10-May-06 PRELIMINARY RESULTS -- UPDATED Lowest Quintile Second Quintile

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10-May-06

Cash Income

Percentile

2

Lowest Quintile

Second Quintile

Middle Quintile

Fourth Quintile

Top Quintile

All

Addendum

Top 10 Percent

Top 5 Percent

Top 1 Percent

Top 0.5 Percent

Top 0.1 Percent

PRELIMINARY RESULTS -- UPDATED

Table T06-0086

Conference Agreement on the Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act of 2005

Fully-Phased In Impact of Major Provisions at 2006 Income Levels

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile

1

Percent of Tax Units

3

With Tax

Cut

With Tax

Increase

6.7

14.1

19.9

38.3

80.4

32.0

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.3

0.1

Percent

Change in

After-Tax

Income

4

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.2

1.5

0.9

Share of

Total

Federal Tax

Change

Average Federal Tax Change

Dollars Percent

0.0

0.3

0.9

5.2

93.6

100.0

0

-7

-20

-117

-2,119

-453

-0.1

-0.5

-0.4

-1.0

-4.4

-3.4

Share of Federal Taxes

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.4

-0.8

0.0

0.4

2.3

8.0

17.7

71.4

100.0

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

Average Federal Tax Rate

5

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

0.0

0.0

-0.1

-0.2

-1.1

-0.7

3.3

7.5

14.4

18.5

24.4

20.6

91.9

96.2

95.4

96.8

99.6

0.4

0.6

0.4

0.1

0.0

1.8

1.9

1.7

1.9

2.4

79.8

64.0

31.1

26.1

18.5

-3,613

-5,797

-14,094

-23,608

-83,966

-4.8

-4.9

-4.0

-4.2

-4.8

-0.8

-0.7

-0.2

-0.2

-0.2

55.8

43.7

26.0

21.0

12.7

-1.3

-1.4

-1.2

-1.3

-1.6

25.7

26.9

29.1

29.8

31.3

Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Percentile, 2006

1

Cash Income

Percentile

2

Lowest Quintile

Second Quintile

Middle Quintile

Fourth Quintile

Top Quintile

All

Number

(thousands)

28,703

29,289

29,279

29,283

29,282

146,417

Tax Units

3

Percent of

Total

19.6

20.0

20.0

20.0

20.0

100.0

Average

Income

(Dollars)

7,923

20,116

35,940

62,270

189,863

62,970

Average

Federal Tax

Burden

(Dollars)

265

1,513

5,180

11,614

48,401

13,418

Average

After-Tax

Income

4

(Dollars)

7,659

18,603

30,761

50,656

141,462

49,552

Average

Federal Tax

Rate

5

3.3

7.5

14.4

18.7

25.5

21.3

Share of Pre-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

2.5

6.4

11.4

19.8

60.3

100.0

Share of Post-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

3.0

7.5

12.4

20.5

57.1

100.0

Share of

Federal Taxes

Percent of

Total

0.4

2.3

7.7

17.3

72.1

100.0

Addendum

Top 10 Percent

Top 5 Percent

Top 1 Percent

Top 0.5 Percent

Top 0.1 Percent

14,642

7,323

1,464

732

146

10.0

5.0

1.0

0.5

0.1

281,205

421,832

1,159,675

1,825,082

5,274,153

75,989

119,075

351,130

567,752

1,734,728

205,216

302,757

808,546

1,257,330

3,539,426

27.0

28.2

30.3

31.1

32.9

44.7

33.5

18.4

14.5

8.4

41.4

30.6

16.3

12.7

7.1

56.6

44.4

26.2

21.2

12.9

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0305-3A).

(1) Calendar year. Provisions include: increase the individual alternative minimum tax (AMT) exemption to $62,550 for married couples filing a joint return, $42,500 for singles and heads of household, and $31,275 for married individuals filing a separate return; allow personal non-refundable credits against the regular tax and AMT, regardless of tentative AMT; extend the reduction in the tax rate on qualifying dividends and long-term capital gains to 15 percent (the rate for individuals in the 10- and 15-percent brackets would be 0 percent); section 179 expensing provisions. Also includes the present value of the tax savings from the Roth IRA conversion provision. Because of the ability to convert non-deductible IRAs to Roths, we model the provision as effectively removing the income limitation on contributions to Roth IRAs. The amount of conversion activity has been calibrated to match the revenue estimate from the Joint Committee on Taxation dated March 1, 2006 and published at http://www.cbpp.org/4-25-06tax.htm. Baseline is current law without the provisions described above that are already in place for 2006.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest quintile but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units. Tax units that are dependents of other taxpayers are excluded from the analysis.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

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