Objectives and structure of the workshop Purpose • Transfer results of the recent vulnerability assessment • Answer the question: how could climate change affect national plans for fisheries? • Identify priority adaptations to reduce risks and capitalise on opportuntiies Background documents Supported by AusAID Background documents National plans • Maximise economic benefits from tuna • Provide fresh fish at low cost for a growing population • Create more livelihoods based on fisheries and aquaculture The challenge for food security Fish needed for good nutrition (35 kg per person per year) 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 Fish needed for food security (x 1000 tonnes) 1.2 The challenge for food security Fish needed for good nutrition (35 kg per person per year) Tuna Reef fish /inverts Aquaculture 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 Fish needed for food security (x 1000 tonnes) 1.2 What we will discuss Projected changes to atmospheric and oceanic conditions Ecosystems supporting fish Fish stocks/aquaculture species Implications for economic development, food security and livelihoods Adaptations and policies to reduce threats and capitalise on opportunities Climate change scenarios Global emissions are tracking above A2 scenario A2 (High) B1 (Low) Year 2035 2050 2100 Vulnerability framework • For effects of projected changes on fish habitats, fish stocks and aquaculture species Likelihood and confidence Probability that a projection will occur based on expert opinion Scientific understanding in support of a conclusion The programme – how we will work Session 2: Understanding projected changes to surface climate and the ocean 10h30 Observed and projected changes to surface climate 10h50 Observed and projected changes to the ocean 11h20 Breakout groups to discuss changes to the climate and ocean Discussion points - breakout groups • What did you find most interesting about the talk? • Is there anything you did not understand clearly? • What connection can you see to your work or livelihood? The programme – last task COFFEE & TEA: 15h00 – 15h30 Understanding projected changes to tuna resources for Nauru 15h30 Projected changes to tuna resources 15h50 Adaptations to maximise opportunities and minimise risks 16h10 Breakout groups to discuss changes to tuna and list adaptations Enjoy the workshop!