2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 The role of emotions in customer buying decisions: An analysis of Telecommunication Industry, Sri Lanka. Pradeep Randiwela p_randiwela@yahoo.co.uk University of Colombo-Sri Lanka Tharanga S. Widanachchi tharangasw@gmail.com July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 1 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 ABSTRACT Emotions perform different functions and operate at different levels under various stages of customer decision making. As those are often represented in subtle, complex ways and diverse range of other techniques, with a better understanding on marketing triggers that makes the purchase decision, obviously will lead towards productive action and more eager customers. The respective study targets towards analyzing the role of emotions in customer buying process in the Telecommunication industry while focusing on the real time customer feedback. The overall process scans and quantifies the emotional states of customers on their purchase decisions and determines the level of influence that each state has contributed to the scenario given the industry. The main objective of this study is to assess the rate of influence generated via different emotional states and to classify them based on their gravity at buying decisions. This will ultimately provide a broad image about the emotional influence generated targeting the industry of the country as a whole and will guide each player in the arena with an attractive source of market intelligence in achieving their strategic marketing goals. In carrying out the study online social media sources of five giant Telco players in the market has been selected and posts were extracted from those sources with a balance. Emotion mining software has been used for classifying and weighing the customer reviews in its essence while examining the polarity of the respective opinions as to generate the real time scenario. INTRODUCTION Emotions exert and exceptionally powerful force on human behaviour. Strong emotions can cause actions that someone might not normally perform, or avoid situations that generally enjoy. In psychology, emotion is described as a complex state of feeling that results in physical and July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 2 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 psychological changes which influences the thought and behaviour. It carries more weight than reason for most of the actions and they are about gut reaction and influence the cause and effect. Therefore emotions play the role of motivator and can be identified as the root of motivation. Everything that happens has a considerable relationship with the emotion and holds a giant share in the event of buying. It can be the most supportive lever for any type of business environment with a clear understanding of the real scenario of emotion in the current market place. In assessing the role of emotion within any particular industry, the social media sources such as “twitter”, “facebook”, etc., hold a key position in capturing the genuine feedback of the market. Using emotion mining tools and other statistical mechanisms, emotions can be measured, which illustrate how people feel about a brand. This can be the starting point of the journey of finding ways to manage each marketing attempts for any type of scenario. This also a measurement of the companies target towards what they need to deliver and what has been captured by the end consumer in a psychological way. The emotional categories and their roles in the market arena, therefore makes the biggest impact to the success of any kind of brand in the market and also determines its position in the industry. Therefore it is vital to observe and understand the emotions of the market place towards the respective industry which could help with long and short term communications and build up their ethics in practice. Sri Lanka’s Telecommunication industry is one of the most competitive markets in the region with several operators competing for a total addressable population of 21.7 million. This makes the arena most hard and vulnerable for any kind of player as emotions itself makes a key risk to Telecom operators in the country. Therefore in fulfilling the gap of market knowledge with the help of social media data sources and with all the background stuff in hand, July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 3 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 this respective study focuses on the role of emotions in the customer buying decisions with regards to the Telecommunication industry of Sri Lanka. Research Objectives a. To assess the rate of influence generated via different emotional states with regards to the Telecommunication Industry, Sri Lanka b. To come up with a growing model based on their gravity at buying decisions REVIEW OF LITERATURE Emotion as well its role in the industry has been extracted and prioritized in the existing marketing arena where the result would be the key turning point for any type of market oriented attempts within the given industry. In backing up the studies carried out on this subject area, various researchers has come up with different set of theories and explanations which lays a strong foundation for this respective study. In general, physiological theories suggest that responses within the body are responsible for emotions while the neurological theories argue that activity within the brain leads to emotional responses. Whereas according to the cognitive theories, thoughts and other mental activities play an essential role in the formation of emotions. According to the James-Lang theory of emotion proposed by famous psychologists, James and Lange, (1884), emotions occur as a result of physiological reactions to the events. As per the theory, external stimulus leads towards a physiological reaction and emotional reaction is dependent upon the way that someone interprets those physical reactions. In contributing to the emotional theories, Canon and Bard, (1920), has introduced a psychological explanation of emotion through their Cannon-Bard theory of emotion while challenging the James-Lang theory July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 4 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 of emotion. According to the creators the theory states that it stimulus that we react and experience the associated emotion at the same time. It is suggested that emotions result when the thalamus sends a message to the brain in response to a stimulus, resulting in a physiological reaction according to their further explanations. Furthermore, when discussing about theories of emotion, Schachter-Singer theory or the two factor theory explains the cognitive theory of emotion. According to the researchers, Schachter and Singer, (1962), the physiological arousal occurs first and then the individual must identify the reason behind this arousal in order to experience and label it as an emotion. Along with the identification of emotion theories the need of having a better classification of emotions also aroused. It made the task of researchers difficult as that the experiences are so complex and involve so many different factors, so distinguishing one emotion from another is a lot like drawing lines of sand in the desert. It can be hard to determine where one emotion ends or another begins. In addition, each individual experience is often comprised of multiple emotions at once, which add another dimension of complexity to the respective emotional experience. Despite of the difficulty, psychologists have attempted to come up with more depth theories on emotion classifications during the past period. Among the set of leading and well established theories, Ekman, (1977), invented his list of basic emotions after doing research on many different cultures. Across all cultures studied, Ekman found six basic emotions; namely “Anger”, “Disgust”, “Fear”, “Happiness”, “Sadness” and “Surprise”. Ekman has added some further set of emotions types to the already published list in the 1990s including “Amusement”, “Contempt”, “Contentment”, “Embarrassment”, July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 5 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 “Excitement”, “Guilt”, “Pride in achievement”, “Relief”, “Satisfaction”, “Sensory pleasure” and “Shame” By adding another dimension to the study area, another famous researcher Plutchik, (1980), has created a new conception of emotions. According to the researcher, it is being called as the “wheel of emotions” because it demonstrated how different emotions can blend into one another and create new emotions. Plutchik first suggested eight primary bipolar emotions: joy versus sadness; anger versus fear; trust versus disgust; and surprise versus anticipation. There, Plutchik identified more advanced emotions based on their differences in intensities. The “Parrots theory of emotion” in 2001 is also a challenging result for the existing in the arena and it has been recognized as the most nuanced classification of emotions. In weighing the literature in a comparable manner, it can be clearly extracted that there is a lot of disparity on how researchers choose to group different emotions. Therefore there is a sequence of research works to be done in order to dig the knowhow related to the subject area, while clearly covering all the scenarios. RESEARCH METHOD Research Design The study is organized in a way that the results can be captured through a depth analysis where they can be measured via different angels. This respective design encourages the research outcomes to be organized in a manner that they depict the actual scenario in the selected research arena. While practising the primary data collection method, the planned survey was carried out based on the social media sources of five giant Telco players in the country. This rescues the need of having an unbiased as well as the genuine data source targeting the ultimate reliability of July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 6 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 the study. Identification of the gravity of customer emotions towards the Telco industry will then no longer be dependable as the inputs are from general public who are voluntarily expressing and sharing their views with regards to the industry as a whole. Variable identification The respective study is based on two separate assessment path ways including assessing the polarity and valuing the emotion categories in order to identify its role in the industry. Therefore through comprehensive analysis on the leading emotion classification theories, the classification of basic emotions by Ekman, P has been selected as the most spirited categorization of emotions in order to carry out the study in the most fruitful manner. As a further extension to the Ekmans’ model “Anticipation” factor also has been taken out from the wheel of emotions explained by Pultchik, R and has been amended to the model in conducting the research. Figure 1, depicts the conceptual framework used for this respective study. Figure 1: Conceptual Framework July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 7 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Sample Selection The research employs the non-probability sampling in carrying out the study and therefore purposive sampling has been used for this research as the sampling method. Though there are several players in the Telecommunication industry in Sri Lanka, the most leading five companies were chosen for the study as they holds the majority of the share in the market, considering as a whole. Through the social media pages of the selected Telco players, customer write-ups and comments were extracted within a period of four months in a sequential manner, without judging or manipulating the message that each respective write-up delivers. Among the collected sample of 726 write-ups 533 write-ups were chosen for the study by judging the relevancy of each writeup towards the Telco industry. There the judgmental sampling method has also been merged into the purposive sampling method, considering the requirement. Data Analysis In analysing the data two approaches has been practised as to get the real outcome of the study. As the first approach the data sample has been distributed among four carefully selected annotators for evaluations (used as the training survey) according to their expert opinions. Along with the first approach the study has used widely used emotion analysis software, “SentiStrength” (Thelwall et al. 2010) classifier. This was built especially to cope with sentiment detection in short informal text and combines a lexicon-based approach with more sophisticated linguistic rules. The same data set has been fed into the software and received the result of the second approach of the respective study. In SentiStrength, it detects the positive and negative emotion in write-ups and develops workarounds for lack of grammar and spelling while July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 8 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 harnessing emotion expression and classifies each comment as positive (1-5) AND negative (15) scale with 1 denoting no sentiment and 5 denoting high sentiment value. In summing up the data analysis work from two path ways; the outcomes of the training survey has been analysed using mean, standard deviation and one-way ANOVA evaluations. Whereas the respective data set was carefully compared with the outcome of the emotion mining software, “SentiStrength” in justifying the answers in more reliable manner. This study also covers a comprehensive percentage analysis on each factor to elaborate the scenario in a very much descriptive manner. DISCUSSION Based on the thorough statistical analysis conducted on research data, the polarity of the emotion in customer buying can be expressed via two separate approaches. Below includes the outcomes via the training survey as well as through SentiStrength, by analysing their final evaluations as a whole. Figure 2: Emotional polarity distribution July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK Figure 3: Emotional polarity summary 9 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 The above results generated through SentiStrength depicts that the role of emotion in customer buying shows a significant biasness towards the positive polarity. When comparing the outcome with the training survey obtained from four different annotators, it draws the reliable conclusion as that those results justify the outcomes of SentiStrength with a strong statistical backing up for the respective result. Error! No text of specified style in document. Table 1: Descriptive Statistics Variable Mean Happy 233.25 Surprise Anticipation Fear Sadness Anger Disgust StDev 24.55 46.00 134.00 14.50 104.00 108.00 121.00 18.83 32.73 12.97 32.78 46.64 55.92 According to the above statistics generated via training survey, the study discloses the positive polarity of emotions in customer buying with reference to the Telco industry in Sri Lanka. With a mean value of 233.25 “happy” holds the highest position in emotion classification while other positive range variables supports the result by strengthening the result furthermore. In-order to establish the above findings in a more statistically reliable way the one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) test has been applied to the scenario. It allows in determining if one variable has a significant effect on any other variable in the emotion classification, under the study. Table 2: One-way ANOVA test Source DF July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK SS MS F Factor 7 153606 21944 20.40 Error 24 25813 1076 Total 31 179419 P 0.000 10 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 A significantly low p-value of “0” with a 95% confidence interval resulting from a one-way ANOVA test indicates that there is a significant difference between the outcomes retrieved with regards to different variables of the emotion classification model used. Therefore the ultimate result can be taken as reliable for a sustainable conclusion. In assessing the rate of influence generated via different emotional states in the used classification, below illustrates their gravity at buying decisions. Table 3: Gravity of emotional states at buying decisions Emotion Happy Surprise Anticipation Fear Sadness Anger Disgust Average of emotion instances found in 533 write-ups 233.25 46 134 14.5 104 108 121 43.76 8.63 25.14 2.72 19.51 20.26 22.70 Percentage (%) Accordingly, the emotion states belong to positive polarity leads the classification although with a considerable attraction towards “Disgust”, “Anger” and “Sadness” statuses. The “Fear” and “Surprise” hold the least positions from the two respective polarity groups where a crucial marketing point lies. Although the polarity level is attracted towards positivity, the “Surprise” factor would gain much advantage in the industry in a competitive market arena, and therefore should be looked after carefully. CONCLUSION Emotion itself plays a giant role in any given scenario as all human acts based upon a certain kind of emotional influence. Therefore, any of the strategic marketing attempts by particular player in a given industry would definitely have a biggest impact from those emotional decisions of the ultimate customer. This made the urgency of obtaining a carefully assessed as well as a reliable identification on the role of emotions in customer buying decisions with regards to the July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 11 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Telecommunication Industry, Sri Lanka, considering the tight competitive environment and the limited market share. The study reveals that generally, there is a positive emotional locale towards the Telco industry of Sri Lanka where, a considerable tendency towards “Disgust”, “Anger” and “Sadness” and “Fear” also exists in the atmosphere. Although the “Happiness” dominates the research outcome, still there is a considerable portion of “anticipation” also present in the environment inviting the giants to think out of the ladder in their service delivery. Along the way, by showing another side of the coin, the “Surprise” variable has a comparably less value in the emotion classification. This is generating an alarm towards the players in getting the best marketing advantage which the outcome delivers silently. Analysing the role of emotion in customer buying decisions itself is a controversial topic as measuring the level of influence generated via different emotional variables is a tough task by its every mean. Although the chosen data source; the social media pages, delivers a real time genuine feedback, it is critical to get the real emotional picture at it every essence. 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