PUBLICATIONS
‘Kyrgyzstan: Tragedy in the South,’ (together with Igor Savin and Bahrom Faizullaev), Ethnopolitics
Papers, Exeter Centre for Ethnopolitical Studies/ Specialist Group Ethnopolitics of the UK Political
Studies Association, no. 17, April 2012 http://www.ethnopolitics.org/ethnopoliticspapers/ethnopoliticspapers--volume02--2011.htm
North Caucasus: Views from Within. People’s perspectives on peace and security, Saferworld,
London, 2012,
http://www.saferworld.org.uk/downloads/pubdocs/North%20Caucasus%20PPP%20English%20revise
d.pdf
‘Violence in Kyrgyzstan, vacuum in the region: the case for Russia-EU joint crisis management,’
London School of Economics, Civil Society & Human Security Research Unit
Working Paper, December 2011, WP 02.11,
http://www2.lse.ac.uk/internationalDevelopment/research/CSHS/pdfs/workingPapers/violenceInKyrg
ystan.pdf
‘Tajikistan: DDR in the Context of Authoritarian Peace’ in Antonio Giustozzi (ed.) DDR bringing the
state back in, Ashgate Publishing, 2012 (forthcoming).
‘The North Caucasus and Challenges of Minority Governance,’ in Oleh Protsyk, Benedikt Harzl
(eds.), Managing Ethnic Diversity in Russia, Routledge, 2012 (forthcoming).
‘Kyrgyzstan: balancing on the verge of stability,’ EU-Central Asia Monitor, CEPS/ FRIDE, July
2011.
‘Kyrgyzstan in Crisis: Permanent Revolution and the Curse of Nationalism,’ Working Paper no. 79,
Crisis States Research Centre, London School of Economics, September 2010
http://www.crisisstates.com/download/wp/wpSeries2/WP79.2.pdf
‘Security Sector Reform in Tajikistan’, in ‘Security Sector Reform in Central Asia,’ European Centre
for Security Studies, the Netherlands, February 2010.
‘Tajikistan: Revolutionary Situation or a Resilient State?’ EUCAM Policy Brief, December 2009.
‘Legitimising Authoritarian States in Central Asia: Political Manipulation and Symbolic Power,’
Europe – Asia Studies, September 2009, also published as a book chapter in Symbolism and Power in
Central Asia: Politics of the Spectacular, Sally N. Cummings (ed.), London and New York:
Routledge, 2010.
‘Tajikistan: Stability First,’ Taiwan Journal of Democracy, July 2009,
http://www.tfd.org.tw/english/tjd.php .
‘Judicial Capacity-Building in the Kyrgyz Republic,’ EBRD/ IDLO, external evaluation report, May
2009, http://www.ebrd.com/country/sector/law/judicial/projects/
‘The Perils of Emerging Statehood: civil war and state reconstruction in Tajikistan,’ Working Paper
no: 46 (series 2), Crisis States Research Centre, London School of Economics, March 2009,
http://www.crisisstates.com/Publications/wp/WP46.2.htm .
‘The SCO: a Regional Organisation in the Making’, Regional and Global Axes of Conflict, Working
Paper no. 39, series 2, Crisis States Research Centre, London School of Economics, 2008,
http://www.crisisstates.com/download/wp/wpSeries2/wp39.2.pdf
‘Exporting Civil Society: The Post-Communist Experience”, Problems of Post-Communism, vol. 55,
no. 2, March – April 2008, pp. 3 – 13.
‘Donor Approaches to Aid in the Caucasus and Central Asia’, in Korhonen, A. and Lehrer, D. (eds)
(2008, forthcoming) Western Aid in Postcommunism: Effects and Side-Effects (Basingstoke,
Palgrave).
‘Conflicts in the Wider Black Sea area’, in Daniel Hamilton and Gerhard Mangott (ed.), (2008) The
Wider Black Sea Region in the 21st Century: Strategic, Economic and Energy Perspectives,
(Washington DC, The Johns Hopkins University/ Austrian Institute for International Affairs), pp. 177
- 224.
‘Gender Aspects of Conflict Prevention and Post-Conflict Peacebuilding’, UNDP Newsletter,
London, no. 8, 2007.
‘Russia’s Policy in Central Asia’, Ost-Europa, Berlin, September 2007 (in German).
‘Chechnya: Dynamics of War and Peace’, Problems of Post-Communism, vol. 54, no. 3, May/June
2007, pp. 3 - 15.
‘Regionalist Project in Central Asia’, Working Paper no. 13, Series 2, Crisis States Research Centre,
London School of Economics, March 2007.
‘Tajikistan: Peace Secured, but is this the State of our Dreams?’, in Michael Lund & Howard Wolpe
(eds.) Catalytic Engagement: Leadership Networks for Transforming Intra-state Conflicts (provisional
title), project of Woodrow Wilson International Center ‘Preventing and Rebuilding Failed States’,
forthcoming.
'Return to Heartland: Russia’s Policy in Central Asia', The International Spectator, vol. 42, no. 1,
March 2007, pp. 43 - 62.
‘Central Asia and the Caucasus: a Vulnerable Crescent’, Coping with Crisis Working Paper Series,
together with Thomas de Waal, New York: International Peace Academy, February 2007.
‘Turkmenistan: After the Father’, The World Today, February 2007.
EU Stakes in Central Asia, Chaillot Paper no. 91, EU Institute for Security Studies, Paris, July 2006,
125 pp. http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/cp091.pdf
Early Warning and Early Response: Conceptual and Empirical Dilemmas, Issues Paper, Global
Partnership for Prevention of Armed Conflict, ECCP: The Hague, September 2006, 62 pp.
‘Environmental Indicators in Conflict Early Warning Systems’, Report of the Environment and
Security Initiative, UNDP/ UNEP/ OSCE/ NATO, Bratislava, 2006.
‘Violent Valleys: Islam Threatens Corrupt Secularism’, in The World Today, vol. 61, no.7, July 2006.
Central Asia: a Strategic Framework for Peacebuilding, International Alert: London, 2006, 83 pp.
http://www.international-alert.org/publications/242.php
‘International Actors and the Conflict in Chechnya’, in Krummenacher, Heinz & Grunenfelder, Rita
(eds), Searching for Peace in Chechnya, Bern: Swisspeace, 2006.
‘The spread of jihadism in Central Asia’, Jane's Islamic Affairs Analyst, no. 62, December 2005.
‘Tajikistan: Evolution of the Security Sector and the War on Terror’, in Ebnöther, Anja, Ernst M.
Felberbauer and Martin Malek (eds.), Facing the Terrorist Challenge - Central Asia's Role in Regional
and International Co-operation, Vienna and Geneva: DCAF, 2005
http://www.dcaf.ch/publications/kms/details.cfm?ord279=title&q279=Facing&lng=en&id=19650&na
v1=5
‘Conflicts in Dagestan and their Cross-Border Implications’, in Moshe Gammer (ed.), Two Flanks of
the Caspian: an Ancient Area with New Importance, Frank Cass, 2003.
‘Macedonia: Guns, Policing and Ethnic Division’, Saferworld: London, 2003
‘Russia and USA increase their influence in Georgia’, Jane’s Intelligence Review, vol. 15, no. 5, May
2003.
‘The Kosovo Serbs: An Ethnic Minority between Collaboration and Defiance’, with W-C Paes,
Saferworld: London, 2003.
The Caucasus: Armed and Divided (co-ed. with Duncan Hiscock), Saferworld: London, 2003, 169 pp.
‘Javakheti, Georgia: Why Conflict Prevention? ’, in C. Sriram & K. Wermester (eds.), From Promise
to Practice: Strengthening UN Capacities for the Prevention of Violent Conflict, Lynne Rienner,
Boulder, project of the International Peace Academy, March 2003.
The South Caucasus: Nationalism, Conflict and Minorities, Minority Rights Group International,
London, 2002, 51 pp.
‘In the Maze of its Making: Situation of Serb minority in Kosovo’, with W-C. Paes, World Today,
vol. 58, no. 7, July 2002.
Chapters on Conflict Prevention and Peacebuilding in Russia (regional introduction and cases of
Dagestan, Chechnya and Ossetia/Ingushetia) and in the South Caucasus (Georgia and Nagorno
Karabakh), in P. Tongeren, H Veen & J. Verhoeven (eds.), Searching for Peace in Europe & Eurasia,
European Centre for Conflict Prevention, Lynne Rienner, Boulder, 2002, pp. 341 – 402 & pp. 416 468.
‘Russia’s Pull Drags Javakheti away from Georgia’s Orbit’, Jane’s Intelligence Review, vol. 13, no. 7,
July 2001.
‘Territorial Claims in the Caucasus’ in M. Pratt and J. A. Brown (eds.), Borderlands Under Stress,
Kluwer Law International: London, 2000.
‘Chechnya: Missed Opportunities’, New Routes, no. 1-2, October 2000, Life & Peace Institute
(Uppsala)
‘Brave Explorers Required: the Caspian Sea Basin’, Accountancy International, March 2000.
‘Something in the Air: the Economic Policies of the Kremlin’s Mr. X’, FT Energy Economist, no.219,
January 2000.
‘Caucasus NGOs Find New Roles’, Give & Take, vol.3, no.1, Spring 2000.
‘Mapping Local Capacities in the Conflicts in South Caucasus’, EastWest Institute/FEWER, 2000.
‘The North Caucasus: the Russian Inner Abroad’, in Borderlands in Transition, Moscow: Moscow
Carnegie Center (in Russian), 2000.
The North Caucasus: Russia’s Fragile Borderland, Chatham House Paper, London: RIIA, 1999, 97
pp.
‘Democratisation, Legitimacy and Political Change in Central Asia’, in International Affairs, Vol.75,
no.1, January 1999, pp. 23 – 44.
'Chechnya in the North Caucasus: how much is it an exception to a rule?’ in Dmitrii Furman (ed.)
Chechnya i Rossiya: obshchestva i gosudarstva // Chechnia, Moscow: Polinform-Talburi, 1999, pp.
372 – 398 (in Russian).
‘A New Breed of Godfathers’, New Statesman, 8 November 1999.
‘Russia’s Parliamentary Elections & Energy’, FT Energy Economist, no. 217, Nov 1999.
The North Caucasus: Analysis of Current Issues, UNHCR Centre for Documentation and Research,
WRITENET Research Paper No. 17, 1999.
‘Caucasus in Flame’, World Today, vol. 55, no. 10, October 1999.
‘Islamist Challenge in Post Soviet Eurasia", in Lena Jonson and Murad Esenov (eds.), Political Islam
and Conflicts in Russia and Central Asia, Stockholm: Swedish Institute of International Affairs, 1999;
the same article in Russian in Tsentral’naya Azia i Kavkaz (Sweden), no.4 (5), 1999, pp. 96 – 101.
‘Russia: In Search of Enthusiasts’, World Today, vol. 55, no. 6, June 1999.
‘Policy Responses to an Ethnic Community Division: Lezgins in Azerbaijan’, with Clem McCartney,
in International Journal of Minority and Group Rights, vol. 5, no. 3,1998.
‘Caucasus on the Rocks’, Transitions, vol. 5, no.11, November 1998, pp. 76 - 80.
‘Power Changes Hands in North Ossetia: First Steps and Future Prospects’, Prism, May 1998.
‘Why NATO – Why Not?’, Prism, Jamestown Foundation, July 1998.
‘The Impact of Instability in Chechnya on Dagestan’, Caspian Crossroads, vol.3, no. 3, April 1998,
pp. 15 – 24.
‘Will the Russian Role Return back to the Middle East’, Arab Researcher, no. 47, March – June 1998,
pp. 24 – 31 (in Arabic).
World Directory of Minorities. Sections on Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and
Kyrgyzstan. Minority Rights Group, London, 1997.
Dagestan. Former Soviet South Briefing no. 13, London: RIIA, 1997.
Lezgins: a Situation Assessment Report, with Clem McCartney London: IA, 1997.
‘Abkhazia: Face to Face with Georgia’, in WarReport, no. 49, London: IWPR, 1997.
‘Abkhazia: The Legitimacy Game’, in WarReport, no. 47, London: IWPR, 1996.
‘The Abdication of the Intellectuals’, in WarReport, no.34, London: IWPR, 1995.
‘Regime Change and Political Science in the FSU’, Journal of Political and Social Research, 1992.
Journalism
Guardian – Comment is Free
Long-term prospects for Kyrgyzstan are worrying, 1 August 2010
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/aug/01/kyrgyzstan-prospects-electoralcampaign-nationalism
Nagorno-Karabakh's Fragile Stalemate, 17 May 2010
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/may/17/nagorno-karabakh-fragile-stalemate
Abkhazia: counting the costs of conflict, 28 April 2010
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/apr/28/abkhazia-south-ossetia-russia
Remember Afghanistan, Comrade? 18 August 2009
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/aug/18/soviet-war-afghanistan
Polls Apart, 30 December 2008
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/dec/30/russia
Battling Russophobia, 13 December 2008
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/dec/13/russia-west-media-stereotypes
Georgian quagmire, 14 October 2008
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/oct/14/georgia-russia
Suspicious minds, 13 September 2008
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/sep/13/russia.georgia
Cameron plays the Russian blame game, 19 August 2008
Russian symbolism, January 17, 2008
Heir, apparently, December 11, 2007
Putin's election meddling is baffling, 4 December 2007 (newspaper)
A dangerous disillusionment, November 30, 2007
Pushkin parents, November 29, 2007
If not Putin, who? October 2, 2007
Putin's Powerplay, August 23, 2007
Beware of baiting the bear, July 28, 2007