·4 (8·6) 705/433 81/11/7/1 53·2 (8·6) 649/444 81/10/8/1 53·3 (8·6) 2359/1508 81/10/8/1 Clinical Weight (kg)* Body-mass index (kg/m2)* Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg)* Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg)* Smoking (%) never/ex/current Alcohol (%) none/social/regular/dependent Exercise (%) sedentary/moderately active/active/fit 78·1 (16·3) 27·8 (5·5) 135 (19) 82 (10) 34/35/31 26/56/18/2 20/37/39/4 77·3 (15·4) 27·5 (5·1) 135 (20) 83 (10) 35/35/30 24/56/17/1 21/34/40/5 Biochemical FPG (mmol/L)† HBA1c (%)* Plasma insulin (pmol/L)‡ Triglyceride (mmol/L)‡ Total cholesterol (mmol/L)* LDL-cholesterol (mmol/L)* HDL-cholesterol (mmol/L)* 8·0 (7·1–9·6) 7·05 (1·42) 91 (52–159) 2·31 (0·84–6·35) 5·4 (1·02) 3·5 (0·99) 1·08 (0·24) 77·5 (15·5) 27·5 (5·2) 135 (20) 82 (10) 34/35/31 22/56/18/1 20/35/40/5 8·1 (7·1–9·8) 7·09 (1·54) 92 (52–159) 2·37 (0·85–6·63) 5·4 (1·12) 3·5 (1·0) 1·07 (0·25) 8·0 (7·1–9·7) 7·08 (1·51) 92 (52–160) 2·35 (0·84–6·55) 5·4 (1·1) 3·5 (1·0) 1·07 (0·24) Medications More than one asprin daily (%) Diuretic (%) Others (%) digoxin/antihypertensive/lipid lowering/HRT or OC 1·5 13 0·9/12/0·3/0·9 1·7 13 1·3/12/0·3/0·7 1·6 13 1·1/12/0·3/0·8 Surrogate clinical endpoints Retinopathy (%) Proteinuria (%) Plasma creatinine (mmol/L)‡ Biothesiometer more than 25 volts (%) 36 2·1 81 (66–99) 11·4 36 1·7 82 (67–100) 11·8 36 1·9 81 (67–100) 11·5 Data are % of group, *mean (SD), †median (IQR), or ‡geometric mean (1 SD). HRT=hormone replacement therapy. OC=oral contraceptive therapy. Table 1: Baseline characteristics of patients in conventional and intensive-treatment groups Declarations of Helsinki (1975 and 1983), were approved by the Central Oxford Research Ethics Committee and by the equivalent committees at each centre. Each patient gave informed witnessed consent. about 50% of calories from carbohydrates; overweight patients were advised to reduce energy content.13 After the run-in, a mean FPG was calculated from measurements on 3 days over 2 weeks. Dietary run-in Definitions Patients had a 3-month dietary run-in during which they attended a monthly UKPDS clinic and were seen by a physician and dietician. The patients were advised to follow diets that were low saturated fat, moderately high fibre and had Marked hyperglycaemia was defined as FPG greater than 15 mmol/L, symptoms of hyperglycaemia, or both, in the absence of intercurrent illness. Hyperglycaemic symptoms included thirst and polyuria. Conventional (n=896) Chlorpropamide (n=619) Glibenclamide (n=615) Insulin (n=911) All patients (n=3041) Demographic Age (years)* M/F Ethnicity (%) Caucasian/Indian Asian/Afro Caribbean/Other 54 (9) 555/341 83/9/7/1 54 (9) 359/260 79/10/11/0 54 (8) 381/234 84/8/7/1 54 (8) 656/346 82/8/9/1 54 (8) 1885/1156 82/8/9/1 Clinical Weight (kg)* Body-mass index (kg/m2)* Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg)* Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg)* Smoking (%) never/ex/current Alcohol (%) none/social/regular/dependent Exercise (%) sedentary/moderately active/active/fit 77 (16) 27·5 (5·3) 136 (19) 83 (10) 34/34/32 24/55/20/1 18/38/40/4 75 (15) 27·0 (4·9) 136 (19) 83 (10) 38/31/31 26/52/21/1 19/37/40/4 77 (14) 27·4 (5·0) 136 (19) 83 (10) 32/38/30 22/58/19/1 18/32/44/6 76 (14) 27·0 (4·8) 136 (20) 83 (11) 34/36/30 24/57/18/1 21/35/40/4 76 (15) 27·2 (5·0) 136 (19) 83 (10) 35/35/30 24/57/18/1 19/36/41/4 Biochemical FPG (mmol/L)† HBA1c (%)* Plasma insulin (pmol/L)‡ Triglyceride (mmol/L)‡ Total cholesterol (mmol/L)* LDL-cholesterol (mmol/L)* HDL-cholesterol (mmol/L)* Medications More than one asprin daily (%) Diuretic (%) Others (%) digoxin/antihypertensive/lipid lowering/ HRT or OC Surrogate clinical endpoints Retinopathy (%) Proteinuria (%) Plasma creatinine (mmol/L)‡ Biothesiometer more than 25 volts (%) 7·9 (7·1–9·4) 6·2 (1·2) 89 (51–156) 2·43 (0·86–6·92) 5·4 (1·03) 3·5 (0·99) 1·07 (0·23) 8·0 (7·1–9·7) 6·3 (1·4) 90 (51–160) 2·58 (0·88–7·55) 5·5 (1·15) 3·5 (1·05) 1·08 (0·25) 8·0 (7·2–9·6) 6·3 (1·3) 91 (52–160) 2·37 (0·84–6·72) 5·5 (1·11) 3·5 (1·00) 1·09 (0·25) 8·1 (7·1–9·9) 6·1 (1·1) 90 (52–156) 2·48 (0·85–7·25) 5·4 (1·13) 3·5 (1·03) 1·07 (0·25) 8·0 (7·1–9·6) 6·2 (1·2) 90 (52–156) 2·46 (0·86–7·10) 5·4 (1·10) 3·5 (1·02) 1·08 (0·24) 1·2 13 0·5/12·2/0·1/0·3 1·5 12 1·0/11·2/0·3/0·3 1·1 15 1·3/11·3/0/0·5 1·8 14 1·3/10·7/0·2/0·7 1·4 14 1·0/11·6/0·3/0·5 38 2·2 80 (66–97) 12·1 40 1·7 81 (67–82) 10·1 30 2·1 82 (67–99) 15·2 38 1·5 81 (67–99) 12·1 38 1·9 81 (67–99) 12·3 Data are % of group, *mean (SD), †median (IQR), or ‡geometric mean (1 SD). HRT=hormone replacement therapy. OC=oral contraceptive therapy. Table 2: Baseline characteristics of patients in conventional group and individual intensive groups THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 839 ARTICLES Assigned therapy in 15 centres (32 406 person-years) Assigned therapy in all 23 centres (38 263 person-years) Conventional (n=896) Chlorpropamide (n=619) Glibenclamide (n=615) Insulin (n=911) Total person-years 9491 6562 6573 Actual therapy (person years) Diet alone Chlorpropamide alone or in combination Glibenclamide alone or in combination Glipizide alone or in combination Metformin alone or in combination Insulin 5495 (58%) 621 (7%) 1699 (18%) 47 (0·5%) 1105 (12%) 1458 (15%) 409 (6%) 5266 (80%) 483 (7%) 28 (0·4%) 900 (14%) 615 (9%) 432 (7%) 126 (2%) 5467 (83%) 17 (0·3%) 1319 (20%) 681 (10%) Conventional (n=1138) Intensive (n=2729) 9780 11 188 27 075 1896 (19%) 66 (1%) 823 (8%) 58 (1%) 329 (3%) 7215 (74%) 6490 (58%) 743 (7%) 1715 (15%) 281 (3%) 1132 (10%) 1809 (16%) 3206 (12%) 6372 (24%) 6789 (25%) 1359 (5%) 2581 (10%) 10 413 (38%) Table 3: Person-years of follow-up on assigned and actual therapies for first 15 and all centres Randomisation The flow of patients in the study is shown in figure 1. Patients were stratified by ideal bodyweight (overweight was >120% ideal bodyweight).14 Non-overweight patients were randomly assigned intensive treatment with insulin (30%), intensive treatment with sulphonylurea (40%: equal proportions in the first 15 centres to chlorpropamide or glibenclamide, and in the last eight centres to chorpropamide or glipizide), or conventional treatment with diet (30%). The non-balanced randomisation was chosen so that there were sufficient patients in the two sulphonylurea groups to allow comparison between the first-generation and second-generation drugs. Overweight patients were randomly assigned treatment with the additional possibility of metformin: intensive treatment with insulin (24%), intensive treatment with sulphonylurea with equal proportions of patients on chlorpropamide and glibenclamide (32%), intensive treatment with metformin (20%), and conventional treatment with diet (24%). The 342 overweight patients who were randomly allocated metformin therapy are reported separately, as intended per protocol.15 Randomisation was by means of centrally produced, computer-generated therapy allocations in sealed, opaque envelopes which were opened in sequence. The numerical sequence of envelopes used, the dates they were opened, and the therapies stipulated were monitored. The trial was open once patients were randomised. No placebo treatments were given. Conventional treatment policy concentrations, a letter was sent from the coordinating center with advice on necessary changes in therapy. Patients assigned insulin started on once daily ultralente insulin (Ultratard HM, Novo-Nordisk, Crawley, UK or Humulin Zn, Eli-Lilly, Basingstoke, UK) or isophane insulin. If the daily dose was more than 14 units (U) or pre-meal or bed-time home bloodglucose measurements were more than 7 mmol/L, a short-acting insulin, usually soluble (regular) insulin was added—ie, basal/bolus regimen. Patients on more than 14 U insulin per day, or on short-acting insulins, were particularly encouraged to do regular home-glucose monitoring. Protocol and amendments The original protocol for the first 15 centres stipulated that patients continue their assigned treatment (diet, chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, metformin, or insulin) for as long as possible to achieve maximum exposure to each therapy alone and thus find out whether there were differences in response to each agent. Additional therapies were added to those allocated to diet, sulphonylurea, or metformin only when marked hyperglycaemia developed. For patients on sulphonylureas, metformin was added; but if marked hyperglycaemia recurred, patients were changed to insulin therapy. Metformin was used to a maximum of 2550 mg per day. When the progressive hyperglycaemia in all groups became apparent, the protocol was amended to allow the early addition of metformin when, on maximum doses of sulphonylurea, FPG was greater than 6 mmol/L in symptomless patients in the intensive group. Patients were changed to insulin therapy if marked hyperglycaemia recurred. When the last eight centres were recruited in 1988, patients allocated sulphonylurea had insulin added early, rather than metformin, when on maximum doses of sulphonylurea FPG was greater than 6 mmol/L. The aim in this group was to maintain FPG below 15 mmol/L without symptoms of hyperglycaemia. Patients attended UKPDS clinics every 3 months and received dietary advice from a dietician with the aim of maintaining near-normal bodyweight. If marked hyperglycaemia or symptoms occurred, patients were secondarily randomised to treatment with sulphonylurea or insulin therapy, with the additional option of metformin in overweight patients; this was a separate stratified randomisation from the original randomisation, but with the same proportions allocated sulphonylurea and insulin.13 If marked hyperglycaemia recurred in participants secondarily allocated sulphonylurea, metformin was added, and in those secondarily allocated metformin, glibenclamide was added. Patients with marked hyperglycaemia or symptoms on both agents were changed to insulin. Throughout, the aim of FPG below 15 mmol/L without symptoms was maintained. Clinical centres were advised by automatically generated letters when patients allocated conventional treatment received inappropriate pharmacological therapy. 1148 UKPDS patients were in the Hypertension in Diabetes Study (HDS).16 This study, which started in 1987, randomly allocated hypertensive patients to a tight blood-pressure-control treatment that aimed for a blood pressure of 150/85 mm Hg or lower with either captopril or atenolol or, to a less tight bloodpressure-control treatment that aimed for a blood pressure of 180/105 mm Hg or lower but avoided the use of captopril and atenolol. The UKPDS Acarbose Study17 started in 1994 and randomly allocated 1946 patients to additional double-blind, placebo-controlled therapy with acarbose for 3 years— irrespective of their blood-glucose and blood-pressure control allocations. Intensive treatment policy Clinic visits The aim of intensive treatment was FPG less than 6 mmol/L and, in insulin-treated patients, pre-meal glucose concentrations of 4–7 mmol/L. These patients also continued to receive dietary advice from a dietician. The daily doses of the sulphonylureas used were: chlorpropamide 100–500 mg; glibenclamide 2·5–20 mg; and glipizide 2·5–40 mg. Whenever glucose concentrations were above target Patients attended morning clinics every 3 months or more frequently as needed to attain glycaemic control. From 1990, the routine clinic visits were every 4 months. Patients fasted from 2200 h the night before for plasma glucose and other biochemical measurements, and did not take their allocated treatment on the morning of the clinic visit. At each visit plasma glucose, blood pressure, and weight 840 Embedded studies THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Figure 2: Cross-sectional and 10-year cohort data for FPG, HbA1c, weight, and fasting plasma insulin in patients on intensive or conventional treatment were measured, and therapy was adjusted if necessary. From a checklist we asked about all medications, hypoglycaemic episodes, home blood-glucose measurements, illness, time off work, admissions to hospital, general symptoms including any drug side-effects, and clinical events. Hypoglycaemic episodes were defined as minor if the patient was able to treat the symptoms unaided, or major if third-party help or medical intervention was necessary. Details of all major hypoglycaemic episodes were audited to ensure the coding was appropriate. At entry, randomisation, 6 months, 1 year, and annually thereafter a fasting blood sample was taken for measurement of HbA1c, plasma creatinine (annually from 1989), triglyceride, total cholesterol, LDL-cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, insulin, and insulin antibodies. Every year, urinary albumin and creatinine were measured in a random urine sample. At entry and then every 3 years all patients had a full clinical examination. At these reviews, a 12-lead electrocardiogram was recorded and Minnesota coded13 and a posterior-anterior chest radiograph taken for measurement of cardiac diameter. Doppler blood pressure was measured in both legs and in the right arm. Visual acuity was measured with a Snellen chart until 1989 and subsequently with an Early Treatment of Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) chart.13 The best attainable vision was assessed with the patient’s usual spectacles or with a pinhole. Direct ophthalmoscopy with pupil dilation was carried out every THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 3 years. Since 1982, retinal colour 30º photographs of four fields per eye (nasal, disc, macula, and temporal-to-macula fields) were taken with additional stereo photographs of the macula; poor quality photographs were repeated. Two assessors at a single centre reviewed the photographs for diabetic retinopathy; any fields with retinopathy were graded by two other assessors by a modified ETDRS final scale.13 Neuropathy was assessed clinically by knee and ankle reflexes and by biothesiometer (Biomedical Instruments Co, Newbury, OH, USA) readings at the lateral malleolus and at the end of the big toe.13 Autonomic neuropathy was assessed by: R-R intervals measured on electrocardiograms at expiration and inspiration on deep breathing for five cycles; change in R-R interval on standing; basal heart rate during deep breathing; lying and standing blood pressure; and, in men, self-reported erectile dysfunction. These assessments, including visual acuity, grading of photographs, and Minnesota coding, were carried out by staff from whom the allocations and actual therapies were concealed. Biochemistry Methods have been reported previously.18 Plasma glucose analysers were monitored monthly in each clinical centre by the UKPDS Glucose Quality Assurance Scheme; the mean interlaboratory imprecision was 4% and values were 841 ARTICLES Figure 3: Cross-sectional and 10-year cohort data for FPG, HbA1c, weight, and fasting plasma insulin in patients on chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, or insulin, or conventional treatment within 0·1 mmol/L of those obtained by UK External Quality Assessment Scheme. Plasma creatinine, urea, and urate were measured in the clinical chemistry laboratories at the clinical centres. Blood, plasma and urine samples were transported overnight at 4°C to the central biochemistry laboratory for all other measurements. HbA1c was measured by high-performance liquid chromatography (Biorad Diamat Automated Glycosylated Haemoglobin Analyser, Hemel Hempstead, UK), and the normal range is 4·5–6·2%.18 By comparison with the US National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program, HbA1c(UKPDS)=1·104 HbA1c(DCCT)–0·7336, (r=0·99, n=40). From 1988 urine albumin was measured by an immunoturbidimetric method (reference range 1·4–36·5 mg/L).18 Microalbuminuria has been defined for this study as a urinary albumin concentration greater than 50 mg/L due to initial storage of urine samples at –20°C between 1979 and 1988, and clinical-grade proteinuria as urinary albumin concentrations greater than 300 mg/L.19 Insulin was measured by double-antibody radioimmunoassay (Pharmacia RIA 100 842 Pharmacia Upjohn, Milton Keynes, UK) with 100% cross-reaction to intact proinsulin and 25% to 32/33 split proinsulin. Clinical endpoints 21 clinical endpoints were predefined in the study protocol in 198113 and are listed later. Particular disorders were defined: myocardial infarction by WHO clinical criteria with electrocardiogram/enzyme changes or new pathological Q wave; angina by WHO clinical criteria and confirmed by a new electrocardiogram abnormality or positive exercise test; heart failure (not associated with myocardial infarction), by clinical symptoms confirmed by Kerley B lines, râles, raised jugular venous pressure, or third heart sound; major stroke by symptoms or signs for 1 month or longer; limb amputation as amputation of at least one digit; blindness in one eye by WHO criteria with Snellen-chart visual acuity of 6/60 or worse, or ETDRS logMAR 1·0 or worse, for 3 months; and renal failure by dialysis or plasma creatinine greater than 250 µmol/L not THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Figure 4: Proportion of patients with aggregate and single endpoints by intensive and conventional treatment and relative risks related to any acute intercurrent illness. The clinical decision for photocoagulation or cataract extraction was made by ophthalmologists independent of the trial. Aggregate endpoints were defined by the Data-Monitoring and Ethics Committee in 1981 as time to the first occurrence of: any diabetes-related endpoint (sudden death, death from hyperglycaemia or hypoglycaemia, fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction, angina, heart failure, stroke, renal failure, amputation [of at least one digit], vitreous haemorrhage, retinal photocoagulation, blindness in one eye, or cataract extraction); diabetes-related death (death from myocardial infarction, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, renal disease, hyperglycaemia or hypoglycaemia, and sudden death); all-cause mortality. These aggregates were used to assess the difference between conventional and intensive treatment. To investigate differences among chlorpropamide, insulin, and glibenclamide, four additional clinical-endpoint aggregates were used: myocardial infarction (fatal and non-fatal) and sudden death; stroke (fatal and non-fatal); amputation or death due to peripheral vascular disease; and microvascular complications (retinopathy requiring photocoagulation, vitreous haemorrhage, and or fatal or non-fatal renal failure). Surrogate endpoints Subclinical, surrogate variables were assessed every 3 years. The criteria were: for neuropathy—loss of both ankle or both knee reflexes or mean biothesiometer reading from both toes 25 V or greater; for autonomic neuropathy—R-R interval less than the age-adjusted normal range (a ratio <1·03 of the longest R-R interval at approximately beat 30 to the shortest at approximately beat 15); for orthostatic hypotension—systolic fall of 30 mm Hg or more, or diastolic fall of 10 mm Hg or more; and for impotence—no ejaculation or erection. Retinopathy was defined as one microaneurysm or more in one eye or worse retinopathy, and progression of retinopathy as a two-step change in grade. Poor visual acuity was: logMAR more than 0·3 (unable to drive a car), more than 0·7 (US definition of blindness), and logMAR 1·0 or greater (WHO definition of blindness). Deterioration of vision was defined as a THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 three-line deterioration in reading an ETDRS chart. Ischaemic heart disease by Minnesota coding was either WHO grade 1 (possible coronary heart disease) or grade 2 (probable coronary heart disease). Left-ventricular hypertrophy was a cardiothoracic ratio 0·5 or greater. The study closed on Sept 30, 1997. All available information for each endpoint, such as admission notes, operation records, death certificates, and necropsy reports, were gathered. The file, with no reference to assigned or actual therapy, was reviewed independently by two physicians who assigned appropriate International Classification of Disease–9 codes.20 Any disagreements between the two assessors were discussed and the evidence reviewed; if agreement was not possible the file was submitted to two different assessors for final arbitration. Statistical analysis When the UKPDS started in the late 1970s, it was thought that improved blood-glucose control might reduce the incidence of diabetes-related endpoints by 40%. This seemed reasonable since the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with diabetes is at least twice that of people with normal glucose tolerance and microvascular complications do not occur in the normoglycaemic population. The first three aggregate endpoints were defined and, for death and major cardiovascular events (the stopping criteria), the original power calculation to find a 40% difference between the intensive and conventional groups was a sample size of 3600 with 81% power at the 1% level of significance. However, by 1987 no risk reduction was seen in any of these aggregates and it became obvious a 40% advantage was unlikely to be obtained. The publication of other intervention studies of chronic diseases in the mid 1980s suggested that a more realistic goal would be a difference of 15%. Accordingly, the study was extended to include randomisation of 3867 patients with a median time from randomisation of 11 years to the end of the study in 1997. In 1992, at the 1% level of significance, the power for any diabetes-related endpoint and for diabetesrelated death was calculated as 81% and 23%, respectively. There was the same proportion of patients in the 843 ARTICLES Figure 5: Proportion of patients with aggregate and single endpoints by individual intensive treatment and conventional treatment and relative risks Key as for figure 4. non-overweight and overweight stratifications assigned intensive and conventional treatment, and, within the intensive group, sulphonylurea or insulin treatment, and thus the non-overweight and overweight patients are analysed together. The 3867 patients from all 23 centres were included in the analyses of conventional and intensive treatment. The analysis among chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, or insulin in the intensive group used only 3041 patients from the first 15 centres where patients had remained for longer periods on monotherapy until marked hyperglycaemia occurred. Intention-to-treat analysis was used to compare outcomes between the intensive and conventional treatment groups and between the patients on conventional treatment and those on each of the intensive treatment agents. All analyses of significance were two-sided (2p). Life-table analyses were done with log-rank tests. Hazard ratios, used to estimate relative risks, were obtained from Cox proportionalhazards models. In the text, the relative risks are quoted in terms of risk reduction. For the clinical endpoint aggregates, 95% CI are quoted. For single endpoints and surrogate variables 99% CI are given to make allowance for potential type I errors. Mean (SD), geometric mean (1SD interval), or median (IQR) have 844 been quoted for the biometric and biochemical variables, with Wilcoxon, t test, or χ2 for comparison tests. Risk reductions for categorical variables were derived from relative risks obtained from frequency tables. Survival-function estimates were calculated by the product-limit (Kaplan-Meier) method. Yearly averaged data for weight and FPG were calculated as the median of three consecutive visits for each patient—ie, the annual visit, and the 3 month visit before and after this. HbA1c data were from the annual assessment but overall values for HbA1c during a period were the median for each patient for each allocation. Glucose control and HbA1c were assessed both cross-sectionally and in the cohort with 10 years’ follow-up. Urine albumin was assessed in mg/L with no adjustment for urine creatinine concentration.21 Data for albuminuria at the triennial visit were the median of that year and the years before and after. Hypoglycaemic episodes in each year were analysed both by intention to treat and by actual therapy. Safety The Data-monitoring and Ethics Committee reviewed the endpoint analyses every 6 months to decide whether to stop or modify the study according to predetermined guidelines. These THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Figure 5: Continued guidelines included a difference of 3 SD or more by log-rank test in the three aggregate endpoints between intensive and conventional blood-glucose control groups.13 The stopping criteria were not attained. Results Background and biochemical data 4763 (93%) of 5102 patients had mean FPG of 7·0 mmol/L or more (American Diabetes Association criteria),22 and 4396 (86%) of 5102 had values greater than 7·8 mmol/L (WHO criteria).23 Baseline characteristics of the 3867 patients assigned conventional or intensive treatment are given in table 1. The baseline characteristics of the 3041 patients in the comparison of conventional treatment with each of the three intensive agents are in table 2. The median follow-up for endpoint analyses was 10·0 years (IQR 7·7–12·4). The median follow-up for the comparison of conventional treatment with each of the three intensive agents was 11·1 years (9·0–13·0). The THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 percentage of total person-years for which the assigned or other therapies were taken in the conventional or intensive groups are shown in table 3. At the end of the trial, the vital status of 76 (2·0%) patients who had emigrated was not known; 57 and 19 in intensive and conventional groups, respectively, which reflects the 70/30 randomisation. A further 91 (2·4%) patients (65 in the intensive group) could not be contacted in the last year of the study for assessment of clinical endpoints. The corresponding numbers for comparison of the individual intensive agents were 69 (2·7%) emigrated and 63 (2·1%) not contactable. In the conventional group, the FPG and HbA1c increased steadily over 10 years from randomisation in both the cohort study of 461 patients and in the cross-sectional data at each year (figure 2). In the intensive group, there was an initial decrease in FPG and HbA1c in the first year, both in the 10 year cohort of 1180 patients and in the cross-sectional data, with a subsequent increase similar to that in the conventional 845 ARTICLES Figure 6: Kaplan-Meier plots of aggregate endpoints: any diabetes-related endpoint and diabetes-related death for conventional or intensive treatment, and by individual intensive therapy Key as for figures 3 and 4. group (figure 2). A difference between the assigned groups in HbA1c was maintained throughout the study. The median HbA1c values over 10 years were significantly lower in the intensive than in the conventional group (7·0% [6·2–8·2] vs 7·9% [6·9–8·8], p<0·0001). Median HbA1c for 5-year periods of followup in the intensive and conventional groups were 6·6% (5·9–7·5) and 7·4% (6·4–8·5) for the first period, 7·5% (6·6–8·8) and 8·4% (7·2–9·4) for the second, and 8·1% (7·0–9·4) and 8·7% (7·5–9·7) for the third period (all p<0·0001) . The median HbA1c values over 10 years with chlorpropamide (6·7%), glibenclamide (7·2%), and insulin (7·1%) were each significantly lower than that with conventional treatment (7·9%, p<0·0001). HbA1c was significantly lower in the chlorpropamide group than in the glibenclamide group (p=0·008) but neither differed from the insulin group (figure 3). There was a significant increase in weight in the intensive group compared with the conventional group, by (mean) 3·1 kg (99% CI –0·9 to 7·0, p<0·0001) for 846 the cohort at 10 years (figure 2). Patients assigned either of the sulphonylureas gained more weight than the conventional group, whereas patients assigned insulin gained more weight than those assigned a sulphonylurea (figure 3). In the cohort at 10 years, those assigned chlorpropamide gained 2·6 kg more (1·6–3·6, p<0·001); those assigned glibenclamide gained 1·7 kg more (0·7–2·7, p<0·001); and those assigned insulin gained 4·0 kg more (3·1–4·9, p<0·0001) than those assigned conventional therapy (figure 3). The cross-sectional data were similar to the cohort data. Median fasting plasma insulin increased in the intensive group, and was 17·9 pmol/L (95% CI 0·5–35·3) greater than in the conventional group over the first 10 years (p<0·0001, figure 2). Fasting plasma insulin in participants assigned to sulphonylureas increased more than in those in the conventional group over the first 3 years, and in those assigned to insulin this increase was even greater from 6 years as higher insulin doses were given (figure 3). The median insulin doses at 3 years, 6 years, 9 years, THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Figure 7: Kaplan-Meier plots of aggregate endpoints: microvascular disease, myocardial infarction, and stroke for intensive and conventional treatment and by individual intensive therapy Microvascular disease=renal failure, death from renal failure, retinal photocoagulation, or vitreous haemorrhage. Myocardial infarction=non-fatal, fatal, or sudden death. Stroke=non-fatal and fatal. Key as for figures 3 and 4. and 12 years in patients assigned intensive treatment with insulin were 22 U (IQR 14–34), 28 U (18–45), 34 U (20–50), and 36 U (23–53), respectively. Median doses of insulin for patients with body-mass indices less than 25 kg/m2 and greater than 35 kg/m2 were 16 U (10–24) and 36 U (23–50) at 3 years; the corresponding doses were 24 U (14–36) and 60 U (40–82) at 12 years. The maximum insulin dose was 400 U per day. Systolic and diastolic blood pressure were significantly higher throughout the study in patients assigned chlorpropamide than in those assigned any of the other therapies. For example, at 6 years’ follow-up the mean blood pressure in the chlorpropamide group was 143/82 mm Hg compared with 138/80 mm Hg in each of the other allocations (p<0·001). The proportion of patients on therapy for hypertension was higher among those assigned chlorpropamide (43%) than among those assigned conventional treatment, glibenclamide, or insulin (34%, 36%, and 38%, respectively; p=0·022). THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 Aggregate and single endpoints The number of patients who developed aggregate or single clinical endpoints in the intensive and conventional groups are shown in figure 4; similarly, figure 5 shows the comparison between the three intensive groups and conventional treatment. Kaplan-Meier plots for any diabetes-related endpoint— ie, the complication-free interval—and diabetes-related deaths are shown in figure 6 and those for microvascular endpoints, myocardial infarction, and stroke in figure 7. The number needed to treat to prevent one patient developing any of the single endpoints over 10 years was 19·6 patients (95% CI 10–500). The complication-free interval, expressed as the follow-up to when 50% of the patients had at least one diabetes-related endpoint, was 14·0 years in the intensive group compared with 12·7 years in the conventional group (p=0·029). Patients assigned intensive treatment had a significant 25% risk reduction in microvascular endpoints (p=0·0099) compared with conventional treatment— 847 ARTICLES Figure 8: Proportion of patients with selected surrogate endpoints at 3-year intervals most of which was due to fewer cases of retinal photocoagulation (figure 4): the reduction in risk was of borderline significance for myocardial infarction (p=0·052) and cataract extraction (p=0·046). There was no significant difference between the three intensive treatments on microvascular endpoints or the risk reduction for retinal photocoagulation (figure 5). Few patients developed renal failure, died from renal disease, or had vitreous haemorrhage. Surrogate endpoints Figure 8 shows the proportion of patients with surrogate endpoints (two-step progression of retinopathy, biothesiometer threshold, microalbuminuria, proteinuria, and two-fold increase in plasma creatinine) found at 3-year visits. After 6 years’ follow-up, a smaller proportion of patients in the intensive group than in the conventional group had a two-step deterioration in retinopathy: this finding was significant even when retinal photocoagulation was excluded (data not shown). When the three intensive treatments were compared, patients assigned chlorpropamide did not have the same risk reduction as those assigned glibenclamide or insulin (p=0·0056) for the progression of retinopathy at 12 years’ follow-up, and adjustment for the difference in mean systolic or diastolic blood pressure by logistic regression analysis did not change this finding. There was no difference between conventional and intensive treatments in the deterioration of visual acuity with a mean ETDRS chart reduction of one letter per 3 years in each group. At 12 years the proportion of patients blind in both eyes (logMAR>0·7) did not differ between the intensive and conventional groups (6/734 [0·8%]) vs 5/263 [1·9%], p=0·15). 11% of patients in both groups did not have adequate vision for a driving licence (logMAR > 0·3 in both eyes). Proportions of patients with absent ankle reflexes did 848 not differ between intensive and conventional groups (35 vs 37%, p=0·60); similar proportions had absent knee reflexes (11 vs 12%, p=0·42). The heart-rate responses to deep breathing and standing did not differ between the intensive and conventional groups, but at 12 years the basal heart rate was significantly lower in the intensive than in the conventional group (median 69·8 [IQR 62·5–78·9] vs 74·4 [65·2–83·3] bpm, p<0·001). β-blockers were taken by 16% and 19% (p=0·58) of patients in the intensive and conventional groups. The proportion of patients with impotence did not differ at 12 years in the intensive and conventional groups (46·8 vs 54·7%, respectively; p=0·09). There was no difference between the intensive and conventional treatment groups, or between the three intensive allocations, in the proportion of patients who had a silent myocardial infarction, cardiomegaly, evidence of peripheral vascular disease by doppler blood pressure, or absent peripheral pulses. Hyperglycaemia and hypoglycaemia The proportion of patients with one or more major, or any, hypoglycaemic episode in a year was significantly higher in the intensive group than in the conventional group (figure 9). When the three intensive treatments were compared by actual therapy, major hypoglycaemic episodes or any episode were most common in patients on insulin therapy (figure 10). During the first few years of therapy, any hypoglycaemic episodes were also frequent in patients on glibenclamide or chlorpropamide, but fell as FPG increased. By intention-to-treat analysis, there was less difference between the allocations as more patients in the conventional group had sulphonylurea or insulin therapy added. One insulin-group patient died at home, unattended: this death was attributed to hypoglycaemia. THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Figure 9: Major and any hypoglycaemic episodes per year by intention-to-treat analysis and actual therapy for intensive and conventional treatment Data from the first 15 centres. The numbers of patients studied at 5, 10, and 15 years in the intensive and conventional groups by actual therapy were 1317, 395; 762, 150; and 120, 14 respectively. In the conventional group, one patient died from hyperglycaemic, coma after a febrile illness. Over the first 10 years, the mean proportion of patients per year with one or more major hypoglycaemic episodes while taking their assigned intensive or conventional treatment was 0·4% for chlorpropamide, 0·6% for glibenclamide, 2·3% for insulin, and 0·1% for diet; the corresponding rates for any hypoglycaemic episode were 11·0%, 17·7%, 36·5%, and 1·2%. By intention-to-treat analyses, major hypoglycaemic episodes occurred with chlorpropamide (1·0%), glibenclamide (1·4%), insulin (1·8%), and diet (0·7%) and any hypoglycaemic episodes in 16%, 21%, 28%, and 10%, respectively. Hypoglycaemic episodes in patients on diet therapy were reactive and occurred either after meals or after termination of glucose infusions given while in hospital (eg, postoperatively). Discussion We found that an intensive blood-glucose-control policy with an 11% reduction in median HbA1c over the first 10 years decreased the frequency of some clinical complications of type 2 diabetes. The intensive treatment group had a substantial, 25% reduction in the risk of microvascular endpoints, most of which was due to fewer patients requiring photocoagulation. There THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 was evidence, albeit inconclusive, of a 16% risk reduction (p=0·052) for myocardial infarction, which included non-fatal and fatal myocardial infarction and sudden death, but diabetes-related mortality and allcause mortality did not differ between the intensive and conventional groups. The study did not have sufficient power to exclude a beneficial effect on fatal outcomes. The progression of subclinical, surrogate variables of microvascular disease was also decreased, in agreement with other studies of improved glucose control.1–3 The median complication-free interval was 1·3 years longer in the intensive group. The UGDP raised concerns that the sulphonylurea, tolbutamide, may increase the risk of cardiovascular death, and several mechanisms by which sulphonylureas might have an adverse effect were suggested. However, we found no difference in the rates of myocardial infarction or diabetes-related death between participants assigned sulphonylurea or insulin therapies. Studies in animals suggested that first-generation sulphonylureas, such as chlorpropamide, might increase the risk of ventricular fibrillation,10 but this suggestion was not supported by our findings since the rate of sudden death was similar in the groups assigned chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, or insulin. Thus, the UKPDS data do not support the suggestion of adverse cardiovascular effects from sulphonylureas. 849 ARTICLES Figure 10: Major and any hypoglycaemic episodes by intention-to-treat analysis and actual therapy by individual intensive therapy and conventional treatment Data from first 15 centres. The numbers of patients studied at 5, 10 and 15 years in the intensive groups with chlorpropamide, glibenclamide and insulin and the conventional group by actual therapy were 380, 378, 559, 395; 171, 175, 416, 150; and 21, 16, 83, 14 respectively. Exogenous insulin has also been suggested as potentially harmful treatment because in-vitro studies with raised insulin concentrations induced atheroma,24 and epidemiological studies showed an association between high plasma insulin concentrations and myocardial infarction.25,26 We did not find an increase in myocardial infarctions in patients assigned insulin therapy, even though their fasting plasma insulin concentrations were higher than those in any other group. The macrovascular subclinical surrogate endpoints did not differ between intensive and conventional groups, perhaps because 10 years’ follow-up is too short to find changes in atheroma or because the endpoints were not sufficiently sensitive. Since there was no evidence, however, for a harmful cardiovascular effect of sulphonylurea or insulin therapy, it appears that the beneficial effect of an intensive glucose control with these agents outweighs the theoretical risks. The 0·9% difference in HbA1c between the intensive (7·0%) and conventional (7·9%) groups over 10 years, an 11% reduction, is smaller than the 1·9% difference (9·0% and 7·1%; 20% reduction) in HbA1c in the DCCT.2 The DCCT studied younger patients with type 1 diabetes and used slightly different methods that focused on surrogate variables. The risk reductions seem 850 proportional given the HbA1c differences: for progression of microvascular disease, 21% for retinopathy in UKPDS and 63% in the DCCT; and, for albuminuria, 34% and 54% respectively.8 Our data suggest that clinical benefit can be obtained at lower HbA1c values than those in the DCCT. Few patients had late ophthalmic complications such as vitreous haemorrhage or blindness and this may be because the follow-up was not long enough or, more likely, because of the decrease in retinal damage and blindness after photocoagulation.27,28 The reduction in the progression of albuminuria by intensive treatment was probably accompanied by a reduced risk for development of renal failure, since there was a 67% risk reduction in the proportion of patients who had a two-fold increase in plasma creatinine and 74% risk reduction in those who had a doubling of their plasma urea. This result is potentially important since, although less than 1% of UKPDS patients developed renal failure, in many populations type 2 diabetes is the principal cause of renal failure. No difference in the risk reduction of microvascular clinical endpoints was seen between the three intensive treatments, and thus, improved glycaemic control, rather than any one therapy, is the principal factor. THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Nevertheless, patients assigned chlorpropamide did not have the same risk reduction in progression of the retinopathy as those assigned glibenclamide or insulin, and this difference was not accounted for, statistically, by higher blood pressure in the chlorpropamide group. There was no difference in the progression of albuminuria between any treatment groups. Increased blood pressure has been reported with chlorpropamide,29 which can also cause water retention.30 Other sulphonylureas that do not raise the blood pressure may be preferred. Intensive blood-glucose control had disadvantages such as greater weight gain than occurred in the conventional group. There was also an increased risk of hypoglycaemic episodes, particularly in patients treated with insulin; each year about 3% had a major episode and 40% a minor or major hypoglycaemic episode. Although the increased risk of hypoglycaemia with insulin was less than that in the DCCT,31 this risk limited the extent to which normoglycaemia could be obtained in our patients with type 2 diabetes32—as it does in patients with type 1 diabetes.2 The relation between glycaemia and outcome in our study is complex. Although a difference in HbA1c between conventional and intensive groups was maintained throughout, HbA1c progressively increased. The risks of hypoglycaemia and of weight gain, particularly in patients treated by insulin, are perceived by patients as difficulties that limit their ability to achieve improved glucose control (data not shown). Although early addition of other agents may have delayed the increasing hyperglycaemia, each of the available oral hypoglycaemic agents (sulphonylureas,33 metformin,32,34 thiazolidinediones,35 and acarbose36 have limited glucose-lowering efficacy and many patients eventually required insulin to avoid marked hyperglycaemia. Our patients on intensive treatment with insulin achieved lower HbA1c values than those seen in several studies of intensive glucose control in patients with type 2 diabetes.37–39 Recent recommendations40 set an HbA1c below 7% as a goal but, to our knowledge, this has been achieved only in intervention studies with high insulin doses, generally above 100 U per day, in small groups of obese patients who received detailed attention over a short period.41,42 Studies of glycaemic control in type 2 diabetes with insulin therapy in the community report mean HbA1c values of 8·5%43 and 9·0%.44 Current therapy of type 2 diabetes, including insulin regimens, may need to be reviewed. The US National Health and Nutrition Education Examination Survey III, by the same assay method as the DCCT, found that 51% of insulin-treated patients and 42% of those on oral hypoglycaemic agents had HbA1c values greater than 8%, (Maureen Harris, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, USA; personal communication). About 50% of patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes already have diabetic tissue damage,13 but lack of benefit in these patients from early treatment has meant variation in the guidelines for screening populations.45,46 The UKPDS shows that improved blood-pressure47 and glucose control reduce the risk of the diabetic complications that cause both morbidity and premature mortality, and increase the case for formal screening programmes for early detection of diabetes in the general population. THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 Our study, despite the median of 10 years’ follow-up is still short compared with the median life expectancy of 20 years in UKPDS patients diagnosed at median age 53 years. To investigate longer-term responses, we will carry out post-study monitoring of UKPDS for a further 5 years, to establish whether the improved glucose control achieved will substantially decrease the risk of fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarctions with longer follow-up. UKPDS shows that an intensive glucose-control treatment policy that maintains an 11% lower HbA1c— ie, median 7·0% over the first 10 years after diagnosis of diabetes—substantially reduces the frequency of microvascular endpoints but not diabetes-related mortality or myocardial infarction. The disadvantages of intensive treatment are weight gain and risk of hypoglycaemia. There was no evidence that intensive treatment with chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, or insulin had a specific adverse effect on macrovascular disease. UKPDS Study Organisation Writing Committee—Robert C Turner, Rury R Holman, Carole A Cull, Irene M Stratton, David R Matthews, Valeria Frighi, Susan E Manley, Andrew Neil, Heather McElroy, David Wright, Eva Kohner, Charles Fox, and David Hadden. Coordinating centre—Chief investigators: R C Turner, R R Holman. Additional investigators: D R Matthews, H A W Neil. Statisticians: I M Stratton, C A Cull, H J McElroy, Z Mehta (previously A Smith, Z Nugent). Biochemist: S E Manley. Research associate: V Frighi. Consultant statistician: R Peto. Epidemiologist: A I Adler (previously J I Mann). Administrator: P A Bassett, (previously S F Oakes). Endpoint assessors: D R Matthews (Oxford), A D Wright (Birmingham), T L Dornan (Salford). Retinal-photography grading: E M Kohner, S Aldington, H Lipinski, R Collum, K Harrison, C MacIntyre, S Skinner, A Mortemore, D Nelson, S Cockley, S Levien, L Bodsworth, R Willox, T Biggs, S Dove, E Beattie, M Gradwell, S Staples, R Lam, F Taylor, L Leung (Hammersmith). Dietician: E A Eeley (Oxford). Biochemistry laboratory staff: M J Payne, R D Carter, S M Brownlee, K E Fisher, K Islam, R Jelfs, P A Williams, F A Williams, P J Sutton, A Ayres, L J Logie, C Lovatt, M A Evans, L A Stowell. Consultant biochemist: I Ross (Aberdeen). Applications programmer: I A Kennedy. Database clerk: D Croft. ECG coding: A H Keen, C Rose (Guy’s Hospital). Health economists: M Raikou, A M Gray, A J McGuire, P Fenn (Oxford). Quality-of-life questionnaire: Z Mehta (Oxford), A E Fletcher, C Bulpitt, C Battersby (Hammersmith), J S Yudkin (Whittington). Mathematical modeller: R Stevens (Oxford). Clinical centres—M R Stearn, S L Palmer, M S Hammersley, S L Franklin, R S Spivey, J C Levy, C R Tidy, N J Bell, J Steemson, B A Barrow, R Coster, K Waring, L Nolan, E Truscott, N Walravens, L Cook, H Lampard, C Merle, P Parker, J McVittie, I Draisey (Oxford); L E Murchison, A H E Brunt, M J Williams, D W Pearson, X M P Petrie, M E J Lean D Walmsley, F Lyall, E Christie, J Church, E Thomson, A Farrow, J M Stowers, M Stowers, K McHardy, N Patterson (Aberdeen); A D Wright, N A Levi, A C I Shearer, R J W Thompson, G Taylor, S Rayton, M Bradbury, A Glover, A Smyth-Osbourne, C Parkes, J Graham, P England, S Gyde, C Eagle, B Chakrabarti, J Smith, J Sherwell (Birmingham); N W Oakley, M A Whitehead, G P Hollier, T Pilkington, J Simpson, M Anderson, S Martin, J Kean, B Rice, A Rolland, J Nisbet (London, St George’s); E M Kohner, A Dornhorst, M C Doddridge, M Dumskyj, S Walji, P Sharp, M Sleightholm, G Vanterpool, C Rose, G Frost, M Roseblade, S Elliott, S Forrester, M Foster, K Myers, R Chapman (London, Hammersmith); J R Hayes, R W Henry, M S Featherston, G P R Archbold, M Copeland, R Harper, I Richardson, S Martin, M Foster, H A Davison (City Hospital, Belfast); L Alexander, J H B Scarpello, D E Shiers, R J Tucker, J R H Worthington, S Angris, A Bates, J Walton, M Teasdale, J Browne, S Stanley, B A Davis, R C Strange (Stoke-on-Trent); D R Hadden, L Kennedy, A B Atkinson, P M Bell, D R McCance, J Rutherford, A M Culbert, C Hegan, H Tennet, N Webb, I Robinson, J Holmes, M Foster, J Rutherford, S Nesbitt (Royal Victoria Hospital, Belfast); A S Spathis, S Hyer, M E Nanson, L M James, J M Tyrell, C Davis, P Strugnell, M Booth, H Petrie, D Clark, B Rice, S Hulland, J L Barron (Carshalton); J S Yudkin, B C Gould, J Singer, A Badenoch, S Walji, M McGregor, L Isenberg, M Eckert, K Alibhai, E Marriot, C Cox, R Price, M Fernandez, A Ryle, S Clarke, G Wallace, E Mehmed, J A Lankester, E Howard, A Waite, S MacFarlane (London, Whittington); 851 ARTICLES R H Greenwood, J Wilson, M J Denholm, R C Temple, K Whitfield, F Johnson, C Munroe, S Gorick, E Duckworth, M Fatman, S Rainbow (Norwich); L J Borthwick, D J Wheatcroft, R J Seaman, R A Christie, W Wheatcroft, P Musk, J White, S McDougal, M Bond, P Raniga (Stevenage); J L Day, M J Doshi, J G Wilson, J R Howard-Williams, H Humphreys, A Graham, K Hicks, S Hexman, P Bayliss, D Pledger (Ipswich); R W Newton, R T Jung, C Roxburgh, B Kilgallon, L Dick, M Foster, N Waugh, S Kilby, A Ellingford, J Burns (Dundee); C V Fox, M C Holloway, H M Coghill, N Hein, A Fox, W Cowan, M Richard, K Quested, S J Evans (Northampton); R B Paisey, N P R Brown, A J Tucker, R Paisey, F Garrett, J Hogg, P Park, K Williams, P Harvey, R Wilcocks, S Mason, J Frost, C Warren, P Rocket, L Bower (Torbay); J M Roland, D J Brown, J Youens, K Stanton-King, H Mungall, V Ball, W Maddison, D Donnelly, S King, P Griffin, S Smith, S Church, G Dunn, A Wilson, K Palmer (Peterborough); P M Brown, D Humphriss, A J M Davidson, R Rose, L Armistead, S Townsend, P Poon (Scarborough); I D A Peacock, N J C Culverwell, M H Charlton, B P S Connolly, J Peacock, J Barrett, J Wain, W Beeston, G King, P G Hill (Derby); A J M Boulton, A M Robertson, V Katoulis, A Olukoga, H McDonald, S Kumar, F Abouaesha, B Abuaisha, E A Knowles, S Higgins, J Booker, J Sunter, K Breislin, R Parker, P Raval, J Curwell, H Davenport, G Shawcross, A Prest, J Grey, H Cole, C Sereviratne (Manchester); R J Young, T L Dornan, J R Clyne, M Gibson, I O’Connell, L M Wong, S J Wilson, K L Wright, C Wallace, D McDowell (Salford); A C Burden, E M Sellen, R Gregory, M Roshan, N Vaghela, M Burden, C Sherriff, S Mansingh, J Clarke, J Grenfell (Leicester); J E Tooke, K MacLeod, C Seamark, M Rammell, C Pym, J Stockman, C Yeo, J Piper, L Leighton, E Green, M Hoyle, K Jones, A Hudson, A J James, A Shore, A Higham, B Martin (Exeter). UKPDS Data Committee—C A Cull, V Frighi, R R Holman, S E Manley, D R Matthews, H A W Neil, I M Stratton, R C Turner. Data-monitoring and Ethics Committee —W J H Butterfield, W R S Doll, R Eastman, F R Ferris, R R Holman, N Kurinij, R Peto, K McPherson, R F Mahler, T W Meade, G Shafer, R C Turner, P J Watkins (Previous members: H Keen, D Siegel). Policy advisory group—C V Fox, D R Hadden, R R Holman, D R Matthews, R C Turner, A D Wright, J S Yudkin. Steering Committee for glucose study —D J Betteridge, R D Cohen, D Currie, J Darbyshire, J V Forrester, T Guppy, R R Holman, D G Johnston, A McGuire, M Murphy, A M el-Nahas, B Pentecost, D Spiegelhalter, R C Turner, (previous members: K G M M Alberti, R Denton, P D Home, S Howell, J R Jarrett, V Marks, M Marmot, J D Ward). 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Acknowledgments We thank the patients and many NHS and non-NHS staff at the centres for their cooperation; Philip Bassett for editorial assistance; and Caroline Wood, Kathy Waring, and Lorraine Mallia for typing the papers. The study was supported by grants from the UK Medical Research Council, British Diabetic Association, UK Department of Health, US National Eye Institute and US National Institute of Diabetes, Digestive and Kidney Disease (National Institutes of Health), British Heart Foundation, Wellcome Trust, Charles Wolfson Charitable Trust, Clothworkers’ Foundation, Health Promotion Research Trust, Alan and Babette Sainsbury Trust, Oxford University Medical Research Fund Committee, Novo-Nordisk, Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Hoechst, Lilly, Lipha, and Farmitalia Carlo Erba. We also thank Boehringer Mannheim, Becton Dickinson, Owen Mumford, Securicor, Kodak, Cortecs Diagnostics. We thank Glaxo Wellcome, Smith Kline Beecham, Pfizer, Zeneca, Pharmacia and Upjohn, and Roche for funding epidemiological, statistical, and health-economics analyses. 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 References 1 2 3 4 5 Reichard P, Berglund B, Britz A, Cars I, Nilsson BY, Rosenqvist U. 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Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1992: 165–201. Genuth S. Exogenous insulin administration and cardiovascular risk in non-insulin-dependent and insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. Ann Intern Med 1996; 124: 104–09. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study VIII: study design, progress and performance. Diabetologia 1991; 34: 877–90. Metropolitan Life Insurance Company. Net weight standard for men and women. Stat Bull Metrop Insur Co 1959; 40: 1–4. UKPDS Group. Effect of intensive blood-glucose control with metformin on complications in overweight patients with type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 34). Lancet 1998; 352: 854–65. Hypertension in Diabetes Study IV. Therapeutic requirements to maintain tight blood pressure control. Diabetologia 1996; 39: 1554–61. Holman RR, Cull CA, Turner RC. Glycaemic improvement over one year in a double-blind trial of acarbose in 1,946 NIDDM patients. Diabetologia 1996; 39 (suppl 1): A44. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study XI: biochemical risk factors in type 2 diabetic patients at diagnosis compared with age-matched normal subjects. Diabet Med 1994; 11: 534–44. Manley SE, Burton ME, Fisher KE, Cull CA, Turner RC. Decreases in albumin/creatinine and N-acetylglucosaminidase/creatinine ratios in urine samples stored at –20ºC. Clin Chem 1992; 38: 2294–99. World Health Organisation. International Classification of Procedures in Medicine. Geneva: World Health Organisation, 1978. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study IX: relationships of urinary albumin and N-acetylglucosaminidase to glycaemia and hypertension at diagnosis of type 2 (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and after 3 months diet therapy. Diabetologia 1992; 36: 835–42. American Diabetes Association. Report of the expert committee on the diagnosis and classification of diabetes mellitus. Diabetes Care 1998; 21 (suppl 1); 55–19. World Health Organization. Diabetes mellitus. WHO technical report series no 727. Geneva: WHO, 1985. Stout RW. Insulin and atheroma: 20-yr perspective. Diabetes Care 1990; 13: 631–54. Pyörälä K. Relationship of glucose tolerance and plasma insulin to the incidence of coronary heart disease: results from two population studies in Finland. Diabetes Care 1979; 2: 131–41. Desprès JP, Lamarche B, Mauriège P, et al. Hyperinsulinemia as an independent risk factor for ischemic heart disease. N Engl J Med 1996; 334: 952–57. Davies EG, Petty RG, Kohner EM. Long term effectiveness of photocoagulation for diabetic maculopathy. Eye 1989; 3: 764–67. British Multicentre Group. Photocoagulation for proliferative diabetic retinopathy: a randomised controlled clinical trial using the xenon-arc. Diabetologia 1984; 26: 109–15. Schmitt JK, Moore JR. Hypertension secondary to chlorpropamide with amelioration by changing to insulin. Am J Hypertens 1993; 6: 317–19. Melander A. Sulphonylureas in the treatment of non-insulin-dependent diabetes. Baillieres Clin Endocrinol Metab 1988; 2: 443–53. DCCT Research Group. Adverse events and their association with treatment regimens in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial. Diabetes Care 1995; 18: 1415–27. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study 16: overview of six years’ therapy of type 2 diabetes - a progressive disease. Diabetes 1995; 44: 1249–58. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study 26: sulphonylurea failure in non-insulin dependent diabetic patients over 6 years. Diabet Med 1998; 15: 297–303. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study 28: a randomised trial of efficacy of early addition of metformin in sulphonylurea-treated non-insulin dependent diabetes. Diabetes Care 1998; 21: 87–92. THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES 35 Kumar S, Boulton AJ, Beck-Nielsen H, et al. Troglitazone, an insulin action enhancer, improves metabolic control in NIDDM patients. Diabetologia 1996; 39: 701–09. 36 Chiasson JL, Josse RG, Hunt JA, et al. The efficacy of acarbose in the treatment of patients with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. A multicenter controlled clinical trial. Ann Intern Med 1996; 121: 928–35. 37 Birkeland KI, Rishaug U, Hanssen KE, Vaaler S. NIDDM: a rapid progressive disease. Diabetologia 1996; 39: 1629–33. 38 Yki-Järvinen H, Kauppila M, Kujansuu E, et al. Comparison of insulin regimens in patients with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. N Engl J Med 1992; 327: 1426–33. 39 Chow CC, Tsang LWW, Sorensen JP. Comparison of insulin with or without continuation of oral hypoglycaemic agents in the treatment of secondary failure in NIDDM patients. Diabetes Care 1995; 18: 307–14. 40 American Diabetes Association. Standards of medical care for patients with diabetes mellitus. Diabetes Care 1998; 21 (suppl 1): S23-S31. THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 41 Abraira C, Colwell JA, Nuttall FQ. Veterans Affairs Cooperative Study on glycemic control and complications in Type II diabetes (VACSDM). Diabetes Care 1995; 18: 1113–23. 42 Henry RR, Gumbiner B, Ditzler T, Wallace P, Lyon R, Glauber HS. Intensive conventional insulin therapy for type II diabetes: metabolic effects during a 6 month outpatient trial. Diabetes Care 1993; 16: 21–31. 43 Hayward RA, Manning WG, Kaplan SH, Wagner EH, Greenfield S. Starting insulin therapy in patients with Type 2 diabetes. JAMA 1997; 278: 1663–700. 44 Dunn NR, Bough P. Standards of care of diabetic patients in a typical English community. Br J Gen Pract 1996; 46: 401–05. 45 American Diabetes Association. Clinical practice recommendations 1998. Diabetes Care 1998; 21 (suppl 1): S20-S22. 46 de Courten M, Zimmet P. Screening for non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus: where to draw the line? Diabet Med 1997; 14: 5–98. 47 UKPDS Group. Tight blood pressure control and risk of macrovascular and microvascular complications in type 2 diabetes: UKPDS 38. BMJ (in press). 853 ARTICLES Effect of intensive blood-glucose control with metformin on complications in overweight patients with type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 34) UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Group* Summary Background In patients with type 2 diabetes, intensive blood-glucose control with insulin or sulphonylurea therapy decreases progression of microvascular disease and may also reduce the risk of heart attacks. This study investigated whether intensive glucose control with metformin has any specific advantage or disadvantage. Methods Of 4075 patients recruited to UKPDS in 15 centres, 1704 overweight (>120% ideal bodyweight) patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes, mean age 53 years, had raised fasting plasma glucose (FPG; 6·1–15·0 mmol/L) without hyperglycaemic symptoms after 3 months’ initial diet. 753 were included in a randomised controlled trial, median duration 10⋅7 years, of conventional policy, primarily with diet alone (n=411) versus intensive blood-glucose control policy with metformin, aiming for FPG below 6 mmol/L (n=342). A secondary analysis compared the 342 patients allocated metformin with 951 overweight patients allocated intensive blood-glucose control with chlorpropamide (n=265), glibenclamide (n=277), or insulin (n=409). The primary outcome measures were aggregates of any diabetes-related clinical endpoint, diabetes-related death, and all-cause mortality. In a supplementary randomised controlled trial, 537 non-overweight and overweight patients, mean age 59 years, who were already on maximum sulphonylurea therapy but had raised FPG (6·1–15.0 mmol/L) were allocated continuing sulphonylurea therapy alone (n=269) or addition of metformin (n=268). Findings Median glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) was 7·4% in the metformin group compared with 8·0% in the conventional group. Patients allocated metformin, compared with the conventional group, had risk reductions of 32% (95% CI 13–47, p=0·002) for any diabetes-related endpoint, 42% for diabetes-related death (9–63, p=0·017), and 36% for all-cause mortality (9–55, p=0·011). Among patients allocated intensive bloodglucose control, metformin showed a greater effect than chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, or insulin for any diabetes-related endpoint (p=0·0034), all-cause mortality (p=0·021), and stroke (p=0·032). Early addition of metformin in sulphonylurea-treated patients was *Study organisation given at end of paper Correspondence to: Prof Robert Turner, UKPDS Group, Diabetes Research Laboratories, Radcliffe Infirmary, Oxford OX2 6HE, UK 854 associated with an increased risk of diabetes-related death (96% increased risk [95% CI 2–275], p=0·039) compared with continued sulphonylurea alone. A combined analysis of the main and supplementary studies showed fewer metformin-allocated patients having diabetes-related endpoints (risk reduction 19% [2–33], p=0·033). Epidemiological assessment of the possible association of death from diabetes-related causes with the concurrent therapy of diabetes in 4416 patients did not show an increased risk in diabetes-related death in patients treated with a combination of sulphonylurea and metformin (risk reduction 5% [233 to 32], p=0·78). Interpretation Since intensive glucose control with metformin appears to decrease the risk of diabetesrelated endpoints in overweight diabetic patients, and is associated with less weight gain and fewer hypoglycaemic attacks than are insulin and sulphonylureas, it may be the first-line pharmacological therapy of choice in these patients. Lancet 1998; 352: 854–65 See Commentary page xxx Introduction The UK Prospective Diabetes Study reported that intensive blood-glucose control with sulphonylureas or insulin substantially reduced the risk of complications but not macrovascular disease.1 Metformin is a biguanide that decreases blood glucose concentration by mechanisms different from those of sulphonylurea or insulin. It lowers, rather than increases, fasting plasma insulin concentrations2 and acts by enhancing insulin sensitivity, inducing greater peripheral uptake of glucose, and decreasing hepatic glucose output.3 The improved glucose control is achieved without weight gain.4 Biguanides also decrease concentrations of plasminogen-activator inhibitor type 1 (PAI-1)5 and may thus increase fibrinolytic activity. This effect may be secondary either to enhanced insulin sensitivity or to lower insulin concentrations, because therapy with troglitazone (a thiazolidinedione) also decreases production of PAI-1 and increases insulin sensitivity.6 The only long-term outcome data on biguanides available were from the University Group Diabetes Program (UGDP) study of phenformin. An unexpected outcome was higher mortality from cardiovascular causes with phenformin than with placebo, and for total mortality for phenformin than with a combination of THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Figure 1: Trial profile for diet/metformin study in overweight diet-treated patients insulin and placebo allocations.7 The study design did not allow comparison of phenformin with the sulphonylurea used in the UGDP (tolbutamide). One death from lactic acidosis occurred in the phenformin group. Phenformin was withdrawn from clinical use in many countries, partly because of the UGDP data and partly because of the association with lactic acidosis.8 Metformin is now the only biguanide in general use, since it has a 10–20-fold lower risk of lactic acidosis than phenformin, and is regarded as a safe drug provided it is not used in at-risk patients, such as those in renal failure.9 Metformin was included as a randomisation option in overweight patients in the UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) from 1977 as part of the original protocol in the first 15 centres. The primary aim was to compare conventional treatment (primarily with diet alone) with intensive treatment with metformin,10–12 with a secondary aim of comparing the group allocated metformin with overweight patients allocated sulphonylurea or insulin therapies. In 1990, increasing glycaemia despite maximum sulphonylurea therapy was noted. Following a UKPDS protocol amendment, normal-weight and overweight patients allocated sulphonylurea treatment, who had fasting plasma glucose (FPG) concentrations of 6⋅1–15⋅0 mmol/L but no symptoms on maximum doses, were then assigned either continuing treatment with sulphonylurea alone or addition of metformin to sulphonylurea. We report here on whether addition of metformin reduces the risk of clinical complications of diabetes. brief, between 1977 and 1991, general practitioners in 23 centres in the UK referred patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes, aged 25–65 years, for possible inclusion in UKPDS. 5102 diabetic patients with FPG above 6⋅0 mmol/L on two mornings were recruited. The patients were advised to follow a diet high in carbohydrates and fibre and low in saturated fats, with energy restriction in overweight patients. After 3 months on diet, 4209 eligible patients with FPG above 6⋅0 mmol/L were randomised by a stratified design: 2022 (48%) were nonoverweight patients (<120% ideal bodyweight13) and 2187 (52%) were overweight. Patients were allocated conventional treatment with diet or intensive treatment with sulphonylurea or insulin with metformin as an additional intensive therapy option in overweight patients in the first 15 centres. We report here results for the overweight participants who had FPG between 6·1 and 15·0 mmol/L (n=1704) without symptoms of hyperglycaemia, after diet treatment. This paper reports on two randomised controlled trials in patients in the first 15 centres, in which metformin was a therapeutic option. Trial in overweight, diet-treated patients of intensive blood-glucose control with metformin versus conventional treatment The 1704 overweight patients were randomly assigned conventional treatment, primarily with diet (24%), or intensive treatment with chlorpropamide (16%), glibenclamide (16%), insulin (24%), or metformin (20%). This report primarily compares the 411 overweight patients assigned conventional treatment and 342 overweight patients assigned intensive treatment with metformin, as designated in the protocol10 (figure 1). The paper also reports the secondary analysis comparing the outcomes between overweight patients allocated metformin (n=342) with the 951 patients allocated intensive therapy with chlorpropamide (n=265), glibenclamide (n=277), or insulin (n=409). Methods Conventional treatment policy Patients The 411 overweight patients assigned the conventional approach continued to receive dietary advice at 3-monthly UKPDS has been described in the accompanying paper.1,10 In THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 855 ARTICLES Figure 2: Trial profile for sulphonylurea-treated patients with randomisation to metformin clinical visits with the aim of attaining normal bodyweight and FPG to the extent that is feasible in clinical practice. If marked hyperglycaemia developed (defined by the protocol as FPG above 15 mmol/L or symptoms of hyperglycaemia1) patients were secondarily randomised to additional non-intensive pharmacological therapy with the other four treatments (metformin, chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, and insulin) in the same proportions as in the primary randomisations, with the aim of avoiding symptoms and maintaining FPG below 15 mmol/L.1 If patients assigned sulphonylurea therapy developed marked hyperglycaemia, metformin was added to their regimen; if marked hyperglycaemia recurred, the allocation was changed to insulin therapy. maintaining FPG below 6⋅0 mmol/L. If marked hyperglycaemia again developed, treatment was changed to insulin, initially ultralente (Ultratard HM, Novo, or Humulin Zn, Lilly) or isophane (NPH) insulin, with the addition of short-acting (regular) insulin, usually soluble insulin before meals when premeal or bedtime blood-glucose concentrations were above 7⋅0 mmol/L. If the glucose control was not satisfactory, other regimens could be introduced (eg, soluble/isophane regimens). Intensive treatment policy with metformin 1234 patients, both non-overweight and overweight, were assigned to intensive treatment with sulphonylurea in the first 15 centres. Of these, 537 who were treated with maximum doses of sulphonylurea and had FPG of 6·1–15·0 mmol/L without symptoms of hyperglycaemia, were randomly assigned in equal proportions early addition of metformin to the sulphonylurea (n=269) or continued sulphonylurea alone (n=268; figure 2). If those allocated sulphonylurea alone later developed protocol-defined marked hyperglycaemia, metformin was added. If patients with early or later addition of metformin developed protocol-defined marked hyperglycaemia, oral therapy was stopped and changed to insulin therapy. The aim of the intensive approach for glucose control with metformin, sulphonylurea, or insulin therapies, in addition to dietary advice, was to obtain near-normal FPG (ie, <6⋅0 mmol/L). If FPG increased, patients were kept on the allocated monotherapy alone until marked hyperglycaemia developed, so that the clinical effects of each therapy could be assessed. 342 overweight patients were assigned intensive control with metformin. Treatment started with one 850 mg tablet per day, then 850 mg twice daily, and then 1700 mg in the morning and 850 mg with the evening meal (maximum dose=2550 mg). If on any dose, symptoms of diarrhoea or nausea occurred, patients were asked to reduce the dose to that which previously did not cause symptoms. When marked hyperglycaemia developed in those allocated metformin, glibenclamide was added with the aim of 856 Trial in non-overweight and overweight sulphonylureatreated patients of addition of metformin versus continued sulphonylurea alone Combined analysis of two randomised controlled trials The unexpected finding of an increased risk of mortality in THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Demographic Age (years)* M/F Ethnicity (%) Caucasian/Indian Asian/ Afro-Caribbean/other Clinical Weight (kg)* Body-mass index (kg/m2) Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg)* Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg)* Smoking (%) never/ex/current Alcohol (%) none/social/regular/ dependent Exercise (%) sedentary/moderately active/active/fit Biochemical FPG (mmol/L)† HBA1c (%)* Plasma insulin (pmol/L)‡ Triglyceride (mmol/L)‡ Total cholesterol (mmol/L)* LDL cholesterol (mmol/L)* HDL cholesterol (mmol/L)* Medications More than one aspirin daily (%) Diuretic (%) Others (%) digoxin/antihypertensives/ lipid lowering/HRT or OC Surrogate clinical endpoints Retinopathy (%) Proteinuria (%) Plasma creatinine (mmol/L)‡ Biothesiometer more than 25 V (%) Conventional (n=411) Metformin (n=342) Insulin (n=409) Chlorpropamide (n=265) Glibenclamide (n=277) All patients (n=1704) 53 (9) 193 (47%)/218 86/6/7/1 53 (8) 157 (46%)/185 85/4/10/1 53 (8) 192 (47%)/217 88/4/8/0 53 (9) 119 (45%)/146 86/6/8/0 53 (9) 127 (46%)/150 87/4/8/1 53 (8) 784 (46%)/920 86/5/8/1 87 (15) 31·8 (4·9) 140 (18) 86 (10) 39/36/25 30/56/14/0·5 87 (17) 31·6 (4·8) 140 (18) 85 (9) 43/32/25 27/58/14/1·5 85 (14) 31·0 (4·2) 139 (19) 85 (10) 37/34/39 27/57/15/1·2 85 (15) 31·2 (4·5) 141 (18) 86 (9) 38/30/32 28/54/17/1·1 86 (14) 31·5 (4·4) 139 (19) 85 (9) 34/35/31 25/56/19/1·1 86 (15) 31·4 (4·6) 140 (18) 86 (10) 38/34/28 27/56/15/1·1 24/40/34/3 29/34/35/3 24/37/36/4 21/38/38/3 21/34/40/5 24/36/36/4 8·0 (7·1–9·3) 7·1 (1·5) 114 (71–183) 2·96 (1·03–8·47) 5·5 (1·0) 3·66 (1·04) 1·04 (0·22) 8·1 (7·2–9·8) 8·2 (7·2–10·0) 8·0 (7·2–9·6) 8·2 (7·3–9·6) 8·1 (7·1–9·7) 7·3 (1·5) 7·2 (1·5) 7·2 (1·7) 7·2 (1·5) 7·2 (1·5) 116 (66–203) 116 (71–186) 111 (65–189) 114 (68–189) 114 (69–190) 2·79 (1·01–7·74) 2·89 (1·02–8·19) 2·85 (1·03–7·86) 2·65 (0·99–7·10) 2·84 (1·02–7·92) 5·6 (1·3) 5·6 (1·1) 5·6 (1·2) 5·6 (1·2) 5·6 (1·2) 3·67 (1·16) 3·69 (1·04) 3·59 (1·10) 3·59 (1·07) 3·65 (1·08) 1·06 (0·23) 1·05 (0·23) 1·05 (0·23) 1·07 (0·26) 1·05 (0·23) 1·5 20 0·5/16/0·4/0·4 1·5 17 0·9/15/0/0·3 2·9 20 1·7/12/0/0·3 1·9 20 1·9/15/0·7/0·4 1·1 19 0·4/16/0/0·7 1·8 19 0·9/15/0·1/0·4 33 3·1 78 (64–96) 13·6 38 2·0 77 (63–95) 13·7 39 1·1 77 (63–94) 15·4 37 2·2 79 (65–96) 19·9 29 2·6 79 (65–97) 14·3 36 2·2 79 (66–96) 15·2 Data are % of group, *mean (SD),†median (IQR), or ‡geometric mean (1 SD). HRT=hormone replacement therapy; OC=oral contraceptive therapy. Table 1: Baseline characteristics of patients in conventional group and in individual intensive-treatment groups sulphonylurea-treated patients allocated addition of metformin led us to undertake a further statistical analysis. Following a test for heterogeneity between the two trials described above,15 a combined analysis of addition of metformin in patients on diet therapy and in those on sulphonylurea therapy was done. The datasets were merged by taking time from randomisation to metformin or not, to an event, or to a censor date. A formal meta-analysis16 was also done. Epidemiological assessment We excluded 623 of the patients (537 in randomised controlled trial in patients on maximum sulphonylurea treatment of early or late addition of metformin, and 86 patients who had insufficient baseline data or were not in the main three ethnic groups). The aim of the epidemiological assessment in 4416 participants was to find out whether the combination of sulphonylurea and metformin was associated with an increase in mortality from diabetes-related causes. 457 patients were treated by sulphonylurea and metformin: 107 patients assigned conventional therapy in the main randomisation who received the combination after recurrent episodes of protocol-defined marked hyperglycaemia; 257 patients assigned sulphonylurea or metformin in the main randomisation, or those with marked hyperglycaemia after the initial 3 months’ period, who had the other therapy added when marked hyperglycaemia developed; and 93 who refused allocated insulin. All these patients were treated by combined therapy because of the progressive hyperglycaemia of type 2 diabetes,11 but if marked hyperglycaemia recurred, the treatment of these patients was changed to insulin. The combination of sulphonylurea and metformin was compared with all other therapies in terms of diabetes-related deaths by means of a Cox proportionalhazards model, with the actual therapy as a time-dependent covariate, and allowance for age, sex, ethnic group, and FPG after 3 months’ diet. THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 Clinic visits Patients were seen every month for the first 3 months and then every 3 months or more frequently if required to attain control criteria. Patients attended fasting for plasma glucose and other biochemical measurements, blood pressure and bodyweight were measured, and therapy was adjusted if necessary. Details were recorded of actual therapies, hypoglycaemic episodes, and home blood-glucose monitoring. At each visit, patients were asked whether they had experienced hypoglycaemic symptoms. Physicians recorded hypoglycaemic episodes as minor when the patient was able to treat the symptoms unaided, or major if third-party help or medical intervention was necessary. The number of patients, in an allocation and taking the allocated therapy, who had one or more minor or major hypoglycaemic episodes in a year was recorded, and the mean over 10 years calculated. Hypoglycaemic episodes in each year were analysed both by intention to treat and by actual therapy. Clinical endpoint analyses The closing date for the study was Sept 30, 1997. Endpoints were aggregated for analysis to keep to a minimum the numbers of statistical tests.12 The three predefined primary outcome analyses were the time to the first occurrence of: any diabetes-related clinical endpoint (sudden death, death from hyperglycaemia or hypoglycaemia, fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction, angina, heart failure, stroke, renal failure, amputation [of at least one digit], vitreous haemorrhage, retinopathy requiring photocoagulation, blindness in one eye, or cataract extraction); diabetes-related death (death from myocardial infarction, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, renal disease, hypoglycaemia, or hyperglycaemia, and sudden death); and all-cause mortality. Four additional clinical endpoint aggregates were used to assess the effect of therapies on different types of vascular disease in secondary outcome analyses: myocardial infarction (fatal and non-fatal 857 ARTICLES Figure 3: Median FPG, median HbA1c, mean change in bodyweight, and median change in fasting plasma insulin in cohorts of patients followed up to 10 years by assigned treatment (shown by continuous lines) Cross-sectional data at each year are shown by individual symbols for all patients assigned regimen. and sudden death); stroke (fatal and non-fatal); amputation (of at least one digit) or death due to peripheral vascular disease (including death from gangrene); and microvascular complications (retinopathy requiring photocoagulation, vitreous haemorrhage, and fatal or non-fatal renal failure). Subclinical, surrogate variables1 were assessed every 3 years. Biochemistry Methods have been previously reported.1,17 The normal range was 4·5–6·2%. for glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) Microalbuminuria has been defined for this study as urinary albumin concentration above 50 mg/L and clinical grade proteinuria as more than 300 mg/L. Assignment All randomisations were done at the level of the individual patient, by means of therapy allocations in sealed opaque envelopes, which were opened in sequence. The numerical 858 sequence of envelopes used, the dates they were opened, and the therapies stipulated were monitored. No placebo was given. Statistical analysis Analyses were by intention to treat. Life-table analyses were done with log-rank tests and hazard ratios, used to estimate relative risks, were obtained from Cox proportional-hazards models. For the primary and secondary outcome analyses of clinical endpoint aggregates, 95% CIs are quoted. For single endpoints 99% CIs are quoted, to make allowance for potential type 1 errors.1 Further details are given in the accompanying paper.1 Results Intensive blood-glucose control with metformin versus conventional treatment in overweight patients Table 1 shows the baseline data for overweight patients THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Figure 4: Proportion of patients who reported one or more episodes of major hypoglycaemia or any hypoglycaemia per year, assessed by actual therapy and by allocation (intention to treat) Numbers of patients studied at 5 years, 10 years, and 15 years in actual therapy analysis=168, 60, and 6 for conventional group; 220, 101, and 6 for metformin group; 235, 166, and 26 for insulin group; 148, 60, and 5 for chlorpropamide group; and 161, 71, and 6 for glibenclamide group. at the time of randomisation to conventional treatment or intensive treatment with chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, insulin, or metformin. The mean bodymass index for overweight patients with type 2 diabetes was 31·4 kg/m2 (SD 4·6); 99⋅5% of patients had bodymass index greater than 25 kg/m2, and 54⋅0% had bodymass index greater than 30 kg/m2. The median follow-up (to the last known date at which vital status was known or to the end of the trial) was 10·7 years. Vital status was not known at the end of the trial for 13 (1·8%) patients who had emigrated. A further 43 (2·5%) patients could not be contacted in the last year of the study for assessment of clinical endpoints. Figure 3 shows the median FPG and HbA1c in the cohort of 482 patients with data available studied over 10 years and cross-sectional data for all those assigned each therapy. In the metformin group there was a decrease in FPG and HbA1c in the first year, with a subsequent gradual rise in both variables. From 10 years, FPG in the metformin group approached that of the conventional treatment group. The median HbA1c during the 10 years of follow-up was 7·4% in the metformin group and 8⋅0% in the conventional treatment group. The patients assigned intensive control with sulphonylurea or insulin had similar HbA1c to the metformin group. The median HbA1c values in the metformin group and conventional control group were 6·7% and 7·5%, respectively, in the first 5 years of follow-up, 7·9% and 8·5% in the second 5 years, and 8·3% and 8·8% in the last 5 years. The cross-sectional THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 data, of all patients at each year, were similar to the cohort data. For the cohorts followed up for 10 years, the change in bodyweight was similar in the metformin and conventional control groups, and less than the increase in bodyweight observed in patients assigned intensive control with sulphonylureas or insulin. There was a decrease in fasting plasma insulin in the patients assigned metformin, which persisted throughout followup (figure 3). Of the 4292 person-years of follow-up among patients assigned conventional control, 2395 (56%) were treated by diet. The remaining 44% of personyears required, as per protocol, additional non-intensive pharmacological therapies. Of the 3682 person-years of follow-up among the overweight patients assigned metformin, 3035 (82%) were treated with metformin alone or in combination. The median dose of metformin was 2550 mg/day (IQR 1700–2550). For the conventional control group, there were 3557 (83%) of person-years with crossover to metformin therapy. Figure 4 shows the proportion of patients per year who had a major hypoglycaemic episode according to actual therapy and intention to treat. The rate of any hypoglycaemic episodes was higher in patients taking metformin as allocated than in those on diet alone but lower than the rates in those taking sulphonylureas as allocated. The rate of hypoglycaemic episodes increased over time among patients treated with insulin, as higher insulin doses were required, and decreased among those on sulphonylurea therapy, as glucose concentrations 859 ARTICLES Figure 5: Kaplan-Meier plots in diet/metformin study for any diabetes-related clinical endpoint and diabetes-related death Intensive, in this figure, indicates chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, and insulin groups. Similar plots of data for sulphonylurea/metformin study are superimposed showing relative time of commencement. increased. Over 10 years of follow-up among patients taking therapy as allocated, the proportions of patients per year who had one or more major hypoglycaemic attacks in the conventional, chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, insulin, and metformin groups were 0·7%, 0·6%, 2·5%, 0·3%, and 0% respectively; for any hypoglycaemic episode the corresponding proportions were 0·9%, 12·1%, 17·5%, 34·0%, and 4·2%. Among all patients assigned treatments (intentionto-treat analyses), major hypoglycaemic episodes occurred in 0·7%, 1·2%, 1·0%, 2·0%, and 0⋅6%, respectively, of the conventional, chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, insulin, and metformin groups, and any hypoglycaemic episodes in 7·9%, 15·2%, 20·5%, 25·5%, and 8·3%, respectively. Hypoglycaemic episodes in patients on diet therapy were reactive hypoglycaemic attacks, either after meals or, in some patients, after termination of glucose infusions while in hospital (eg, postoperatively). 860 Aggregate and single endpoints (diet vs metformin study) Patients assigned intensive blood-glucose control with metformin had a 32% lower risk (p=0·0023) of developing any diabetes-related endpoint than those allocated conventional blood-glucose control (figures 5 and 6). These endpoints included macrovascular and microvascular complications and represented the effect of intensive policy with metformin on complication-free survival. The group assigned metformin had a significantly greater risk reduction than those assigned intensive therapy with sulphonylurea or insulin (p=0·0034). The metformin group had a lower risk of diabetesrelated death than the conventional treatment group (figures 5 and 6), with no significant difference between the metformin group and those assigned therapy with sulphonylurea or insulin. There were no deaths from lactic acidosis. Cardiovascular disease accounted for 62% of the total mortality in the overweight patients in the conventional treatment group. The metformin group had a 36% lower risk (p=0·011) of all-cause mortality than the conventional group (figure 6). There was a greater risk reduction than in the groups assigned intensive therapy with sulphonylurea or insulin (p=0·021). The metformin group had a 39% lower risk (p=0·010) of myocardial infarction than the conventional treatment group, but did not differ from the other intensive treatment group (figure 6). There were no significant differences between the metformin group and the conventional group in the other aggregate endpoints. For all macrovascular diseases together (myocardial infarction, sudden death, angina, stroke, and peripheral disease), the metformin group had a 30% (5–48, p=0·020) lower risk than the conventional treatment group but did not differ significantly from the other intensive groups. Data for the single endpoints are shown in figures 7 and 8. There was no difference in the rate of death due to non-diabetes-related endpoints (accidents, cancer, other specified causes, or unknown causes). Surrogate endpoints—The metformin group had a lower rate of progression to retinopathy than the conventional group, of borderline significance (p=0·044), at 9 years; there was no difference at 12 years. The result was similar to that in the other intensive therapy group. The proportion of patients with urine albumin above 50 mg/L did not differ significantly between the intensive treatment, metformin, and conventional groups (24%, 23%, and 23% respectively). There was no difference between the treatment groups in any of the surrogate indices of macrovascular disease. Addition of metformin in patients receiving sulphonylurea Table 2 shows the demographic data for the patients whose response to maximum sulphonylurea treatment was not adequate (FPG 6·1–15·0 mmol/L) and who were assigned continuing intensive policy with sulphonylurea alone or with early addition of metformin. The mean body-mass index of normal and overweight patients in this study was 29·6 kg/m2 (SD 5·5); 17% had body-mass index below 25 kg/m2 and 39% had values above 30 kg/m2. THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Figure 6: Incidence of clinical endpoints among patients assigned intensive control with metformin (n=342), intensive control with chlorpropamide, glibenclamide, or insulin (intensive; n=951), or conventional control (n=411) Relative risk (RR) is for metformin or intensive group compared with conventional group. The median duration from the initial randomisation to subsequent randomisation of addition or no addition of metformin was 7·1 years. The median follow-up after randomisation was 6·6 years. Vital status was not known in ten (2%) patients who had emigrated and a further five (1%) who could not be contacted. Figure 9 shows the median FPG and HbA1c in the cohorts studied for 4 years after second randomisation to addition or no addition of metformin therapy compared with data for all the overweight patients in the comparison of intensive control with metformin and conventional control. There was a decrease in FPG in patients on sulphonylurea therapy who were assigned addition of metformin, whereas FPG concentrations in those on sulphonylurea therapy alone approached those of overweight patients in the conventional treatment group. HbA1c values in patients with addition of metformin decreased initially but approached those of the patients remaining on sulphonylurea alone after 3 years. The median HbA1c over 4 years in the cohort with addition of metformin was 7·7% compared with 8·2% in those on sulphonylurea alone. There were no significant differences in bodyweight or plasma insulin between the groups allocated addition of metformin or continued sulphonylurea therapy alone. The patients assigned addition of metformin took this drug for 62% of their person-years of follow-up. For those randomly assigned continuing sulphonylurea alone, there were 75% of person-years without metformin therapy. Aggregate and single endpoints (addition of metformin study) Figure 10 shows the aggregates of endpoint data and figure 11 the single endpoint data. The addition of metformin to sulphonylurea was associated with a 96% increased (p=0·039) risk of diabetes-related death. Addition of metformin to Figure 7: Kaplan-Meier plots in diet/metformin study for microvascular disease (renal failure or death from renal failure, retinopathy requiring photocoagulation, or vitreous haemorrhage), myocardial infarction (non-fatal and fatal, including sudden death), stroke (non-fatal and fatal) and cataract extraction Similar plots of data for sulphonylurea/metformin study are superimposed showing relative time of commencement. THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 861 ARTICLES Figure 8: Incidence of single endpoints in diet vs metformin study Relative risk (RR) is for comparison with conventional control. sulphonylurea therapy also increased the risk of death from any cause (60% increase, p=0·041). There were no significant differences between the groups for the other aggregate endpoints. In a subgroup analysis, there was no significant difference between patients allocated metformin in addition to chlorpropamide or glibenclamide (data not shown). The data for the single endpoints are shown in figure 11. Combined analysis of both trials Heterogeneity tests confirmed the different outcomes between the two trials for any diabetes-related endpoint (p=0·034), diabetes-related death (p=0·00256), and allcause mortality (p=0·0173), with a non-significant trend for myocardial infarction (p=0·068). Figure 10 shows the results for the two trials combined, with a 12% reduced risk for any diabetes-related endpoint (p=0·033). A formal meta-analysis gave similar results for diabetes-related endpoints (observed minus expected 22·7, variance 104·9, p=0·026) and for myocardial infarction (observed minus expected 12·2, variance 43·9, p=0·065). Epidemiological analysis The 4417 patients had 45 527 person-years of followup; 5181 (11%) of these person-years were treated with sulphonylurea plus metformin therapy. 39 (8%) of the 490 diabetes-related deaths occurred while patients were receiving sulphonylurea plus metformin therapy. A Cox proportional-hazards model, with adjustment for age, sex, ethnic group, and FPG after 3 months’ diet, Sulphonylurea alone (n=269) Sulphonylurea plus metformin (n=268) All patients (n=537) Demographic Age (years)* M/F Ethnicity (%) Caucasian/Indian Asian/Afro-Caribbean/other 58 (9) 164 (61%)/108 77/13/10/0 59 (8) 158 (59%)/118 77/11/12/0 59 (9) 322 (60%)/226 77/11/11/1 Clinical Weight (kg)* Body-mass index (kg/m2) Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg)* Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg)* Smoking (%) never/ex/current Alcohol (%) none/social/regular/dependent Exercise (%) sedentary/moderately active/active/fit 82 (16) 29·4 (5·7) 138 (21) 81 (11) 31/40/29 37/44/18/0·4 14/38/45/3 83 (16) 29·7 (5·3) 140 (20) 83 (11) 35/40/24 32/51/16/1·1 22/35/39/4 83 (16) 29·6 (5·5) 139 (21) 82 (11) 33/40/27 34/52/13/0·8 18/37/42/3 Biochemical FPG (mmol/L)† HBA1c (%)* Plasma insulin (pmol/L)‡ Triglyceride (mmol/L)‡ Total cholesterol (mmol/L)* LDL cholesterol (mmol/L)* HDL cholesterol (mmol/L)* 9·2 (7·8–10·9) 7·6 (1·8) 102 (58–180) 1·61 (0·91–2·86) 5·9 (1·0) 3·67 (0·96) 1·08 (0·28) 9·0 (7·6–11·3) 7·5 (1·7) 102 (58–181) 1·64 (0·89–3·04) 5·6 (1·1) 3·53 (0·93) 1·10 (0·30) 9·1 (7·7–11·1) 7·5 (1·7) 102 (58–181) 1·63 (0·90–2·95) 5·6 (1·1) 3·60 (0·95) 1·09 (0·29) Medications More than one aspirin daily (%) Diuretic (%) Others (%) digoxin/antihypertensives/lipid lowering/HRT or OC 6·4 13 1·9/24/0·4/0·8 4·5 16 1·5/25/0/0·4 5·5 15 1·7/25/0·4/0·8 Data are % of group, *mean (SD), †median (IQR), or ‡geometric mean ( 1 SD). HRT=hormone replacement therapy; OC=oral contraceptive therapy. Table 2: Baseline characteristics of patients assigned sulphonylurea treatment and subsequently randomised to continuing sulphonylurea treatment alone or with early addition of metformin 862 THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Figure 9: Median FPG and median HbA1c in cohorts of patients followed to 10 years from primary randomisation in diet vs metformin study, and cohorts of patients followed to 4 years from second randomisation to sulphonylurea alone or sulphonylurea plus metformin in sulphonylurea vs metformin study with current therapies as a time-dependent variable, showed a non-significant risk reduction in diabetesrelated death for sulphonylurea plus metformin compared with all other treatments of 5% (95%CI -33 to 32, p=0·78). Discussion The main trial reported in this paper evaluated the effect of metformin in diet-treated overweight patients with type 2 diabetes. The study design parallels that in the accompanying paper,1 comparing conventional blood-glucose control primarily with diet alone and intensive treatment with sulphonylurea or insulin. The data shown here suggest that metformin therapy in diettreated overweight patients reduced the risk for any diabetes-related endpoint, diabetes-related death, and all-cause mortality. These possible benefits were not seen in the second trial reported here, which suggests an increased risk for diabetes-related deaths and all-cause mortality when metformin is given in addition to sulphonylurea therapy in non-overweight and overweight patients. Because the difference in the effect of metformin between diet-treated and sulphonylureatreated patients could be extremes of the play of chance, a combined analysis of all the data was undertaken. This showed that addition of metformin had a comparable effect to that seen with intensive therapy with sulphonylurea or insulin reported in the accompanying paper1 with a net reduction of 19% in any diabetesrelated endpoint (p=0·033). The trend to a reduced risk for microvascular endpoints with metformin therapy was comparable to Figure 10: Incidence of clinical endpoints in sulphonylurea vs metformin study and diet vs metformin study Relative risk (RR) is for comparison with conventional or sulphonylurea alone. Results of a combined analysis of these two studies shown also. THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 863 ARTICLES Figure 11: Incidence of single endpoints in sulphonylurea vs metformin study Relative risk (RR) is for sulphonylurea plus metformin vs sulphonylurea alone. that reported in the accompanying paper for intensive glucose control1 but did not achieve statistical significance. Clinical use of metformin in overweight patients In diet-treated overweight patients metformin similarly improved HbA1c levels as with sulphonylurea and insulin therapy but did not induce weight gain and was associated with fewer episodes of hypoglycaemia. Given the equivalent HbA1c levels obtained, the possible additional benefit of metformin observed in overweight diet-treated patients, of a reduced risk for any diabetesrelated endpoint, all mortality, and stroke is not explicable on the basis of glycaemic control. The improvements in the predominantly cardiovascular outcomes seen with metformin may be due to the decrease in PAI-1 that accompanies the metformininduced increase in insulin sensitivity.3 PAI-1 can inhibit fibrinolysis; thus decrease in PAI-1 could lessen the likelihood of extension of a thrombolysis. In addition, metformin lowers systemic methylglyoxal concentrations in patients with type 2 diabetes,18 which suggests that it may have an aminoguanidine-like action. However, these postulated mechanisms may not be relevant since, in the combined analysis, the effect of metformin on cardiovascular outcomes was not substantiated. Clinical use of metformin in patients already treated with sulphonylurea When metformin was prescribed in the trial in both non-overweight and overweight patients already treated with sulphonylurea there was a significant increase in risk of diabetes-related death and all-cause mortality rather than a beneficial effect on the primary outcome. The different outcomes seen in these two trials may be explained by differences in the patients studied. The sulphonylurea-treated patients were on average 5 years older; more hyperglycaemic (baseline median FPG 9·1 vs 8·1 mmol/L); less overweight; and followed up on 864 average for 5 years less. Secondly, it is important to note that the differences in outcome relate to a relatively small number of endpoints. The epidemiological analysis did not corroborate an association of diabetesrelated deaths with combined sulphonylurea and metformin therapy although the CIs were wide. The UKPDS studied metformin primarily in obese patients, since when the study started (1970s), metformin was generally prescribed only in such patients. Obesity is common among patients with type 2 diabetes.19 At entry to UKPDS, body-mass index was above 25 kg/m2 in 75% of patients and above 30 kg/m2 in 35%. Since metformin seems to give risk reduction of diabetes-related endpoints in overweight patients with type 2 diabetes, does not induce weight gain, and is associated with fewer hypoglycaemic attacks than sulphonylurea or insulin therapy,10 it could be chosen as the first-line pharmacological therapy in such patients. Although these findings may not apply to nonoverweight patients, metformin seems to lower glycaemia in patients with type 2 diabetes, irrespective of the degree of obesity.1 Conclusion The addition of metformin in patients already treated with sulphonylureas requires further study. On balance, metformin treatment appears to be advantageous as a first-line pharmacological therapy in diet-treated overweight patients with type 2 diabetes. UKPDS Study Organisation Participating centres—Radcliffe Infirmary, Oxford; Royal Infirmary, Aberdeen; Birmingham General Hospital; St George’s Hospital, London; Hammersmith Hospital, London; Belfast City Hospital; North Staffordshire Royal Infirmary, Stoke-on-Trent; Royal Victoria Hospital, Belfast; St Helier Hospital, Carshalton; Whittington Hospital, London; Norfolk and Norwich Hospital, Norwich; Lister Hospital, Stevenage; Ipswich Hospital; Ninewells Hospital, Dundee; Northampton Hospital; Torbay Hospital; Peterborough General Hospital; Scarborough Hospital; Derbyshire Royal Infirmary; Manchester Royal Infirmary; THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 ARTICLES Hope Hospital, Salford; Leicester General Hospital; Royal Devon and Exeter Hospital. Writing committee—Robert C Turner, Rury R Holman, Irene M Stratton, Carole A Cull, David R Matthews, Susan E Manley, Valeria Frighi, David Wright, Andrew Neil, Eva Kohner, Heather McElroy, Charles Fox, David Hadden 7 8 9 Acknowledgments We thank the patients and many NHS and non-NHS staff at the centres for their cooperation. Major grants for this study were obtained from the UK Medical Research Council, British Diabetic Association, the UK Department of Health, the National Eye Institute and the National Institute of Digestive, Diabetes and Kidney Disease in the National Institutes of Health, USA, the British Heart Foundation, Novo-Nordisk, Bayer, Bristol Myers Squibb, Hoechst, Lilly, Lipha, and Farmitalia Carlo Erba. Other funding companies and agencies, the supervising committees, and all participating staff are listed in reference 11. 10 11 12 13 14 References 1 2 3 4 5 6 UKPDS Group. Intensive blood-glucose control with sulphonylureas or insulin compared with conventional treatment and risk of complications in patients with type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 33). Lancet 1998; 352: 837–53. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study 24: relative efficacy of sulfonylurea, insulin and metformin therapy in newly diagnosed non-insulin dependent diabetes with primary diet failure followed for six years. Ann Intern Med 1998; 128: 165–75. Cusi K, Consoli A, DeFronzo RA. Metabolic effects of metformin on glucose and lactate metabolism in noninsulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 1996; 81: 4059–67. Bailey CJ. Biguanides and NIDDM. Diabetes Care 1992; 15: 755–72. Nagi DK, Yudkin JS. Effects of metformin on insulin resistance, risk factors for cardiovascular disease, and plasminogen activator inhibitor in NIDDM subjects: a study of two ethnic groups. Diabetes Care 1993; 16: 621–29. Nolan JJ, Ludvik B, Beersden P, Joyce M, Olefsky J. Improvement in glucose tolerance and insulin resistance in obese subjects treated THE LANCET • Vol 352 • September 12, 1998 15 16 17 18 19 20 with troglitazone. N Engl J Med 1994; 331: 1188–93. University Group Diabetes Program. A study of the effects of hypoglycemic agents on vascular complications on patients with adult-onset diabetes: V– evaluation of phenformin therapy. Diabetes 1975; 24 (suppl 1): 65–184. Nattrass M, Alberti KG. Biguanides. Diabetologia 1978; 14: 71–74. Bailey CJ, Turner RC. Metformin. N Engl J Med 1996; 334: 574–79. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study VIII: study design, progress and performance. Diabetologia 1991; 34: 877–90. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study 16: overview of six years’ therapy of type 2 diabetes—a progressive disease. Diabetes 1995; 44: 1249–58. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study 17: a nine-year update of a randomized, controlled trial on the effect of improved metabolic control on complications in non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. Ann Intern Med 1996; 124: 136–45. Metropolitan Life Insurance Company. Net weight standard for men and women. Statist Bull 1959; 40: 1–4. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study 28: a randomised trial of efficacy of early addition of metformin in sulphonylureatreated non-insulin dependent diabetes. Diabetes Care 1998; 21: 87–92. Rothman KJ. Modern epidemiology. Boston: Little, Brown, 1986. Early Breast Cancer Trialists Collaborative Group. Treatment of early breast cancer. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1990. UKPDS Group. UK Prospective Diabetes Study XI: biochemical risk factors in type 2 diabetic patients at diagnosis compared with age-matched normal subjects. Diabet Med 1994; 11: 534–44. Beisswenger P, Howell S, Touchette A, Lal S, Szwergold B, Rohlf J. Metformin reduces systemic methylgloxal levels in NIDDM. Diabetes 1997; 46 (suppl 1): 74A (abstr). Modan M, Karasik A, Halkin H, et al. Effect of past and concurrent body mass index on prevalence of glucose intolerance and type 2 (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes and on insulin response: the Israel study of glucose intolerance, obesity and hypertension. Diabetologia 1986; 29: 82–89. Yki-Jarvinen H, Nikkil K, Ryysy L, Tulokas T, Vanamo R, Hekkil M. Comparison of bedtime insulin regimens in NIDDM: metformin prevents insulin-induced weight gain. Diabetologia 1996; 39 (suppl 1): A33 (abstr). 865 Reviews/Commentaries/Position Statements R E V I E W A R T I C L E Combination Therapies With Insulin in Type 2 Diabetes HANNELE YKI-JÄRVINEN, MD, FRCP1 T he U.K. Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) demonstrated that intensive glucose control with insulin or sulfonylureas markedly reduces the risk of microvascular complications (1). For myocardial infarction, the reduction in risk (16% for a 0.9% decrease in HbA1c) was of borderline significance but corresponded closely to epidemiological predictions (14% decrease for a 1% drop in HbA1c) (2). These data demonstrated that neither insulin nor sulfonylureas, despite causing hyperinsulinemia and weight gain, have adverse effects on cardiovascular outcome. Glycemic control deteriorated continuously, however, even in intensively treated patients in the UKPDS (1). In the UKPDS, the worsening of glycemic control has been attributed to the natural course of type 2 diabetes and lack of efficacy of current antihyperglycemic therapies (1). Insulin therapy consisted of a single injection of ultralente or isophane insulin. If the daily dose exceeded 14 U, regular insulin was added and homeglucose monitoring was encouraged (1). Combination therapy regimens with insulin and oral agents were not used. We now know that 14 U of long-acting insulin is insufficient to control fasting glycemia in most type 2 diabetic patients (3). Since 1977, when the UKPDS was started, several studies have tried to define the optimal insulin treatment regimen for type 2 diabetic patients. These studies are the focus of this review and include studies comparing insulin alone to combination therapy with insulin and sulfonylureas (subject to meta-analyses in 1991 and 1992) (4,5) and more recent trials using metformin, glitazones, or acarbose in insulin combination therapy regimens. They do not contain data on cardiovascu- lar end points but only on surrogate markers of risk of micro- and macrovascular complications, mostly data on glycemia, body weight, insulin doses, lipids, and in a few studies, also accurate data on the frequency of hypoglycemias. According to a Medline search (1966 – 2000), insulin alone has been compared with insulin combination therapy in a total of 34 prospective studies that lasted at least 2 months and reported data on HbA1 or HbA1c in type 2 diabetic patients. Studies comparing glycemic control, weight gain, hypoglycemias, and insulin requirements between the two modes of treatment in insulin-naı̈ve patients are listed in Table 1 and in previously insulin-treated patients are listed in Table 2. The studies have been ranked according to glycemic control at the end of the trial. GLYCEMIC CONTROL AND INSULIN REQUIREMENTS Insulin-naı̈ve and previously insulintreated patients. In insulin-naı̈ve patients in a total of 15 comparisons (10 studies), glycemic control was similar in most (11 of 15) comparisons and better with the insulin combination than the insulin-alone regimen in four comparisons (Table 1). In all studies, the daily insulin dose was lower with insulin combination therapy than with insulin alone. The weighted mean for the insulin-sparing effect of two drugs (sulfonylureas and metformin) in addition to insulin was 62%, i.e., 1.5–2.0 times that with regimens combining either metformin alone (⫺32%) or sulfonylureas alone (⫺42%) (Table 1) with insulin. These data imply that oral agents still have significant glucose-lowering effects even in patients who are poorly controlled on oral drugs. One may also predict from these data that if the insulin dose is lowered less than ⬃30% when patients are transferred from insulin alone to insulin combined with sulfonylurea or metformin, glycemic control will be better during insulin combination therapy. This is documented by analysis of data from studies in previously insulin-treated patients (Table 2). In these comparisons, glycemic control was better in most (19 of 25) comparisons, but the insulin dose was decreased by only 19% in the combination regimens using metformin and by 21% in comparisons using insulin and sulfonylureas (Table 2). Thus, although in most comparisons (30 of 45) glycemic control has been better with insulin combination therapy regimens than with insulin alone, the difference may be at least partly explained by how the insulin dose has been decreased during insulin combination therapy. All glitazones have improved glycemic control when added to previous insulin treatment (Table 2). In a study directly comparing the insulin-sparing effects of troglitazone (600 mg/day) and metformin (1,700 mg/ day), troglitazone had a greater (⫺53%) insulin-sparing effect than metformin (⫺31%). This was explained by insulinsensitizing effects of troglitazone but not metformin (6). WEIGHT GAIN From the 1Department of Medicine, Division of Diabetes, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland. Address correspondence and reprint requests to Hannele Yki-Järvinen, MD, FRCP, Department of Medicine, Division of Diabetes, P.O. Box 340, 00029 HUS, Helsinki, Finland. E-mail: ykijarvi@helsinki.fi. Received for publication 19 October 2000 and accepted in revised form 2 January 2001. Abbreviations: GADA, GAD antibodies; UKPDS, U.K. Prospective Diabetes Study. A table elsewhere in this issue shows conventional and Système International (SI) units and conversion factors for many substances. What determines weight gain during insulin therapy? Although most patients with type 2 diabetes are overweight, weight loss precedes the diagnosis of type 2 diabetes (7). This weight loss is due to hyperglycemiainduced wasting of energy, as glucosuria and as energy used to overproduce glucose (8). When glucose control is improved with insulin and/or sulfonylureas, energy loss in the urine decreases or ceases, weight increases, and basal metabolic rate (kJ/min) (8 –10) and dietary intake (11) remain unchanged. The increase in body weight increases basal metabolic rate, but this is counterbalanced by improved glycemic control, which decreases basal metabolic rate because less energy is 758 DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 24, NUMBER 4, APRIL 2001 ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 24, NUMBER 4, APRIL 2001 Metformin alone MET ⫹ bedtime NPH Metformin and sulfonylureas GLYB ⫹ MET ⫹ bedtime NPH GLYB ⫹ MET ⫹ morning NPH GLYB ⫹ MET ⫹ bedtime NPH GLYB ⫹ MET ⫹ bedtime NPH Weighted mean Sulfonylurea regimens GLIMEP ⫹ bedtime 30/70 GLYB ⫹ bedtime NPH GLYB ⫹ bedtime NPH GLYB ⫹ morning NPH GLYB ⫹ Ins GLYB ⫹ lispro t.i.d. GLYB ⫹ bedtime NPH GLYB ⫹ Ins GLYB ⫹ Ins GLICL ⫹ Ins Weighted mean Combination regimen 6 12 6 6 6 2 2 4 4 12 12 3 3 6 12 Duration (months) 7.6% Comb 7.8% Comb 8.1% Comb 8.2% Ins 8.4% Comb 8.4% Comb 8.5% Ins 8.8% Comb 9.8% Comb 11.8% Ins§ 7.6% Comb 7.7% Comb 8.0% Comb 8.4% Ins 7.2% Comb End HbA1c* No difference No difference No difference No difference No difference No difference No difference Better with GLYB Better with GLYB Better with GLICL No difference No difference No difference No difference Better with MET‡ Glycemia Yes Yes No No Yes No No Yes Yes No Yes No No No Yes Placebo control Less with MET‡ No difference No difference Less with MET Less with MET No difference No difference No difference No difference No difference No difference Less with GLYB No difference Less with Ins — Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Crossover Crossover Parallel Weight gain Parallel Crossover/ parallel More with GLYB No difference No difference No difference ND No difference No difference — — — No difference No difference No difference No difference No difference Hypoglycemia ⫺37 ⫺55 ⫺38 ⫺33 ⫺43 ⫺36 ⫺56 ⫺50 ⫺21 ⫺35 ⫺42 ⫺62 ⫺58 ⫺44 ⫺74 ⫺62 ⫺32 Difference in insulin dose (%)† The trials are grouped according to the oral agent used and then ranked within these groups based on glycemic control at the end of treatment with the better regimen. Only trials lasting 2 months or longer are included; *HbA1c at the end of treatment in the group with better control (even if not significantly better in one group versus the other); †% difference in insulin doses at the end of treatment with a combination regimen versus insulin alone; ‡significant difference; §HbA1 Comb, combination regimen; GLICL, gliclazide; GLIMEP, glimepiride; GLYB, glyburide; Ins, regimen containing insulin alone; MET, metformin; 30/70 ⫽ an insulin mixture containing 30% regular insulin and 70% NPH. 25 12 29 29 55 32 32 28 27 56 12 15 15 16 12 Reference no. Table 1—Studies comparing combination treatment regimens with insulin to insulin alone in insulin-naive type 2 diabetic patients Yki-Järvinen needed for glucose overproduction. Because dietary intake remains unchanged (11), weight gain is proportional to reduction of glucosuria and can indeed be predicted based on fasting glucose concentrations (11). Because glucosuria appears when the fasting glucose concentration exceeds 10 –12 mmol/l, weight gain is inevitable if insulin therapy is postponed until significant glucosuria occurs. In our experience, a 5-mmol/l (90-mg/dl) decrease in fasting glucose or a decrease in HbA1c by 2.5% from a baseline of 15 mmol/l (270 mg/dl) is associated with a 5-kg weight gain during 1 year (or 2 kg/1% decrease in HbA1c) (11). Thus, the main predictors of weight gain are initial glycemia and its response to treatment (11). The patient with poor glycemic control before initiation of insulin therapy but with a good treatment response is at greatest risk for weight gain. Choice of oral agent and weight gain in insulin-naı̈ve patients. Only one trial has compared the combination of insulin with that of insulin and metformin alone in previously insulin-naı̈ve patients (12). In this study, which lasted 12 months, the bedtime insulin-metformin regimen was superior to three other bedtime insulin regimens with respect to glycemic control, weight gain, and hypoglycemias (Table 1) (12). The ability of metformin to counteract weight gain and improve glycemia, when combined with insulin, has been confirmed in abstract reports (13,14). In these studies, weight gain was less despite comparable glycemia (13) or weight gain was similar despite better glycemic control (14) in patients using metformin and insulin compared with those using insulin and sulfonylureas or insulin alone. Data are heterogenous regarding the ability of metformin to influence weight gain when combined with both insulin and sulfonylureas, compared with regimens containing insulin alone (Table 1). In two comparisons, weight gain was less with the combination regimen than with insulin alone (15,16), whereas two other comparisons revealed no difference (12,15) (Table 1, Fig. 1). The ability of metformin to counteract weight gain during insulin combination therapy has been attributed to a decrease in dietary intake (11). 759 760 Metformin regimens MET ⫹ insulin MET ⫹ insulin MET ⫹ insulin MET ⫹ insulin Weighted mean Sulfonylurea regimens GLYB ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin SU ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin TOLAZ ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫺ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin GLIP ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin GLYB insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin TOLAZ ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin Weighted mean Glitazone ROSI ⫹ insulin TRO ⫹ insulin PIO ⫹ insulin ␣-Glucosidase inhibitor ACARB ⫹ insulin ACARB ⫹ insulin Combination regimen 6 12 6 6 4 3 3 12 4 3 12 3 4 3 4 11 2 2 2 12 2 6 4 3 6 Duration (months) 8.3% 7.3% 7.8% 7.9% 8.6% 6.0% Comb 7.0% Comb 7.5% Comb 8.3% Comb§ 8.8% Comb§ 8.8% Comb§ 9.1% Comb 9.6% Comb 9.8% Comb§ 10.2 Comb§ 10.3% Ins§ 11.0% Comb§ 12.4% Comb§ 12.6% Comb§ 12.9% Ins 13.0% Comb§ 6.5% Comb 7.8% Comb 7.8% Comb 9.8% Comb End HbA1c* or HbAI Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Placebo Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Parallel Crossover Parallel Parallel Crossover Crossover Parallel Crossover Parallel Crossover Crossover Crossover Crossover Crossover Crossover Crossover Crossover Parallel Parallel Crossover Parallel Parallel/ crossover Better with ACARB Better with ACARB Better with ROSI Better with TRO Better with PIO No difference Better with GLYB No difference Better with GLYB Better with GLYB Better with GLYB Better with GLYB Better with GLYB No difference Better with GLYB Better with GLYB No difference Better with GLYB No difference No difference Better with GLYB Better† with MET Better with MET Better with MET Better with MET Glycemia — No difference More with ROSI More with TRO More with PIO No difference No difference No difference No difference Fixed — — — — No difference No difference No difference No difference — No difference No difference Less with MET‡ Less with MET No difference ND Weight gain No difference No difference More with ROSI More with TRO More with PIO — — — More with GLY — — — — — — — — — — — — Less with MET‡ — — — Hypoglycemias Fixed — ⫾0 ⫺46 — ⫺25 ⫺20 ⫺35 ⫺20 ⫺23 ⫺47 ⫺7 Fixed ⫺35 ⫺3 ⫺7 ⫺2 Fixed Fixed ⫺22 ⫾0 ⫺21㛳 ⫺23 ⫺26 ⫺3 ⫺20 ⫺19 Difference in insulin dose (%)† The trials are grouped according to the oral agent used and then ranked within these groups based on glycemic control at the end of treatment with the better regimen. Only trials lasting 2 months or longer are included. *HbA1c at the end of treatment in the group with better control (even if not significantly better in one group versus the other); †% difference in insulin doses at the end of treatment with a combination regimen versus insulin alone; ‡statistically significant difference between insulin combination therapy versus insulin alone; §HbA1 reference range higher than that for HbA1c; 㛳trials in which the insulin dose was fixed are not included in the calculation of the weighted mean. ACARB, acarbose; Comb, combination regimen; GLIP, glipizide; Irs, regimen containing insulin; PIO, pioglitazone; ROSI, rosiglitazone; SU, various sulfonylureas; TOLAZ, tolazamide; TRO, troglitazone. 65 66 54 52 53 45 58 46 26 47 59 60 61 62 49 48 50 44 63 64 51 24 42 43 57 Reference no. Table 2—Studies comparing combination treatment regimens with insulin to insulin alone in previously insulin-treated type 2 diabetic patients Combination therapies with insulin in type 2 diabetes DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 24, NUMBER 4, APRIL 2001 Yki-Järvinen Figure 1—Weight gain in previously insulin-treated patients during treatment with insulin combination regimens containing metformin (MET) (24,42,43), various sulfonylureas (SU) (26,44 – 51), and glitazones (GLIT) (52–54) and in insulin-naı̈ve patients treated with insulin and MET (12), SU⫹MET (12,15,16), and SU (12,25,27–29). Choice of oral agent and weight gain in previously insulin-treated patients. Switching patients from treatment with insulin alone to insulin combination therapy with metformin has been associated with less weight gain in two of three studies, whereas no difference was found in any of the 16 comparisons in which insulin plus sulfonylurea was compared with insulin alone, despite better control in 10 of 16 comparisons (Table 2). It is unclear whether this is because weight was not accurately recorded or because the larger dose of exogenous insulin or the greater number of insulin injections used in insulin alone as compared with the insulin combination regimen had independent weight-promoting effects. In studies comparing insulin-glitazone treatment with insulin alone, glycemic control was better in each study with the insulinglitazone combination than with insulin alone. Better glycemic control was also associated with greater weight gain in each of the three studies. Although the amount of weight gain relative to the improvement in glycemic control seemed slightly greater than with sulfonylureas (Fig. 1), data on insulinglitazone combination therapy are still sparse. The significance of weight gain with glitazones is also difficult to judge, because glitazones may be beneficial in redistributing fat from visceral to subDIABETES CARE, VOLUME 24, NUMBER 4, APRIL 2001 cutaneous sites (17–19). A small fraction of weight gain with glitazones could be due to peripheral edema (20,21). HYPOGLYCEMIAS Frequency of hypoglycemias in type 1 versus type 2 diabetes. In both patients with type 1 (22) and type 2 (12) diabetes, the frequency of hypoglycemias is inversely proportional to glycemic control. In the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial, in patients with HbA1c between 7 and 8%, the frequency of severe hypoglycemias requiring assistance in the provision of treatment was 0.62 per patient per year (22). In contrast, in the FINFAT study (12), the Kumamoto study (23), or other studies of type 2 diabetes in which comparable glycemic control was achieved (24,25), there were no severe hypoglycemias. The frequency of biochemical hypoglycemias (blood glucose ⬍3.5 mmol/l) was 1.9 per patient per year in patients treated with insulin plus metformin and approximately twice as high in the other groups in the FINFAT study (12). In the latter study, HbA1c averaged between 7 and 8% in all groups for 1 year. These data, although derived from separate studies, suggest that hypoglycemias are much less of a problem in type 2 diabetic patients than in type 1 diabetic patients. Does the oral agent influence the occurrence of hypoglycemias independent of glycemic control? The occurrence of hypoglycemia has been sparsely reported [eight comparisons in insulin-naı̈ve patients (Table 1) and five comparisons in previously insulin-treated patients (Table 2)]. In insulin-naı̈ve patients, use of insulin combination therapy with metformin has been associated with less hypoglycemias than with insulin alone, despite better glycemic control with the insulin-combination regimen (12). No difference was observed between insulin-alone and insulin-sulfonylurea regimens in five of seven studies; in two studies (25,26), there were more cases of hypoglycemia with insulin and sulfonylurea than with insulin alone (Tables 1 and 2). No difference in the incidence of hypoglycemia was observed between insulin alone compared with insulin plus sulfonylurea and metformin regimens (Tables 1 and 2). In the latter studies, there was also no difference in glycemic control. In all three studies comparing insulinglitazone combination therapy to insulin alone, the frequency of hypoglycemia was higher and glycemic control was better with the insulin-combination regimen. These data suggest that with the possible exception of metformin, use of insulin combination therapy is accompanied by a similar frequency of hypoglycemia than is use of insulin alone. CHANGES IN SERUM TRIGLYCERIDES AND OTHER LIPIDS AND LIPOPROTEINS Insulin-naı̈ve patients. Data on changes in serum triglycerides and glycemia in insulin-naı̈ve patients are summarized in Table 3. As judged from the weighted means of insulin-alone regimens, a decrease in HbA1c from ⬃10 to 8% (i.e., by 2%) is associated with a 0.7to 0.8-mmol/l decrease in serum triglycerides from an initial concentration of 2.4 –2.7 mmol/l. With insulin combination therapy regimens, a decrease of HbA1c by 2% decreases serum triglycerides by 0.4 – 0.6 mmol/l (Table 3). In all except one study, insulin alone lowered serum triglycerides slightly more than insulin combination therapy, although there was no significant difference in the lowering of serum triglycerides with the two modes of therapy in any of the studies 761 Combination therapies with insulin in type 2 diabetes Table 3—Changes in glycosylated hemoglobin and serum triglycerides during treatment with insulin alone as compared with combination therapies with insulin and oral agents in insulin-naive patients Ref. no. 12 Combination regimen Metformin alone MET ⫹ bedtime NPH Baseline Change Baseline Change Baseline Change Baseline Change Better† Better† Duration HbA1c in HbA1c HbA1c in HbA1c S-Tg in S-Tg S-Tg in S-Tg regimen regimen S-Tg glycemia Comb Comb Ins Ins (months) Ins Ins Comb Comb 12 9.9 ⫺2.0‡ 9.8 ⫺2.5‡ 2.6 ⫺0.9‡ 2.4 ⫺0.7‡ NS Comb 12 15 15 16 Metformin and sulfonylureas GLYB ⫹ MET ⫹ bedtime NPH GLYB ⫹ MET ⫹ morning NPH GLYB ⫹ MET ⫹ bedtime NPH GLYB ⫾ MET ⫹ bedtime NPH Weighted mean 12 3 3 6 9.9 9.6 9.6 10.7 9.9 ⫺2.0‡ ⫺1.6‡ ⫺1.6‡ ⫺2.3‡ ⫺1.9 9.9 9.5 9.9 10.2 9.9 ⫺2.1‡ ⫺1.7‡ ⫺1.9‡ ⫺1.5‡ ⫺1.9 2.6 2.4 2.4 1.8 2.4 ⫺0.9‡ ⫺0.6‡ ⫺0.6‡ ⫺0.4‡ ⫺0.7 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.1 2.4 ⫺0.4‡ ⫺0.3 ⫺0.6‡ ⫺0.2 ⫺0.4 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS 25 12 29 29 55 28 27 Sulfonylurea regimens GLIMEP ⫹ bedtime 30/70 GLYB ⫹ bedtime NPH GLYB ⫹ bedtime NPH GLYB ⫹ morning NPH GLYB ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin Weighted mean 6 12 6 6 6 4 4 9.9 9.9 11.2 11.2 11.5* 9.7* 10.4* 10.5 ⫺2.0‡ ⫺2.0‡ ⫺3.0‡ ⫺3.0‡ ⫺2.2‡ ⫺0.8 0.2 ⫺2.2 9.7 9.8 10.5 11.1 10.4* 10.1* 10.6* 10.2 ⫺2.1‡ ⫺2.0‡ ⫺2.3‡ ⫺2.6‡ ⫺2.2‡ ⫺1.3 ⫺0.8‡ ⫺2.1 3.1 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.0 3.1 3.6 2.7 ⫺1.0‡ ⫺0.8‡ ⫺0.7‡ ⫺0.7‡ ⫺0.4 ⫺0.6 ⫺1.1‡ ⫺0.8 3.2 2.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.8 3.6 2.7 ⫺0.3‡ ⫺0.8‡ ⫺0.3‡ ⫺0.3 ⫺0.3 ⫺0.8‡ ⫺1.2‡ ⫺0.6 NS NS NS NS NS Comb NS NS NS NS NS NS Comb Comb The trials are grouped according to the oral agent used and then ranked within these groups based on glycemic control at the end of treatment with the better regimen. Only trials lasting at least 2 months are included. *HbA1 value; †denotes a statistically significant difference between insulin combination therapy versus insulin alone; ‡significant difference at the end versus start of the treatment period. Comb, combination regimen; Ins, regimen containing insulin alone; S-Tg, serum triglycerides (mmol/l). For other abbreviations, see Table 1. (Table 3). LDL and HDL cholesterol concentrations remained unchanged in all studies, with no differences between regimens (12,15,16,25,27–29). Previously insulin-treated patients. As summarized in Table 4, the greater improvement in glycemic control with insulin combination therapy than with insulin alone in 11 of 14 studies has not been consistently (4 of 11 studies) associated with a greater decrease in serum triglycerides. These data demonstrate that factors other than average glucose concentrations determine the degree of lowering of serum triglycerides. Overall, the available comparisons of changes in serum lipid and lipoprotein concentrations in both insulin-naı̈ve and previously insulintreated patients do not allow definitive conclusions and do not support choice of one treatment regimen over another. BLOOD PRESSURE Regarding blood pressure, in a follow-up study of the patients participating in the FINMIS study (15,30), blood pressure increased significantly in the entire group of 100 patients during 1 year. Weight gain correlated both with the increase in blood pressure and with an increase in the LDL 762 cholesterol concentrations (30). Three shorter studies reported data on blood pressure (15,25,27) but found no changes in blood pressure or differences between regimens. SPECIAL QUESTIONS Choice of insulin regimen during insulin combination therapy: NPH insulin or insulin glargine? Regarding basal insulinization, the commonly used intermediate-acting insulin (NPH) is not ideal for once-daily use. In the FINMIS study, in patients with type 2 diabetes with a mean BMI of 29 kg/m2, injection of NPH insulin at 9:00 P.M. resulted in maximal glucose lowering between 4:00 and 8:00 A.M., but the effect was gone by 3:00 P.M., i.e., 18 h after the injection, and dinnertime glucose concentrations were unnecessarily high. The recently approved long-acting insulin analog insulin glargine seems to overcome these problems. In a study comparing NPH plus oral agents to insulin glargine plus oral agents in 423 insulin-naı̈ve type 2 diabetic patients for 1 year, all hypoglycemias were 35% lower and nocturnal hypoglycemias were 56% lower with insulin glargine than with NPH (Fig. 2). Dinner- time glucose levels were also significantly lower with insulin glargine than with NPH (Fig. 2). Regular insulin or short-acting insulin analogs compared with NPH during combination therapy. Regular insulin three times per day plus a sulfonylurea has been compared with a single injection of NPH taken at bedtime and a sulfonylurea. No difference in glycemic control was found, but weight gain was significantly greater with three injections of regular insulin than with a single injection of bedtime NPH insulin (31). Greater weight gain with no difference in glycemic control has also been reported with three injections of lispro plus sulfonylurea compared with NPH plus sulfonylurea (32) (Table 5). Timing of the intermediate-acting insulin injection. The pros and cons of timing of the intermediate-acting insulin injection has been examined in three studies (15,33,34). In two studies, a bedtime injection was recommended because it resulted in less weight gain (15) or less hypoglycemias (34) than a morning injection. In the third DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 24, NUMBER 4, APRIL 2001 Yki-Järvinen Table 4—Changes in glycosylated hemoglobin and serum triglycerides during treatment with insulin alone as compared with insulin combination therapy in previously insulin-treated patients Ref. no. Combination regimen 24 42 43 57 Metformin MET ⫹ insulin MET ⫹ insulin MET ⫹ insulin MET ⫹ insulin Weighted mean 45 46 26 47 48 61 51 Sulfonylurea GLYB ⫹ insulin SU ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin TOLAZ ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin GLYB ⫹ insulin Weighted mean 52 54 Glitazones TRO ⫹ insulin ROSI ⫹ insulin Weighted mean 65 ␣-Glucosidase inhibitor ACARB ⫹ insulin Duration (months) Baseline Change Baseline Change Baseline Change Baseline Change Better† Better† in S-Tg regimen regimen S-Tg in S-Tg HbA1c in HbA1c HbA1c in HbA1c S-Tg glycemia S-Tg Comb Comb Ins Ins Ins Ins Comb Comb 6 4 6 3 9 9.6 11.5 8.9 9.8 ⫺1.6§ 0.0 ⫺0.2 ⫺0.5§ ⫺0.6 9.1 9.6 11.7 8.9 10.0 ⫺2.5§ ⫺1.9§ ⫺1.9 ⫺1.1§ ⫺1.9 2.5 2.4 2.8 2.2 2.5 ⫺0.4 ⫺0.1 ⫺0.0 ⫺1.0§ ⫺0.4 2.3 2.0 2.9 2.2 2.4 ⫺0.1 ⫺0.4§ ⫺0.3§ ⫺0.9§ ⫺0.4 NS Comb Comb NS Comb Comb Comb Comb 3 12 4 3 11 4 2 6.7 10.2 9.2* 10.7* 10.3 10.4 14.0* 10.1 ⫺0.4 ⫺2.4§ ⫺0.1 ⫺1.5§ ⫺1.3§ 0.0 ⫺0.6 ⫺1.0 6.3 9.8 9.2* 10.7* 11.1 10.9 14.0* 10.1 ⫺0.3 ⫺2.3§ ⫺0.9§ ⫺1.9 ⫺2.0§ ⫺1.3§ ⫺1.0 ⫺1.4 1.5 2.3 1.2 2.1 1.7 1.4 2.1 1.8 ⫺0.08 ⫺0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 ⫺0.1 ⫺0.4 ⫺0.1 1.5 2.5 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.8 2.1 2.0 0.2 ⫺0.8 0.1§ ⫺0.5§ ⫺0.7 ⫺0.1 ⫺0.2 ⫺0.2 NS NS Ins Comb NS NS NS NS NS Comb Comb NS Comb Comb 6 6 8.9 9.4 9.2 0.1 ⫺0.1 ⫺0.0 9.0 9.3 9.2 ⫺1.2 ⫺0.4 ⫺1.3 2.6 3.0 2.8 ⫺0.5 ⫺0.3 0.1 2.5 2.7 2.6 ⫺0.1 ⫺0.4 ⫺0.2 NS NS Comb Comb 6 8.7 0.1 8.8 ⫺0.6§ 2.1† — 2.2‡ — Comb Comb The trials are grouped as in Table 3. Only trials lasting at least 2 months are included. *HbA1; †statistically significant difference between insulin combination therapy versus insulin alone; ‡serum triglycerides 120 min after a standardized meal challenge; §significant difference at the end versus start of the treatment period. There were no significant differences between changes in serum triglycerides with insulin alone versus insulin combination therapy. Abbreviations as in Tables 2 and 3. study, no differences in glycemia or weight gain were found (33). PREDICTION OF INSULIN REQUIREMENTS Variation in hepatic insulin sensitivity seems to be much more important than insulin absorption in determining insulin requirements during combination therapy with NPH insulin (3). Hepatic insulin sensitivity cannot be routinely measured but correlates with various indexes of obesity (3). In type 2 diabetic patients with a mean BMI of 29 kg/m2, to achieve an average HbA1c of ⬃7.5% from a baseline value of 10%, the mean bedtime NPH insulin dose for body weights of 70, 80, 90, and 100 kg has been 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, and 0.5 IU/kg (3,11). However, interindividual variation is large and has varied 20-fold between 8 and 168 IU per day (12), which implies that these average predictions are not accurate enough to be used on an individual level. Autoantibodies to glutamic acid deDIABETES CARE, VOLUME 24, NUMBER 4, APRIL 2001 carboxylase (GADA) predict an increased likelihood of insulin requirement in both young and old adults with type 2 diabetes (35). In 3,672 newly diagnosed patients in the UKPDS, 34% of those aged 25–34 years and 7% of those aged 55– 65 years had GADA (35). Among patients older than 55 years at diagnosis, 34% of those with GADA and 5% with autoantibodies to neither GADA nor islet cell cytoplasm required insulin therapy. In these older patients, only the presence of GADA but not phenotypic features such as BMI predicted insulin requirement. There are no studies comparing insulin combination regimens with insulin alone in these patients, who are often classified as having type 2 diabetes but actually have type 1 diabetes (36). In patients in whom signs of absolute insulin deficiency (rapid weight loss, ketonuria) ultimately develop, the presence of GADA may guide the choice of a basal-bolus–type full insulin-replacement regimen (37). PREDICTORS OF A GLYCEMIC RESPONSE TO INSULIN COMBINATION THERAPY In studies in which the insulin dose is titrated aggressively to reach glycemic targets, the decrease in HbA1c will be directly proportional to its initial level. Of other factors, obesity predicts a poor response to any type of insulin therapy, especially if insufficient doses of insulin are used (30,38). In addition, and as discussed above, GADA may predict poor response to combination therapy. PRACTICAL ALGORITHM TO INITIATE INSULIN THERAPY Initiation of insulin therapy on an ambulatory basis in type 2 diabetic patients has been shown to be as safe and effective as an inpatient program (39). Regardless of the insulin treatment regimen chosen, the insulin dose should be adjusted to reach glycemic targets. Considering the large interindividual variation in insulin re763 Combination therapies with insulin in type 2 diabetes lin combination therapy with NPH or insulin glargine is used. However, because especially NPH insulin is unable to adequately control postdinner glycemia, fasting glucose must be in the normal range (4 – 6 mmol/l) for average glycemic control, measured using HbA1c to be ⬍7.5%. A simple method of initiating insulin therapy, developed based on experience from the FINFAT study, is shown in Table 5 (12). The patient is assumed to be insulin-naı̈ve and on maximal doses of sulfonylureas and metformin. The recommendation to discontinue the sulfonylurea (glyburide) but not metformin after insulin combination therapy is started is based on the inability of some patients to adequately titrate the dose of bedtime NPH because of hypoglycemia (12). An increase in mild hypoglycemias was also reported by Riddle and Schneider (25) with glimepiride combined with a single injection of 30/70 insulin at 6:00 P.M. compared with two injections of 30/70 insulin. Hypoglycemias may not be a problem with peakless insulins such as insulin glargine (40). Discontinuation of sulfonylurea when insulin therapy is started may retard achievement of good glycemic control unless the insulin dose is rapidly increased (12,25). Glitazones could be an additional or alternative component in the oral hypoglycemic agent regimen, but there are no studies in insulin-naı̈ve patients. Figure 2—Upper panel: Diurnal glucose profiles after 52 weeks of treatment of 423 patients using oral hypoglycemic agents with either insulin glargine (F) or NPH (E). Lower panel: The percentage of patients experiencing any symptomatic hypoglycemia (ALL) or nocturnal hypoglycemia (NOCTURNAL) in the same study (40). quirements, it is difficult to define the correct insulin dose by performing dose adjustments only at outpatient visits, unless these are very frequent. In our experience of treating insulin-naı̈ve patients (12,15), the best method of defining the insulin dose is teaching the patient to selfadjust the dose based on results of home glucose monitoring. This is easiest to perform if the dose adjustment is based on 764 measurement of fasting plasma glucose only. Fasting plasma glucose is not influenced by size, composition, or rate of absorption of meals as much as by postprandial glucose levels, and its measurement does not interfere with daily activities. The maximal action of NPH given at bedtime is exerted on fasting glucose, which, therefore, is a particularly suitable target for titration of the dose when insu- CONCLUDING REMARKS Against the emerging epidemic of type 2 diabetes, studies comparing different insulin treatment regimens are sparse and include only a small number of patients treated for a maximum of 1 year (Tables 1 and 2). Data on effects of insulin-combination therapy versus insulin alone on diabetic microvascular and macrovascular complications are nonexistent. The main reason for the paucity of data may be the reluctance of private funding agencies to support studies using pharmacological agents and the reluctance of industry to support studies with established preparations. The development of new agents such as glitazones and insulin analogs have increased the number of patients included in various trials, but many company-initiated trials are designed to fulfill licensing requirements and must be performed in multiple centers to save time. Although some company-initiated trials are of superb quality, others suffer from inadequate glycemic control and may lack the comparisons the DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 24, NUMBER 4, APRIL 2001 Yki-Järvinen Table 5—Studies comparing insulin combination regimens with different insulin injection regimens in type 2 diabetic patients (oral agents similar in all regimens) Reference no. Regimen 1 n Regimen 2 n Glycemia Weight gain Hypoglycemia 208 28 No difference No difference No difference Less† with bedtime NPH Less with glargine† No difference 15 Bedtime glargine ⫹ OHA* Morning NPH ⫹ MET ⫹ SU Morning NPH ⫹ SU 214 32 34 Bedtime NPH ⫹ OHA* Bedtime NPH ⫹ MET ⫹ SU Bedtime NPH ⫹ SU 14 No difference No difference 33 31 32 Bedtime NPH ⫹ SU Bedtime NPH ⫹ SU Bedtime NPH ⫹ SU 24 39 135 Morning NPH ⫹ SU 3 ⫻ regular ⫹ SU 3 ⫻ lispro ⫹ SU 24 41 139 No difference No difference No difference No difference Less with bedtime NPH Less with bedtime NPH Less with bedtime NPH No difference No difference No difference 40 15 *OHA, oral hypoglycemic agents, 59% SU ⫹ MET, no differences in OHA between groups using NPH versus insulin glargine; †statistically significant difference between regimen 1 and regimen 2. clinicians would be interested in. Despite these deficiencies, some conclusions regarding the role of insulin combination therapy in the treatment of type 2 diabetic patients seem justified. No study reported worse glycemic control with insulin combination therapy than with insulin alone. Glycemic control was better with insulin combination therapy than with insulin alone in most studies of previously insulin-treated patients, but this could be explained by a smaller difference (⬃20% for metformin or sulfonylureas) (Table 2) in the insulin dose between the two modes of treatment than in studies performed in insulin-naı̈ve patients (30 – 40%, Table 1). Combination regimens allow use of less insulin injections, which may ease titration of the insulin dose and compliance (12,15,41). These benefits must be balanced against the side effects of oral drugs and, in some countries, their cost. Abnormal renal or liver function also limits the use of many oral agents. Weight gain seems proportional to the number of insulin injections used (12,15,31,32) and can be counteracted by inclusion of metformin in the treatment regimen. Metformin also seems to reduce the incidence of hypoglycemias (12), as does the use of the peakless longacting insulin analog insulin glargine compared with NPH (40). These considerations and the need to treat not only hyperglycemia but also other risk factors in type 2 diabetes support the use of simple insulin combination regimens such as insulin glargine and metformin and or a sulfonylurea (40). The prevailing view that patients who are poorly responsive to such a regimen benefit from adding additional insulin injections is not supported by existing data. Instead, special emphasis should be placed on increasing the dose of the single long-acting insulin to a Table 6—Simple algorithm to start insulin combination therapy in an insulin-naive patient treated with oral combination therapy Objectives Visit–1, before start of insulin therapy 䡠 Teach home-glucose monitoring 䡠 Correct gross errors in diet Visit 0, initiation of insulin therapy 䡠 Stop sulfonylurea, continue metformin 2 g/day† 䡠 Teach insulin injection technique 䡠 Define initial dose of insulin (glargine, NPH or 30/70 at 6:00 P.M. or later) 䡠 Give written instructions regarding self-adjustment of the insulin dose 䡠 Teach symptoms of hypoglycemias 䡠 Schedule a phone call after 1 week and visit after 2–4 weeks Subsequent visits 䡠 Individualize frequency—consider electronic transfer of home glucose–monitoring 䡠 Results and phone calls instead of outpatient visits Details Home glucose monitoring 䡠 Measure fasting glucose daily during first weeks or months; after reaching target frequency can be even once a week Initial dose of insulin (insulin glargine, NPH, or ultralente) 䡠 Irrelevant if adjusted by patient 䡠 Safe starting dose ⫽ fasting glucose (mmol/l). i.e., 10 IU if fasting glucose is 10 mmol/l Self-adjustment of insulin doses 䡠 If fasting glucose exceeds 5.5 mmol/l (100 mg/dl) on three consecutive measurements, increase bedtime insulin dose by 2 IU 䡠 During combination therapy with NPH and oral agents (ref. FINFAT), or fasting glucose of ⱕ6 mmol/l corresponds to ⱕ7.5% HbA1c *There are no data on use of glitazones in combination therapy with insulin in insulin-naive patients; †based on the FINFAT study, in which glyburide and NPH insulin were used and use of this combination prevented adequate titration of the insulin dose (12); a higher incidence of symptoms of mild hypoglycemia was found using glimepiride combined with 30/70 insulin given at 6:00 P.M. Similar problems were not reported in another study in which glimepiride was combined with 30 –70 insulin at 6:00 P.M. (25) and may not be a problem with insulin glargine (40). Note that stopping a sulfonylurea necessitates a rapid increase in the insulin dose, which can be performed by teaching the patient self-adjustment of the insulin dose. DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 24, NUMBER 4, APRIL 2001 765 Combination therapies with insulin in type 2 diabetes dose that normalizes the fasting glucose concentration. References 1. 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