Shadow Banking in Advanced and Emerging Market Economies: Need for Better Regulation

advertisement

Shadow Banking in Advanced and Emerging

Market Economies: Need for Better

Regulation

T. Sabri Öncü

What is shadow banking?

Paul McCulley at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jackson Hole

Economic Symposium in 2007 defined it as: the whole alphabet soup of levered up non-bank investment conduits, vehicles, and structures.

D’Arista and Schlesinger (1993) called it the parallel banking system and defined it as:

Over the last two decades, the US system has been reshaped by the spread of multifunctional financial conglomerates and the emergence of an unregulated parallel banking system. Along with other powerful trends like securitization, these events have broken down the carefully compartmentalized credit and capital marketplace established in New

Deal legislation 60 years ago… Today, a variety of unregulated financial intermediaries operate on the fringes of the financial system .

2

What is shadow banking?

A shadow banking system conducts maturity, credit and liquidity transformation

outside the traditional banking. Thus, not only is shadow banking usually (but not always) less regulated than the traditional banking system, there is also no explicit access to central bank liquidity or public sector credit guarantees.

A shadow banking system decomposes the process of credit intermediation into a

sequence of discrete operations. Therefore, it can be a collection not only of single financial entities acting independently, but also of (and usually is) networks of

multiple financial entities acting together: banks, formal and informal non-bank financial institutions, and even credit rating agencies, regulators and governments.

A shadow banking system is highly leveraged. Further, while its assets are risky and illiquid, its liabilities are prone to “bank runs”.

3

FSB definitions of shadow banking (2011)

Broad definition:

The “shadow banking system” can broadly be described as “credit intermediation involving entities and activities outside the regular banking system ”.

Narrow definition:

A system of credit intermediation that involves entities and activities outside the regular banking system , and raises and/or

i) systemic risk concerns, in particular by maturity/liquidity transformation, leverage and flawed credit risk transfer,

ii) regulatory arbitrage concerns.

4

Two problems with the FSB definitions

Both definitions implicitly assume that banks are credit intermediaries.

But banks are not credit intermediaries .

They are in the business of financing through money creation . Consequently, banks (which are money creators) and NBFIs (which are credit intermediaries) should be regulated differently.

Both definitions implicitly leave the banks out. However, any shadow banking system is essentially a network financial institutions which include banks . Many shadow banking activities are there to circumvent banking regulations , and are therefore a form of regulatory arbitrage , that is, a form of financial engineering through which firms capitalize on loopholes in regulatory systems in order to circumvent unfavourable regulation.

5

When Banking was Boring

Bank Balance Sheet

Assets Liabilities

Loans Deposits

Capital

6

When Banking was Still Boring: Securitization

Bank Balance Sheet

Assets Liabilities

Loans

Deposits

Capital

Loans

Special Purpose Vehicle

Assets Liabilities

Equity

(Asset-Backed Securities)

7

Banking gets Exciting – First Kind

Bank Balance Sheet

Assets Liabilities

Guarantees

Loans

Deposits

Capital

Conduit

Assets Liabilities

Loans Debt

(Asset-Backed Commercial Paper)

8

Banking gets Exciting – Second Kind

Bank Balance Sheet

Assets Liabilities

Loans Deposits

Capital

Special Purpose Vehicle

Assets Liabilities

Credit Rating Agencies

AAA

BB

NR

Loans Asset-Backed Securities

9

Banking gets Exciting – Third Kind

Bank Balance Sheet

Assets Liabilities

Loans

Deposits

Capital

Credit Default Swaps

+

Guarantees

Special Purpose Vehicle

Assets Liabilities

Fannie Mae - Freddy Mac

AIG

Bond Insurers

Loans Asset-Backed Securities

10

FSB broad data

Broad data from 2002 to 2014 for 26 jurisdictions and the euro area as a whole.

Advanced Economies: Australia, Canada, Euro Area, France,

Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Netherlands,

Singapore, Spain, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States.

Emerging Market Economies: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, China,

India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa,

Turkey.

For nonbank financial institutions ( NBFI s) broken down to pension funds ( PF s), insurance companies ( IC s) and other financial institutions

( OFI s)

11

FSB narrow data

Narrow data from 2010 to 2014 based on this classification.

Table 1. The FSB Classification of Shadow Banks by Economic Functions

Economic Function Definition

EF1

Management of collective investment vehicles with features that make them susceptible to runs

Typical Entity Types

Fixed income funds, mixed funds, credit hedge funds, real estate funds

EF2

Loan provision that is dependent on shortterm funding

Finance companies, leasing companies, factoring companies, consumer credit companies

EF3

Intermediation of market activities that is dependent on short-term funding or on secured funding of client assets

Broker-dealers

EF4 Facilitation of credit creation

Credit insurance companies, financial guarantors, monolines

EF5

Securitisation-based credit intermediation and funding of financial entities

Securitisation vehicles

12

Financial Assets of Banks, NBFIs and OFIs

170

140

110

80

50

20

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Banks

2007 2008

NBFIs

2009 2010

OFIs

2011 2012 2013 2014

13

Credit by Banks

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Loans+Bonds

2008 2009

Loans

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

14

Credit by NBFIs

30

25

20

15

10

5

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Loans+Bonds (OFIs) Loans (OFIs) Loans+Bonds (PFs&ICs)

15

Shadow Banks in the AE and EME

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

2010 2011 2012

AE EME

2013 2014

16

Regional Distribution of Shadow Banks

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

2010 2011

North America

2012

Europe & United Kingdom

2013

Other Regions

2014

17

Shadow Banks in the AE

15

12

9

6

3

0

2010

United States

2011

United Kingdom

2012

Germany Ireland

2013

France

2014

Other AE

18

Shadow Banks in the EME

3 000

2 500

2 000

1 500

1 000

500

0

2010 2011 2012

Brazil China India Mexico Other EME

2013 2014

19

Shadow Banks in Top Five Economies as of 2014

9

6

3

0

15

12

2010 2011 2012

United States China Japan

2013

Germany United Kingdom

2014

20

Download