Contract Administrator Report September - November 2007 EEU Contract Obligations In 2006, the Board adopted new avoided electric resource costs, revised costing periods and revised line-loss factors. In the Fall of 2007, the Board modified the Customer Credit Program. These modifications triggered changes to six of the eight Performance Incentive (PI) Targets and one of the five Minimum Performance Incentive (MPI) Targets. On November 29th, The Board provided VEIC with Contract Amendment Number 2 which incorporated those modifications. The following PI's were modified as well as MPR number 5. The new targets are as follows: PI #1 Annual Electricity Energy Savings: 261,800 MWh PI #2 Total Resource Benefits: $198,000,000 PI #3 Summer Peak Demand Savings: 37,590 kW PI #4 Winter Peak Demand Savings: 41,490 kW PI #5 GT Summer Peak Demand Savings: 10,100 kW PI #6 GT Winter Peak Demand Savings: 11,150 kW Minimum PI #5 County Addison Bennington Caledonia Chittenden Essex Franklin Grand Isle Lamoille Orange Orleans Rutland Washington Windham Windsor Minimum Total Resource Benefit $3,813,300 $5,104,700 $2,611,100 $12,062,700 $563,900 $4,620,300 $320,600 $2,400,100 $2,177,400 $2,178,900 $8,129,500 $6,134,600 $6,503,300 $6,365,500 An additional amendment will be forthcoming following the finalization of the scope of work for Efficiency Vermont's preparation of the May 2008 twenty year forecast of DSM savings expected to be achieved from system-wide programs as described in the Board's June 20, 2007 Order in Docket 70811. 1 Docket 7081: Investigation into Least-Cost Integrated Resource Planning for Vermont Electric Power Company, Inc.'s Transmission System CA September - November 2007 Report 1 EEU Reports VEIC provided EVT’s October Monthly Report on November 30th. EVT Services and Initiatives monthly spending reached a new all-time monthly high ($1,685,682) and was approximately 14% higher than September's total. However, there still remains approximately 39% of the Annual Budget estimate unspent ($8,952,424) with only two months of invoices outstanding. Energy savings are at 44% of the three year goal being claimed with approximately 61% of the contract period reported. If VEIC were to maintain the level of increase that they produced over the last three months, they would achieve approximately 88% of the contract three year cumulative annual energy savings target. Given the significant increase in their third year budget, as well as the significant increases in staff and program capacity that VEIC has achieved over the last several months, their attainment of some or all of the performance targets is becoming more probable. The Efficient Products Initiative continues to contribute substantial annualized energy savings with a contract cumulative total of 53,743 MWh or 47% of contract totalto-date MWhs. Overall, annualized energy savings continue to be acquired at a cost slightly below projections ($225/MWh versus $246/MWh). This success can be largely attributed to the Efficient Products Initiative with a very cost-effective average cost of $73/MWh2. No other unusual activity is noted. BED BED submitted its October Monthly Report and recorded year to date energy savings of 5,138 MWh or 140% of their annual goal and spending of $845,707 or 73% of their annual budget. Business New Construction accounted for approximately 43% and Business Existing Facilities 33% of BED's total annual energy savings. Although BED records achieving 102% of their cumulative three year annualized MWH goal, their progress on achieving their cumulative three-year summer and winter peak capacity reduction goals is significantly lower at 25% and 28% respectively. This discrepancy has been discussed with the DPS and BED. They are exploring the issue as part of DPS's annual BED savings verification. No other unusual activity is noted. Other Issues of Significance It now appears likely that more than 5% of the year 2007 Contractor EEU Funds or $1,078,000 will be unspent by year end. In October, VEIC estimated that they would surpass that threshold and thus, did not file a request to carry forward any unspent Contractor EEU Funds3. There are several factors which make the timing of this contract condition less than optimal. First, there is the uncertainty introduced by requiring an VEIC estimate of unspent funds. By requiring a November 1 deadline, VEIC must 2 EEP costs include allocated share of general administration and IT costs. Attachment B: Section 11, Annual Request for Carryover of Funds, requires a request by the contractor on or before November 1, 2007 to the Board, DPS, and each Vermont Distribution Utility to carryover any unspent Contractor EEU Funds if said funds are anticipated to be in excess of 5% of the total Contractor EEU Funds available in that year as shown in Attachment E. 3 CA September - November 2007 Report 2 estimate the total spending for the last three months of the year, months in which spending is typically higher than earlier months. Secondly, the next year's EEC is set in October, so even if the PSB decided to use a portion of the unspent funds to lower the amount needed to be raised by the EEC, it would not be able to implement that change until the following October. Consequently, the Board may want to consider changing the future timing of the request to carry-over unspent funds from November 1st until two months after EVT closes its fiscal year on December 31st. The Year 2007 Vermont Energy Efficiency Utility Fund (VEEUF) Audit should begin in the Spring of 2008 to be completed by June 30th. Because the 2006 audit completed the present contract for independent audit services of the VEEUF, the Board needs to initiate a competitive bidding process for the 2007 and 2008 VEEUF audit in January of 2008. The Fiscal Agent’s November 20th Monthly Report shows an adequate Closing Fund Balance of $4,287,329. EVT contractual customer commitments are at $788,797, down somewhat from historical levels. Customer contributions are as expected at 99.5% of projections. Expenditures for BED's Regional Capacity Market Activities (RCMA) are exceeding the original budget estimates. This is the first year of estimating costs for this activity and there was no similar activity to use as a guide. The costs are relatively small and are reasonable, given the RCMA requirements that were established after the budget was proposed. A more complete accounting of the EEU RCMA follows in this report. No other unusual elements are noted. As of November 30th, total funding received from EEU participation in ISO-NE's Forward Capacity Market Transition Period equaled $216,706. Year 2007 expenses total $156,906. Year 2006 expenses total $85,082, yielding a combined expense total of $262,245. This yields a net loss of (-$45,539). The net loss is decreasing as expected. This reinforces the conclusion in my last report that the RCMA will produce a positive cash flow in Year 2008, resulting in a 2008 year end surplus of a minimum of $200,000. Caution is still advised because this process is entirely new and Vermont may experience unexpected additional evaluation costs as it implements the Measurement and Verification Plan that accompanied VEIC's and BED's Qualification Package for Forward Capacity Market Auction #1. On October 5th, the DPS held a Commercial Monitor and Evaluation ( M&E) scope-of-work presentation. KEMA, the DPS's lead contractor for commercial evaluation activities, led the presentation which included a walk-through of their proposed activities and an opportunity for comment. Overall, I felt that the scope-ofwork is well defined and inclusive of previously identified research activities. Unfortunately, the DPS contract for KEMA's services is still waiting for release from the DPS. I have no reason to believe that the contract will not be released and signed. However, the delay in initiating the research activities will most likely prevent the results from informing the Board's deliberations concerning the renewal of VEIC's contract. CA September - November 2007 Report 3