Appendix Survival and outcome in neonatal onset urea cycle disorders – Review and meta-analysis of observational studies published over 35 years Peter Burgard, Stefan Kölker, Gisela Haege, Martin Lindner , Georg F Hoffmann List of publications included in the analysis 1. Ah Mew N, Krivitzky L, McCarter R, Batshaw M, Tuchman M, Urea Cycle Disorders Consortium of the Rare Diseases Clinical Research N. Clinical outcomes of neonatal onset proximal versus distal urea cycle disorders do not differ. The Journal of pediatrics 2013; 162(2): 324-9 e1. (excluded, same data as Krivitzky et al., 2009; only early onset patients) 2. Arranz JA, Riudor E, Marco-Marin C, Rubio V. Estimation of the total number of diseasecausing mutations in ornithine transcarbamylase (OTC) deficiency. Value of the OTC structure in predicting a mutation pathogenic potential. Journal of inherited metabolic disease 2007; 30(2): 21726. 3. Bachmann C. Ornithine carbamoyl transferase deficiency: findings, models and problems. Journal of inherited metabolic disease 1992; 15(4): 578-91. 4. Bachmann C. Outcome and survival of 88 patients with urea cycle disorders: a retrospective evaluation. European journal of pediatrics 2003; 162(6): 410-6. 5. Batshaw ML, Brusilow S, Waber L, et al. Treatment of inborn errors of urea synthesis: activation of alternative pathways of waste nitrogen synthesis and excretion. The New England journal of medicine 1982; 306(23): 1387-92. (only early onset patients, excluded for calculation of proportions for early onset) 6. Bireley WR, Van Hove JL, Gallagher RC, Fenton LZ. Urea cycle disorders: brain MRI and neurological outcome. Pediatric radiology 2012; 42(4): 455-62. (only early onset patients, excluded for calculation of proportions for early onset) 7. Burlina AB, Ogier H, Korall H, Trefz FK. Long-term treatment with sodium phenylbutyrate in ornithine transcarbamylase-deficient patients. Molecular genetics and metabolism 2001; 72(4): 3515. 8. Deodato F, Boenzi S, Rizzo C, et al. Inborn errors of metabolism: an update on epidemiology and on neonatal-onset hyperammonemia. Acta Paediatr Suppl 2004; 93(445): 18-21. (only early onset patients, excluded for calculation of proportions for early onset) 9. Dionisi-Vici C, Rizzo C, Burlina AB, et al (2002) Inborn errors of metabolism in the Italian pediatric population: a national retrospective survey. The Journal of pediatrics 140: 321-327. 10. Enns GM, Berry SA, Berry GT, Rhead WJ, Brusilow SW, Hamosh A. Survival after treatment with phenylacetate and benzoate for urea-cycle disorders. The New England journal of medicine 2007; 356(22): 2282-92. 11. Funghini S, Thusberg J, Spada M, et al. Carbamoyl phosphate synthetase 1 deficiency in Italy: clinical and genetic findings in a heterogeneous cohort. Gene 2012; 493(2): 228-34. 12. Ibarra-Gonzalez I, Fernandez-Lainez C, Vela-Amieva M. Clinical and biochemical characteristics of patients with urea cycle disorders in a developing country. Clinical biochemistry 2010; 43(4-5): 461-6. 13. Kasahara M, Sakamoto S, Shigeta T, et al. Living-donor liver transplantation for carbamoyl phosphate synthetase 1 deficiency. Pediatric transplantation 2010; 14(8): 1036-40. (only early onset patients, excluded for calculation of proportions for early onset) 14. Keskinen P, Siitonen A, Salo M. Hereditary urea cycle diseases in Finland. Acta paediatrica 2008; 97(10): 1412-9. 15. Kido J, Nakamura K, Mitsubuchi H, et al. Long-term outcome and intervention of urea cycle disorders in Japan. Journal of inherited metabolic disease 2012; 35(5): 777-85. 16. Krivitzky L, Babikian T, Lee HS, Thomas NH, Burk-Paull KL, Batshaw ML. Intellectual, adaptive, and behavioral functioning in children with urea cycle disorders. Pediatric research 2009; 66(1): 96101. 17. Maestri NE, Clissold D, Brusilow SW. Neonatal onset ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency: A retrospective analysis. The Journal of pediatrics 1999; 134(3): 268-72. (only early onset patients, excluded for calculation of proportions for early onset) 18. Martin-Hernandez E, Aldamiz-Echevarria L, Castejon-Ponce E, et al. Urea cycle disorders in Spain: an observational, cross-sectional and multicentric study of 104 cases. Orphanet journal of rare diseases 2014; 9(1): 187. 19. Matsuda I, Nagata N, Matsuura T, et al. Retrospective survey of urea cycle disorders: Part 1. Clinical and laboratory observations of thirty-two Japanese male patients with ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency. American journal of medical genetics 1991; 38(1): 85-9. (excluded, data contained in Uchino et al. 1998) 20. Morioka D, Kasahara M, Takada Y, et al. Current role of liver transplantation for the treatment of urea cycle disorders: a review of the worldwide English literature and 13 cases at Kyoto University. Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society 2005; 11(11): 1332-42. 21. Msall M, Batshaw ML, Suss R, Brusilow SW, Mellits ED. Neurologic outcome in children with inborn errors of urea synthesis. Outcome of urea-cycle enzymopathies. The New England journal of medicine 1984; 310(23): 1500-5. (excluded, same data as Batshaw 1982) 22. Nassogne MC, Heron B, Touati G, Rabier D, Saudubray JM. Urea cycle defects: management and outcome. Journal of inherited metabolic disease 2005; 28(3): 407-14. 23. Picca S, Dionisi-Vici C, Abeni D, et al. Extracorporeal dialysis in neonatal hyperammonemia: modalities and prognostic indicators. Pediatric nephrology 2001; 16(11): 862-7. (excluded, data contained in Deodato et al. 2004) 24. Rowe PC, Newman SL, Brusilow SW. Natural history of symptomatic partial ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency. The New England journal of medicine 1986; 314(9): 541-7. 25. Schaefer F, Straube E, Oh J, Mehls O, Mayatepek E. Dialysis in neonates with inborn errors of metabolism. Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association 1999; 14(4): 910-8. (only early onset patients, excluded for calculation of proportions for early onset) 26. Shih V. Urea cycle disorders and other congenital hyperammonemic syndromes. In: JB Stanbury, JB Wyngaarden, D Frederickson, eds. The metaboloic basis of inherited disease. New York: McGraw-Hill; 1978: 363-86. 27. Summar ML, Dobbelaere D, Brusilow S, Lee B. Diagnosis, symptoms, frequency and mortality of 260 patients with urea cycle disorders from a 21-year, multicentre study of acute hyperammonaemic episodes. Acta paediatrica 2008; 97(10): 1420-5. (excluded, same data as Enns et al. 2007) 28. Tokatli A, Coskun T, Ozalp I. Citrullinemia. Clinical experience with 23 cases. The Turkish journal of pediatrics 1998; 40(2): 185-93. 29. Tuchman M, Lee B, Lichter-Konecki U, et al. Cross-sectional multicenter study of patients with urea cycle disorders in the United States. Molecular genetics and metabolism 2008; 94(4): 397402. 30. Uchino T, Endo F, Matsuda I. Neurodevelopmental outcome of long-term therapy of urea cycle disorders in Japan. Journal of inherited metabolic disease 1998; 21 Suppl 1: 151-9. A. CPS1D: Proportion early onset (EO) patients B. EO CPS1D: Proportion of EO patients surviving the neonatal period τ= 0.19; 95% CI [0.09;0.31] I2= 72.30%; 95% CI [38.25;88.01] τ= 0.22; 95% CI [0.10;0.32] I2= 67.51%; 95% CI [31.20;80.37] C. EO CPS1D: Outcome of EO patients surviving the neonatal period at age one year τ= 0.00; 95% CI [0.00;0.96] I2= 0.00%; 95% CI [0.00;73.40] τ= 0.00; 95% CI [0.00;0.98] I2= 0.00%; 95% CI [0.00;74.17] τ= 0.00; 95% CI [0.00;0.88] I2= 0.00%; 95% CI [0.00;69.56] A. OTCm: Proportion (PR) early onset (EO) τ= 0.20; 95% CI [0.12;0.34] I2= 85.89%; 95% CI [70.63;94.85] B. EO OTCm: Proportion EO Surviving (SURV) neonatal period τ= 0.36; 95% CI [0.24;0.62] I2= 97.39%; 95% CI [94.47;99.10] C. EO OTCm: Outcome EO Surviving neonatal period at 1 yr. τ= <0.01; 95% CI [0.00;1.28] I2= <0.01%; 95% CI [0.00;91.64] τ= 0.31; 95% CI [0.00;1.99] I2= 38.87%; 95% CI [0.00;96.40] A. EO OTCf: Proportion (PR) early onset (EO) τ= 0.04; 95% CI [0.01;0.14] I2= 44.63%; 95% CI [3.64;91.74] C. No published outcome data at age 1 year for OTCDf τ= 0.45; 95% CI [0.00;1.66] I2= 57.34%; 95% CI [0.00;94.89 B. EO OTCf: Proportion EO Surviving (SURV) neonatal period τ= 0.27; 95 % CI [0.08;0.60] I2= 61.52%; 95% CI [10.94;88.72] A. ASSD: Proportion (PR) early onset (EO) τ= 0.11; 95% CI [0.03;0.16] I2= 52.21%; 95% CI [7.78;70.70] B. ASSD: Proportion EO Surviving (SURV) neonatal period τ= 0.30; 95% CI [0.18;0.49] I2= 91.81%; 95% CI [80.81;96.80] C. ASSD: Outcome EO Surviving neonatal period at 1 yr. τ= 0.56; 95% CI [0.22;1.55] τ= 0.50; 95% CI [0.13;1.31] I2= 66.21%; 95% CI [23.00;93.67] I2= 61.17%; 95% CI [8.96;91.43] τ= 0.59; 95% CI [0.24;1.35] I2= 67.97%; 95% CI [25.86;91.83] A. ASLD: Proportion (PR) early onset (EO) τ= 0.19; 95% CI [0.09;0.40] I2= 71.14%; 95% CI [37.87;91.64] B. ASLD: Proportion EO Surviving (SURV) neonatal period τ= 0.13; 95% CI [0.00;0.30] I2= 54.15%; 95% CI [0.00;85.67] C. ASLD: Outcome EO Surviving neonatal period at 1 yr. τ= 0.08; 95% CI [0.00;0.70] I2= 4.19%; 95% CI [0.00;75.09] τ= <0.01; 95% CI [0.00;1.02] I2= <0.01%; 95% CI [0.00;86.48] τ= 0.44; 95% CI [0.00;1.26] I2= 54.35%; 95% CI [0.00;90.73] Supplementary Fig. 2. Forest plots of raw proportions of (A) early onset, (B) survival of the neonatal period after early onset, and (C) outcome at the end of the first year of life of patients surviving the neonatal period after early onset. Studies are ranked according to effect size. N, total sample size; N_EO, sample size of early onset patients surviving (SURV) the neonatal period; N_O, sample size of early onset patients surviving neonatal period in whom outcome was assessed at age one year; PR, effect sizes of raw proportions; Dev. Delay, developmental delay; RE Model, random effects model; τ =square root of τ2 estimate of between study heterogeneity, measured on the same scale as PR. = estimate of the single study effect, size of the symbol is proportional to the precision of the estimate; = estimate of the overall effect, the edges of the diamond represent the confidence interval limits Supplementary Table 2a. Correlation of effect sizes with year of publication PR EO PR EO Surviving neonatal period Outcome EO Surviving neonatal period at 1 yr. died retarded normal Disorder Total N patients (N studies) Pearson r (p value) N EO patients (N EO studies) Pearson r (p value) N outcome patients (N outcome studies) Pearson r (p value) Pearson r (p value) Pearson r (p value) CPS1D 148 (12) -0.271 (0.395) 107 (14) 0.263 (0.364) 23 (9) 0.089 (0.819) 0.540 (0.133) -0.699 (0.036) OTCDm 517 (14) -0.363 (0.202) 303 (12) 0.194 (0.546) 44 (5) 0.199 (0.749) 0.269 (0.662) -0.541 (0.347) OTCDf 434 (15) -0.019 (0.946) 27 (8) 0.176 (0.677) 3 (1) n.a. n.a. n.a. ASSD 298 (13) 0.197 (0.519) 153 (13) 0.140 (0.649) 55 (9) -0.236 (0.540) -0.187 (0.630) 0.453 (0.221) ASLD 145 (10) -0.253 (0.480) 75 (10) -0.332 (0.349) 47 (8) 0.167 (0.694) -0.210 (0.618) 0.123 (0.772) Supplementary Table 2b. Meta-regression of effect sizes on year of publication, method: Linear mixed-effects model, Restricted Maximum Likelihood, method by Knapp & Hartung (2003) for adjustment of test statistics and confidence intervals, calculation of approximately unbiased estimates of the sampling variances according to Hedges (1989) PR EO PR EO Surviving neonatal period Disorder Total N patients (N studies) Regression coefficient (rc) (SE) 95% CI of rc p value for rc N EO patients (N EO studies) Regression coefficient (rc) (SE) 95% CI of rc p value for rc CPS1D 148 (12) -0.004 (0.007) [-0.020;0.012] 0.554 107 (14) 0.011 (0.007) [-0.006;0.027] 0.179 OTCDm 517 (14) -0.010 (0.006) [-0.024;0.004] 0.138 303 (12) 0.006 (0.011) [-0.017;0.030] 0.565 OTCDf 434 (15) 0.001 (0.002) [-0.003;0.005] 0.570 27 (8) 0.006 (0.014) [-0.029;0.041] 0.691 ASSD 298 (13) 0.002 (0.004) [-0.008;0.012] 0.682 153 (13) 0.005 (0.009) [-0.014;0.025] 0.560 ASLD 145 (10) -0.014 (0.017) [-0.053;0.026] 0.454 75 (10) -0.006 (0.006) [-0.020;0.008] 0.371 SE=Standard error Supplementary Table 2c. Meta-regression of effect sizes on epoch, method: Linear mixed-effects model, Restricted Maximum Likelihood, method by Knapp & Hartung (2003) for adjustment of test statistics and confidence intervals, calculation of approximately unbiased estimates of the sampling variances according to Hedges (1989) PR EO PR EO Surviving neonatal period Disorder Total N patients (N studies) Regression coefficient (rc) (SE) 95% CI of rc p value for rc N EO patients (N EO studies) Regression coefficient (rc) (SE) 95% CI of rc p value for rc CPS1D 148 (12) -0.002 (0.006) [-0.014;0.011] 0.771 107 (14) 0.014 (0.005) [0.002;0.025] 0.022 OTCDm 517 (14) -0.014 (0.005) [-0.024;-0.003] 0.015 303 (12) 0.019 (0.011) [-0.006;0.044] 0.127 OTCDf 434 (15) 0.002 (0.002) [-0.002;0.005] 0.390 27 (8) 0.019 (0.012) [-0.011;0.048] 0.173 ASSD 298 (13) 0.001 (0.004) [-0.007;0.009] 0.846 153 (13) 0.015 (0.009) [-0.004;0.035] 0.110 ASLD 145 (10) -0.008 (0.008) [-0.025;0.010] 0.354 75 (10) 0.003 (0.007) [-0.013;0.018] 0.716 SE=standard error Supplementary Table 2d. Meta-regression of effect sizes on diagnosis and region. Method: Linear mixed-effects model, Restricted Maximum Likelihood, method by Knapp & Hartung (2003) for adjustment of test statistics and confidence intervals, calculation of approximately unbiased estimates of the sampling variances according to Hedges (1989), reference category for diagnosis: OTCDm, reference category for region: EU PR EO PR EO Surviving neonatal period Predictor Total N patients (N studies) Regression coefficient (rc) (SE) 95% CI of rc OTCDm 517 (14) Reference CPS1D 148 (12) 0.247 (0.078) [0.090;0.404] OTCDf 434 (15) -0.387 (0.065) ASSD 298 (13) ASLD N EO patients (N EO studies) Regression coefficient (rc) (SE) 303 (12) Reference 0.003 107 (14) [-0.518;-0.256] <0.001 0.175 (0.073) [0.029;0.321] 145 (10) 0.101 (0.078) [-0.056;0.258] EU 543 (9) Reference Japan 385 (2) 0.021 (0.061) [-0.102;0.145] USA 569 (5) -0.063 (0.054) [-0.171;0.044] Reference= Reference category; SE= standard error p for rc 95% CI of rc p for rc 0.282 (0.100) [0.080;0.483] 0.007 27 (8) 0.259 (0.127) [0.004;0.514] 0.047 0.020 153 (13) 0.331 (0.094) [0.142;0.519] <0.001 0.204 75 (10) 0.466 (0.100) [0.265;0.667] <0.001 235 (8) Reference 0.732 172 (3) 0.326 (0.086) [0.152;0.500] <0.001 0.242 244 (7) 0.368 (0.078) [0.212;0.525] <0.001