Contract Administrator Report December - February 2008 EEU Contract Obligations The Department of Public Service (DPS) has begun its savings verification process by issuing a draft schedule and preparing to receive the 2007 EVT database of installed measures. On or before March 31st, VEIC will submit Efficiency Vermont's 2007 Preliminary Results and Annual Savings Claim. The DPS expects to issue its savings verification report to the Contract Administrator (CA) on June 7th. The CA plans to review the DPS report and provide the Board with his recommendations by the end of June. Contract re-negotiations brought about by the Board's June 2007 Final Order in Docket 7081 are proceeding. That Order approved a Memorandum of Understanding between the DPS and Settling Parties that established a requirement that the EEU produce, "estimates, looking 20 years ahead, of DSM savings expected from statewide programs." Issues being resolved include defining the scope-of-work and associated timeline for deliverables and setting a 2008 budget cap for project completion. As soon as an amended contract is signed, VEIC will begin work on the forecast. Preliminary estimates are that the work will require approximately 8 months to conclude. EEU Reports VEIC provided EVT's December 2007 Report on February 1st. Preliminary year 2007 results report an annualized energy reduction of 98,693 MWH and EVT expenditures of $19,334,7201. This is a significant increase over previous year's energy savings and expenditures. For example, this is equivalent to a cost per MWH of $1802, a significant improvement over contract expectations of approximately $243 per MWH. If EVT is able to maintain that high yield rate, it may achieve or surpass the three year annualized energy performance goal of 263,600 MWH. The increase in this year's results were primarily driven by the lighting end-use. Lighting is traditionally a more cost-effective end-use than other end-uses and over the last four years, lighting efficiency has increased as a percentage of EVT's total annualized energy savings from approximately 50% to just over 75% in 2007. EVT's statewide winter and summer peak capacity reduction levels also rose at approximately twice the 2006 rate and are now both at 60% of the three year goal. Given this same level of reduction, the three year performance goals also look within reach. Information on EVT's progress towards geotargeting goals will be provided in the Annual Savings Claim. However, since geotargeting activities were still ramping up in 1 Reported expenditures include Year 2007 Customer Credit costs of $1,545,890 and EVT's ISO-NE Forward Capacity Market costs of $182,070. 2 This calculation excludes the cost of the Customer Credit Program and the cost of EVT's participation in the FCM in order to match the methodology used to calculate the contract estimate. CA December - February 2008 Report 1 2007, a more detailed look will be available in the Year 2008 First Quarter Report due in May. Total EVT Year 2007 expenditures were 15% under budget and VEIC has filed a formal request for their carry-over to 2008. They noted in their request that expenditures lagged expectations primarily due to a longer than anticipated lead time to establish geotargeted efficiency services and initiatives. Burlington Electric Department (BED) BED submitted its Year 2007 4th Quarter Report on February 6th. They record Year 2007 efficiency utility annualized energy savings of 7,103 MWh or 194% of their annual goal and year to date spending of $1,101,677 or 87% of the annual budget. This converts to an annualized energy savings cost of approximately $155 MWh. These impressive results were driven by Business New Construction which has achieved 345% (3,008 MWh/yr.) of its yearly goal. Overall, BED reports having attained 120% of its years 2006 - 2008 annualized energy reduction goal, an outstanding achievement. Other Issues of Significance The Fiscal Agent's March 11th, 2008 report totals EEU fund contributions for the 2007 EEC year at 1.13 % (-$257,682) under budget. However, the Fiscal Agent contribution budget included taxes adding up to 1% of the total while the contributions were net of taxes. When taxes are included in the contribution totals, the shortfall is negligible at 0.3% (-$69,089). A preliminary analysis indicates that the majority of the shortfall is from the residential sector (-$108,000) with the commercial sector contributing the remaining portion (-$30,000). The industrial sector contributed approximately $69,000 or ~2% over budget. The February 28, 2007 Closing Fund balance is a robust $4,866,931. This is larger than usual and is due to the accounting practice of reflecting February disbursements in the 2008 EEC year to be reported in April. The February report closes out the 2007 EEC fiscal year. Thus, as usual, the April report will contain two months of program and administrative disbursements. EVT contractual customer commitments are at $1,014,656 indicating a substantial accumulation of analyzed potential projects. Both EVT and BED have successfully submitted twelve months of projects into the Independent System Operator-New England's (ISO-NE) Transitional Capacity Market. Year 2007 payments for capacity reductions totaled $247,000. VEIC and BED year 2007 expenses totaled $210,034. Combined with VEIC Year 2006 costs, net revenue is still negative (-$48,116). However, net revenue is expected to be positive by mid-year with a 2008 year surplus projected of approximately $114,000. The ISO-NE Forward Capacity Market Auction #1 (FCMA#1) was held in February and VEIC successfully participated with a bid of approximately 40 MW of energy efficiency to be delivered by June 1st, 2010. The auction was oversubscribed at the base price of $4.50 per kw-month. Consequently, the ISO-NE will be providing bidders with options for their consideration. EVT and BED will hold a workshop in April to discuss their plans for FCMA#2 and update participants on FCMA#1. They have been contacted to provide the Board with some possible dates for that workshop. CA December - February 2008 Report 2 The Forward Capacity Market Oversight Committee met for the third time on February 29th. It is composed of representatives from VEIC, BED, the DPS, and is chaired by the CA. VEIC reported on the following FCM workgroups: Policy, Financial Assurance, New Bids and Qualification, Claims, and M&E. The financial assurance workgroup reported that because of the recent change in the credit rating of the bank sponsoring VEIC's Letter of Credit, VEIC was required to find an alternative funding source for its financial assurance. Given ISO-NE's 10 day time limit, VEIC was forced to fund it with $400,000 cash. VEIC has since initiated another line-of-credit that satisfies ISO-NE's requirements and will be refunded the $400,000. The M&E workgroup reported that it is meeting weekly as it explores the issues surrounding the implementation of the qualification package verification plan. The DPS residential and non-residential (C&I) evaluation contractors have begun their work. The residential evaluation team had an earlier start and is further along in its research activities. The C&I team is finalizing its research surveys and on-site data collection forms. They expect to begin field data collection presently. CA December - February 2008 Report 3