An Introduction to Reserving and Financial Reporting Issues for Non-Traditional Reinsurance Casualty Loss Reserving Seminar September 14, 2004 Derek Jones, FCAS, MAAA Finite Re Basics Milliman Overview Customized deals to address specific issues of cedant Limited risk transferred by cedant Limited upside for reinsurer Milliman Common Uses Deferral of taxes Discounting Earnings stabilization Risk management Surplus protection Milliman Types of Deals Retroactive Adverse development cover Loss portfolio transfer Prospective Aggregate stop-loss Finite quota share Spread loss Milliman Loss Portfolio Transfer Covers prior written business Move reserves off balance sheet Premium = PV (reserves) + provision for potential adverse development Tends to cover smaller segments Milliman Adverse Development Cover Cedant retains portfolio Premium is based on potential for adverse development and related timing of future payments Tends to cover larger groupings of business than LPTs Milliman Aggregate Stop-Loss Stabilize earnings Typically multi-year deals Loss ratio corridor above plan ratio Fixed premium Milliman Finite Quota Share Primary benefit = surplus relief Differences from traditional QS Loss ratio cap Loss corridor Lower net cost Milliman Common Features Time value of money (via experience account) Cedant participation Sub-limits of liability Multiple years Cancellation, commutation provisions Milliman Reserving Issues Milliman Understand Deal Structure Line(s) of business, coverage type Limits, sub-limits for reinsurer Reinsurance or deposit accounting Loss reserve discounting Experience account Commutation provision Milliman Experience Account EAB = premium – margin – loss payments + interest credit What if EA is exhausted? Milliman Monitor Emergence Issue 1: temporary speed-up – Could exhaust EA too quickly Issue 2: actual > expected – – Initial estimate of nominal loss may be understated Under-reporting will delay triggering additional premium Milliman Interest Credit Based on risk-free rate (e.g., U.S. Treasury spot rates) Spread is larger for deals on a funds withheld basis Milliman Sensitivity Testing Both magnitude and timing of reinsurer payment are key Nominal loss amounts – – Retroactive: usually use more simplistic approach to produce range Prospective: stochastic simulation Use alternative payout patterns to evaluate impact of timing Milliman Bulk Reserves Law of large numbers doesn’t apply How is best estimate determined (mode, mean, confidence level)? Not commonly used in practice Milliman Financial Reporting Issues Milliman Type of Accounting Reinsurance treatment is based on SFAS 113 or SSAP 62 – – Reinsurer must assume significant risk It must be reasonably possible to realize a significant loss Deposit accounting is required unless both conditions are met Milliman Prospective vs. Retroactive Reinsurance The following exceptions should be treated as prospective reinsurance Structured settlements Novations Reduced participation in reinsurance treaties Intercompany agreements that do not produce gain in surplus Milliman Deposit Accounting No initial impact on balance sheet or income statement for cedant or reinsurer Emerges in financial statements as actual payments are made/received Note: deposit liabilities are not part of lines 1 or 3 on statutory balance sheet Milliman http://www.casact.org/pubs/forum/04fforum/ 04ff073.pdf derek.jones@milliman.com 646.473.3416