COMMENTARY ON THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Commentary on the financial statements INTRODUCTION The 2014-15 Consolidated Financial Statements (CFS) for the Australian Government are required by section 48 of the Public Governance, Performance and Accountability Act 2013 (PGPA Act)1. The CFS present the whole of government and general government sector (GGS) financial reports and are prepared in accordance with AASB 1049 Whole of Government and General Government Sector Financial Reporting (AASB 1049). The financial report includes consolidated results for all Australian Government controlled entities as well as disaggregated information on the sectors of government (GGS, public non-financial corporations (PNFC) and public financial corporations (PFC) sectors).2 The institutional structure of the public sector is explained in Note 1. Note 16 provides the list of Australian Government controlled reporting entities, including their sectoral classification. AT A GLANCE Table 1: Financial results for the year ended 30 June (2010-11 to 2014-15) 2010-11 $b 2011-12 $b 2012-13 $b 2013-14 $b 2014-15 $b Revenue 322.3 350.4 370.4 378.9 388.2 Expenses 368.0 389.8 393.9 413.1 429.0 Net capital investment 6.7 6.9 4.5 9.0 5.6 Fiscal balance (52.4) (46.3) (28.0) (43.3) (46.5) Total assets 377.0 390.6 430.9 489.0 532.3 Total liabilities 480.2 647.4 641.4 753.8 841.3 Net w orth (103.1) (256.9) (210.5) (264.7) (309.0) Operating activities (33.7) (29.6) (10.3) (27.5) (24.9) Investing activities in non-financial assets (11.5) (12.5) (9.2) (12.5) (12.7) Cash surplus/(deficit) (45.2) (42.1) (19.5) (40.0) (37.6) 1 2 The Financial Management and Accountability Act 1997 was replaced by the PGPA Act on 1 July 2014. Unless explicitly stated, the financial results reported in this commentary comprise consolidated amounts for the Australian Government as a whole, inclusive of the GGS, PNFC and PFC sectors. The balances and movements detailed in the commentary have been rounded to the nearest tenth of a billion. Discrepancies between totals and sums of components are due to rounding. 5 Commentary on the financial statements The Australian Government financial results for 2014-15 were as follows: • The fiscal balance result for the year to 30 June 2015 was a deficit of $46.5 billion. For the year ended 30 June 2014, the Australian Government reported a fiscal balance deficit of $43.3 billion.3 • Total revenues for 2014-15 were $388.2 billion, an increase of $9.3 billion (2.5 per cent) compared to 2013-14. • Total expenses for 2014-15 were $429.0 billion, an increase of $15.9 billion (3.8 per cent) compared to 2013-14. • Net acquisition of non-financial assets for 2014-15 were $5.6 billion, a decrease of $3.4 billion (37.8 per cent) compared to 2013-14. • The Australian Government’s closing net worth position was negative $309.0 billion at 30 June 2015, a decrease of $44.3 billion since 30 June 2014. • Total assets increased by $43.3 billion (8.9 per cent) since 30 June 2014 to $532.3 billion at 30 June 2015. • Total liabilities increased by $87.5 billion (11.6 per cent) since 30 June 2014 to $841.3 billion at 30 June 2015. • The cash deficit was $37.6 billion, a decrease of $2.4 billion (6.0 per cent) compared to 2013-14. 3 The 2013-14 CFS fiscal balance deficit of $42.2 billion was $1.1 billion less than the 2013-14 restated deficit balance of $43.3 billion, due to prior year adjustments to tax related items and the treatment of Medibank Private Limited as a discontinued operation. Refer to Notes 1 and 2 to the 2014-15 CFS for further information. 6 Commentary on the financial statements DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS Operating statement Table 2: Operating statement 2014-15 $b 388.2 429.0 (40.8) 5.6 (46.5) Revenue Expenses Net operating balance Less Net acquisitions of non-financial assets Australian Governm ent fiscal balance 2013-14 $b 378.9 413.1 (34.2) 9.0 (43.3) Change $b 9.3 15.9 (6.6) (3.4) (3.2) Change % 2.5 3.8 19.3 (37.8) 7.4 The fiscal balance for the year to 30 June 2015 was a deficit of $46.5 billion. For the year ended 30 June 2014, the Australian Government reported a fiscal balance deficit of $43.3 billion. The decrease in the fiscal balance between 2013-14 and 2014-15 reflects an increase in total expenses of $15.9 billion, partially offset by an increase in total revenues of $9.3 billion and a decrease in the net acquisition of non-financial assets of $3.4 billion. The increase in expenses was largely due to an increase in the supply of goods and services, an increase in grants and the growth in direct personal benefits. The increase in revenues was primarily due to an increase in taxation revenue flowing from the modest growth in employment and wage income. The decrease in the acquisition of non-financial assets primarily reflects the sale of digital dividend spectrum licensing which commenced in 2014-15. 7 Commentary on the financial statements Chart 1 provides a comparison of the Australian Government’s consolidated fiscal balance since 2007-08. Chart 1: Consolidated fiscal balance4 30 $billion $billion 30 10 10 -10 -10 -30 -30 -50 -50 -70 -70 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 Chart 2 provides a trend of the Australian Government’s consolidated revenues and expenses since 2007-08. Chart 2: Revenue and expenses 450 $billion $billion 400 400 350 350 300 300 Expenses Revenue 250 250 2007-08 4 450 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 The reporting of consolidated fiscal balance commenced in 2008-09 when the CFS were prepared in accordance with the whole of government requirements of AASB 1049 for the first time. The 2007-08 results were restated consistent with this standard in the 2008-09 CFS. 8 Commentary on the financial statements Australian Government revenue The Australian Government’s revenue increased by $9.3 billion (2.5 per cent) in 2014-15 to $388.2 billion. Table 3: Revenue 2014-15 $b 354.9 33.3 388.2 Taxation revenue Non-taxation revenue Total revenue 2013-14 $b 348.2 30.6 378.9 Change $b 6.7 2.7 9.3 Change % 1.9 8.7 2.5 Chart 3 shows the composition of revenue since 2007-08. Chart 3: Composition of revenue 400 $billion $billion 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Tax ation r evenue Non- tax ation r evenue 9 2014-15 Commentary on the financial statements Taxation revenue The Australian Government total taxation revenue for the year ended on 30 June 2015 was $354.9 billion. The composition of taxation revenue is shown in Chart 4 below. Chart 4: Composition of taxation revenue Customs duty 3% Sales taxes 16% Company tax 19% Excise duty 7% Other* 4% Individuals and other withholding taxation 51% *Other includes superannuation funds ($5.9 billion), fringe benefits tax ($4.4 billion), other — indirect taxation ($3.8 billion) and resource rent tax ($1.4 billion). Table 4: Australian Government — taxation revenue 2014-15 $b 2013-14 $b Change $b Change % Income taxation Individuals and other w ithholding taxation Company tax Fringe benefits tax Superannuation funds Resource rent taxes Total income taxation Sales taxes Excise duty Customs duty Carbon pricing mechanism Other - indirect taxation 181.2 65.9 4.4 5.9 1.4 258.8 57.8 23.7 10.9 0.0 3.8 167.2 68.5 4.3 6.1 1.8 247.9 56.8 25.6 9.3 4.7 3.8 14.0 (2.6) 0.1 (0.2) (0.4) 10.9 1.0 (1.9) 1.6 (4.7) 0.0 8.4 (3.8) 2.3 (3.3) (22.2) 4.4 1.8 (7.4) 17.2 (100.0) 0.0 Total taxation revenue 354.9 348.2 6.7 1.9 10 Commentary on the financial statements Taxation revenue increased by $6.7 billion (1.9 per cent) to $354.9 billion. The key movements in taxation revenue from 2013-14 to 2014-15 were: • an increase of $14.0 billion (8.4 per cent) from individuals and other withholding taxation. The growth in individuals and other withholding taxation is broadly consistent with conditions in the labour market; • a decrease of $4.7 billion (100.0 per cent) in the carbon pricing mechanism as a result of the carbon tax being repealed; • a decrease of $2.6 billion (3.8 per cent) from company tax. This was due to weaker corporate profitability, as well as lower commodity prices affecting the mining sector; • a decrease in excise duty of $1.9 billion (7.4 per cent) and a corresponding increase in customs duty of $1.6 billion (17.2 per cent) as a result of a greater share of tobacco products being cleared through Customs; and • an increase of $1.0 billion (1.8 per cent) in sales taxes, with the main contributor being a $0.9 billion increase in goods and services tax (GST), consistent with growth in consumption subject to GST. Non-taxation revenue The Australian Government’s total non-taxation revenue for the year ended on 30 June 2015 was $33.3 billion. The composition of non-taxation revenue is shown in Chart 5 below. Chart 5: Composition of non-taxation revenue 11 Commentary on the financial statements Table 5: Non-taxation revenue 2014-15 $b 17.9 4.5 3.9 7.0 33.3 Sales of goods and services Interest income Dividend income Other Total non-taxation revenue 2013-14 $b 16.9 4.4 2.5 6.9 30.6 Change $b 1.0 0.1 1.4 0.1 2.7 Change % 5.9 2.3 56.0 1.4 8.7 Total non-taxation revenue increased by $2.7 billion (8.7 per cent) to $33.3 billion. The key movements in non-taxation revenue from 2013-14 to 2014-15 were as follows: • an increase of $1.0 billion in sales of goods and services revenue mainly associated with: – an increase of $0.6 billion in services revenue from public corporations, including the Australian Submarine Corporation Pty Ltd ($0.2 billion), the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ($0.2 billion) and National Broadband Network Co Ltd (NBN) ($0.1 billion); – a decrease of $0.3 billion due to the winding down of the Guarantee Scheme for Large Deposits and Wholesale Funding fees by the Department of the Treasury (the Treasury); and – an increase of $0.2 billion in visa application fee revenue due to increased visa activity levels. • an increase of $1.4 billion in dividend income, primarily from the Future Fund investment portfolio. • an increase of $0.1 billion in interest income, including an increase of $0.3 billion in interest from Australian dollar investments held by the RBA; partially offset by a $0.1 billion decrease in interest from the Future Fund investment portfolio and a $0.1 billion decrease in interest from residential mortgage-backed securities investments held by the Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM). • an increase of $0.1 billion in other revenue including: – a decrease in offshore petroleum royalties and uranium royalties of $0.4 billion due to changes in production volume, price and exchange rates; – an increase of $0.3 billion in resources received free of charge primarily due to increased demand for the National Disability Insurance Scheme services; and – an increase of $0.2 billion in other non-tax revenue across a range of entities. 12 Commentary on the financial statements Australian Government expenses Chart 6 below shows the composition and the trend for expenses since 2007-08. Chart 6: Expenses 450 $billion $billion 450 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Current and capital transfers 2011-12 2012-13 Gross operating 2013-14 2014-15 Interest The Australian Government’s total expenses for the year ended on 30 June 2015 were $429.0 billion. The composition of expenses is shown in Chart 7 below. Chart 7: Breakdown of expenses 13 Commentary on the financial statements Table 6: Expenses Gross operating Interest Current and capital transfers Grants Personal benefits Subsidies Total current and capital transfers Total expenses 2014-15 $b 127.9 2013-14 $b 122.6 Change $b 5.3 25.8 23.9 2.0 Change % 4.3 8.2 133.8 129.2 12.3 275.4 128.3 125.2 13.2 266.7 5.5 4.0 (0.9) 8.7 4.3 3.2 (6.5) 3.2 429.0 413.1 15.9 3.8 The Australian Government’s total expenses increased by $15.9 billion (3.8 per cent) in comparison to 2013-14. Current and capital transfers increased by $8.7 billion (3.2 per cent) to $275.4 billion. The key changes in current and capital transfers from 2013-14 to 2014-15 were as follows: • an increase of $5.5 billion in current and capital grants. The primary contributors to the increase included: – an increase of $5.8 billion in grants to state and territory governments, which includes increases in: government and non-government schools national support ($3.6 billion); general revenue assistance ($3.0 billion); financial assistance grants for local governments ($2.3 billion); and assistance to the states for healthcare services ($1.6 billion). These amounts were partially offset by decreases in: state government school assistance payments ($2.1 billion); rail transport ($0.9 billion); road transport ($0.8 billion); public hospital services ($0.8 billion); government schools ($0.3 billion) and aged care assistance ($0.3 billion); – an increase of $1.2 billion in grants to non-profit institutions, which includes increases in: home support ($0.9 billion); Indigenous jobs, land and economy ($0.5 billion); and the National Disability Insurance Scheme ($0.5 billion). These amounts were partially offset by decreases to: services and support for people with a disability ($0.3 billion); education, wellbeing and community safety ($0.2 billion) and targeted community care ($0.2 billion); – a decrease of $0.8 billion in grants to the private sector, which includes decreases in: home support ($0.5 billion); industry development and investment ($0.3 billion); and other energy related initiatives and management ($0.3 billion). These amounts were partially offset by an increase in encouraging investment ($0.2 billion); and – a decrease of $0.6 billion in mutually agreed write-downs, primarily penalty and interest charge remissions by the Australian Taxation Office. 14 Commentary on the financial statements • an increase of $4.0 billion in personal benefits expense. This includes increases in: the age pension ($2.2 billion); child care benefits ($1.2 billion); and student payments ($0.8 billion). • a decrease of $0.9 billion in subsidy expenses primarily as a result of the repeal of the carbon tax ($1.2 billion), partially offset by increases for the fuel tax credit scheme ($0.3 billion) and stronger uptake of the research and development tax incentive ($0.2 billion). Gross operating expenses increased by $5.3 billion (4.3 per cent) to $127.9 billion. The key changes in gross operating expenses from 2013-14 to 2014-15 were as follows: • the supply of goods and services expense increased by $4.6 billion, including increases in: Defence related expenditure ($1.0 billion); Medicare services ($0.9 billion); child care rebate ($0.8 billion); residential and flexible care ($0.8 billion); disability and carers ($0.7 billion); dental services ($0.3 billion), and public corporations, including Australia Post ($0.2 billion) and NBN ($0.2 billion). These increases were partially offset by a $0.5 billion decrease, which was driven by the closure of several detention centres. • depreciation and amortisation expenses increased by $0.7 billion consistent with the increase in non-financial assets. • the current service cost of the Australian Government’s unfunded superannuation provisions increased by $0.4 billion. The current service cost recognises the increase in the superannuation liability that results from employee service in the reporting period. As the calculation of the amount is based on a present value, it is sensitive to changes in the discount rate used for the calculation. 5 The longer the length of service, the greater the impact of discount rate changes. Interest (excluding superannuation interest) expenses increased by $1.2 billion (7.5 per cent) during 2014-15 to $16.8 billion as a result of an increased volume of Australian Government Securities on issue for the year. Superannuation interest expenses increased by $0.8 billion (9.6 per cent) during 2014-15 to $9.0 billion. 5 Under AASB 119 Employee Benefits, the expenses recognised in the operating statement, including the current service cost and the nominal interest on superannuation, are determined with reference to the yield on government bonds (discount rate) at the start of the reporting period (4.1 per cent in 2014-15; 4.3 per cent in 2013-14), with the change in interest rates reflected as an actuarial revaluation in ‘other economic flows’. 15 Commentary on the financial statements Chart 8 below provides a presentation of total expenses based on how the Australian Government allocated resources across the range of policy areas. The chart highlights the relative cost of each function for 2014-15 compared with the previous year. Chart 8: Total expenses by function Mining, manufacturing and construction Agriculture, forestry and fishing Recreation and culture Public order and safety Housing and community amenities Fuel and energy Other economic affairs Transport and communication Defence General public services Education Health Other purposes Social security and welfare 0 20 2014-15 40 60 80 100 120 140 $billion 2013-14 Australian Government other economic flows Table 7: Other economic flows 2014-15 $b (5.6) 0.4 3.8 (17.7) 1.6 13.4 0.4 (3.7) Net w rite-dow ns of assets Revaluation of equity investments Net foreign exchange gains/(losses) Actuarial revaluation of superannuation Revaluations of non-financial assets Net gains/(losses) from sale of assets Other Total other econom ic flow s 2013-14 $b (6.6) 0.3 (0.2) (13.0) 1.2 6.3 (8.3) (20.3) Change $b 1.0 0.1 4.1 (4.7) 0.4 7.1 8.7 16.6 Change % (14.6) 35.8 (1,641.7) 36.2 29.6 113.2 (104.7) (81.6) The Australian Government reported a net loss of $3.7 billion in other economic flows in 2014-15, a $16.6 billion change from 2013-14. 16 Commentary on the financial statements The $4.7 billion change in the actuarial revaluation of superannuation primarily relates to discount rate changes. Under the accounting standards, the superannuation liability is calculated using a discount rate based on current long-term government bond rates. Movement in the discount rate can cause significant movements in the valuation of the liability. In 2014-15, the discount rate decreased from 4.1 per cent to 3.7 per cent (increasing the liability and reducing net worth). In 2013-14, the discount rate decreased from 4.3 per cent to 4.1 per cent. The actuarial assumptions applied in the calculation of the Australian Government’s liability are detailed in Note 12C. The major contributor to the $8.7 billion change in ‘other’ relates to a one-off variation in indexation arrangements for military superannuation in 2013-14 ($7.8 billion). The $7.1 billion increase in net gains from sale of assets primarily relates to the sale of Medibank Private ($4.3 billion) and the digital dividend from spectrum licensing ($2.0 billion) in 2014-15. The $4.1 billion increase in net foreign exchange gains/(losses) relates largely to $6.0 billion in gains for foreign currency held by the RBA, partially offset by $2.1 billion in foreign exchange losses relating to the Future Fund investment portfolio. Australian Government net acquisition of non-financial assets Table 8: Net acquisition of non-financial assets 2014-15 $b 15.6 2.5 8.1 0.6 0.0 5.6 Purchases of non-financial assets less Sale of non-financial assets less Depreciation plus Change in inventories and other movements plus Other movements in non-financial assets Total net acquisition of non-financial assets 2013-14 $b 15.1 0.4 7.4 0.7 1.0 9.0 Change $b 0.5 2.1 0.7 (0.1) (1.0) (3.4) Change % 3.3 525.0 9.5 (14.3) (100.0) (37.8) The Australian Government’s net acquisition of non-financial assets showed a decrease of $3.4 billion from last year to $5.6 billion in 2014-15. The increase in sale of non-financial assets is reflective of proceeds from the sale of digital dividend spectrum licensing which commenced in 2014-15 ($2.0 billion). 17 Commentary on the financial statements Balance sheet The Australian Government’s net worth decreased by $44.3 billion in 2014-15 to produce a closing negative net worth of $309.0 billion. Table 9: Balance sheet 2014-15 $b 386.3 146.0 532.3 455.5 385.8 841.3 (309.0) Financial assets Non-financial assets Total assets Interest bearing liabilities Provisions and payables Total liabilities Net w orth 2013-14 $b 351.8 137.3 489.0 397.6 356.2 753.8 (264.7) Change $b 34.6 8.7 43.3 57.9 29.6 87.5 (44.3) Change % 9.8 6.3 8.9 14.6 8.3 11.6 16.7 The decrease in net worth resulted from the $57.9 billion increase in interest bearing liabilities and increase of $29.6 billion in provisions and payables (primarily relating to superannuation), partially offset by an increase in financial assets of $34.6 billion and non-financial assets of $8.7 billion. Chart 9 shows the movement and composition of the Australian Government’s financial position since 2007-08. Chart 9: Australian Government balance sheet $billion $billion 600 600 500 500 400 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 0 -100 0 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 -100 -200 -200 -300 -300 -400 -400 -500 -500 -600 -600 -700 -700 -800 -800 -900 -900 Financial assets Non-financial assets Interest bearing liabilities Net worth 18 Provisions and payables Commentary on the financial statements Australian Government assets The Australian Government’s total assets as at 30 June 2015 was $532.3 billion. The composition of assets is shown in Chart 10 below. Chart 10: Composition of assets Included in the above categories are the following items: Cash and Deposits Cash at bank and cash on hand; Short-term deposits (generally less than three months); and Fund deposits at call. Other receivables Statutory receivables and recoverables; and Trade debtors. Advances Paid are loans made for policy purposes rather than for liquidity management, including: Student loans (including Higher Education Loan Programme (HELP)); Loans to state and territory governments; and Subscriptions to international aid organisations. Investments, Loans and Placements Equity investments constitute a financial claim on other entities and include: Investments in public corporations (valued using the discounted cash flow method or net assets); Future Fund equity holdings; and Investments in international financial institutions. Non-financial assets 19 Term deposits; Investment debt securities (including Future Fund and Government Funds); International Monetary Fund (IMF) quota; and Residential mortgage-backed securities. Land, buildings, plant, infrastructure and equipment, investment property, heritage and cultural assets, biological assets and assets held for sale are non-financial produced assets; Specialist military equipment; Intangibles include software and other produced intangibles; Inventories; and Prepayments. Commentary on the financial statements Table 10: Australian Government’s assets 2014-15 $b 2013-14 $b Change $b Change % 4.8 41.8 41.2 254.5 44.1 386.3 146.0 532.3 4.5 34.8 42.2 229.8 40.5 351.8 137.3 489.0 0.3 6.9 (1.0) 24.7 3.6 34.6 8.7 43.3 6.8 19.9 (2.3) 10.7 8.9 9.8 6.3 8.9 Financial assets Cash and deposits Advances paid Other receivables and accrued revenue Investments, loans and placements Equity investments Total financial assets Non-financial assets Total assets The Australian Government’s total assets increased by $43.3 billion (8.9 per cent) since 30 June 2014. This included a $34.6 billion (9.8 per cent) increase in financial assets to $386.3 billion at 30 June 2015, and a $8.7 billion (6.3 per cent) increase in non-financial assets to $146.0 billion at 30 June 2015. This continues the trend of recent years where a greater proportion of the Australian Government’s assets held are financial assets. The key movements in financial assets between 30 June 2014 and 30 June 2015 included the following: • an increase of $24.7 billion in investments, loans and placements. This included a $14.8 billion increase in Australian dollar securities and foreign exchange holdings held by the RBA and an increase of $11.2 billion in non-equity investments held by the Future Fund. These increases were partially offset by a $1.8 billion decrease in residential mortgage-backed securities held by the AOFM; • an increase of $6.9 billion in advances paid, mainly due to a $5.3 billion increase in the HELP scheme reflecting increased loan numbers; and • an increase of $3.6 billion in equity investments, primarily resulting from an increased holding of listed equities and listed managed investment schemes by the Future Fund. The key movements in non-financial assets between 30 June 2014 and 30 June 2015 included the following: • an increase of $3.5 billion for infrastructure, plant and equipment including an increase of $3.1 billion in network assets for the rollout of the NBN; • an increase of $1.5 billion for other non-financial assets, primarily driven by an increase in Defence prepayments for foreign military sales; • an increase of $1.4 billion for specialist military equipment; 20 Commentary on the financial statements • an increase of $0.9 billion for buildings primarily due to revaluations by Defence and of overseas property purchases by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade; • an increase in land of $0.6 billion mainly due to revaluations; and • an increase in heritage and cultural assets of $0.5 billion, mainly due to revaluation of cultural institution collections. Australian Government liabilities The Australia Government’s total liabilities were $841.3 billion as at 30 June 2015. The composition of liabilities is shown in Chart 11 below. Chart 11: Composition of liabilities 21 Commentary on the financial statements Included in the above categories are the following items: Interest bearing liabilities Provisions Payables Public debt (Treasury bonds, Treasury Notes and Treasury Indexed Bonds); Australian Government’s unfunded superannuation liability; Trade creditors, capital creditors and unsettled investment purchases; Bills of exchange and promissory notes issued to international multilateral organisations; Annual leave, long service leave liabilities, accrued salaries and wages, separations and redundancies, workers compensation provisions; Amounts payable to grant or subsidy recipients at period-end; IMF Special Drawing Rights allocation reflecting Australia’s cumulative liability to the IMF; and Finance leases and other loans. Social security, health and education benefit provisions; Grant provisions for university superannuation, Natural Disaster Relief and Recovery Arrangements and subsidy provisions administered through the tax system; Personal benefit payables at period-end; Unearned income and prepayments received; and Unclaimed monies and outstanding claims. Provisions for asbestos, decontamination, etc; and Unearned income, unclaimed monies, outstanding claims and taxation refunds. Table 11: Australian Government’s liabilities 2014-15 $b 455.5 385.8 841.3 Interest bearing liabilities Provisions and payables Total liabilities 2013-14 $b 397.6 356.2 753.8 Change $b 57.9 29.6 87.5 Change % 14.6 8.3 11.6 The Australian Government’s liabilities have increased by $87.5 billion (11.6 per cent) since 30 June 2014. This included a $57.9 billion (14.6 per cent) increase in interest bearing liabilities to $455.5 billion at 30 June 2015 and a $29.6 billion (8.3 per cent) increase in provisions and payables to $385.8 billion at 30 June 2015. The decrease in the bond rate was the main contributor to the overall increase in provisions. A number of Australian Government provisions are long-term in nature and, as such, are subject to variations if the discount rate used in calculating the present value of these liabilities changes. The bond rate change was the key determinant of the $26.6 billion increase in the Australian Government’s unfunded superannuation liabilities. 22 Commentary on the financial statements The increase of $57.9 billion in interest bearing liabilities includes: • an increase of $57.4 billion in the issuance volume and market value of Australian Government Securities held by the AOFM; • a decrease of $1.6 billion in other interest bearing liabilities due to a decrease of amounts outstanding under repurchase agreements by the RBA of $3.5 billion; partially offset by an increase in swap principal payables by the RBA and Future Fund of $1.2 billion, and an increase of $0.6 billion in the IMF allocation of Special Drawing Rights to Treasury; and • an increase of $1.2 billion in loans, primarily bills of exchange and promissory notes issued to the IMF by the Treasury. The increase in provisions and payables of $29.6 billion included: • an increase of $26.6 billion in the superannuation liability resulting from actuarial revaluations, in particular a 0.4 percentage point decrease in the Government bond rate used to discount expected future superannuation payments; • an increase of $4.7 billion in Australian currency (notes) on issue; • an increase of $1.4 billion in other employee liabilities, mainly resulting from actuarial adjustments to the provision for military workers compensation of $1.2 billion; partially offset by • a decrease in other provisions of $2.3 billion, mainly driven by $1.8 billion for the Natural Disaster Relief and Recovery Arrangements provision reflecting the close out of projects in Queensland. 23 Commentary on the financial statements Statement of cash flows Table 12: Cash flow 2014-15 $b 2013-14 $b Change $b Change % Cash receipts Operating activities Investing activities in non-financial assets Financing activities Total cash receipts 385.8 2.4 60.3 448.5 369.5 0.7 89.4 459.6 16.3 1.7 (29.1) (11.1) 4.4 242.9 (32.6) (2.4) Cash payments Operating activities Investing activities in non-financial assets Investing activities in financial assets Financing activities Total cash paym ents 410.7 15.1 16.1 6.4 448.3 397.3 13.2 40.0 9.0 459.5 13.4 1.9 (23.9) (2.6) (11.2) 0.0 3.4 14.4 (59.8) (28.9) (2.4) Net cash from discontinued activities 0.1 0.3 (0.2) (63.3) Net m ovem ent in cash Cash at beginning of the year Cash at end of year 0.3 4.5 4.8 0.4 4.1 4.5 (0.1) 0.4 0.3 (25.0) 9.8 6.7 (24.9) (12.7) (37.6) (27.5) (12.5) (40.0) 2.6 (0.2) 2.4 (9.5) 1.6 (6.0) Key fiscal aggregate Operating activities Investing activities in non-financial assets Cash surplus/(deficit) The Australian Government’s cash balance was $4.8 billion at 30 June 2015. In 2014-15 the Australian Government recorded a cash deficit of $37.6 billion, a decrease of $2.4 billion compared to a cash deficit of $40.0 billion for 2013-14.6 6 The cash deficit reported above differs to the deficit reported in the 2014-15 Final Budget Outcome (FBO) as the above result is for the ‘whole of government’, including public corporations whereas the FBO focuses on the outcome for the GGS. In addition, the 2014-15 FBO excludes Future Fund earnings and includes the net acquisition of assets acquired under finance leases and similar arrangements. 24 Commentary on the financial statements Australian Government cash receipts and payments The following charts provide a detailed break-down of Australian Government receipts and payments for 2014-15, showing the relative composition of each dollar received and each dollar paid. Chart 12: Composition of each dollar of cash received in 2014-15 Taxes: $351.6 billion (2013-14: $338.2 billion) (78 cents of every dollar received in 2014-15, 74 cents in 2013-14) Borrowing and investment: $62.7 billion (2013-14: $90.2 billion) (14 cents of every dollar received in 2014-15, 19 cents in 2013-14) Sales of goods and services: $18.5 billion (2013-14: $17.7 billion) (4 cents of every dollar received in 2014-15, 4 cents in 2013-14) Interest and dividends: $8.2 billion (2013-14: $6.4 billion) (2 cents of every dollar received in 2014-15, 1 cent in 2013-14) Other: $7.5 billion (2013-14: $7.1 billion) (2 cents of every dollar received in 2014-15, 2 cents in 2013-14) Taxation receipts remain the predominant source of Australian Government receipts with 78 cents of every dollar that the Australian Government receives resulting from tax collections in 2014-15. 25 Commentary on the financial statements Chart 13: Composition of each dollar of cash paid in 2014-15 Grants and subsidies: $144.4 billion (2013-14: $140.1 billion) (32 cents of every dollar paid in 2014-15, 32 cents in 2013-14) Personal benefits: $130.9 billion (2013-14: $126.4 billion) (29 cents of every dollar paid in 2014-15, 28 cents in 2013-14) Payments for goods and services: $85.0 billion (2013-14: $79.8 billion) (19 cents of every dollar paid in 2014-15, 17 cents in 2013-14) Payments for employees and other: $36.0 billion (2013-14: $36.8 billion) (9 cents of every dollar paid in 2014-15, 8 cents in 2013-14) Financing and investing activities: $22.5 billion (2013-14: $48.9 billion) (5 cents of every dollar paid in 2014-15, 11 cents in 2013-14) Purchases of non-financial assets: $15.1 billion (2013-14: $13.2 billion) (3 cents of every dollar paid in 2014-15, 3 cents in 2013-14) Interest paid: $14.4 billion (2013-14: $14.3 billion) (3 cents of every dollar paid in 2014-15, 3 cents in 2013-14) Grants and subsidies, personal benefits and payments for the supply of goods and services are the main items of expenditure for the government, comprising 80 per cent of all payments. 26 Commentary on the financial statements Chart 14 provides a trend of the Australian Government’s cash receipts and cash payments for operating activities and purchases/sales of non-financial assets since 2007-08. Chart 14: Receipts and payments — operating and non-financial assets 450 $billion $billion 450 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Payments 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 Receipts Future commitments Table 13: Australian Government — future commitments Capital commitments 2014-15 $b 2013-14 $b Change $b Change % 38.8 28.4 10.4 36.5 Other commitments Operating leases Grant commitments Other commitments Total other commitments 18.9 109.2 52.7 180.8 19.4 101.5 43.2 164.1 (0.5) 7.7 9.5 16.7 (2.5) 7.6 22.1 10.2 Total com m itm ents 219.6 192.5 27.1 14.1 less Commitments receivable Net com m itm ents 2.1 217.5 4.8 187.7 (2.7) 29.8 (56.2) 15.9 The Australian Government is committed to future capital expenditure of $38.8 billion as at 30 June 2015, an increase of $10.4 billion since 2013-14. The change is primarily in relation to increases in various collective investment vehicles held by the Future Fund, specialist military equipment, and infrastructure, plant and equipment. Total other commitments increased by $16.7 billion, as a result of an increase in ‘other’ commitments of $9.5 billion, primarily due to employment programme commitments, and grant commitments of $7.7 billion, mostly related to education funding commitments. 27 Commentary on the financial statements Contingent liabilities Contingent liabilities are associated with events that are considered possible but not sufficiently probable (or quantifiable) that they should be included in the balance sheet. The Australian Government includes those contingent liabilities that were quantifiable in accordance with accounting standards. Table 14: Australian Government — contingent liabilities Quantifiable contingent liabilities Guarantees Indemnities Uncalled shares/capital subscriptions Claims for damages/costs Other contingencies Total quantifiable contingent liabilities 2014-15 $b 2013-14 $b Change $b Change % 18.0 0.3 15.6 0.2 259.9 294.0 16.6 0.3 13.5 0.2 5.4 36.1 1.4 (0.0) 2.1 (0.0) 254.5 257.9 8.3 (5.1) 15.5 (16.6) 4,676.3 715.1 The Australian Government disclosed a total of $294.0 billion in quantifiable contingent liabilities as at 30 June 2015. ‘Other’ contingencies increased by $254.5 billion, primarily as a result of the RBA providing a Committed Liquidity Facility (CLF) to eligible authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs) as part of Australia’s implementation of the Basel III liquidity requirements. The CLF provides ADIs with a contractual commitment to funding under repurchase agreements with the RBA, subject to certain conditions. The total of uncalled shares and capital subscriptions included $15.5 billion (2014: $13.4 billion) associated with the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency and the Asian Development Bank. 28 APPENDIX A Historical information The following table presents the key financial results for the Australian Government from the 2007-08 financial year.7 OPERATING STATEMENT Revenue from transactions Taxation revenue Non-taxation revenue Total revenue 29 Expenses from transactions Gross operating expenses Current and capital transfers Superannuation interest expense Interest expenses Total expenses Net operating balance Net acquisition of non-financial assets Fiscal balance 7 2007-08 $b 2008-09 $b 2009-10 $b 2010-11 $b 2011-12 $b 2012-13 $b 2013-14 $b 2014-15 $b 286.0 29.1 315.1 278.3 31.5 309.8 268.0 30.9 298.9 288.8 33.5 322.3 316.5 33.9 350.4 334.4 36.0 370.4 348.2 30.6 378.9 354.9 33.3 388.2 88.3 189.3 6.0 5.9 289.5 95.9 225.7 6.7 6.4 334.8 103.6 232.5 6.7 7.9 350.7 110.9 238.4 7.0 11.7 368.0 119.4 249.3 7.4 13.8 389.8 124.6 248.6 6.7 14.0 393.9 122.6 266.7 8.2 15.6 413.1 127.9 275.4 9.0 16.8 429.0 25.6 (25.0) (51.8) (45.7) (39.4) (23.4) (34.3) (40.8) 3.3 5.0 7.6 6.7 6.9 4.5 9.0 5.6 22.3 (30.0) (59.4) (52.4) (46.3) (28.0) (43.3) (46.5) Key financial results have been presented from 2007-08 following the introduction of the AASB 1049. The 2007-08 outcome was restated consistent with this standard in the 2008-09 CFS. Liabilities Interest bearing liabilities Provisions and payables Total liabilities Net w orth 30 CASHFLOW STATEMENT Operating activities Investing activities in non-financial assets Investing activities in financial assets Financing activities Net m ovem ent in cash 2008-09 $b 2009-10 $b 2010-11 $b 2011-12 $b 2012-13 $b 2013-14 $b 2014-15 $b 244.1 95.2 339.2 266.9 100.3 367.2 268.3 109.0 377.2 261.7 115.3 377.0 268.2 122.4 390.6 303.1 127.8 430.9 351.8 137.3 489.0 386.3 146.0 532.3 86.2 185.4 271.5 124.2 227.5 351.7 183.8 247.4 431.2 222.0 258.2 480.2 287.7 359.8 647.4 315.4 325.9 641.4 397.6 356.2 753.8 455.5 385.8 841.3 67.7 15.5 (53.9) (103.1) (256.9) (210.5) (264.7) (309.0) 32.6 (12.7) (44.3) (33.7) (29.6) (10.3) (27.5) (24.9) (8.0) (10.2) (12.5) (11.5) (12.5) (9.2) (12.5) (12.7) (43.8) (26.7) 6.4 (0.9) (6.9) (13.7) (40.0) (16.1) 18.9 (0.3) 49.4 (0.2) 51.9 1.6 46.0 (0.1) 47.5 (1.4) 33.2 0.0 80.5 0.4 53.9 0.3 Notes to the financial statements BALANCE SHEET Assets Financial assets Non-financial assets Total assets 2007-08 $b Commentary on the Financial Statements APPENDIX B LINKS TO OTHER PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT ABOUT ITS PROJECTED AND ACTUAL FINANCIAL POSITION FOR THE 2014-15 FINANCIAL YEAR The Australian Government publishes a range of information about its projected and actual financial position. Links to some of these documents are set out below. The information in the following documents has been prepared for different purposes and therefore does not form part of the CFS. Further, the documents listed below are not subject to audit. 2014-15 Final Budget Outcome The 2014-15 Final Budget Outcome (FBO) was prepared in a manner consistent with the Charter of Budget Honesty Act 1998 (the Charter). The Charter requires that, inter alia, the Government provide the FBO no later than three months after the end of the financial year. Consistent with these requirements, the FBO encompasses Australian Government GGS fiscal outcomes for the 2014-15 financial year and is based on external reporting standards. The FBO is available on the Australian Government http://www.budget.gov.au/2014-15/content/fbo/html/index.htm. website at: Australian Government (GGS) Monthly Financial Statements The Australian Government (GGS) Monthly Financial Statements are prepared on a basis consistent with the Budget as required under section 47 of the PGPA Act. The statements are prepared in accordance with AASB 1049. The Australian Government Monthly Financial Statements are available on the Department of Finance website and the Minister for Finance website at: http://www.finance.gov.au/publications/commonwealth-monthly-financial-stateme nts/; and http://www.financeminister.gov.au/media/2015/index.html. Budget Strategy and Outlook and Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook The Budget Strategy and Outlook — Budget Paper — 2014-15, the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2014-15 and the Budget Strategy and Outlook — Budget Paper — 2015-16 have been prepared in accordance with the Charter. The aforementioned Budget Papers are available on the Australian Government website at http://www.budget.gov.au/. 31 Commentary on the Financial Statements Tax Expenditures Statement 2014 The Tax Expenditures Statement (TES) provides details of concessions, benefits, incentives and charges provided through the tax system (tax expenditures) to taxpayers by the Australian Government. The TES is available on the Treasury website at: http://www.treasury.gov.au/PublicationsAndMedia/Publications/2015/TES-2014. 32