September 15, 2009 Credit Crisis Impact on D&O/E&O Market Jason Israel SVP, Guy Carpenter Instrat www.guycarp.com What is D&O? Who buys it and Why? What is D&O? Basic Definition Directors and Officers policies insure: – Directors and Officers historically, only D’s & O’s, but broadened in soft market of 90’s to include some entity coverage – For wrongful acts defined as any act, error or omission in their capacity as D&O Usually includes Employment Practices Liability, but excludes “professional services” (E&O) Guy Carpenter 2 Who buys D&O? Companies that need their D&O’s to serve… Bought by the Company – D&O Coverage is voluntary (not required by law) But almost all large Public firms and many private firms buy some – Primary for the benefit of the Directors and Officers (It’s expensive, but then so are other executive benefits!) – Coverage is voluntary, but few large companies go without – Multiple Towers are possible, but generally all the D&O’s share coverage and limits Guy Carpenter 3 How does D&O fit in with other Professional Liability coverages? Each covers a different type of wrongful act Directors & Officers (D & O) – Management of Company Errors & Omissions (E & O, aka “MPL”, LPL, BPL, etc.) – Professional service provided to customers Employment Practices (EPL) – Employment issues (hiring, harassment, etc) Fiduciary – Administration of benefits - health, life, 401k, etc Fidelity/Crime – Often marketed with liability, but first party cover Cyber Liability – Spinoff of E&O for computer related issues – Evolving liability for privacy, viruses, etc Guy Carpenter 4 Why buy D&O? Litigation, Litigation, Litigation! Private Companies – Mostly Employment Litigation – Bondholders (if for profit) – More rarely Customers, Competitors or Regulators Public Companies – Same as Private – Shareholder Litigation – Even options speculators can sue for stock fraud – Usually have separate EPL policy But shareholder litigation leads to >90% of the cost of D&O Coverage for government fines is usually restricted. Guy Carpenter 5 Shareholder Litigation The Claims Security Class Action Lawsuits - Legal Standard What plaintiffs need to prove 1. Defendants made material misrepresentations or omissions 2. Defendants acted intentionally or recklessly, not simply in error 3. Misrepresentations pertained to the purchase or sale of securities 4. Plaintiffs relied on the representations (directly or indirectly via share price) 5. Plaintiffs suffered economic loss 6. The fraud caused this economic loss Interpretations have changed with laws and court rulings – PSLRA requires plaintiffs to show reliance on specific misrepresentations – Dura decision requires showing tying plaintiffs economic loss to the fraud, not merely that the fraud influenced the price. Guy Carpenter 7 Shareholder Litigation How much Litigation is there? Source: Stanford Law School Securities Class Action Clearinghouse Guy Carpenter 8 Shareholder Litigation Number of claims fairly steady – except when it isn’t… SCA Frequency by Filing Quarter (excl. laddering) 80 70 60 50 40 exAnalyst 30 20 ex-Subprime & Impairment 10 Guy Carpenter 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 96 0 9 Shareholder Litigation How many dollars are at stake? Since 1996, there have been hundreds of settlements: – More than 75 exceeding $100 Million. – Nine of more than $1 Billion – incl. Enron, Worldcom, Tyco Settlements usually come first from D&O coverage, but large settlements can exceed all available limits. These can involve cash & non-cash company contributions Larger cases can involve contributions by auditors Guy Carpenter 10 Shareholder Litigation What type of Allegations? Type of Allegation Accounting/Revenue Expectations/Future Results Mergers & Acquisitions / Offerings Options Backdating Inappropriate Conduct Subprime / ARS (Auction Rate) Madoff & Other Direct Fraud Other Grand Total 2006 33 31 14 21 5 0 2 12 118 Filing Year 2007 2008 30 34 75 68 13 6 8 3 5 4 29 91 2 9 13 3 175 218 2009* 18 49 7 0 12 67 25 4 183 * 2009 reflects claims through 9/4/2009, Annualized Guy Carpenter 11 Shareholder Litigation Focus of recent claims is shifting? Allegations Expectations/Future Results Accounting/Revenue Mergers & Acquisitions / Offerings Inappropriate Conduct Subprime (direct & passthrough) Subprime (indirect) Subprime (ARS & ARS-indirect) Subprime (Contrarian Fund) Madoff & other direct fraud Other Grand Total 2009Q1 7 5 1 2 6 16 2 9 1 49 2009Q2 7 2 2 3 2 9 1 6 2 34 2009Q3 19 5 2 3 3 1 3 2 2 Weak results Restatements Non-Accounting issues Lenders, Subprime/Alt-A Impaired Balance Sheets Funds didn't hedge 40 Initial 2009 claims often alleged balance sheet issues – mostly financial firms failing to reveal asset impairment. Recent claims are more likely to involve weak earnings – management “knew or should have known” that their earnings forecasts were unrealistic. Guy Carpenter 12 Shareholder Litigation Claims no longer center around finance Sector Basic Materials Capital Goods Conglomerates Consumer Goods Energy Financial Healthcare Services Technology Transportation Utilities Grand Total Finance Subtotal: Banks & Financial Insurance Mutual Funds Guy Carpenter 2006 2 4 09Q1 3 118 10 4 42 26 46 35 1 2 175 2008 8 7 2 12 5 109 23 19 28 2 3 218 5 8 1 29 11 1 91 12 5 26 4 2 9 2 14 19 27 39 2 2007 2 7 09Q2 1 09Q3 2 1 1 1 33 3 5 2 2 1 3 21 3 4 2 12 11 7 4 49 1 34 40 21 7 4 1 13 Shareholder Litigation Investor “Fear Index” calming down VIX - CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX 60 50 40 30 20 10 Jul-09 Apr-09 Jan-09 Oct-08 Jul-08 Apr-08 Jan-08 Oct-07 Jul-07 Apr-07 Jan-07 Source: Yahoo! Finance Guy Carpenter 14 Shareholder Litigation What’s new? The ultimate exposure may depend more on national priorities: •FDIC is now looking to tap D&O insurance on banks that it seized -Will test exclusions for Insured vs. Insured and regulatory actions •Regulators testing use of “Control Person” Liability - Avoids need to show involvement, knowledge or negligence •Political Climate is improving for defendants - “Financial” element of Recession is receding from news headlines - Shift from Financial Reform towards “Stimulus” & Health Care Reform Guy Carpenter 15 Impact on the Market US D&O Results for 2003-2006 look favorable – Rates contained sharp increases from the 2001-2003 period – Lower frequency in 2005-2006 – Options Backdating (06-07) had minimal effect – Mutual Fund Timing (03-04) had minimal effect (on D&O) Subprime claims arising from 2008 & late 2007 remain largely unsettled. – Auction Rate Securities claims may no longer be a major issue Guy Carpenter 16 Impact on the Market Steady pricing declines since 2003 put pressure on D&O results US Public D&O Rate levels Rate Level (PY 2003=1.00) 1.10 Financial Institutions 1.00 0.90 Commercial Risks 0.80 0.70 0.60 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 As Subprime spread, Financial rates began increasing in 2008. Commercial D&O seeing rate increases in 2009 Guy Carpenter 17 www.guycarp.com