26‐May‐11 PRELIMINARY RESUPRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Click on PDF or Excel link above for additional tables containing more detail and breakdowns by filing status and demographic groups. Table T11‐0127 Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $0 Baseline: Current Law 1 Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile, 2011 Summary Table Tax Units with Tax Increase or Cut Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All With Tax Cut Percent of Tax Average Tax Units Cut 4 With Tax Increase Percent of Tax Average Tax Units Increase Percent Change in After‐Tax 5 Income 6 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change ($) Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 10.6 4.1 0.6 0.1 * 3.9 ‐372 ‐324 ‐345 ‐366 ** ‐360 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74.9 21.0 3.1 0.3 0.1 100.0 ‐40 ‐13 ‐2 0 0 ‐14 ‐0.4 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.6 12.4 16.5 23.1 18.1 * * * 0.1 * ** ** ** ‐298 ** 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.1 21.1 23.0 27.6 30.8 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban‐Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0411‐1). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.3 Proposal: 4.3 * Less than 0.05 ** Insufficient data (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal reduces refundability threshold of the child tax credit from $3,000 to $0. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The breaks are (in 2011 dollars): 20% $16,812, 40% $33,542, 60% $59,486, 80% $103,465, 90% $163,173, 95% $210,998, 99% $532,613, 99.9% $2,178,886. (4) Includes both filing and non‐filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After‐tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26‐May‐11 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T11‐0127 Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $0 Baseline: Current Law 1 Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile, 2011 Detail Table Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Percent Change in After‐Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 10.6 4.1 0.6 0.1 * 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74.9 21.0 3.1 0.3 0.1 100.0 ‐40 ‐13 ‐2 0 0 ‐14 ‐52.8 ‐0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.6 9.3 18.1 69.8 100.0 ‐0.4 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.6 12.4 16.5 23.1 18.1 * * * 0.1 * 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.2 11.4 17.6 25.7 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.1 21.1 23.0 27.6 30.8 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes 1 by Cash Income Percentile, 2011 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After‐ Tax Income5 (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Rate6 Share of Pre‐ Tax Income Share of Post‐ Tax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total Number (thousands) Percent of Total 43,661 36,819 32,344 26,761 23,243 163,869 26.6 22.5 19.7 16.3 14.2 100.0 9,187 24,603 44,639 79,524 251,746 65,357 75 1,396 5,535 13,078 58,051 11,811 9,112 23,207 39,103 66,446 193,695 53,546 0.8 5.7 12.4 16.5 23.1 18.1 3.8 8.5 13.5 19.9 54.6 100.0 4.5 9.7 14.4 20.3 51.3 100.0 0.2 2.7 9.3 18.1 69.7 100.0 11,775 5,676 4,619 1,173 120 7.2 3.5 2.8 0.7 0.1 130,276 183,757 320,086 1,530,773 6,859,873 24,880 38,750 73,656 422,915 2,113,342 105,397 145,007 246,430 1,107,857 4,746,531 19.1 21.1 23.0 27.6 30.8 14.3 9.7 13.8 16.8 7.7 14.1 9.4 13.0 14.8 6.5 15.1 11.4 17.6 25.6 13.1 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban‐Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0411‐1). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.3 Proposal: 4.3 * Less than 0.05 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal reduces refundability threshold of the child tax credit from $3,000 to $0. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The breaks are (in 2011 dollars): 20% $16,812, 40% $33,542, 60% $59,486, 80% $103,465, 90% $163,173, 95% $210,998, 99% $532,613, 99.9% $2,178,886. (4) Includes both filing and non‐filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After‐tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26‐May‐11 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T11‐0127 Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $0 Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 1 Detail Table Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Percent Change in After‐Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 15.6 1.9 0.2 * * 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.4 8.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0 ‐57 ‐6 ‐1 0 0 ‐14 18.1 ‐0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 ‐0.7 1.4 7.5 17.1 74.6 100.0 ‐0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ‐4.4 3.5 11.1 15.9 23.0 18.1 0.0 * * * * 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.2 12.6 18.9 26.9 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.3 20.8 22.9 27.4 30.5 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes 1 by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After‐ Tax Income5 (Dollars) Average Federal Share of Pre‐ Tax Income Share of Post‐ Tax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total 6 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 36,119 34,184 32,894 30,355 29,277 163,869 22.0 20.9 20.1 18.5 17.9 100.0 8,514 21,971 39,696 68,751 214,472 65,357 ‐315 776 4,424 10,904 49,230 11,811 8,828 21,195 35,272 57,847 165,243 53,546 ‐3.7 3.5 11.2 15.9 23.0 18.1 2.9 7.0 12.2 19.5 58.6 100.0 3.6 8.3 13.2 20.0 55.1 100.0 ‐0.6 1.4 7.5 17.1 74.5 100.0 14,737 7,285 5,822 1,433 144 9.0 4.5 3.6 0.9 0.1 109,930 160,327 274,602 1,320,449 5,985,092 21,263 33,381 62,805 362,231 1,824,622 88,668 126,946 211,797 958,218 4,160,469 19.3 20.8 22.9 27.4 30.5 15.1 10.9 14.9 17.7 8.0 14.9 10.5 14.1 15.7 6.8 16.2 12.6 18.9 26.8 13.6 Tax Rate Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban‐Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0411‐1). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.3 Proposal: 4.3 * Less than 0.05 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal reduces refundability threshold of the child tax credit from $3,000 to $0. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2011 dollars): 20% $11,688, 40% $22,351, 60% $38,055, 80% $65,353, 90% $95,935, 95% $134,201, 99% $335,779, 99.9% $1,350,445. (4) Includes both filing and non‐filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After‐tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26‐May‐11 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T11‐0127 Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $0 Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 1 Detail Table ‐ Single Tax Units Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Percent Change in After‐Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 3.9 0.3 * * 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.8 4.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 100.0 ‐14 ‐1 0 0 0 ‐4 ‐6.1 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1 4.3 12.5 21.2 60.8 100.0 ‐0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 6.2 12.2 17.5 23.5 17.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.9 8.1 14.8 20.1 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.9 21.6 22.5 28.7 33.6 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes 1 by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After‐ Tax Income5 (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Rate6 Share of Pre‐ Tax Income Share of Post‐ Tax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total Number (thousands) Percent of Total 23,744 19,342 15,928 11,766 8,867 80,235 29.6 24.1 19.9 14.7 11.1 100.0 6,815 17,082 30,098 48,403 137,269 34,300 229 1,057 3,678 8,473 32,269 5,868 6,586 16,025 26,420 39,929 105,000 28,432 3.4 6.2 12.2 17.5 23.5 17.1 5.9 12.0 17.4 20.7 44.2 100.0 6.9 13.6 18.5 20.6 40.8 100.0 1.2 4.3 12.4 21.2 60.8 100.0 5,214 1,603 1,667 383 33 6.5 2.0 2.1 0.5 0.0 77,390 109,752 185,341 857,687 4,190,532 16,150 23,741 41,722 246,051 1,406,314 61,240 86,012 143,619 611,637 2,784,219 20.9 21.6 22.5 28.7 33.6 14.7 6.4 11.2 12.0 5.0 14.0 6.0 10.5 10.3 4.0 17.9 8.1 14.8 20.0 9.8 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban‐Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0411‐1). * Less than 0.05 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal reduces refundability threshold of the child tax credit from $3,000 to $0. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2011 dollars): 20% $11,688, 40% $22,351, 60% $38,055, 80% $65,353, 90% $95,935, 95% $134,201, 99% $335,779, 99.9% $1,350,445. (4) Includes both filing and non‐filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After‐tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26‐May‐11 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T11‐0127 Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $0 Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 1 Detail Table ‐ Married Tax Units Filing Jointly Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Percent Change in After‐Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 24.0 3.4 0.3 0.1 * 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 79.2 15.3 2.1 0.6 0.2 100.0 ‐91 ‐11 ‐1 0 0 ‐8 8.8 ‐1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ‐0.4 0.4 4.4 14.6 80.9 100.0 ‐0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ‐8.8 2.9 10.0 15.0 22.8 19.5 * * 0.0 0.1 * 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.7 14.6 21.1 29.5 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.7 20.7 23.0 27.1 29.8 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes 1 by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After‐ Tax Income5 (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Rate6 Share of Pre‐ Tax Income Share of Post‐ Tax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total Number (thousands) Percent of Total 4,201 6,521 11,254 15,448 18,895 56,662 7.4 11.5 19.9 27.3 33.4 100.0 12,701 30,924 52,021 84,707 252,901 122,041 ‐1,028 897 5,224 12,695 57,576 23,755 13,729 30,027 46,797 72,012 195,325 98,286 ‐8.1 2.9 10.0 15.0 22.8 19.5 0.8 2.9 8.5 18.9 69.1 100.0 1.0 3.5 9.5 20.0 66.3 100.0 ‐0.3 0.4 4.4 14.6 80.8 100.0 8,587 5,392 3,925 992 102 15.2 9.5 6.9 1.8 0.2 131,394 176,360 314,670 1,476,527 6,440,391 24,593 36,419 72,316 399,812 1,921,840 106,801 139,941 242,354 1,076,714 4,518,551 18.7 20.7 23.0 27.1 29.8 16.3 13.8 17.9 21.2 9.5 16.5 13.6 17.1 19.2 8.3 15.7 14.6 21.1 29.5 14.6 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban‐Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0411‐1). * Less than 0.05 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal reduces refundability threshold of the child tax credit from $3,000 to $0. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2011 dollars): 20% $11,688, 40% $22,351, 60% $38,055, 80% $65,353, 90% $95,935, 95% $134,201, 99% $335,779, 99.9% $1,350,445. (4) Includes both filing and non‐filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After‐tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26‐May‐11 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T11‐0127 Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $0 Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 1 Detail Table ‐ Head of Household Tax Units Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Percent Change in After‐Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 46.1 4.7 0.8 0.1 * 16.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 91.4 7.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0 ‐168 ‐14 ‐3 0 0 ‐60 10.6 12.3 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 ‐1.9 ‐2.0 ‐0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.0 ‐18.0 ‐1.3 31.2 37.0 51.0 100.0 ‐1.5 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 ‐0.2 ‐15.5 ‐0.5 11.2 16.5 22.5 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 * 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 ‐1 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 17.0 9.1 11.0 13.9 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.3 21.4 22.0 27.5 30.6 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes 1 by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After‐ Tax Income5 (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Rate6 Share of Pre‐ Tax Income Share of Post‐ Tax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total Number (thousands) Percent of Total 7,953 7,879 4,968 2,487 1,050 24,414 32.6 32.3 20.4 10.2 4.3 100.0 11,391 26,611 43,368 69,930 167,924 35,432 ‐1,592 ‐112 4,872 11,553 37,699 3,238 12,983 26,723 38,496 58,377 130,225 32,194 ‐14.0 ‐0.4 11.2 16.5 22.5 9.1 10.5 24.2 24.9 20.1 20.4 100.0 13.1 26.8 24.3 18.5 17.4 100.0 ‐16.0 ‐1.1 30.6 36.4 50.1 100.0 643 223 151 33 3 2.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 101,291 148,577 255,857 1,194,732 5,612,443 20,511 31,745 56,224 328,175 1,714,451 80,780 116,832 199,633 866,557 3,897,992 20.3 21.4 22.0 27.5 30.6 7.5 3.8 4.5 4.6 2.0 6.6 3.3 3.9 3.6 1.6 16.7 9.0 10.8 13.7 6.8 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban‐Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0411‐1). * Less than 0.05 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal reduces refundability threshold of the child tax credit from $3,000 to $0. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2011 dollars): 20% $11,688, 40% $22,351, 60% $38,055, 80% $65,353, 90% $95,935, 95% $134,201, 99% $335,779, 99.9% $1,350,445. (4) Includes both filing and non‐filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After‐tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26‐May‐11 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T11‐0127 Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $0 Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 1 Detail Table ‐ Tax Units with Children Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Percent Change in After‐Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 50.9 5.6 0.7 0.1 * 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 89.0 9.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0 ‐187 ‐17 ‐2 0 0 ‐42 8.4 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 ‐0.3 ‐0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 ‐3.1 ‐0.4 8.0 19.5 76.0 100.0 ‐1.5 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 ‐0.1 ‐19.7 ‐1.0 11.4 16.3 23.9 17.7 * * * 0.1 * 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 18.5 11.7 19.9 25.9 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.1 21.4 24.5 28.8 31.2 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes 1 by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After‐ Tax Income5 (Dollars) Average Federal Share of Pre‐ Tax Income Share of Post‐ Tax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total 6 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 9,624 10,630 9,718 9,731 8,493 48,380 19.9 22.0 20.1 20.1 17.6 100.0 12,221 30,191 53,686 91,659 279,232 87,155 ‐2,225 ‐294 6,138 14,941 66,777 15,470 14,446 30,485 47,547 76,717 212,456 71,685 ‐18.2 ‐1.0 11.4 16.3 23.9 17.8 2.8 7.6 12.4 21.2 56.2 100.0 4.0 9.3 13.3 21.5 52.0 100.0 ‐2.9 ‐0.4 8.0 19.4 75.8 100.0 4,479 1,994 1,626 394 37 9.3 4.1 3.4 0.8 0.1 153,349 204,015 372,645 1,704,575 8,017,842 30,844 43,653 91,309 490,785 2,498,500 122,505 160,362 281,335 1,213,790 5,519,342 20.1 21.4 24.5 28.8 31.2 16.3 9.7 14.4 15.9 7.0 15.8 9.2 13.2 13.8 5.9 18.5 11.6 19.8 25.9 12.3 Tax Rate Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban‐Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0411‐1). * Less than 0.05 Note: Tax units with children are those claiming an exemption for children at home or away from home. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal reduces refundability threshold of the child tax credit from $3,000 to $0. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2011 dollars): 20% $11,688, 40% $22,351, 60% $38,055, 80% $65,353, 90% $95,935, 95% $134,201, 99% $335,779, 99.9% $1,350,445. (4) Includes both filing and non‐filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After‐tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26‐May‐11 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T11‐0127 Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $0 Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 1 Detail Table ‐ Elderly Tax Units Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Percent Change in After‐Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 0.1 0.8 0.2 * * 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 78.7 14.1 1.6 0.8 100.0 0 ‐3 ‐1 0 0 ‐1 ‐0.5 ‐1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.4 12.3 83.8 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 3.7 9.3 20.2 14.2 0.0 * 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 13.2 20.3 37.9 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7 16.7 19.5 26.8 31.1 Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes 1 by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2011 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After‐ Tax Income5 (Dollars) Average Federal Share of Pre‐ Tax Income Share of Post‐ Tax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total 6 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 5,318 8,941 8,299 6,547 6,397 35,530 15.0 25.2 23.4 18.4 18.0 100.0 8,514 17,755 35,781 64,256 208,223 63,396 54 161 1,305 6,002 41,958 9,019 8,461 17,594 34,476 58,255 166,265 54,378 0.6 0.9 3.7 9.3 20.2 14.2 2.0 7.1 13.2 18.7 59.1 100.0 2.3 8.1 14.8 19.7 55.1 100.0 0.1 0.5 3.4 12.3 83.8 100.0 2,978 1,695 1,338 387 39 8.4 4.8 3.8 1.1 0.1 97,974 149,233 249,438 1,173,369 5,341,288 13,430 24,848 48,556 313,863 1,658,361 84,544 124,386 200,882 859,506 3,682,926 13.7 16.7 19.5 26.8 31.1 13.0 11.2 14.8 20.1 9.2 13.0 10.9 13.9 17.2 7.4 12.5 13.2 20.3 37.9 20.1 Tax Rate Addendum 80‐90 90‐95 95‐99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban‐Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0411‐1). * Less than 0.05 Note: Elderly tax units are those with either head or spouse (if filing jointly) age 65 or older. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal reduces refundability threshold of the child tax credit from $3,000 to $0. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2011 dollars): 20% $11,688, 40% $22,351, 60% $38,055, 80% $65,353, 90% $95,935, 95% $134,201, 99% $335,779, 99.9% $1,350,445. (4) Includes both filing and non‐filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After‐tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.