FSA 3321 (Moore-1) Exam 4 Summer 2009 Exam 4 - Finance 3321 (Moore) – Summer 2009 Section Time: ________ Name:______________________ Ethical conduct is an important component of any profession. The Texas Tech University Code of Student Conduct is in force during this exam. Students providing or accepting unauthorized assistance will be assigned a score of zero (0) for this piece of assessment. Using unauthorized materials during the exam will result in the same penalty. Ours’ should be a self-monitoring profession. It is the obligation of all students to report violations of the honor code in this course. By signing below, you are acknowledging that you have read the above statement and agree to abide by the stipulated terms. Student’s Signature: ______________________________ 1. Which of the following decreases free cash flows to the firm (both equity and debt)? a. An increase in net income b. An decrease in inventories c. An increase in dividends d. A decrease in accounts payable e. A decrease in Plant, Property and Equipment 2. Consider a company with the following: Value of debt is 200 with kd of 12%. Value of the firm is 600; ke is 18% and rf = 4% and T = 30%. The computed WACCBT would be: a. 4% b. 12% c. 14.8% d. 16% e. 18% 3. Which of the following is not an underlying assumption or consequence of AEG valuation models? a. Dividend policy irrelevance b. Convergence to equilibrium returns c. Measurement of direct and indirect wealth effect flows to shareholders from the firm d. Creation of shareholder wealth through changes in dividend policy 4. Assume a firm will pay its first dividend in 2 years. This initial period’s dividend is forecast to be $2.00 per share. Then, the dividend in year three is expected to be $2.50 and it will grow at 6% per year in perpetuity. Assume WACC = 12%; the cost of equity is 14%; the cost of debt is 8% and the risk-free rate is 5%. The best estimate the today’s share value using the discounted dividends method is: a. $24.05 b. $25.58 c. $31.25 d. $32.79 e. $34.58 Page 1 of 9 FSA 3321 (Moore-1) Exam 4 Summer 2009 5. Which is the only valuation model that explicitly takes into consideration the current characteristics and current tangible net worth of a company being valued? a. Discounted Dividends valuation b. Discounted Free Cash valuation c. Residual Income valuation d. Abnormal Earnings Growth (AEG) valuation e. Forward Price to Earnings multiple valuation 6. The present value (today) of the terminal perpetuity that begins in 11 years is $12,000,000 when the cost of capital is equal to 16%. The year 11 seed value to the perpetuity $13,763,677. What is the growth rate of the perpetuity? a. -20% b. -10% c. 5% d. 7% e. 9% 7. Assume the market return and risk-free rate remain unchanged. Which of the following must be true if the firm’s Beta suddenly changes from 1.8 to 0.9? a. The firms cost of equity decreases by 50% b. The firm’s cost of equity increases c. The WACC of the firm decreases d. The market value of the equity decreases e. The market risk premium decreases 8. Which is correct regarding the Abnormal Earnings Growth valuation model? a. Because the model incorporates cumulative dividend earnings, firms can create shareholder value by changing dividend policy. b. A firm that, on average, has earned more than its Ke has negative AEG. c. During periods when Residual Income is declining, AEG is positive for those periods. d. A firm with forecast earnings growth less than Ke will increase shareholder value by decreasing dividends. e. During periods when Residual Income is declining, AEG is negative for those periods. 9. Assume a firm’s revenues and net income are projected to grow by 12% per year into the foreseeable future. What terminal value growth rate is most appropriate for the free cash flow valuation model when WACC is 12%? a. -10% b. 0% c. 2% d. 7% e. 12% Page 2 of 9 FSA 3321 (Moore-1) Exam 4 Summer 2009 10. Assume a firm’s revenues and net income are projected to grow by 10% per year into the foreseeable future. What terminal value growth rate is most appropriate for the AEG valuation model? a. -30% b. 0% c. 5% d. 15% e. 40% 11. Old Reliable Manufacturing Company's stock has a book value of equity of $30 per share and the market’s assessment of its steady state return on equity is 20% per year. If its cost of equity capital is 14 percent and its book value is expected to grow at 11.6 percent per year indefinitely, what is the appropriate share price? a. $45.00 b. $65.00 c. $75.00 d. $105.00 e. $135.00 12. You have just computed the Beta of a stock to be 2.5 and the estimate of the relevant risk-free rate is 5%. The expected market return next period is 12% and your estimate of Ke is 23%. What is the appropriate long-run market risk premium? a. 7.0% b. 7.2% c. 7.5% d. 8.0% e. 9.0% Page 3 of 9 FSA 3321 (Moore-1) Exam 4 Summer 2009 Computation of Valuations Models Section Use the following summary financial statement information and forecasts provided by TTU Value-Metrics to answer the valuation questions in this section about Hi-Flyer Corp. which has a December 31 fiscal year end. (in thousands except per share data) Net Income Total Dividends Paid Book Value of Equity Total Liabilities CFFO CFFI Dividends Per Share Shares Outstanding (12/31/07) Cost of Equity Cost of Debt WACC(bt) Actual Estimated Estimated 2008 2009 2010 225,000 200,000 225,000 48,000 40,000 45,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 400,000 250,000 275,000 -250,000 -200,000 -250,000 0.48 0.40 0.45 100,000 0.14 0.08 0.11 Estimated 2011 275,000 50,000 350,000 -300,000 0.50 13. Using the above forecasts, determine the intrinsic value of High Flyer shares. Use the discounted dividends model; assume the forecast dividend payment in 2012 is $0.60 and that it will grow by 4% per year in perpetuity. The appropriate intrinsic value is: a. $1.03 b. $4.05 c. $5.08 d. $7.03 e. $8.95 14. (Sensitivity Analysis). You know that dividend growth rates are estimated with error. In the previous problem, the dividend growth perpetuity was assumed to be 4% per year. What would be the impact on share price if the growth rate were assumed to be 8% (all other information remains the same). a. $1.02 higher b. $1.50 higher c. $2.10 higher d. $2.31 higher e. $2.70 higher 15. (Time Consistent Prices). Assume the valuation date is May 1, 2009 and that you computed a share price in Problem 13 of $6.00 per share. What is the time consistent price that would be compared with the observed price on May 1, 2009. a. $5.73 b. $6.00 c. $6.27 d. $6.54 e. $6.91 Page 4 of 9 FSA 3321 (Moore-1) (in thousands except per share data) Net Income Total Dividends Paid Book Value of Equity Total Liabilities CFFO CFFI Dividends Per Share Shares Outstanding (12/31/07) Cost of Equity Cost of Debt WACC(bt) Exam 4 Summer 2009 Estimated Estimated Estimated Actual 2011 2010 2009 2008 275,000 225,000 200,000 225,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 48,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 350,000 275,000 250,000 400,000 -300,000 -250,000 -200,000 -250,000 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.48 100,000 0.14 0.08 0.11 16. (Free Cash Flow Valuation). Assume that free cash flow to the firm is forecast to be $60,000 in 2012 and that it is expected to grow by 5% per year thereafter. The estimated intrinsic value per share is (12/31/08): a. -$1.67 b. $0.00 c. $1.02 d. $7.31 e. $8.33 17. (Residual Income). Compute the book value of equity at the beginning of 2010. a. $1,660,000 b. $1,700,000 c. $1,840,000 d. $1,885,000 e. $2,065,000 18. (Residual Income Valuation). Compute the residual income for 2009. a. -$5,694 b. -$7,400 c. -$8,772 d. -$10,000 e. $0.00 19. (Residual Income Valuation). Compute the intrinsic value of Hi-Flyer’s shares at the end of 2008. Assume residual income will be $20,000 in 2012 (perpetuity start) with a growth rate in the perpetuity of -20% per year. a. $0.37 b. $12.69 c. $15.10 d. $15.37 e. $16.66 Page 5 of 9 FSA 3321 (Moore-1) (in thousands except per share data) Net Income Total Dividends Paid Book Value of Equity Total Liabilities CFFO CFFI Dividends Per Share Shares Outstanding (12/31/07) Cost of Equity Cost of Debt WACC(bt) Exam 4 Summer 2009 Estimated Estimated Estimated Actual 2011 2010 2009 2008 275,000 225,000 200,000 225,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 48,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 350,000 275,000 250,000 400,000 -300,000 -250,000 -200,000 -250,000 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.48 100,000 0.14 0.08 0.11 20. (Residual Income Valuation - sensitivity). Assume the residual income perpetuity in the previous problem was changed to a -50% growth rate. By how much will this change the estimated share price computed in the previous problem? a. $0.19 lower b. $0.19 higher c. $0.40 lower d. $0.40 higher e. $15.18 higher 21. (AEG Valuation). Compute the dividend reinvestment income (DRIP) for 2010. a. $5,600 b. $6,300 c. $6,720 d. $8,400 e. $9,595 22. (AEG Valuation). Compute the AEG for 2011. a. $1,300 b. $2,600 c. $6,720 d. $19,400 e. $24,800 23. (AEG Valuation). Assume that AEG is forecast to be $10,000 in 2011 with a growth rate of negative 30% per year, onwards. Estimate the intrinsic value of Hi-Flyer’s shares at the end of 2008. a. $16.72 b. $17.06 c. $18.07 d. $19.59 e. $20.66 Page 6 of 9 FSA 3321 (Moore-1) Exam 4 Summer 2009 24. Assume the AEG for Hi-Flyer is $2,600 in 2010. How much of the model’s market value of equity is created by the earnings in 2010? a. cannot be determined from the information provided b. $2,281 created c. $2,600 created d. $16,291 created e. $18,571 created End of Valuation Model Computation Section Use the following information to solve the following three (3) problems Valuation with P/EBITDA, P/B and PEG multiples (Questions 25-27) Sealed Air Corp. is a manufacturer of packaging materials that you are trying to value. Using the method of comparables, assess the value of Sealed Air. Information is provided concerning the current share price (PPS), forward earnings per share (EPS), the current book value of equity per share (BPS), EBITDA per share and the one-year ahead earnings growth rate for Sealed Air. and three of its listed competitors. Do not eliminate potential outliers in the following valuations. Sealed Air Corp Ball Corp PactIV Corp Crown Holdings PPS 32.91 51.54 34.68 24.69 EPS 1.74 3.54 1.84 1.37 BPS 11.01 11.64 6.22 <3.14> 25. Value Sealed Air using the Price to Book Ratio. a. $28.93 per share b. $34.39 per share c. $49.85 per share d. $55.07 per share e. $61.54 per share 26. Sealed Air Corp using the Price to EBITDA Ratio. a. $6.34 per share b. $17.04 per share c. $28.16 per share d. $30.61 per share e. $34.22 per share 27. Value Sealed Air Corp using the PEG Ratio. a. $30.37 per share b. $33.98 per share c. $35.87 per share d. $41.20 per share e. $42.46 per share Page 7 of 9 EBITDA 4.83 7.46 4.49 5.64 1 Year ahead Earnings Growth 13.2% 9.6% 12.0% 20.5% FSA 3321 (Moore-1) Exam 4 Summer 2009 28. Old Reliable Manufacturing Company's stock has a market price of $52.40 per share and a book value of $15 per share. You have estimated its steady state ROE to be 20 percent per year and its expected growth rate in book value (in perpetuity) is 12%. What cost of equity supports the current stock price? a. 10.15% b. 12.33% c. 13.82% d. 14.29% e. 16.48% Consider the following information for Questions 29 through 31: You have just estimated β for XYZ Corp. using the Capital Asset Pricing Model. Your regression results follow. In addition, you also have performed research on the 10-K to get the balance sheet information below. Your goal is to estimate the relevant costs of capital for XYZ Corp. Assume that last year’s market return was 12% and the 10-year Treasury had a yield of 5%. Also, you found the market risk premium over the last 3-years to be 7% and that interest rates are not expected to change in the next 4 years. The Market Cap is $250 million and the tax rate is 30% Estimation R 2 Balance Sheet (Millions) 2008 Total Assets 200 Period β 5-Year 2.00 35.25% 3-Year 1.50 18.45% Current Liabilities 30 4.00% 2-Year 1.30 28.55% Long Term Liabilities Long-term Debt 30 8.00% Pension Liabilities Capital Leases Book Value of Equity 40 20 80 9.00% 12.00% Published β 1.40 29. Based on your analysis, compute the appropriate estimate of the cost of equity. a. 13.1% b. 14.1% c. 14.8% d. 19.0% 30. a. b. c. d. Compute the Before-Tax weighted average cost of debt 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% a. b. c. d. Compute the Before Tax Weighted average cost of capital. 10.9% 12.8% 14.6% 15.4% 31. Average Interest Rate Page 8 of 9 FSA 3321 (Moore-1) Exam 4 Summer 2009 Use the following Regression Output for Problems 32-33 This is the regression output for estimating Beta using CAPM. SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations Coefficients 0.079 1.30 Intercept X Variable 1 32. Standard Error 0.009 0.360 t Stat P-value Lower 95% 0.973 0.334 0.059 2.673 0.998 0.582 Upper 95% 0.09 2.02 Compute the upper and lower bounds on the cost of equity (95% confidence level). Use the information from problems 29-31 and the regression output above. a. b. c. d. e. 33. 0.2145 0.3603 0.3285 0.7152 60 4.63% 9.07% 9.07% 9.07% 4.63% < < < < < k k k k k < < < < < 10.86% 14.10% 10.81% 19.14% 19.14% What percentage of the firm’s return variability is explained by the systematic risk component? a. b. c. d. e. 21.45% 32.85% 36.03% 63.97% 67.15% Page 9 of 9