A General EXCEL Solution for LTPD Type Sampling Plans David C. Trindade, Ph.D. Sun Microsystems David Meade AMD 1999 Joint Statistical Meetings Baltimore, MD Lot Acceptance Sampling • Assume single random sample of size n from a process or a very large lot. • Binomial distribution is appropriate. • Refer to as type B sampling. Sampling Plan • Specifies – the sample size n – the acceptance number c • An operating characteristic (OC) curve shows the probability of lot acceptance for a given level of incoming lot percent defective p OC Curve n = 50 Probability of Acceptance 1.00 c =3 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% Lot Percent Defective LTPD Plans • The quality level at 10% probability of acceptance (consumer’s risk) is called the LTPD. • This rejectable quality level (RQL) is highest percent defective (poorest quality) tolerable in a small percentage of product. • Borderline of distinction between a satisfactory lot and an unsatisfactory one. • LTPD plans are used for many product qualification plans to assure consumer protection. Common Sampling Problem in Industry • There are constraints on sample size based on limited time, money, or other resources. • There is often the need to adjust sample size and corresponding acceptance number while holding LTPD constant. LTPD Tables Limitations of Tables • LTPD values restricted to only those listed. • There are finite ranges of sample sizes and acceptance numbers. Example Case • Reliability qualification plan for integrated circuits calls for stressing a sample of 300 units for 1000 hours. Pass requirement is no more than three failures. • Early samples are precious, costing approximately $10,000 each and are needed for other evaluations. • How can the engineer reduce the sample size and allowed failures while holding the LTPD constant? Approaches by Engineer • First, the LTPD value must be determined. • Then, LTPD tables may be consulted to see if n = 300 and c = 3 are tabulated. • Approximation may be necessary: – Checking LTPD table, we see n = 333 and c = 3 for LTPD = 2%. – For c = 1, LTPD = 2%, we need n = 195. Graphical Techniques* *Applied Reliability, 2nd ed., P. Tobias and D. Trindade Graphical Results • For n = 300, c = 3, LTPD = 2.2%. • For LTPD = 2.2%, c = 1, n ~ 180. There is a limitation in these graphs to only c = 0, 1, 2, or 3. EXCEL Solution (Add-In) Find LTPD for Given Sampling Plan Find LTPD for a Given sampling Plan: Output Find Alternative LTPD Sampling Plan Find Alternative Sampling Plan: Output Find Sample Size for Given c Find Sample Size for Given c: Output Final Comments • Description and theory presented in paper. • LTPD add-in and paper available for download from www.trindade.com/LTPD.html • Questions to: – david.trindade@eng.sun.com – david.meade@amd.com (VB programming)