Long-Term Refractivity Comparisons: Radar vs. Surface Station Measurements 1 Radar Refractivity 2 N Intercomparisons 3 Sources of Bias 4 Discussions ShinJu Park Toulouse, June. 16. 2004 5 Conclusions 1 Radar Refractivity Fixed range: r S-Pol radar n t 2r c Ground Targets , 4fr 2ft n (0 r ) c 2 Radar Refractivity Refractivity (N) ≡ (n 1) 10 6 refractive index of medium Bean and Dutton (1968): P e N 77.6 373000 2 T T P : Pressure in hPa T : Temperature in Kelvin e : Vapor pressure in hPa 3 Radar Refractivity Examples: IHOP_2002 (The Southern Great Plains, Oklahoma May 13~June 25) Kansas cold/ moist Oklahoma warm/dry Texas 4 N Intercomparison (Ps, Ls) Longitude (° ) Kansas F3 Oklahoma Latitude (° ) + Texas 5 N intercomparison (Ps) Day (UTC) Day (UTC) 6 N intercomparison (Ls) Day (UTC) Day (UTC) 7 Where does the bias come from? 8 Sources of Bias from Radar Fixed range r Ground targets S-Pol radar N varies rapidly with height; dN/dz = f(de/dz, dT/dz) varies with time. N measured is a function of the height of targets 9 Sources of Bias from Radar Longitude (° ) Kansas Oklahoma F3 Latitude (° ) + Texas 10 N intercomparison (Ls) Day (UTC) Day (UTC) 11 N intercomparison (Ls) Day (UTC) Day (UTC) 12 Sources of Bias from Radar 1. Areal Smoothing Mean bias over 44 days. Sites (km from the radar) H (15.8) Ls (29.4) Ps (9.0) Rs (38.9) a. Point value (N units) 2.34 4.85 1.47 - b. 5 km x 5 km (N units) 2.44 3.95 1.30 2.54 b-a (N units) 0.10 -0.90 -0.17 - improves the quality of data observed by radar -> reduce the bias locally but not significantly. 13 Sources of Bias from Radar 2. N at night Radar beam bends toward the ground at night or when dN/dZ < -40 N units/km. -> causes different N depending on the target heights at the same distance from the radar . Mean bias over 44 days. Sites (km from the radar) H (15.8) Ls (29.4) Ps (9.0) Rs (38.9) Night (N units) (02:00~13:00 UTC) 2.38 4.53 1.64 3.27 Day (N units) (13:00~02:00 UTC) 2.37 3.58 0.81 1.89 Night - Day (N units) 0.01 0.95 0.83 1.38 14 From the radar measurements, we can not fully explain the sources of N bias Let’s look at SURFACE STATION measurements. 15 Sources of Bias from Surface Station P e N 77.6 373000 2 T T 16 Sources of Bias from Surface Station Selecting 98 radiosonde soundings at Homestead * Sounding data up to 2 m above the ground Sounding data between 2 m and 10 m 17 Sources of Bias from Surface Station Days after a lot of rain: 05/24, 05/26, 05/28, 05/29, 06/04, 06/05, 06/06, 06/14, 06/15, 06/16 18 Discussions Measurement Height Radar : up to 10~20 m depending on the height of the ground targets Surface stations: 2 m 19 Courtesy of Peggy Lemone Discussions Courtesy of Peggy Lemone Expected N differences between 2 m and 0-10 m, and between 2 m and 0-20 m based on MoninObukhov similarity theory using flux data from the western track. Only applied to the clear days. 20 Discussions The larger the surface moisture, the larger the bias with height differences. Still, uncertainty remains because of 1. poor sampling of data at the lowest level from sounding analysis . 2. applicability of the flux analysis to other times. 21 Discussions N units N units 300.0 299.5 299.0 Mean refractivity station radar soundings 298.5 298.0 297.5 297.0 296.5 296.0 295.5 295.0 294.5 294.0 Sounding level: ~2 m 22 2~10 m 10~20 m Conclusions Overall, N agreed pretty well between station and radar measurements However, N Biases between Radar and Stations exist, especially on wetter days. - Radar-related biases are relatively small; - Bias is humidity dependent. Possibilities: . Height difference? Theory is sound; does not explain bias of low-level sounding data vs. stations. . Other explanations imply that at least one of the sensors has biases to be characterized. 23 Acknowledgements FRÉDÉRIC FABRY, McGill University Tammy Weckwerth, NCAR Crystal Pettet, NCAR Peggy Lemone, NCAR Detailed description is available at http://www.radar.mcgill.ca/~shinju/shinju_MSthesis.pdf 24 N intercomparison (Rs) Day (UTC) Day (UTC) 25 N intercomparison (Rs) Day (UTC) Day (UTC) 26 N intercomparison (H) Day (UTC) Day (UTC) 27 28 29 30 31 32 The influence of areal smoothing at each site. over 44 days. Sites Es (km from the radar ) a. At H F1 F2 F3 Ls Ps Rs Vs (2.2) (15.8) (18.4) (14.6) (35.8) (29.4) (9.0) (38.9) (25.2) 2.7 0 2.34 2.26 1.51 2.89 4.8 5 1.47 - 1.17 2.7 3 2.44 3.17 1.79 2.34 3.9 5 1.30 2.54 1.85 0.0 3 0.10 0.91 0.28 0.55 -0.9 0.17 - 0.68 point (N units) b. 5 km x 5 km (N units) b-a (N units) The influence of propagation delay over 44 days. Sites (km from the radar) Es H F1 F2 F3 Ls Ps Rs Vs (2.2) (15.8) (18.4) (14.6) (35.8) (29.4) (9.0) (38.9) (25.2) Night (N units) 3.23 2.38 2.95 1.47 3.18 4.53 1.64 3.27 2.78 Day (N units) 2.35 2.37 3.24 1.85 2.13 3.58 0.81 1.89 1.31 Night - Day (N units) 0.88 0.01 -0.29 -0.38 1.05 0.95 0.83 1.38 1.47 (02:00~13:00 UTC) (13:00~02:00 UTC) 33 Mean bias in refractivity between radar and stations over 44 days Sites At point 1-km x 1km 3-km x 3km 5-km x 5km 8-km x 8km Es (2.2 km) 2.70 2.69 2.99 2.73 2.51 H (15.8 km) 2.34 2.38 2.39 2.44 2.27 F1 (18.4km) 2.26 2.52 3.09 3.17 3.17 F2 (14.6km) 1.51 1.93 1.99 1.79 1.54 F3 (35.8km) 2.89 2.79 2.56 2.34 2.10 Ls (29.4km) 4.85 4.62 4.13 3.95 3.59 Ps (9.0km) 1.47 1.57 1.20 1.30 1.50 Rs (38.9 km) - 1.76 3.15 2.54 2.36 Vs (25.2 km) 2.17 2.16 2.10 1.85 1.69 Spatial mean 2.52 2.49 2.62 2.46 2.30 34 Standard deviation of mean bias in refractivity between radar and stations over 44 days. Sites At point 1-km x 1km 3-km x 3km 5-km x 5km 8-km x 8km Es (2.2 km) 2.26 2.35 2.45 2.41 2.37 H (15.8 km) 2.96 2.84 2.46 2.42 2.32 F1 (18.4km) 2.46 2.31 2.14 2.04 2.04 F2 (14.6km) 2.39 2.08 1.80 1.79 1.60 F3 (35.8km) 2.93 2.83 2.87 2.74 2.57 Ls (29.4km) 3.78 3.25 2.82 2.85 2.72 Ps (9.0km) 2.18 2.09 1.86 1.89 1.95 Rs (38.9 km) - 2.87 3.52 3.78 3.54 Vs (25.2 km) 2.99 3.02 2.86 2.73 2.71 Spatial mean 2.74 2.63 2.53 2.52 2.42 35 Calibration : Reliable surface targets (e.g., power poles) and “Reference Time” The refractivity from the radar and surface stations during the period of the 14 May Calibration (from 20:10 UTC to 20:40 UTC). The dotted lines are for the radar retrievals and the solid lines are for the station retrievals. The numbers in the upper part of each plot are one hour averages. 36 37 38 The differences between radar refractivity and station refractivity at the calibration times 14 May Calibration (20:00z - 21:00z) Sites 21 May Reference (08:30z - 09:30z) N station N radar NstnNradar N station N radar NstnNrada r (2.2km)* 263.013 263.483 -0.470 290.925 289.029 1.896 Home(15.8km) 263.846 263.318 0.528 291.123 288.061 3.062 F1 (18.4km) 264.024 263.700 0.324 291.677 288.333 3.344 F2 (14.6km) 263.543 263.445 0.098 290.226 288.320 1.906 F3 (35.8km) 263.098 263.287 -0.189 289.961 287.843 2.118 Ls (29.4km) 263.660 263.848 -0.188 291.153 286.429 4.724 Ps (9.0km) 263.169 263.150 0.019 290.484 288.408 2.076 Rs (38.9km) 263.061 - - 290.492 288.390 2.102 Vs (25.2km) 263.500 263.231 0.269 290.167 288.217 1.950 Es 39 Radar Refractivity d (1 (r , t ) 0 (r )) 4f (n1 (r , t ) n0 ) dr c 1: current time, 0: reference time Assumptions for the algorithm 1) All targets are perfectly aligned in a given azimuth 2) Targets are stationary 3) n0 is known 40 41