Lithology Prediction using Seismic Inversion Attributes Dan Hampson April 22, 2010 Overview A new product will be released by Hampson-Russell, called “LithoSI”. LithoSI is used to predict lithology or “classified” well logs from pre-stack inversion attributes. This talk presents the theory behind LithoSI, followed by two examples. April, 2010 2 The basic problem It is now routine to invert pre-stack data. P-Impedance S-Impedance Vp/Vs Ratio That process transforms angle gathers into elastic volumes. April, 2010 3 The basic problem The challenge is to relate the derived volumes back to the well logs. P-Impedance S-Impedance Vp/Vs Ratio April, 2010 4 The basic problem One way to do this is to cross plot inversion attributes from the logs: Vp/Vs Ratio P-Impedance April, 2010 5 The basic problem We can then highlight selected zones on the cross plot: Vp/Vs Ratio Gas sand P-Impedance April, 2010 6 The basic problem The selected zone is plotted on the inversion volume: Gas sand InvertedVp/Vs Ratio April, 2010 Interpreted Gas Sand 7 The basic problem The problem is that the interpreted area depends critically on the size of the zone: Gas sand InvertedVp/Vs Ratio April, 2010 Interpreted Gas Sand 8 The basic problem The problem is that the interpreted area depends critically on the size of the zone: Gas sand InvertedVp/Vs Ratio April, 2010 Interpreted Gas Sand 9 The basic problem Instead of defining an arbitrary sharp cutoff for the zone, we can define a probability distribution: Vp/Vs Ratio P-Impedance Gas sand April, 2010 10 The basic problem This probability distribution is mapped to the inversion volumes using “Bayesian Classification: April, 2010 11 The basic problem How to improve the basic cross plot zone method: (1) Select multiple zones automatically using lithology logs. (2) Generate probability distributions for each zone. (3) Use cross-validation to check zones with seismic. (4) When applying to the volume, calculate not only the best zone, but also the probability of occurrence. April, 2010 12 LithoSI – Facies Classification Lithology Zp 2000 4000 60001.8 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 Training set Vp/Vs 2.2 2.6 Vp/Vs 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 Extract cross plot data at well locations. Zp 2300 2400 1.8 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 Compute probability distributions. Oil Water gas p(Class i I p , PR) April, 2010 Extract probabilities for each class at arbitrary locations. 13 Extracting the cross plot data Each input well requires a lithology log in addition to desired rock properties curves: Zp Lithology 1600 1200 2000 Vp/Vs 2400 1.8 2.2 2.6 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 1350 2.1 2.1 1400 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1250 1300 1450 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 1550 1600 The lithology log defines the zones boundaries for extracting the cross plot points. April, 2010 14 Bayes Theorem Bayes Theorem calculates the probability we have a particular class, given a particular set of seismic attributes: p c| X p (c ) p ( X | c ) p( X ) Where: • c is a class (e.g. Sand). • X is a seismic attributes Vector (e.g. X = (Zp, Vp/Vs)). • p(c) is the a-priori probability for class c (e.g. probability of getting sand in general). • p(X|c) is the probability of attributes X knowing we are in class c (e.g. distribution of (Zp, Vp/Vs) in sand). • p(X) is the probability of attributes X. April, 2010 15 Pdf computation The cross plot is convolved with a smooth kernel function: p c| X p (c ) p ( X | c ) p( X ) x xi (e.g., Zp) The kernel estimate of a 1-D PDF is given by: fˆ ( x ) 1 nh n i 1 x xi K( ) h Kernel function K 2h This user parameter controls the smoothing of the distribution April, 2010 16 Effect of the smoothing parameter Vp/Vs Small “h” Zp April, 2010 Large “h” 17 Probability cube computation p c| X P p (c ) p ( X | c ) p( X ) Density functions weighted by a priori class proportions Normalisation X 1 Probabilities: Class A 0.34 0.10 N/A Class B 0.22 0.46 N/A Class C 0.44 N/A 0 x3 April, 2010 x1 x2 18 Confusion matrix Thanks to Brian Russell and Wikipedia: April, 2010 19 Confusion matrix Thanks to Brian Russell and Wikipedia: Diagonals show successful classification. April, 2010 20 Confusion matrix Thanks to Brian Russell and Wikipedia: Off-diagonals show “confusion”. April, 2010 21 Validation using the Confidence matrix Zp Lithology Log Classified Inversion trace SHALES HC SAND SAND April, 2010 22 Validation using the Confidence matrix Zp Lithology Log Classified Inversion trace How often do we get a HC Sand when there is actually a HC sand present? – 83% SHALES HC SAND SAND April, 2010 23 Validation using the Confidence matrix Zp Lithology Log Classified Inversion trace How often do we get a shale when there is actually a sand present? – 27% SHALES HC SAND SAND April, 2010 24 Workflow overview Zp Vp/Vs 1600 2000 24001.8 2.2 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2.6 Vp/Vs 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 1300 2.3 2.3 1350 2.2 2.2 1400 2.1 2.1 1200 1250 1450 2.0 1500 1.9 1550 1.8 1600 Input data 2.0 Zp 1.9 1.8 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 Extraction of training set from wells Compute multivariate PDFs 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 1.0 0.0 Oil Water gas p(Class i I p , PR) Compute probability litho-cubes April, 2010 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 Extract litho-class probabilities 25 Example: West Africa Inline Direction Crossline Direction Hz 1 500 ms Hz 2 Hz 3 Time 1 km Deep offshore west Africa Well3 Well3 Complex turbiditic deposit environment 35 sqkm 12.5x12.5m bin size – 4ms Several targets in 800ms time window April, 2010 Well1 Well1 Well2 Well2 Hz 1 time map 26 AVA response and lithology / fluid discrimination 0.5 GR VP VS RHO AVA VSH SW PHIE VSH 0 0 3000 P Impedance 1 11000 S Impedance 100 ms Poisson’s ratio 6000 SAND SHALE SW 0 1500 April, 2010 3000 P Impedance 1 11000 27 Seismic data quality and frequency bandwidth Near Far Ultra Far Extracted wavelets 500 ms Near: 12-20° (2-23/28-60Hz) Near Far: 20-36°(2-17/25-55 Hz) 90 Far Ultra Far Seismic Power spectra NEAR FAR ULTRA FAR Ultra far: 36-50°(2-12/17-37 Hz) 30 0 April, 2010 Hz 100 28 Simultaneous Elastic Inversion in Stratigraphic Framework Initial Layered Model Structural Framework Synthetic Angle Stacks Initial Model Real Angle Stacks Difference Simulated Annealing Model Perturbation Vp, Vs, and t < ? Final Model t Final model April, 2010 29 Initial model for simultaneous inversion 100 ms 1 Km 1.6 Vp/Vs 2.6 Property filling of the Vp, Vs and density attributes performed by kriging within layers of the corresponding 5-10Hz low pass filtered logs March, 2010 LithoSI Presentation 30 Inverted Vp/Vs attribute 100 ms 1 Km Vp/Vs 1.6 2.6 Near seismic residuals (Real Seismic – Synthetic Seismic) and VpVs attribute April, 2010 1.6 Vp/Vs 2.6 31 Inversion QC and validation at well 1 VSH 1 VP/VS 5000 IP 10000 IS 12-20° 0 20-36° 0 36-60° 0 0 SW 1 100 ms 0 Seismic wavelets : 1.4 2.8 2000 Well log Initial model Final inverted model April, 2010 6000 Real seismic trace Synthetic trace from well Synthetic trace from inversion results 32 Training Set Computation at Different Scales Upscaled Logs Logs 11x11 traces P-Impedance P-Impedance Poisson Ratio PR Poisson Ratio Zp Poisson Ratio Litho Inverted attributes extracted near wells P-Impedance Effect of Smoothing Parameter h= 6 h=3 h= 10 0 Poisson’s Ratio Poisson’s Ratio 0.5 3000 P impedance 11000 Kernel function K 2h April, 2010 34 Kernel Density Estimate for Lithology Prediction VS RHO IP IS SHALE April, 2010 SW VSH PR VP/VS 0.5 Poisson Ratio 100 ms VP OIL-SAND WATER-SAND 0 3000 P impedance 11000 35 Kernel Density Estimate for Lithology Prediction VS RHO IP IS SW VSH PR VP/VS 0.5 Poisson Ratio 100 ms VP p(Z p , PR oil sand ) SHALE April, 2010 OIL-SAND WATER-SAND 0 3000 P impedance 11000 36 Validation: Input data VS RHO IP IS SW VSH PR VP/VS 100 ms VP SHALES HC SAND April, 2010 SAND Logs colored by Litho log 37 Validation: Classification result at Well Locations VS RHO IP IS SW VSH PR VP/VS 100 ms VP SHALES HC SAND April, 2010 SAND Logs colored by most probable facies derived from seismic attribute at well location 38 Litho Probability Cubes Probability of Water Sand 100 ms 1 Km Probability of Shales 0 VSH SW Probability of HC Sand 0 April, 2010 0 1 1 1 Most Probable Facies LITHO log SHALES HC SAND SAND 39 3-D Visualization of HC Sands p( HC Sand I p , PR) 80% 1.6 April, 2010 Vp/Vs 2.6 HC sand probability 0 1 40 Example 2: Brazeau area, Alberta 2005 study 2003 study Brazeau River Brazeau South Primary Targets: 2007 study Clastics Belly River, Cardium, Viking Carbonates Elkton/Shunda, Nisku April, 2010 41 Example 2 dataset Area - ~100 km2 1 relocated well (A) with a log set on the full inversion window, used for the low frequency initial model. 2 productive gas wells (P,E), used for the inversion QC and the lithological interpretation. April, 2010 42 Petrophysical Analysis - Viking SP -160 MV GR_1 0 GAPI MM 200 400 BS 150 MM K/M3 100 0.5 DEN_1 CALI_1 150 WIRE.PHIE_RHOG_1 DRHO -400 40 1950 DEPTH METRES 0.45 400 K/M3 NPHI 500 V/V 2950 0 TOPS -0.15 1950 10 0.2 2950 0.2 K/M3 OHMM 2000 0 2000 0 OHMM OHMM 0 V/V 1 VOL_QUARTZ_6 SFL_1 2950 0.2 V/V COAL_1 ILM WIRE.DEN_1 100 1950 1 ILD_1 WIRE.DEN_4 K/M3 PHIE_RHOG_1 0 WIRE.BADHOLE_1 DT_1 US/M V/V V/V QUARTZ Viking Sand – Oil (Class I) Gas (Class IIp) 1 VSH_2 2000 0 V/V 1 2519.8 2525 LCRET 2530 2535 2540 VIK 2545 2550 2555 VIKSND 2560 2565 2570 2576.0 April, 2010 VIKSSB JFOU Angle MANN 43 CDP Stack through well locations Well P Well E Viking April, 2010 44 5 degree Angle Stack Angle Stack April, 2010 Synthetic Angle Stack 45 12 degree Angle Stack Angle Stack April, 2010 Synthetic Angle Stack 46 20 degree Angle Stack Angle Stack April, 2010 Synthetic Angle Stack 47 28 degree Angle Stack Angle Stack April, 2010 Synthetic Angle Stack 48 36 degree Angle Stack Angle Stack April, 2010 Synthetic Angle Stack 49 Inversion Results Well-P Location - GR Well Log - IP Well Log - IS Well Log - Rhob Well Log - Seismic Trace - Seismic Trace - Seismic Trace - Seismic Trace - Seismic Trace - upscaled Log - upscaled Log - upscaled Log - Inverted IP - Inverted IS - Inverted Rhob - Inverted Synthetic - Inverted Synthetic - Inverted Synthetic - Inverted Synthetic - Inverted Synthetic ANGLE 05 ANGLE 12 ANGLE 20 ANGLE 28 ANGLE 36 Viking April, 2010 50 Inversion Results Well-E Location - GR Well Log - IP Well Log - IS Well Log - Rhob Well Log - Seismic Trace - Seismic Trace - Seismic Trace - Seismic Trace - Seismic Trace - upscaled Log - upscaled Log - upscaled Log - Inverted IP - Inverted IS - Inverted Rhob - Inverted Synthetic - Inverted Synthetic - Inverted Synthetic - Inverted Synthetic - Inverted Synthetic ANGLE 05 ANGLE 12 ANGLE 20 ANGLE 28 ANGLE 36 Viking April, 2010 51 Section through the wells - Initial Model – Zp SE P E NW High Viking Nordegg Wabamun Nisku Ireton Low April, 2010 52 Section through the wells – Elastic Inversion – Zp SE P E NW High Viking Nisku Low April, 2010 53 Section through the wells – Elastic Inversion – Density SE P E NW High Viking Nisku Low April, 2010 54 LithoLogs computation VSH RHOB GR XPLOT QC LithoLogs A E P GR VSH April, 2010 55 3D Xplot – Wells points – Viking – Mannville interval Rho Vp Vs Rho Vp April, 2010 Vs Sand: Shale: 56 Distribution Functions computation Validation at wells: E P Rho Vp Vs Rho Vp April, 2010 Vs Sand: Shale: 57 Section through the wells E 1 P E Carb P Sand Shale Viking 0 E E P Sand Probability 0 April, 2010 Sand probability P 1 Most probable facies 58 3D Visualization - VIKING Horizon April, 2010 59 3D Visualization of Sand Probability Sand Probability 1 0.2 April, 2010 60 CE9 Release of LithoSI LithoSI is scheduled to be released with the CE9 update in Q4/2010. April, 2010 61 Summary A new product will be released by Hampson-Russell, called “LithoSI”. LithoSI is used to predict lithology or “classified” well logs from pre-stack seismic inversion attributes. LithoSI will be released as a part of the general HRS-9 release in early 2011. This talk has presented the theory behind LithoSI, followed by two examples. April, 2010 62