Objectives and structure of the
workshop
Purpose
• Transfer results of the recent vulnerability
assessment
• Answer the question: how could climate
change affect national plans for fisheries and
aquaculture?
• Identify priority adaptations to reduce risks
and capitalize on opportunities
Background documents
Background documents
National plans
• Maximise economic benefits from tuna
• Provide fresh fish at low cost for a growing
population
• Create more livelihoods based on fisheries
and aquaculture
The challenge for food security
Fish needed for good nutrition (35 kg per person per year)
The challenge for food security
Fish needed for traditional levels of food security
?
?
?
?
0
2
4
6
8
10
Fish needed for food (tonnes x 1000)
12
14
What we will discuss
Projected changes to
atmospheric and oceanic
conditions
Ecosystems supporting fish
Fish stocks/aquaculture species
Implications for economic
development, food security and
livelihoods
Adaptations and policies to reduce
threats and capitalise on
opportunities
Climate change scenarios
Global emissions
are tracking
above A2
scenario
A2 (High)
B1 (Low)
Year
2035
2050
2100
Vulnerability framework
• For effects of projected changes on fish
habitats, fish stocks and aquaculture species
Likelihood and confidence
Probability that
a projection will
occur based on
expert opinion
Scientific
understanding
in support of a
conclusion
The programme – how we will work
Session 2: Understanding projected changes to surface climate and the ocean
11h00
Observed and projected changes to surface climate
11h20
Observed and projected changes to the ocean
11h40
Breakout groups to discuss the ocean Part 1
Discussion points - breakout groups
• What did you find most interesting about the talk?
• Is there anything you did not understand clearly?
• What connection can you see to your work or
livelihood?
The programme – important task
Day 2
COFFEE & TEA: 15h00 – 15h30
11h00
Working groups to identify priority adaptations
Enjoy the workshop!