CHARTERED INSTITUTE OF STOCKBROKERS ANSWERS Examination Paper 1.2 Corporate Finance Equity Valuation and Analysis Fixed Income Valuation and Analysis Professional Examination September 2010 Level 1 1 SECTION A: MULTI CHOICE QUESTIONS B B C A D A A B B D D A A A D 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 A D C C A D A A B C A B D A A 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 C A B D C D B A C D C C A B D 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 D A B A A A A A B C B C B C D (60 marks) SECTION B: SHORT ANSWER QUESTIONS Question 2 - Corporate Finance 2(a) i. ii. iii. iv. v. vi. remuneration linked to minimum profit level remuneration linked to economic value added (EVA) remuneration linked to turnover growth executive share option scheme(ESOP) compliance with requirements of corporate governance codes compliance with stock exchange listing requirements and other regulations ½ mark for each point (Maximum 2 marks) 2(b) Modigliani and Miller’s theory on capital structure when there is taxation concludes that gearing up the capital structure reduces WACC and increases the market value of a company. It suggests that the optimal capital structure is 99.9% gearing. (1 mark) 2 Question 3 – Equity Valuation and Analysis 3(a) i. ii. iii. iv. Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing rate of earnings retention (or conversely reducing payout ratio). return on equity. gearing (which increases ROE if market conditions are favorable). volume of business while reducing cost (this also raises ROE). ½ mark for each point (Maximum 1 mark) 3(b) i. ii. iii. iv. v. Book values are subject to accounting policies (which are not uniform); this makes intercompany comparisons difficult. Book values could easily be manipulated. There is usually little correlation between book values of assets and the earnings generating capacity of a business. Meanwhile earnings / cash generating capacity is the key issue in valuation. Book values neglect inflation. Book value of assets is a function of the industry/business. For instance, a consulting firm requires few physical assets compared to a manufacturing company. ½ mark for each point (Maximum 2 marks) 3(c) i. ii. iii. iv. v. Privatization deepens the capital market by increasing the number of securities available for trading. Enhances transparency and accountability. Enhances efficiency of operations. Assists in poverty alleviation through wealth creation for shareholders. Creates a sense of belonging to the community ½ mark for each point (Maximum 1 mark) Question 4 – Fixed Income Valuation and Analysis 4(a) Yield to worst is the lowest potential yield that can be received on a bond without the issuer actually defaulting. This metric is used to evaluate the worst-case scenario for yield to help investors manage risks and ensure that specific income requirements will still be met even in the worst scenarios. (1 mark) 3 4(b) i. ii. iii. iv. Investors education. Deepening the secondary market and trading platform for bonds. Creation of more bond-focused funds. Encouraging more companies to access funds through the bond market. ½ mark for each point (Maximum 2 mark) SECTION C: COMPLUSORY QUESTIONS Question 5 - Corporate Finance a) Computation of NPV Year Item 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Machine Profit Depreciation 240,000 240,000 240,000 240,000 240,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 Tax on profit@ 30% (72,000) (72,000) (72,000) (72,000) (72,000) Cash flow D/F @10% Present Value (500,000) 340,000 268,000 268,000 268,000 268,000 (72,000) 1 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683 0.621 0.564 (500,000) 309,060 221,368 201,268 183,044 166,428 (40,608) NPV 540,560 The project has a positive NPV. Therefore the company should go ahead. (7 marks) Workings / Notes i. ii. iii. iv. v. Annual profit = 1.2 million units x 20k = N240, 000. Depreciation charge against profit = N500, 000/ 5 = N100, 000 per annum. NPV is computed using cash flows not accounting profit. Hence, depreciation is added to profit to give relevant cash flow. Tax is on profit annually = N240, 000 X 30% = N72, 000; with a year time lag for payment. Discount factor is 10%. 4 b) Computation of payback period Year Cash flow 0 1 2 (500,000) 340,000 268,000 Cumulative Cash flow (500,000) (160,000) 108,000 PBP = 1 year + 160,000 x 12 months 268,000 = 1 year, 7 months (3 marks) Question 6 - Equity Valuation and Analysis a1) Dividend for next year D1 = DO ( 1 + g) = N1.50 ( 1 + 0.05) = N1.575 (1 mark) a2) What is Flamingo’s required rate of return based on CAPM? KE = Rf + (Rm – Rf) B = 4.5% + (6%) 0.85 = 4.5% + 5.1% = 9.6% (1½ marks) a3) MV = DO ( 1 + g) = KE - g N1.50 ( 1 + 0.05) = N1.58 0.096 – 0.05 0.046 = N34.24 (2 marks) a4) We are required to find the appropriate growth rate ,g, which will make the Dividend discount model estimate of market price equal N50. Substituting for other parameters, find g in the following equation: MV = DO ( 1 + g) KE - g N50 = N1.50 (1 + g) 0.096 - g g = 51.5/3.3 = 0.06408 = 4.408% (3 marks) 5 b) There is no valuation model that is ‘perfect’. All available models have their weaknesses and strengths. The strength of dividend discount model (DDM) lies in the fact that it is based on the general concept of value in finance. That is, the value of an asset is simply the present value of all streams of cash flow derivable from it. However it is true that the DDM has some weaknesses. Basically these are on account of the simplifying assumptions underlying the model, and the difficulty of getting accurate estimates of the parameters in the model: i. ii. iii. iv. The assumption of no growth or constant growth of dividend in perpetuity is unrealistic. It is difficult to estimate the rate of return required by investors. Moreover, the rate is not constant. The model is not suitable for a company that has not been paying no dividend. The model would fail to deliver an estimate of market value anytime rate of growth (g) exceeds required rate of return (KE) 1 mark for the strength of DDM ½ mark for each weakness (Maximum 2½ marks) Question 7 - Fixed Income Valuation and Analysis a1) i. Current yield = Annual coupon = 7% x N1,000 Current market price N 960 = 7.29% (½ mark) ii. Yield to maturity (to the nearest whole percentage) This is the IRR of the bond Year 0 1 2 3 4 C/ Flow -960 70 70 70 70 D/ F @ 5% 1 0.952 0.907 0.864 0.823 PV -960 66.64 63.49 60.48 57.61 D/F @ 10% 1 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683 PV -960 63.63 57.82 52.57 47.81 5 1,070 0.784 838.88 127.1 0.621 664.47 -73.7 IRR = 5% + 127.1 (10% - 5%) 200.8 = 8.16% (2 marks) 6 iii. More information is required to compute the horizon yield (total return). This includes : Expected holding period Expected future selling price at the end of the holding period (1 mark) a2) Shortcoming of yield-to-maturity and horizon yield (1 each required). Yield to maturity assumes that: 1. The bond is held to maturity 2. All interim cash flows are reinvested at the computed YTM Horizon yield requires some estimates: 1. Expected holding period 2. Expected future selling price at the end of the holding period (1 mark) b1) Portfolio duration is the weighted average of the duration of all the bonds making up the portfolio Bond W X Y Z Total Market Value N13 million N27 million N60 million N40 million N140 million Duration 2 7 8 14 Duration= 13/140 x 2 + 27/140 x 7 + 60/140 x 8 + 40/140 x 14 = 0.1857 + 1.35 + 3.4286 + 4.0 = 8.9643 (1½ marks) b2) Portfolio duration is the approximate percentage change in portfolio value for a 100 basis point change in yield. A 50-basis point change in yield would therefore produce a change in portfolio value of : 8.96436% = 2 4.48 % (2 marks) 7 b3) Duration is a measure of the interest rate sensitivity of a bond. Since interest rate sensitivity is one of the major sources of risk in bond investment and portfolio management, a good understanding of the different measures of duration is essential to minimize risks in bond investment while maximizing the benefits. (2 marks) 8