1-Mar-16 PRELIMINARY RESULTS

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1-Mar-16
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Click on PDF or Excel link above for additional tables containing more detail and breakdowns by filing status and demographic groups.
Table T16-0038
Repeal Childless EITC
Baseline: Current Law
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Percentile, 2015 ¹
Summary Table
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Tax Units with Tax Increase or Cut 4
With Tax Cut
Pct of Tax Units
Avg Tax Cut
With Tax Increase
Avg Tax
Pct of Tax Units
Increase
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income5
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
Average
Federal Tax
Change ($)
Average Federal Tax Rate6
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11.8
1.9
0.5
0.1
*
3.9
298
270
284
280
**
295
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
85.3
10.0
2.5
0.5
0.0
100.0
35
5
1
0
0
11
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.8
7.8
13.1
17.0
25.7
19.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
*
*
0.0
0.0
0.0
**
**
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
20.0
21.8
25.2
33.4
34.9
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2).
Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.1
Proposal: 4.1
* Less than 0.05
** Insufficient data
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm
(2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class
but are included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) The income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The breaks are (in 2015
dollars): 20% $22,769; 40% $44,590; 60% $78,129; 80% $138,265; 90% $204,070; 95% $290,298; 99% $709,166; 99.9% $3,474,762.
(4) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value.
(5) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes.
(6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash
income.
1-Mar-16
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T16-0038
Repeal Childless EITC
Baseline: Current Law
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Percentile, 2015 ¹
Detail Table
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Percent of Tax Units4
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income5
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
Percent
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (% Points)
Under the
Proposal
Average Federal Tax Rate6
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
11.8
1.9
0.5
0.1
*
3.9
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
85.3
10.0
2.5
0.5
0.0
100.0
35
5
1
0
0
11
7.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
0.8
3.4
9.2
17.5
68.9
100.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.8
7.8
13.1
17.0
25.7
19.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
*
*
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
14.3
10.8
15.9
27.9
13.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
20.0
21.8
25.2
33.4
34.9
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Expanded Cash Income Percentile, 2015 ¹
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Tax Units
Pre-Tax Income
Federal Tax Burden
Percent of
Total
47,416
37,240
33,429
28,192
23,717
171,259
27.7
21.7
19.5
16.5
13.9
100.0
12,939
32,747
59,484
103,603
321,278
83,723
4.3
8.5
13.9
20.4
53.1
100.0
461
2,556
7,797
17,641
82,593
16,582
0.8
3.4
9.2
17.5
69.0
100.0
12,478
30,191
51,687
85,961
238,685
67,140
5.2
9.8
15.0
21.1
49.2
100.0
3.6
7.8
13.1
17.0
25.7
19.8
12,247
5,921
4,422
1,128
115
7.2
3.5
2.6
0.7
0.1
166,149
239,064
405,492
2,107,531
9,446,793
14.2
9.9
12.5
16.6
7.6
33,144
52,005
102,219
703,303
3,297,476
14.3
10.8
15.9
27.9
13.4
133,005
187,059
303,273
1,404,229
6,149,316
14.2
9.6
11.7
13.8
6.2
20.0
21.8
25.2
33.4
34.9
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 6
Number
(thousands)
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
After-Tax Income 5
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2).
Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.1
Proposal: 4.1
* Less than 0.05
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm
(2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included
in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) The income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The breaks are (in 2015 dollars): 20%
$22,769; 40% $44,590; 60% $78,129; 80% $138,265; 90% $204,070; 95% $290,298; 99% $709,166; 99.9% $3,474,762.
(4) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value.
(5) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes.
(6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income.
1-Mar-16
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T16-0038
Repeal Childless EITC
Baseline: Current Law
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Detail Table
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Percent of Tax Units4
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income5
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
Percent
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
Average Federal Tax Rate6
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
12.6
3.7
1.0
0.2
*
3.9
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
75.5
16.8
5.0
0.9
0.1
100.0
39
9
3
1
0
11
-153.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
0.0
2.1
7.5
16.8
73.4
100.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
5.9
12.0
16.5
25.4
19.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
*
*
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
15.3
11.9
17.4
28.8
14.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
19.8
21.7
24.8
33.2
34.9
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Tax Units
Pre-Tax Income
Federal Tax Burden
Percent of
Total
38,028
35,628
34,157
32,072
30,108
171,259
22.2
20.8
19.9
18.7
17.6
100.0
12,075
28,678
52,104
89,964
272,883
83,723
3.2
7.1
12.4
20.1
57.3
100.0
-25
1,671
6,236
14,840
69,295
16,582
0.0
2.1
7.5
16.8
73.5
100.0
12,100
27,007
45,868
75,124
203,588
67,140
4.0
8.4
13.6
21.0
53.3
100.0
-0.2
5.8
12.0
16.5
25.4
19.8
15,501
7,544
5,739
1,324
136
9.1
4.4
3.4
0.8
0.1
141,954
205,634
347,512
1,865,759
8,376,926
15.4
10.8
13.9
17.2
7.9
28,082
44,642
86,275
618,786
2,921,905
15.3
11.9
17.4
28.8
14.0
113,872
160,992
261,238
1,246,973
5,455,020
15.4
10.6
13.0
14.4
6.4
19.8
21.7
24.8
33.2
34.9
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 6
Number
(thousands)
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
After-Tax Income 5
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2).
Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.1
Proposal: 4.1
* Less than 0.05
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm
(2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are
included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) The income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for
family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2015 dollars): 20% $15,703; 40% $29,565; 60% $50,184; 80% $84,118; 90% $122,704;
95% $171,602; 99% $405,273; 99.9% $2,000,055.
(4) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value.
(5) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes.
(6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income.
1-Mar-16
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T16-0038
Repeal Childless EITC
Baseline: Current Law
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Detail Table - Single Tax Units
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Percent of Tax Units4
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income5
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
Percent
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (% Points)
Under the
Proposal
Average Federal Tax Rate6
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
16.7
5.2
1.0
0.2
*
6.6
-0.6
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
79.0
15.8
3.2
0.5
0.0
100.0
51
12
3
1
0
19
10.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
2.1
5.6
13.7
22.0
56.3
100.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5.9
7.9
13.6
17.8
25.5
18.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
*
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
16.3
9.9
12.0
18.1
9.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
21.0
22.4
25.2
35.4
36.4
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Tax Units
Pre-Tax Income
Federal Tax Burden
Percent of
Total
25,695
21,192
17,313
12,893
8,920
86,656
29.7
24.5
20.0
14.9
10.3
100.0
9,457
22,491
39,633
64,900
167,774
43,186
6.5
12.7
18.3
22.4
40.0
100.0
502
1,771
5,366
11,573
42,760
7,797
1.9
5.6
13.8
22.1
56.5
100.0
8,955
20,720
34,266
53,327
125,015
35,389
7.5
14.3
19.3
22.4
36.4
100.0
5.3
7.9
13.5
17.8
25.5
18.1
5,197
2,099
1,381
244
29
6.0
2.4
1.6
0.3
0.0
101,295
143,204
234,173
1,421,673
6,021,732
14.1
8.0
8.6
9.3
4.7
21,250
32,002
58,941
502,740
2,193,630
16.3
9.9
12.1
18.1
9.6
80,045
111,202
175,233
918,933
3,828,103
13.6
7.6
7.9
7.3
3.7
21.0
22.4
25.2
35.4
36.4
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 6
Number
(thousands)
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
After-Tax Income 5
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2).
* Less than 0.05
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm
(2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included
in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) The income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family
size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2015 dollars): 20% $15,703; 40% $29,565; 60% $50,184; 80% $84,118; 90% $122,704; 95%
$171,602; 99% $405,273; 99.9% $2,000,055.
(4) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value.
(5) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes.
(6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income.
1-Mar-16
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T16-0038
Repeal Childless EITC
Baseline: Current Law
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Detail Table - Married Tax Units Filing Jointly
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Percent of Tax Units4
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income5
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
Percent
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (% Points)
Under the
Proposal
Average Federal Tax Rate6
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
8.7
2.9
1.4
0.2
*
1.5
-0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
54.5
22.3
15.9
3.5
0.4
100.0
31
9
4
1
0
5
-8.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.7
4.1
13.9
81.2
100.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-1.7
5.3
10.9
15.7
25.3
21.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
*
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
15.1
12.9
20.2
33.0
15.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
19.3
21.5
24.7
32.7
34.5
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Tax Units
Pre-Tax Income
Federal Tax Burden
Percent of
Total
4,905
6,750
10,804
15,659
19,462
58,086
8.4
11.6
18.6
27.0
33.5
100.0
18,253
40,357
68,754
110,771
324,150
157,102
1.0
3.0
8.1
19.0
69.1
100.0
-349
2,121
7,496
17,419
82,042
33,862
-0.1
0.7
4.1
13.9
81.2
100.0
18,602
38,236
61,258
93,352
242,107
123,240
1.3
3.6
9.3
20.4
65.8
100.0
-1.9
5.3
10.9
15.7
25.3
21.6
9,257
5,048
4,141
1,017
97
15.9
8.7
7.1
1.8
0.2
166,177
233,596
388,188
1,951,482
9,014,806
16.9
12.9
17.6
21.7
9.6
31,993
50,239
95,977
638,970
3,113,797
15.1
12.9
20.2
33.0
15.3
134,184
183,357
292,211
1,312,512
5,901,009
17.4
12.9
16.9
18.6
8.0
19.3
21.5
24.7
32.7
34.5
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 6
Number
(thousands)
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
After-Tax Income 5
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2).
* Less than 0.05
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm
(2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included
in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) The income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family
size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2015 dollars): 20% $15,703; 40% $29,565; 60% $50,184; 80% $84,118; 90% $122,704; 95%
$171,602; 99% $405,273; 99.9% $2,000,055.
(4) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value.
(5) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes.
(6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income.
1-Mar-16
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T16-0038
Repeal Childless EITC
Baseline: Current Law
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Detail Table - Head of Household Tax Units
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Percent of Tax Units4
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income5
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
Percent
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (% Points)
Under the
Proposal
Average Federal Tax Rate6
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
81.9
16.1
1.5
0.0
0.0
100.0
2
0
0
0
0
1
-0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-9.3
4.3
24.9
33.4
46.6
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-10.3
2.2
10.6
16.9
24.9
11.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
15.9
8.3
7.5
14.9
8.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
20.9
22.3
25.3
33.5
35.1
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Tax Units
Pre-Tax Income
Federal Tax Burden
Percent of
Total
7,078
7,166
5,322
2,873
1,147
23,633
30.0
30.3
22.5
12.2
4.9
100.0
17,338
36,153
59,958
93,405
221,264
51,742
10.0
21.2
26.1
21.9
20.8
100.0
-1,781
810
6,341
15,743
55,020
5,728
-9.3
4.3
24.9
33.4
46.6
100.0
19,119
35,343
53,616
77,662
166,243
46,014
12.4
23.3
26.2
20.5
17.5
100.0
-10.3
2.2
10.6
16.9
24.9
11.1
738
256
124
29
3
3.1
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
139,577
195,007
324,617
2,112,681
10,757,795
8.4
4.1
3.3
4.9
2.7
29,149
43,560
82,098
706,817
3,777,035
15.9
8.3
7.5
14.9
8.5
110,428
151,446
242,520
1,405,864
6,980,760
7.5
3.6
2.8
3.7
2.0
20.9
22.3
25.3
33.5
35.1
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 6
Number
(thousands)
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
After-Tax Income 5
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2).
* Less than 0.05
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm
(2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included
in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) The income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family
size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2015 dollars): 20% $15,703; 40% $29,565; 60% $50,184; 80% $84,118; 90% $122,704; 95%
$171,602; 99% $405,273; 99.9% $2,000,055.
(4) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value.
(5) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes.
(6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income.
1-Mar-16
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T16-0038
Repeal Childless EITC
Baseline: Current Law
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Detail Table - Tax Units with Children
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Percent of Tax Units4
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income5
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
Percent
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
Average Federal Tax Rate6
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
30.9
28.9
1.1
0.0
0.0
100.0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-1.5
1.0
7.1
16.9
76.4
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-9.4
2.8
11.6
16.9
26.2
19.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
15.0
11.5
18.6
31.2
14.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
20.1
22.3
25.9
33.4
34.6
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Tax Units
Pre-Tax Income
Federal Tax Burden
Percent of
Total
10,060
10,242
10,174
9,772
9,316
49,840
20.2
20.6
20.4
19.6
18.7
100.0
18,362
40,092
71,124
121,436
371,025
119,143
3.1
6.9
12.2
20.0
58.2
100.0
-1,728
1,140
8,219
20,482
97,055
23,760
-1.5
1.0
7.1
16.9
76.4
100.0
20,090
38,952
62,905
100,954
273,970
95,383
4.3
8.4
13.5
20.8
53.7
100.0
-9.4
2.8
11.6
16.9
26.2
19.9
4,698
2,272
1,868
478
46
9.4
4.6
3.8
1.0
0.1
188,026
270,318
456,133
2,317,833
10,560,871
14.9
10.4
14.4
18.6
8.2
37,736
60,144
118,016
774,331
3,649,089
15.0
11.5
18.6
31.2
14.3
150,289
210,174
338,118
1,543,502
6,911,782
14.9
10.1
13.3
15.5
6.7
20.1
22.3
25.9
33.4
34.6
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 6
Number
(thousands)
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
After-Tax Income 5
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2).
* Less than 0.05
Note: Tax units with children are those claiming an exemption for children at home or away from home.
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm
(2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are
included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) The income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for
family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2015 dollars): 20% $15,703; 40% $29,565; 60% $50,184; 80% $84,118; 90% $122,704;
95% $171,602; 99% $405,273; 99.9% $2,000,055.
(4) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value.
(5) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes.
(6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income.
1-Mar-16
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T16-0038
Repeal Childless EITC
Baseline: Current Law
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Detail Table - Elderly Tax Units
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Percent of Tax Units4
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income5
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
Percent
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
Average Federal Tax Rate6
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.3
0.6
*
*
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
26.9
29.7
37.7
1.7
0.8
100.0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
1.2
4.5
13.2
80.4
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.5
2.5
5.6
11.3
25.1
17.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
13.4
10.5
15.5
40.9
22.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
16.6
19.7
23.6
33.9
35.6
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Expanded Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2015 ¹
Expanded Cash Income
Percentile2,3
Lowest Quintile
Second Quintile
Middle Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Top Quintile
All
Tax Units
Pre-Tax Income
Federal Tax Burden
Percent of
Total
6,747
10,548
8,773
7,376
6,116
40,001
16.9
26.4
21.9
18.4
15.3
100.0
11,475
24,187
46,526
80,917
266,492
73,992
2.6
8.6
13.8
20.2
55.1
100.0
167
596
2,619
9,111
66,824
12,713
0.2
1.2
4.5
13.2
80.4
100.0
11,309
23,591
43,907
71,806
199,669
61,279
3.1
10.2
15.7
21.6
49.8
100.0
1.5
2.5
5.6
11.3
25.1
17.2
3,247
1,466
1,076
328
42
8.1
3.7
2.7
0.8
0.1
126,674
184,805
310,833
1,872,660
7,547,908
13.9
9.2
11.3
20.7
10.8
21,045
36,468
73,287
635,323
2,687,501
13.4
10.5
15.5
40.9
22.4
105,629
148,338
237,545
1,237,337
4,860,407
14.0
8.9
10.4
16.5
8.4
16.6
19.7
23.6
33.9
35.6
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 6
Number
(thousands)
Average (dollars)
Percent of
Total
After-Tax Income 5
Addendum
80-90
90-95
95-99
Top 1 Percent
Top 0.1 Percent
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2).
* Less than 0.05
Note: Elderly tax units are those with either head or spouse (if filing jointly) age 65 or older.
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm
(2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are
included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) The income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for
family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2015 dollars): 20% $15,703; 40% $29,565; 60% $50,184; 80% $84,118; 90% $122,704;
95% $171,602; 99% $405,273; 99.9% $2,000,055.
(4) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value.
(5) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes.
(6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income.
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