Accounting Methods of China’s Annual Expenditure-Based GDP WU You Department of National Accounts, NBS Department of National Accounts of National Bureau of Statistics developed expenditure-based GDP estimates on trial basis in 1989, and added expenditure-based GDP estimates to annual report in January 1990 for the first time. “Program of Explanatory Notes on Gross Domestic Product Indicators and Accounting Methods” was issued in all regions in October 1993. And annual expenditure-based GDP estimates system was established formally, which was carried out nationally and regionally. In 1995, National Bureau of Statistics firstly published national expenditure-based GDP figures for 1978-1994 and figures of 30 provinces, municipalities and autonomous region’s figures for 1993 in "China Statistical Yearbook”. According to 1993 SNA, Department of National Accounts of National Bureau of Statistics has improved and revised the expenditure-based GDP accounting system for many times since 2000. At present, the state and regions have formally established the annual expenditure-based GDP accounting system, and are studying and establishing discrete expenditure-based GDP accounting system. I. The frame and classification of expenditure-based GDP accounting Annual GDP by expenditure approach consists of three parts: final consumption expenditure, gross capital formation and net export of goods and services. The frame for computation is: 1 GDP Final Gross Capital Net Export of Consumption Formation Goods and Expenditure Services Household Government Gross Fixed Changes in Export of Import of Consumption Consumption Capital Inventories Goods and Goods and Expenditure Expenditure Formation Services Services The classification of expenditure-based GDP accounting: First-class Second-class Third-class classification classification classification Household Consumption Expenditure(Rural and Urban Household) Food Clothing Residence Household Appliances and Services Health Care and Medical Services Transport and Telecommunications Education, Culture and Recreation and Services Financial Service Insurance Service Owner-occupied dwelling Service Consumption Expenditure in kind Other Goods and Services Government Consumption Expenditure Gross Fixed Capital Formation Current Operating Expenditure Depreciation of Fixed Assets Residential Construction Non-Residential Construction Machinery and Equipment 2 Land reclamation expenditures Mineral exploration costs Software Others II. Household Consumption Expenditure Household Consumption Expenditure can be divided into Rural Household Expenditure and Urban Household Expenditure. Household Consumption Expenditure includes (a) expenditure on goods and services directly with money, (b) expenditure on goods and services in the form of payment and transfer in kind, (c) goods produced and consumed by households themselves, (d) expenditure on financial intermediate services, (e) expenditure on insurance services, (f) expenditure on owner-occupied dwelling services. According to the characteristics of the consumption of urban and rural households in China, rural and urban household consumption expenditure can be divided into 11 categories: Food Clothing Residence Household Appliances and Services Health Care and Medical Services Transport and Telecommunications Education, Culture and Recreation and Services Financial Services Insurance Services owner-occupied dwelling services Other Goods and Services 1. Calculation at current price Household Consumption Expenditure is mainly based on the data from sample survey 3 of rural and urban households carried out by NBS and other statistics. It is calculated by categories above. (1) Expenditure on Food, Clothing, Residence, Household Appliances and Services, Health Care and Medical Services, Transport and Telecommunications, Education, Culture and Recreation and Services, expenditure in kind, Others = Consumption expenditure Per Capita (relevant category in Rural and urban household survey) × annual average number of residents And, Annual average number of residents = (the number of residents at the beginning of the year+ the number of residents at the end of the year) ÷2 (2) Expenditure on financial Service includes financial intermediate services indirectly measured (FISIM) and explicit financial services consumed by rural and urban household. And, FISIM consumed by household = (annual average of savings deposits + annual average of personal housing accumulation fund deposits + annual average of consumption loan) * (interest of loans – interest rate of deposits)/2 Explicit financial services consumed by households are calculated basing on related financial data of financial institutions. (3) Household consumption expenditure on insurance services refers to the expenditure resulted from the fact that residents involve in the insurance service provided by insurance institutions. Household consumption expenditure on insurance services = Gross output of Insurance * insurance claim of households/ total insurance claim 4 (4) The value of imputed consumption expenditure of household owner-occupied dwelling services is equal to the imputed rent. When the imputed rent is inavailable, the cost of housing is used. The formula is: The imputed consumption expenditure of the urban households owner-occupied housing services =Repair and maintenance cost of urban households owner-occupied dwelling+ management fees of urban households owner-occupied dwelling+ imputed depreciation of households owner-occupied dwelling And, imputed depreciation rate of household owner-occupied dwellings is 2% for urban area and 3% for rural area. (5) Consumption expenditure in kind is calculated by total non-cash income per capita of households and average number of households. (6) Consumption expenditure on other goods and services means the expenditure except above, including expenditure on jewelry, hair beauty appliances, cosmetics, hotel accommodation, funeral fee, etc, which is calculated by per capita expenditure of miscellaneous goods and services of households and average number of households. 2 .Calculation method at constant price Household consumption expenditure at constant price is calculated by rural and urban residents, and deflated by relevant price indices respectively. Categories of household consumption expenditure and related price index are as follows: Household consumption categories food Price index categories General food price index clothing Clothing price index residence Residence price index Household facilities, articles and services price index Health care price index Transportation and communication price index Recreation, education and culture articles price index Household facilities, articles and services Health care Transportation and communication Recreation, education and culture articles 5 Owner-occupied dwelling service weighted average of Consumer price index and fixed assets investment price index Renting price index Other goods and services Personal services price index Financial and Insurance services III. Government consumption expenditure Government Sectors includes administrative and non-profit institutional units of various types. There are: (1) Service Activities for Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishing; (2) Scientific Research, Technical Service and Geologic; (3) Management of Water Conservancy, Environment and Public Facilities; (4) Nursery and Bury Service of Services to Households and Other Services; (5) Education; (6) Health, Social Security and Social Welfare; (7) Culture, Sports; (8) Public Management and Social Organization. The main data sources of the calculation of government consumption expenditure are Defense White Paper and current operating expenditure from Ministry of Finance. 1. Calculation at current price Government Consumption Expenditure= Current Operating Expenditures– Operating revenue+ Depreciation of Fixed Assets And, Current Operating Expenditures= (Expenditures on Wages and Welfare+ Expenditures on Goods and Services+ Expenditures on National Defence) + (Subsidies on Individual and Families- Pension Costs- Living Allowance- Relief Costs- School Aid Costs- Production Subsidies) Operating revenue of Government Sectors= Operating revenue of the national budget units Depreciation of Fixed Assets= Original value of fixed assets* Depreciation rate 6 (4%) 2. Calculation at constant price Government Consumption Expenditure at constant prices is deflated in two parts: One is Depreciation of Fixed Assets and the other is the margin, equal to Government Consumption Expenditure minus Depreciation of Fixed Assets. The former is deflated by Producers’ Prices of Industrial Products; the latter is deflated by Consumer Price Index. IV. Gross Fixed Capital Formation According to the international standard and data source, Gross Fixed Capital Formation consists of 7 parts: Residential Construction, Non-Residential Construction, Machinery and Equipment, the value of land improvement, the prospecting of minerals, computer software, others. That is below: Gross Fixed Capital Formation = Residential Construction +Non-Residential Construction+ Machinery and Equipment+ the value of land improved+ the prospecting of minerals+ computer software+ others. Total investment in fixed assets is the main basic data and source for accounting Gross Fixed Capital Formation. Gross Fixed Capital Formation covers urban area investment, real estate development investment, rural fixed assets investment projects which is over 500,000 Yuan; Statistical frequency is monthly and annual. Data are collected by the system of reporting form with complete enumeration. 1. Calculation at current price (1) Residential Construction The residence here refers to the building only for occupancy, for example, villa, apartment and dormitory. The formula is below. Residential Construction=residential investment + value-added of Residential sales corresponding fees in land requisition, purchase and resettlement compensation. Residential investment refers to the investment of the buildings only for occupancy, 7 for example, villa, apartment, dormitory, etc. Value-added of Residential sales refers to the difference in the accounting period between the sales value of residence and corresponding Investment completed, i.e. cost of project before buildings being sold. The formula is below. Value-added of Residential sales = actual sale of residential buildings – (floor space of residential buildings ×cost of residential buildings completed) - investment in land development - corresponding fee in land requisition, purchase and resettlement compensation. Investment in Residential Land development refers to upfront project investment of real estate companies. That is investment in road, water supply, power supply, land leveling. The fee in land requisition, purchase and resettlement compensation refers to all kinds of land compensation fees and allowance for arrangement, that land developers contribute to government in the situation of both remise and transfer of the using right of State-owned land. These costs don’t increase the Gross Capital Formation, so it should be deducted from Investment in fixed assets completed. (2) Non-residential construction Non-residential construction refers to the building not for residence, for example, office, commercial business buildings, factory and storeroom, public infrastructure. The formula is below. Non-residential construction = Construction and installation of Total Investment in Fixed Assets in the Whole Country-investment in residential buildings -cost of purchasing old buildings -corresponding fee in land requisition, purchase and resettlement compensation + value–added of non-residential construction sales Costs of purchasing old buildings: it is similar to the costs of purchasing old equipment, Costs of purchasing old buildings are included in Total Investment in Fixed Assets, but don’t increase the fixed assets, so it should be deducted from Investment in fixed assets completed. 8 Corresponding fee in land requisition, purchase and resettlement compensation in non-residential construction: It is similar to residence. It is included in completed investment in fixed assets, but it doesn’t increase the total fixed capital formation, so it should be deducted from fixed capital completed Investment. Value-added of non-residential construction sales refers to the difference within the accounting period between the sales value of non-residential construction and corresponding completed Investment, i.e. cost of the project before sold. The formula is below. Non-residential construction sales added value= commercial residential building actual sales revenue- residence actual sales revenue- (commercial residential building saleable area- residence saleable area) ×residential buildings cost- commercial land development investment- commercial land purchase fee. (3) Machine and equipment Machine and equipment refers to the equipment, tools and machines bought or made by enterprises and administrative institutions and reach the standards of fixed assets. The computation formula is below. Machine and equipment = machine and equipment investment + fixed assets investment below five hundred thousand Yuan- cost on purchasing old equipments. Machine and equipment investment refers to the costs of equipment, tools and machines bought or made by enterprises and administrative institutions and reach the standards of fixed assets. Fixed assets investments below 500 thousand Yuan: Since they are not included in total investment of fixed assets, and most of them are used to buy machine and equipment, these are estimated as 0.2‰ of total investment in fixed assets. Cost on purchasing old equipments is included in total investment in fixed assets, but the cost doesn’t increase the fixed assets, so the cost should be deducted from the total investment in fixed assets. (4)Land improvement costs Land improvement costs refer to the investment in projects examined and arranged by all levels of administrative departments of land resources in order to increase the 9 amount of land, improve the quality of land or increase land productivity. They are considered as a part of gross fixed capital formation. (5)Mineral exploration costs Mineral exploration costs refer to the capital invested on underground mineral resource exploration by all sections and units of the whole society. They are part of intangible fixed asset. (6)Computer software Computer software refers to the income of enterprises from developing, producing and selling software. They also are part of Intangible fixed asset. 2. Calculate method at constant price Total fixed capital formation at constant price is computed by deflation. Items of total fixed capital formation at current price are deflated by corresponding price index. Residence, deflated by construction and installation price index of fixed assets investment price index. Machine and equipment, deflated by equipment and instruments purchasing price index of fixed assets investment price index. Non-residential construction, deflated by construction and installation price index of fixed assets investment price index. Land improvement cost, deflated by fixed assets investment price index. Mineral exploration cost, deflated by fixed assets investment price index. Computer software, deflated by computer software price index of retail price index. V. Increase in inventories The inventory includes the raw materials, fuels and reserve materials purchased by the production units, as well as finished products, semi-finished products, work-in-progress, etc. Increase in inventory refers to the market value of the change in physical inventory during the accounting period, i.e. the difference of the inventory value between the beginning and the end of the period minus the holding gains or losses resulted from price fluctuation. 10 1. Calculate method at current price Increase in inventory is estimated mainly by the value at the beginning and the end of the period in the accounting records. But the holding gains or losses resulted from price fluctuation should be deducted when calculating the increase in inventory, because they are included in the inventory value in accounting records. The method is: adjust the inventory value at the beginning of the accounting period to the value atn the end of the period by related price indexes. Formula is below. Increase in inventories= inventory value at the end of the year - inventory value at the beginning of the year adjusted And, Adjusted inventory value at the beginning of the year = inventory value at the end of the year in accounting× related price index Increase in inventories at current prices is computed by industries. The specific computation method is below: (1)Increase in inventories in farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishing The increase in inventories in farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishing is estimated in two parts: enterprise and farmer. ① Increase in enterprise inventories. Limited by the data source, currently, only the increase in inventories of state-owned enterprises is estimated. The inventory value at the beginning is adjusted by faming products price index. ② Increase in farm family inventories: includes inventory increases from raising pig, sheep and fowl, as well as the increase in grain reserves. a. Inventory increase from raising raising pig, sheep and fowl= (Number in stock at the end- Number in stock at the beginning)×average unit price at the end b. Inventory increase in grain reserves= (grain stock at the end- grain stock at the beginning) × average grain unit price at the end (2)Increase in inventories on industry Increase in industrial inventories consists of industrial enterprises above and below 11 designated size. It is calculated by the economic census data in census years and estimated by census data in non-census year. The value of inventories at the beginning is adjusted by PPI. (3)Increase in inventories of construction Increase in inventories in construction consists of two parts gained from two kinds of enterprise. The first kind is construction enterprises of both general contracting contractors and professional contractors. The second kind is construction enterprises of work subcontractors and other construction enterprises without qualification criteria. Increase in inventories of the first kind is computed by their financial statement; and the second is estimated by economic census data. The value of the inventories at the beginning of year is adjusted by PPI. (4)Increase in inventories on transport, storage and post Increase in inventories on transport, storage and post is calculated by data of economic census in census years, estimated by finance data of state-owned enterprises of the State-owned Assets Supervision Administration Commission in non-census years. The value of transport inventories at the beginning of the year is adjusted by PPI of the means of production; the value of storage inventories at the beginning of the year is adjusted by Retail Price Indices; the value of post inventories at the beginning of the year is adjusted by PPI. (5) Increase in inventories on wholesale and retail trades Increase in inventories on wholesale and retail trades consists of wholesale and retail enterprises above and below designated size. Increase in inventories of wholesale and retail enterprises above the designated size is computed by related financial term tables obtained from Department of Trade and External Economic Relations of NBS. Increase in inventories of enterprise below the designated size is estimated by economic census data. The value of the inventories at the beginning is adjusted by Retail Price Indices. (6)Increase in inventories on hotels and catering services Increase in inventories on hotels and catering services consists of hotels and catering services enterprises above and below designated size. 12 Increase in inventories of hotels and catering services enterprises above the designated size is computed by main financial term tables of corporation units. Increase in inventories of enterprise below the designated size is estimated by economic census data. The value of the inventories at beginning is adjusted by Retail Price Indices, and Retail Price Indices are obtained from Retail Price Index tables. (7)Increase in inventories on real estate Inventories in real estate industries include unsold building and building materials. Contained in gross fixed capital formation, unsold building should be deducted in the computation of increase in inventories to avoid double count. Because it is difficult to deduct unsold building from the inventories according to current data, unsold building is considered to be 5% of inventories in real estate industry. Financial terms statement of real estate enterprises is used in census years. Finance data of state-owned enterprises of the State-owned Assets Supervision Administration Commission is used to estimate in non-census years. The value of inventories at beginning of year is adjusted using PPI of industrial products. (8)Increase in inventories on other services Other services refer to information transfer, computer services and software; leasing and business services; scientific research, technical service and geological prospecting; management of water conservancy, environment and public facilities; services to household and other services; education; health, social security and social welfare; culture, sports and entertainment. Increase in inventories of these services is mainly calculated by economic census data and finance data of state-owned enterprises of the SASAC. The value of the inventories of information transfer, computer services and software at the beginning is adjusted by price index of communicate services. The value of inventories of leasing and business services, scientific research, technical service and geological prospecting, management of water conservancy, environment and public facilities, and services to household and other services is adjusted by price index of service items. The value of inventories of education, culture, sports and entertainment at the beginning is adjusted by correlative service indices. The value of inventories of health, social security and social welfare at beginning is adjusted by 13 correlative health care indices. 2. Calculate method at constant price Commonly, there are two methods to calculate Increase in inventories on constant price. The first is inflated by price index. And the second is direct computation by means of multiplying base-period price by increment in accounting period. Computation of increase in inventories at constant price of pig, sheep, domestic bird, rabbit and food use the first method. The others use the second method. The specific method is below. Use agricultural products price index in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishing industry. Use index of producer price of industrial products in industry, building industry, transportation, storage industry and postal services. Use retail price index in retail and wholesale Industries, lodgings and catering services. Use price index of investment in fixed assets in real estate. Use corresponding price index in retail price index in information transfer, computer services and software, leasing and business services, scientific research, technical services and geological prospecting, management of water conservancy, environment and public facilities, services for residents and other services, health care, social security and social welfare, culture, sports and entertainment. VI. Net Export of Goods and Services Net export of goods and services refers to the difference between export and import of goods and services. The export includes the value of all kinds of goods and services which resident units sell or transfer for free to non-resident units. The import includes the value of all kinds of goods and services which non-resident units buy or gain for free from resident units. 1. Calculate method at current price Net export of goods and services equals difference between export and import of goods and services. Goods import and export can be divided into general trade import and export, processing trade import and export and others. Services import and export 14 can be divided into transport service, travel service, communication service, insurance service, computer and information service and others. The value of goods export and import is computed by free-on-board price, services by market price when business actually occur. In calculation, the total export and import amount of goods and services is gained directly from balance of payments. Data of goods import and export (general trade import and export, processing trade import and export and others) are from customs statistics. Because the import data gained from customs are counted with cost, insurance and freight price, so the data should be adjusted to free-on-board price with adjustment coefficient. The data of services import and export (transport service, travel service, communication service, insurance service, computer and information service and others) are from balance of international payment statement directly. In addition, the data calculated by USD should be converted to the data calculated by CNY with annual average exchange rate. The formula is below. (1)Net export of goods Import of goods (CNY) = Import of goods (USD) ×annual average exchange rate (CNY/USD) Export of goods (CNY) = export of goods (USD) ×annual average exchange rate (CNY/USD) Net export of goods (CNY) = Import of goods (CNY) - Export of goods (CNY) (2)Net export of services Import of services (CNY) = Import of services (USD) ×annual average exchange rate (CNY/USD) Export of services (CNY) = export of services (USD) ×annual average exchange rate (CNY/USD) Net export of services (CNY) = Import of services (CNY) - Export of services (CNY) 2. Calculate method at constant price Net export of goods and services at constant price refers to the difference of export and import of goods and services at constant price. Import and export at constant price 15 are deflated respectively by corresponding price indices. The formula is below. Import/export of goods at constant price = [import/export of goods at current price ÷ import/export of goods price index] ×annual average exchange rate in base-year Import/export of services at constant price = [import/export of services at current price ÷ import/export of services price index] × annual average exchange rate in base-year Net export of goods and services at constant price = export of goods at constant price + export of services at constant price - import of goods at constant price - import of services at constant price Most of import and export of goods price indices are the commodity price indices authorized by Maritime Customs Administration. Also, import commodity price indices should be adjusted according to consumer price index of main import country or district. At present, china has not authorized import and export services price index. In computation of services export at constant price, services export at constant price refers to service items price index of consumer price index, and the import of services price index refers to export of services price index in American, Japan, Korea, Hong Kong and EU. P.S. Some questions about expenditure-based GDP: 1. Which Deflator should be applied to government consumption expenditure at constant price? 2. What is the data source to compute gross fixed capital formation (whether to use the Balance Sheet of government and enterprises)? How to get and process these data? 3. How to compute the change of inventories exactly and comprehensively? How to estimate the value of inventories at the beginning and the end of the period? 16