Strategic Business Program Business, Government, Society: Insights from Experiments Day 2 1 Four Market Types Characteristic Pure Competition Monopolistic Competition Oligopoly Monopoly Number of firms A very large number Many Few One Type of product Standardized Differentiated Standardized or differentiated Unique; no close subs. Control over price None Some, but within rather narrow limits Limited by mutual Considerable inter-dependence Conditions of entry Very easy, no obstacles Relatively easy Significant obstacles Blocked Nonprice competition None Considerable emphasis on advertising, brand names, trademarks Typically a great deal, particularly with product differentiation Mostly public relation advertising 2 Monopoly Barrier to entry: a factor that keeps firms from entering an industry • Economies of scale • Legal barriers: patents and licenses • Ownership of essential resources LO1 3 10-3 Cost Curves 4 Economic Effects of Monopoly S=MC MC P=MC= Minimum ATC Pc Pm Pc b d c a D D MR Qc Purely Competitive Market LO3 Qm Qc Monopoly 5 10-5 Cartels and Government Monopoly power is often granted by government via regulation. Example Pacific gas and electric. Other examples are shipping and the airline industry (pre-deregulation). Justifications for government regulation include infant industry and natural monopoly. Criticisms include decreased competition, increased costs due to inefficiency and lobbying, and regulation outlives its usefulness. 6 The Japanese Brewing Industry After a reduction in the minimum to 60,000 litres/year in 1994, many microbreweries opened. Will cut the big four’s shares and profits, as will changes in retailing practices: • half of the beer is sold in bars and restaurants, with loyalty • most remaining sales in corner bottle shops • recently, discount liquor shops have cut prices by 25% below corner shops, and have also stocked imported beers, at 2/3 the cost of domestics 7 Coca-Cola and India Coca-Cola left Indian market for 17 years. Coca-cola left in 1977, when a newly elected government demanded that The Coca-Cola Company partner with an Indian entity and government wanted to know the syrup formula. Coke refused to budge, choosing instead to walk away from a market leadership position in a nation of more than 800 million people. Returned in 1993. 8 Coca-Cola and India In the early-1990s, when India began to open up its economy to foreign investments, Coke started plotting a strategy to re-enter the fast-growing market. The company’s attention shifted to the Parle Group, which commanded 60 percent of India’s soft drink market. In a landmark strategic alliance, Coke acquired Parle’s stable of brands and gained access to its nationwide bottling and distribution infrastructure. 9 Oligopoly and Advertising Prevalent to compete with product development and advertising • Less easily duplicated than a price change • Financially able to advertise LO7 10 11-10 Oligopoly and Advertising Positive Effects Low-cost way of providing information to consumers Can be manipulative Enhances competition Contains misleading claims that confuse consumers Speeds up technological progress Consumers pay high prices for a good while forgoing a better, lower priced, unadvertised version of the product Can help firms obtain economies of scale LO7 Negative Effects 11 11-11 Oligopoly and Collusion Cartels - a group of firms or nations that collude • Formally agreeing to the price • Sets output levels for members LO6 12 11-12 Cartels Explicit agreements among firms to fix output and prices and act as a monopolist. Examples are OPEC, Electrical Conspiracy (Econ USA), Shipping Cartel Incentive to cooperate – earn monopoly profits Incentive to cheat – increase individual profits if cheating is not detected or punished. 13 Tacit Coordination Spontaneous cooperation resulting from strongly perceived interdependence. For example, following a rival’s price change. Difficult to achieve with lots of firms. Hard to find/prove/correct. 14 Explicit Conspiracy Price fixing agreement. Formal cartel. Per se illegal. 15 Experiment Please note your payoffs and your partners payoff for the following three choices 1. Do not cooperate, player 1 and 2 = $1000 2. Cooperate, player 1 and 2 = $1600 3. Cooperate player 1, Do not cooperate player 2= $2000, $400 4. Cooperate player 2, Do not cooperate player 1= $400, $2000 16 Price Fixing Price Fixing is an agreement among competitors to raise, fix, or otherwise maintain the price at which their goods or services are sold. This does not mean that competitors agree to charge the same price. And not all competitors have to be amongst the conspiracy. 17 FTC and Predatory Pricing From the Federal Trade Commission, "Instances of a large firm using low prices to drive smaller competitors out of the market in hopes of raising prices after they leave are rare. This strategy can only be successful if the short-run losses from pricing below cost will be made up for by much higher prices over a longer period of time after competitors leave the market. Although the FTC examines claims of predatory pricing carefully, courts, including the Supreme Court, have been skeptical of such claims." 18 Coffee Wars In 1970 GF’s Maxwell House was best seller in the Eastern U.S.; P&G’s Folger’s in the West. To increase sales of Folger’s in Cleveland, P&G started: TV advertising, retailer’s promotions, coupons, in-pack gifts, and mailed free samples. GF responded with: mailed and in-pack coupons, and retailers’ promotional incentives But Folger’s share grew to 15% after a year. GF adopted its “defend now” strategy to limit Folger’s to 10% in the East: heavy price discounting, “but P≥AVC” and its “fighting brand,” Horizon 19 Coffee Wars Evidence in the FTC’s investigation that both sold with P < AVC Clearly, GF wanted to signal to P&G its aggressive defense. In 1976 the FTC charged GF with attempted monopolization, unfair competition, and price discrimination. 20 Coffee Wars “MH did not come dangerously close to gaining monopoly power as a result of any of its challenged conduct in any of the alleged markets. As a result, its actions were output-enhancing and pro-competitive — the kind of conduct the antitrust laws seek to promote" 21 Mergers – Increasing Concentration Vertical Merger – merging with a firm that supplies inputs Horizontal Merger – merging with a competitor Conglomerate Merger –merging with firms that are not related Successful mergers – Boeing and McDonnell-Douglas Unsuccessful Mergers – AOL Time Warner 22 Mergers and Acquisitions Merger – a combination of two or more businesses under one ownership Acquisition or Takeover - one firm acquires the stock of another Acquired firm is the target Consolidation - combining firms dissolve forming a new legal entity 23 Mergers and Acquisitions 24 Mergers and Acquisitions Relationships Consolidation implies the firms combined willingly Acquisition can be a friendly or hostile takeover Stockholders Must be willing to give up their shares for the offered price Approval from majority necessary for acquisition to be successful 25 Mergers and Acquisitions Unfriendly Procedure Friendly Procedure Target firm's Target firm's management resists, management takes defensive approves and measures to stop cooperates with takeover acquiring company Acquiring firm makes Negotiation occurs a tender offer to the until agreement is target's shareholders reached Proposal submitted for stockholder vote 26 26 Why Unfriendly Mergers are Unfriendly A target's management may resist a takeover because: Acquiring firm offered too low a price for the stock Target’s management often loses jobs, power, and influence 27 27 Mergers and Acquisitions Strategic Merger Merger is undertaken to enhance the acquirer’s business position Financial Merger Merger is undertaken to make money from the merger process 28 The Antitrust Laws U.S. is committed to a competitive economy Antitrust laws (enacted 1890 - 1930s) prohibit certain activities that can reduce competitive nature of the economy Mergers have potential to reduce competition 29 The History of Merger Activity in the U.S. Wave 1: The Turn of the Century, 1897-1904 Horizontal mergers transformed the U.S. into a nation of industrial giants, with some monopolies Wave 2: The Roaring Twenties, 1916-1929 Began with World War I and ended with the stock market crash of 1929 Horizontal mergers led to oligopolies 30 The History of Merger Activity in the U.S. Wave 3: The Swinging Sixties, 1965-1969 Conglomerate mergers - unrelated fields Stock market driven An Important Development During the 1970s Hostile takeovers uncommon prior to 1970s 1974 INCO acquires ESB assisted by respected investment bank Morgan Stanley After that hostile takeovers became acceptable 31 The History of Merger Activity in the U.S. Wave 4: Megamergers, 1981 – 1990 Very large firms, often industry leaders, merge Wave 5: Globalization, 1992 – 2000 Began after 1991 – 1992 recession Large number of international mergers Ended with September 11, 2001 Wave 6: Private Equity, 2003 – 2008 Private equity groups bought companies for financial reasons Ended with the financial crisis of 2008 32 Social, Economic, and Political Effects Large mergers have implications regarding the concentration of power and influence Anti-competitiveness of merging large companies Concentrates economic power in the hands of a few 33