Management Science 231 MIS Exercises Answers Exercise1 According to the diagram above, answer to the following questions: 1. Determine the different paths for this project 2. Then determine the critical path 3. Calculate the earliest times , the latest times and the slack Solution: 1. Critical Path: 1 Management Science 231 MIS The critical path is path B-C-D-G-H 20 2. ES/EF and LS/LF: Earliest start /earliest finish Latest start/latest finish: 2 Management Science 231 MIS 3. Slack time: Exercise2: 1. Complete the following table (the expected time and the variance for each activity) 2. Using the network on node (NON) shown below determine the project paths and then the critical path 3 Management Science 231 MIS The critical path is: A-C-E-G-H = 2+2+4+5+2 = 15 3. Determine the variance and the standard deviation of the project Project variance (σp2 ) = )∑variances of all critical path activities) σp2 = 0.11 + 0.11 + 1.0 + 1.78 + 0.11 = 3.11 Project standard deviation (σp) =SQRT (Project variance) σp = SQRT ( 3.11) = 1.76 4. Using forward pass and backward pass determine the earliest times, the latest times and the slack times for this project. 4 Management Science 231 MIS Forward pass: Backward pass: 5 Management Science 231 MIS 5. What is the probability of finishing the project within 16 weeks? Z = (Target time – expected time) σp Z = (16 - 15) = 0.57 1.76 This means 16 weeks is 0.57 standard deviations above the mean of 15 weeks. 6. What project duration does General Foundry have a 99% chance of completing the project within? i.e. Prob (proj duration < ? ) = 0.99 Z = (? - 15) = 2.33 1.76 So ? = 15 + 2.33 x 1.76 = 19.1 weeks Instructor: sihem smida 6