Securities Regulation Introduction Info Price (last updated 18 Jan 12) Information Price • Auction 1: no information – Information is critical to pricing – Discount for lack of info • Auction 2: inside information – Information through signaling – Efficient Capital Market Hypothesis • Auction 3: widespread information – Can you feel the fraud? – Consider effect on subsequent auctions Securities industry demographics (Feb 2009) Public companies: • 12,000 (securities registered with SEC) • 7,500 operating companies Investment advisers: • 11,300 (includes hedge fund managers) • up from 7,546 in 2002 Broker-dealers: • 5,500 firms • 173,000 branch offices (up from 75,000 in 2001) • 665,000 registered reps Mutual funds: • 950 complexes (such as Vanguard) • 4,600 registered funds (Vanguard 2050 Target Fund) Nationally recognized statistical rating organizations • Ten (S&P, etc) Stock exchanges • Eleven exchanges (NYSE) Clearing agencies • Five What are incentives to disclose? Nature of US securities regulation Securities regulation Mandatory disclosure • Sales of securities to public • Public companies – periodic disclosure Antifraud liability • Private actions • SEC enforcement Regulate intermediaries (gatekeepers) • Self-regulation • SEC disciplinary oversight *** Legislation • Securities Act of 1933 • Securities Exchange Act of 1934 • 5 Commissioners • 4 Divisions • various offices (inc OGC) Securities fraud Elements • • • • • • Material Misrepresentation or omission Scienter Reliance Causation Damages Rule 10b-5 adds: • Jurisdictional nexus (federal court) • Transactional nexus (“in connection with purchase or sale of securities”) How value an investment? What is a security? Types of Securities Type Cash Flow Rights Liquidation Rights Voting Rights Common stock Residual + discretionary Last in line (junior) Elect board + fundamental transactions Preferred stock Residual + fixed Next in line Contingent (sometimes) P&I: fixed + contractual First in line (senior) None Debt Valuation Which investment would you choose? (assuming 5% interest rate) 1.Put $10 million under mattress for two years 2.Annuity that pays $2.5 million every year for next four years 3.Preferred stock that pays $400,000 per year (in perpetuity) Investment #3 #1 #2 n FV = PV * (1 + i) ^ (assume 4% interest rate) 1 = $ 2,380,952 PV1 PV $10,000,000 +.05) 2 PV ===$2,500,000/(1.05) FVpymt / i /2 (1 PV2 = $2,500,000/(1.05) = $ 2,267,574 2 PV == $10,000,000 / (1.05) PV FV / i 3 * * * pymt PV3 = $2,500,000/(1.05) = $ 2,159,594 PV $10,000,000 /4 (1.1025) PV4 = $ 2,056,756 PV ===$2,500,000/(1.05) $400,000 / .05 PV = $$400,000 9,070,295/ .04 PV = $8,000,000 PVPV = $ 8,864,876 = FV / (1 + i) ^ n PV = $10,000,000 End #2 - $10 million in 2-year 10% bond FV = PV * (1 + i) ^ n PV = FV / (1 + i) ^ n Year FV 1 $1,000,000 Present Value $1,000,000 / (1.05) 1 = $ 952,381 2 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 / (1.05) 2 = $ 907,029 2 $10,000,000 $10,000,000 / (1.05) 2 = $ 9,070,295 Total $10,929,705 #5 - zero-coupon bond ($15 million – 3 years) FV = PV * (1 + i) ^ n PV = FV / (1 + i) ^ n Year FV $0 1 Present Value (discount 15%) $0 2 $0 $0 3 $15,000,000 $15,000,000 / (1.15) 3 = $ 9,860,000 Total $9,860,000 #5 - zero-coupon bond ($15 million – 3 years) FV = PV * (1 + i) ^ n PV = FV / (1 + i) ^ n Year FV $0 1 Present Value (assuming 5%) $0 2 $0 $0 3 $15,000,000 $15,000,000 / (1.05) 3 = $ 12,957,562 Total $12,957,562