Quick Order Pass Presented By: Andrej Ciric and Chris Roberts Representing: Quick Order Systems, Inc. CS410 - Professional Workforce Development I 1 Team Members Andrej Ciric Project Manager Christian Crisostomo Demographics Kevin Jones Risk Assessment Christopher Roberts Technical Feasibility Software Development Michael Schaefer Website Documentation Carlton Northern Marketing 2 Overview Societal Problem Proposed Solution Project Schedule 3 Societal Problem The process coffee houses use to provide specialty orders is inefficient, inconvenient and error prone. 4 Inherent Complexity of Specialty Orders Starbucks menu: 73 Regular Menu Items 10 Flavors of Syrup 13 Modifiers 9490 possible combinations assuming only (1) of each is selected. http://www.starbucks.com 5 Traditional Transactions Order Inefficient Inconvenient Error prone Amount Owed Cash/Credit Change/Credit & Receipt Order Amount Owed Consider a typical order by a daily customer: Cash/ Credit Change/ Credit & Receipt “ I’d like a double tall, non-fat, decaf, vanilla latte, one-pump walnut, with room, please” 6 Proposed Solution Develop a system that can digitally: Retrieve an order Provide payment Without verbal communication. 7 Typical Transaction with Our System Order & Payment Receipt Quick Order is accurate Payment is precise Easy to use 8 Typical System Use: Customer #, 30bits 1010010111101010101 Waves Pass Customer # Receipt Central Database Customer # Order & Account Balance New Account Balance Customer # 9 Solution Will Not Eliminate preparation errors Preclude current ordering systems Can always order and pay Prohibit order changes Eliminate the casual customer 10 Project Organization Project Organization Management Plan Evaluation Plan Marketing Plan Funding Plan Team Formation Testing Industry Consultation Scheduling and Accounts 11 Management Organization Weekly team meetings Schedule deadlines WBS Team status checks Technical Progress and Reporting Take minutes Progress performance assessment Evaluation plan Software development protocols CVS – (Concurrent Versions System ) Design Documentation 12 Evaluation Plan Design Reviews Quality Reviews All design documents evaluated before implementation Industry consultation as necessary Documentation generated Deliverables evaluated at each phase by team and independent testers Post mortem evaluation of group process and effectiveness Documentation generated Testing Testing at each stage of Research and Development Independent evaluation of product Documentation of testing process and integration 13 Evaluation Plan, Cont. Beta-site testing Product in real world environment Customer feedback Consumer feedback Seamless integration 14 Funding Plan • SBIR Grant Funding • National Science Foundation • The NSF support’s high quality projects on important scientific, engineering, or science/engineering education problems and opportunities that lead to significant commercial and public benefit. • Phase 1 • Maximum 100k • December 8th • Phase 2 • January 29th • Maximum 750k • Old Dominion University • Provides • Facilities • Ethernet 15 Marketing Plan Major coffee shop retailer criteria: Extensive market share Strong future growth and revenue potential Compatible market strategies in regards to our product High repeat order frequency 16 Market Identified Net Revenue 2003: $4.1 billion Net Earnings 2003: $268.3 million 77% of Net Revenue from beverage sales http://www.fool.com/news/commentary/2004/commentary040130ram.htm http://www.starbucks.com/ 17 Starbucks U.S. Market by Stores Source: http://www.organicconsumers.org/starbucks/indie-coffee.cfm AND http://www.starbucks.com/aboutus/pressdesc.asp?id=454 18 Market: Customer Use Starbucks Survey 50 people 60 98% Amount of People 50 70% 40 52% 54% 30 48% 46% 30% 20 10 2% 0 Yes No A Yes No B Yes C No Yes No D A: Are you a repeat customer here? B: Do you order the same thing most of the time? C: If you had small device that could store your order would you use it? D: If you could pay with this device also, would you use it? 19 Faster Service Generates Revenue Statistics indicate that each six-second improvement in speed of service generates an extra 1 percent of sales. Wireless payment methods have shaved 15 to 20 seconds off transaction times. http://pittsburgh.bizjournals.com/pittsburgh/stories/2004/05/31/story6.html?t=printable%208sep04 http://www.chainleader.com/archive/0702/0702tech.html 20 Starbucks Card Consumer use Stored value card Starbucks Card: 35 million cards activated to date. Customer “buys” card at store, over the phone, or on the Starbucks website Customer registers on Website or over the phone Ties registered user to unique number on card 21 Quick Order System Will follow exact same registration process as current system Transponder can be in card or keychain format Requires addition of customer order number field in the central database 22 Required Hardware Hardware Required: RFID Reader Model p_1023 Transponder POS Terminal IBM 4695-322 23 Software GUI Register Person: Hi, How may I take your order? Customer: I would like a double café latte please. Register Person: Double café latte, that will be $1.03 please. Customer: Here is $2.00. Register Person: Okay $2.00 Register Person: here is your change and receipt. Thank you and have a nice day. Order Display: Double café latte Total: $1.03 Payment: $2.00 Change: $0.73 24 Quick Order Pass Full Use Register Person: Hi, how may I help you? Customer: (Uses Quick Order Pass) Register Person: Thank you and have a nice day. Order Display: Double café latte Total: $1.03 Change: $0.00 Save Order Pass25 Phase 0: Deliverables Feasibility presentation Milestone presentation Final Approval presentation WBS SBIR Project Website 26 Phase 0: Conception Schedule 27 Phase 0: Project Conception 28 Phase 0: Budget None 29 Phase 1: Deliverables Documentation Technical Description Paper Budget White Paper Draft Sub-contractual Paper User’s Manual Market Research Prototype Design Lab Prototype Project Website SBIR Phase 2 30 Phase 1: Proof of Concept Schedule 31 Phase 1: Organization 32 Phase 1: Budget 33 Phase 2: Deliverables Production Specifications Beta-test contracts Management plan Personnel plan Test/Evaluation plan Marketing plan 34 Phase 2: Prototype Development 35 Phase 2: Prototype Development Organization Chart 36 Phase 2: Budget 37 Phase 3: Deliverables Sales Contracts Product Manuals Customer Support Location Product Roll-out Out Year Strategy 38 Phase 3: Production Schedule 39 Phase 3: Production Organization Chart 40 Phase 3: Budget 41 Risk Analysis/Mitigation Consumer Response Security Transition Component Cost Starbucks Not Interested 42 Risk Analysis Risk Mitigation Likelihood Consequence Starbucks not interested Additional market research - modify product Low High High component cost Cost Benefit Analysis High Medium Transition Training High Low Security Device Proximity Low Medium Consumer Acceptance Slight difference from current use Low High 43 Summary Efficient and convenient Based on developed technology Highly accurate Easy to integrate Strong market potential 44 Questions ? 45 Appendix A. Determining Cost B. Hardware Cost C. Survey Raw Data 46 Hardware Installation Profit Table Item Number of units Base Cost Cost to Retailer Profit RFID Reader 3 @ 45.00 135.00 270.00 135.00 Cables 3 @ 3.00 9.00 18.00 9.00 3 @ 110.00 330.00 660.00 330.00 948.00 474.00 Mounting and Installation Total 47 Hardware Cost Hardware cost: RFID Readers: Base cost is 45.00, Cost to Starbucks 90.00 Cables: Base cost is 3.00, Cost to Starbucks 6.00 Installation: Base Cost is 110.00, Cost to Starbucks 220.00 Figures from Hardware Installation Table assume 3 registers. Transponder: Base Cost is 0.20, Cost to Starbucks is 0.30 5500 stores are capable of accepting the Starbucks Card currently http://www.phidgetsusa.com/viewcategory.asp?category=USB+Sensors http://www.starbucks.com 48 Hardware Costs to Starbucks Hadware Installation Cost to Starbucks 7,580,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,210,000 5,000,000 1000 stores 3,790,000 Cost (dollars) 4,000,000 2500 stores 4000 stores 3,000,000 5500 stores 2,370,000 8000 stores 2,000,000 948,000 1,000,000 0 1000 stores 2500 stores 4000 stores 5500 stores 8000 stores Number of Stores Refer to Appendix for details 49 Transponder Cost to Starbucks Transponder Cost to Starbucks 13,500,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 10,500,000 10,000,000 7,500,000 8,000,000 Cost (dollars) 6,000,000 4,500,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 0 5 million 15 million 25 million 35 million 45 million Transponders Refer to Appendix for details 50 Starbucks Profit by Tag Use Starbucks Profit by Customer use (per fiscal year) 25,000,000 23,700,000 20,000,000 14,200,000 15,000,000 Profit (dollars) 9,500,000 10,000,000 4,730,000 5,000,000 2,840,000 947,000 0 1 percent 3 percent 5 percent 10 percent 15 percent 25 percent Customers using Tag Refer to Appendix for details 51 Starbucks Break Even Analysis Starbucks Break Even Analysis 12000000 9,500,000 10000000 8000000 Profit (dollars) 6000000 3,300,000 4000000 Series1 2000000 Series2 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 -2000000 -4000000 -6000000 -6,200,000 -8000000 Year Refer to Appendix for details 52 QOS, inc. Profit by Transponder QOS, inc. Profit by Tranponder 4,500,000 4,500,000 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 5 million 2,500,000 15 million Profit (dollars) 2,000,000 25 million 1,500,000 35 million 1,500,000 45 million 1,000,000 500,000 500,000 0 5 million 15 million 25 million 35 million 45 million Number of Transponders Refer to Appendix for details 53 QOS, inc. Profit by Hardware QOS, inc. Profit by Hardware 3,790,000 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,605,000 2,500,000 1000 stores 1,895,000 Profit (dollars) 2,000,000 2500 stores 4000 stores 1,500,000 5500 stores 1,185,000 8000 stores 1,000,000 474,000 500,000 0 1000 stores 2500 stores 4000 stores 5500 stores 8000 stores Stores Refer to Appendix for details 54 Determining Profit / Cost Estimates based off Starbucks Net Revenue, 2003. 77% beverage sales 4.1 billion X 0.77 = 3.157 billion Time: 15-20 second range from statistics, we use 18 second average Sales increase 1% for each 6 seconds saved, therefore 18 / 6 = 3% increase in sales 3.157 billion x 0.03 = 94,710,000 million 94,710,000 assumes 100% customer use Scaled Values based on current Starbucks Card Customer use 1. Starbucks Card represented 10% of all transactions in 2003 2. Starbucks Card, 35 million total activated to date Profit potential (assuming 10% customer use): 94,710,000 x 0.10 = 9,471,000 million Potential Cost: 35 million x 0.30 = 10.5 million http://www.fool.com/news/commentary/2004/commentary040130ram.htm http://www.starbucks.com/aboutus/pressdesc.asp?id=451 http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/0,4621,315202,00.html http://www.mindfully.org/Technology/2004/HyperActive-Bob8sep04.htm 55 Survey Raw Data Total 50 people surveyed Starbucks, Ghent Location 3-5pm Questions Asked: 1. Are you a repeat customer here Yes: 49 No: 1 2. Do you order the same thing most of the time? Yes: 35 No: 15 3. If you had a small device that could store your order, would you use it? Yes: 27 No: 23 4. If you could pay with this device also, would you use it? Yes: 26 No: 24 5. Of the people who answered Yes to 3 would they also pay with it? Yes: 26 No: 1 56 Survey Raw Data Location: Starbucks (Greenbrier location) Time: Times below recorded from Employee greeting, to receipt generation (in seconds) 81, 38, 32, 51, 46, 33, 72, 117, 76, 19, 24, 18, 23, 33, 77, 65, 32, 66, 16, 23, 31, 28, 14, 33, 40, 29, 25, 40, 130, 60, 31, 52, 20, 43, 41, 21, 37, 52, 24, 14, 18, 66, 24, 22, 35, 50, 20, 80, 34, 45 Average is 42 seconds 57 Starbucks Growth 58 Starbucks Projected Growth Starbucks Store Growth 30,000 30000 25000 20000 15,000 Number of Stores 15000 8700 10000 4400 5000 1000 0 1998 2001 2004 2006 long term Year www.starbucks.com 59 Commitment to Innovation “These strong trends can be attributed to an all-time high level of innovation, continued speed-of-service improvements, and successful new store concepts” Jim Donald, Starbucks CEO designate 60 Starbucks Vision Starbucks continues to refine the Starbucks Experience: “Starbucks has become an enduring, global brand by continually raising the bar and finding ways to innovate throughout all areas of the business” CEO Designate, Jim Donald 61 Starbucks Order Modifiers Americano: A coffee made w/ two shots of espresso and hot water. Breve: A latte made w/ half-and-half. Cappuccino: A drink made w/ espresso and foamed milk. Con Panna: Italian for whipped cream Creme: A coffee-free beverage Demitasse: Half-cup Doppio: Italian for double Double: Two shots of espresso Dry: More foam, less milk Espresso: Coffee's purest, sweetest and most intense form. Frappucino: Icy and smooth drink Grande: 2nd to the largest size drink Half-Caf: One shot of regular and one shot of decaf Latte: A drink made w/ espresso and steamed milk Light: Less of something in a drink Macchiato: Italian for marked or stained Misto: Italian for mixed, combination of drip coffee and steamed milk Mocha: A drink made w/ espresso, chocolate and steamed milk Quad: Four shots of espresso in a drink Ristretto: A short pull of espresso, capturing only the sweetest part Shaken: Iced tea or coffee mixed w/ ice in a shaker Short: Small drink size Single: One shot of espresso in a drink Skinny: Made w/ nonfat milk Solo: One shot of espresso by itself Tall: Regular size drink Triple: Three shots of espresso in a drink Unleaded: Decaffeinated Valencia: Orange syrup Venti: Large size drink Wet: More milk, less foam Whip: Whipped cream With Legs: To Go With Room: Space to add milk in a drink 62 Competition Table: QOP vs. Starbucks Card RFID Starbucks Card (Magnetic Stripe) Transaction time 15-20 seconds faster Normal Duration 100,000 cycles 1,000 cycles Durability High Durability Low Durability Storage Capacity 1000+ Bytes 210 bytes Security Encryption possible No Encryption Cost $0.20 + $0.01-$0.40 63 Order Times Transaction Time 140 120 Time (seconds) 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 Order Number Average Order Time (from greeting to receipt): 42 seconds 64 Software Translation Software Translation Order #, 100 bits 1010010111101010101…. Customer Order Number 0010010101001011100101 Venti Decaf Café Latte Skim milk Extra Hot Actual Start Actual Finish Existent register software matches item to cost and totals order Register Side Database matches bits to actual order items 01001 à Cafe Latte 65