My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ Monterey Peninsula College Bus 1A, Financial Accounting Company Evaluation Project Partners: _________________ _________________ _________________ _________________ _________________ _________________ Wall Street, New York, NY Project Overview: This project takes you away from creating the financial statements. You are now an investment advisor interpreting financial information for your client. You will form a team to research businesses within an industry of your choosing. Your team’s task is to create a report using a step by step process to analyze the investment worthiness of your companies. Each step listed below will become a section in your final investment recommendation report. Step 1: Form a group of students to analyze companies in your selected industry. Each team member selects one different company within your group’s industry. Each person researches a small number of selected external performance indicators. The group then compares this information, draws conclusions and prepares a report ranking the companies within your industry. Step 2: Perform internal analysis of each company to discover their sources of strengths and weaknesses. Again, compare the individual companies and rate them based just on this information. Compare your findings from this information to that from step 1. Prepare a ranking report discussing the information from step 2 and how it affected your step 1 opinions. Step 3: Analyze cash flows of the firms. Infer strategic direction and evaluate your trust in their overall financial statement presentation. Compare each firm’s results, and prepare a ranking report discussing any changes or supporting relationships among steps 1 through 3. Step 4: Review, compile, and Conclude. Review your findings from each step. Include other analysis as you see fit. Check your conclusions with outside resources. Prepare a final report incorporating all of your work to form a comprehensive final report of your recommendation. My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ Project Administrative Details: Self-select teams of about 5 people to start. Your grade will partially depend on the performance of your team members. Each member is personally accountable for their share of the work and the quality of the project as a whole. Individual project grades will vary by personal input and teamwork. Communication, work styles, meeting schedules are important considerations in selecting teams. Team and individual process organization Each individual first completes the templates for their company. Team members then share and compare each person’s individual company performance. The team then completes the paper comparing and judging these companies based on the research and analysis. Complete ONLY step 1 during step 1. Complete only step 2 during step 2, etc. You will repeat the process with different content for each step. Each team member is responsible for completing their own individual company research and contributing to the team effort for each step as follows: 1. Complete the following research templates EARLY in each step. 2. Compare your numbers to those provided by the other team members for their companies. 3. Provide a balanced amount of input into organizing, and preparing the team analysis paper. 4. Be individually responsible for knowledge of all aspects of your team’s paper. Each Team is responsible for coordinating group communication, encouraging even participation, and: Each team selects a different step leader for each step. That leader is responsible for ensuring the team meets all assignment requirements. The leader does NOT do the whole step on their own. What to submit for steps 1, 2, and 3: 1. A cover page including your industry, team member names, companies, and each team member’s signature by their name. Indicate the team leader for the step on this page. 2. A well organized 1 page MAX single spaced paper. Look to the templates in each step to drive the content and organization of this paper. a. Include an introduction paragraph announcing your purpose and methods. b. Each body paragraph should: Describe the purpose of the paragraph. Display the numbers used to support that purpose. Use your judgment to explain the relevance of these numbers to these firms. Interpret the numbers to provide meaning to the reader. c. Conclude by ranking companies according to your opinion of their investment worthiness. Support this ranking by reviewing key points from your body paragraphs. d. Cite your research resources properly on a second page. 3. Include each team member’s individual research templates for each step. Hand filled-in, messy, crumpling, are all absolutely fine! Put your name on the top front. 4. Submit your assignment in the above sequence, stapled in the top left hand corner. 5. One volunteer team per step may be able to present to the class for up to 10 extra credit points. Presenters must meet formally with the instructor at the beginning of their presentation step and complete a pre-presentation development process to the satisfaction of the instructor to be able to present. What to submit for step 4: 1. Compile the previous three team step essays into one single essay about 4 pages long. The paper should be one cohesive essay with an inclusive introduction, then your previous steps together with transitions, any new step 4 information, and a robust conclusion. 2. Submit individual requirements in the same manner as previous steps for 4’s solo work. My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ Step 1: Initial Selections: Brainstorm as a group to discuss your individual ideas and their relative ability to succeed in current economic conditions. Choose one industry as the group’s industry. Each group will select one unique industry. Each individual will select a different company within that industry to investigate further. My group’s industry:________________________ This industry’s SIC code:________ My company’s name: ____________________ Ticker symbol: ____________________ Company website URL: __________________________ What are the economic conditions that led you to select this industry? How will your industry capitalize on these conditions? Why did your team pick this industry over others? ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________ What about your firm in particular justifies considering it as a potential investment when comparing it to the other companies in your group? ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________ What is your team’s process for executing the teamwork element of this project? Do you have the resources you need to get the job done? How will you secure any missing resources? ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ Team member contact information: Group website:________________________________ Full Name Telephone Email Other My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ (Step 1 Cont.) Volume, Growth & Value: Volume indicates strength as measured by sales and net income. Demonstrated growth in volume from year to year indicates increasing strength. Use those indicators to compare performance of your companies. Expected growth and market leadership drive up the price to buy a company. The Price to Earnings (PE) ratio compares the price of one share of ownership to the profits earned by that one share. The PE ratio is one indicator of whether the stock is over or under valued as an investment choice. Use the PE ratio to judge the value of each company compared to their performance in volume and growth. Fiscal Year End Figures ($ x 2009 Dollars % Change 2008 Dollars % Change 2007 Dollars 1,000,000 except per share) Annual Sales Net Income FYE Share price Earnings per share Price to Earnings Ratio trailing Size = Power: Rank firms on current sales volume. eg Firm : Sales $ 1)_____________ 2)______________ 3)______________ 4)_______________ 5)_______________ 6)_______________ Rank firms on current Net income volume. eg Firm : N I $ 1)____________ 2)_____________ 3)______________ 4)_______________ 5)_______________ 6)_______________ How are the leading and trailing firms benefited or harmed by their performance in these metrics? How & why does this performance matter to an investor?______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ Growth = increasing power: Rank firms on sales volume growth. eg Firm : growth % 1)____________ 2)____________ 3)___________ 4)___________ 5)___________ 6)___________ Rank firms on Net income growth. eg Firm : N I growth % 1)____________ 2)____________ 3)___________ 4)___________ 5)___________ 6)___________ How are the leading and trailing firms benefited or harmed by their performance in these metrics? How & why does this performance matter to an investor?______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ Value = Comparing earnings to the price of ownership: List the firms in order from the lowest PE ratio to the highest PE ratio. eg Firm : PE ratio 1)_____________ 2)_____________ 3)____________ 4)____________ 5)____________ 6)____________ How do these companies’ PE ratios indicate their relative attractiveness as investments? Consider each PE ratio compared the volume and growth position of each company.__________________ My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ Step 2: Management Effectiveness: Return on Equity (ROE) is a popular indicator of corporate performance. It measures the return (aka earnings) for the owners compared to the owners’ equity in the firm. While a high ROE is a good thing, how the company achieved their ROE is even more important. First, calculate your ROE the simple way. Then, recalculate your ROE using the Du Pont Method. The ROE numbers should match, but the Profitability, Efficiency, and Leverage ratios that make up ROE in the Du Pont will deliver much more insight into where management is doing their job well and where they are performing poorly. Calculate your firm’s ROE based on current year figures. ROE = Net Income ÷ Equity $______________ ÷ $__________________ = ____________% Net Income Owners’ Equity ROE Du Pont Method: The Du Pont Method shown below multiplies three causal factors to calculate ROE. Each of the columns (top to bottom) below explains a unique management analysis metric, and provides you with space to calculate that metric for your company. Complete the table with your latest year figures then share your figures with your team to analyze them. Return on Equity Profitability x Efficiency x Leverage = Profit Margin x Asset Turnover x Assets to Equity Ratio = Return on Equity Net Income Net Sales x Net Sales Assets x Assets Equity = Net Income Equity $ $ x - x - $ $ x $ $ - = x $ $ - = List your group’s company numbers in order, from highest ROE to lowest ROE Firm________ % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Firm________ Firm________ Firm________ Firm________ Firm________ My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ (Step 2 Cont:) Which firm has the highest ROE?___________ What does that bare-bones ROE number tell the investor about the company? Why might an investor prefer a high ROE firm? _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Which firm has the highest profitability ratio?____________ What is that company’s management doing right that results in their high profitability ratio? How does this performance translate into strength in the marketplace and investment attractiveness? ___________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Which firm has the highest efficiency ratio?____________ What is that company’s management doing right that results in their high efficiency ratio? How does this performance translate into strength in the marketplace and investment attractiveness? ______________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Which firm has the highest leverage ratio?____________ What is that company’s management doing right or wrong that results in their high leverage ratio? How does this performance translate into strength or weakness in the marketplace and investment attractiveness? _________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Repeat those three (profitability, efficiency, leverage) analysis steps with the companies having the lowest of those three ratios: Low profitability: Company_______________ Management’s action causing it__________________________________________ Weakness as competitor and investment____________________________________ Low efficiency: Company_______________ Management’s action causing it__________________________________________ Weakness as competitor and investment____________________________________ Low leverage: Company_______________ Management’s action causing it__________________________________________ Weakness or strength as competitor and investment__________________________ Select one company as your pick for the overall most desirable performance. Discuss Management’s actions and the company’s strengths in the market and as an investment. _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ Step 3) Cash Flows Analysis: The amount of cash on hand, as well as the increase or decrease in cash and its sources may indicate a strengthening or weakening in the company’s health. $___________ is the balance in the cash account at the beginning of the fiscal year. $___________ is the balance in the cash account at the end of the fiscal year. $___________ + or – is the change in the cash position for the year. Explaining the change in the cash balance for your firm: Where cash came from, and how cash was spent, is far more important information that the simple overall cash change. Cash flow from Operations was $___________ (positive or negative) Is this consistent with their accrual based Net Income?___________ Does this raise any concern, and why? _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ What does the net cash provided/used by operations imply about the performance of the company’s core business activities?_________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Cash flow from Investing Activities was $___________ (positive or negative) The business activities that caused this cash flow were: _________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Speculate as to why management carried out the above business activities. What were they trying to accomplish? Does this imply anything about their strategies or the future of the business?______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ Cash flow from Financing Activities was $___________ (positive or negative). The business activities that caused this cash flow were: _________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Speculate as to why management carried out the above business activities. What were they trying to accomplish? Does this imply anything about their strategies or the future of the business? ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ Refer to the handout on analyzing cash flows. Describe your company’s overall cash flow pattern and interpret it to share your insight on the company’s overall cash performance. ______ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ (Step 3 Cont.) Cash Flows Analysis Complete the grid below and interpret the cash flow story of each firm in your group. Evaluate the attractiveness of each firm’s total cash flow story and rank them in preference in the right hand column. Firm Operating Investing $ +/$ +/- Financing $ +/- Story Rank Indicate scale of dollars presented above:___________________ Compare your ranking to your investment preferences from earlier rounds. Does your cash flows analysis support or contradict your earlier findings? How so? What is the significance of this to the investor? __________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ Step 4) General Review and Final Report: Review your previous work looking for concerns you may have uncovered during your research. Consider these sources to address your concerns or to uncover some new ones: Read several of the footnotes to the financial statements. You will find plenty of footnotes in your company’s 10-k report at www.sec.gov. And/or review the analytical measure on pages 662-663 of the text and settle on a few areas you would like to compare with your group. Read at least 2 articles on your company that are not sourced from the company web site. If you find something very important to your group analysis then put it in your paper. Otherwise, evidence of each individual’s work should show up here: Work Space/Reporting Space for your number crunching and article & footnote highlights: Context Check: Compare the winning company in your industry to the other winning companies in the other industries researched in the class. Quick meetings and highlighted topics are all that is needed here. Organize your resources before the announced in-class discussion day. Bring sufficient resources to class to enable effective communication about your winning company’s performance. Each member of your team is individually responsible for understanding the performance of your groups winning team and being able to complete these discussions effectively. You will have about 3-5 minutes to compare your winning company with other industries’ winning companies and pick the ultimate best investment prospect. The exact nature of what you choose to focus on will depend on your opinion. Findings: Industry and company benchmarked:______________________ | ________________________ Key points: Findings: Industry and company benchmarked:______________________ | ________________________ Key points: Findings: Industry and company benchmarked:______________________ | ________________________ Key points: My name:___________________ My company name:___________________ Ticker symbol:________________ (Step 4 Cont.) Conclusion: Prepare the following two items. Paper: Prepare a final report compiling the previous step write-ups along with any important findings from step 4. This final paper should read as a single document leveraging the organization provided by the previous research steps. There should be no mention of “Step 1”, “Step 2”, etc. instead, use the step topics “external performance analysis”, “internal analysis”, and “cash flows analysis” to make the report more professional and sensible to a target audience who won’t have any familiarity with step numbers. Make sure to include all requirements for a step paper including your final investment recommendation. The overall paper needs its own introduction explaining at a general level the purpose and methodology of the total paper. Each individual section should retain its section introduction and conclusion. The overall conclusion should reference the major decision making points from each section, declare your group’s overall investment selection, and support that choice. Paper length will vary. Most top quality papers are between 3 and 5 pages. Excess pages without additional valuable content will earn lower marks than fewer pages with similar content. Brevity is rewarded unless valuable content is missing. Suggested references: Check the index in your textbook for really great information. See chapter 14 especially. www.sec.gov www.morningstar.com www.fool.com www.investopedia.com http://www.reuters.com www.quickmba.com www.yahoo.com http://blog.accountingcoach.com/ Your firm’s website – warning you are entering a self perspective zone.